移民政策与分裂
[主持人]: 拜登政府在移民政策上搞得一团糟,而且是以一种极其危险的方式。
Original English
[Host]: The Biden administration just like really screwed up our immigration policy in a profoundly dangerous way.
[万斯]: 但...
Original English
[Vance]: But...
[主持人]: 即使你同意移民是个问题,但分裂似乎成了政客们最有力的叙事。我记得他关于黑人社区的那句名言,他说:“你有什么可失去的?”我是一个黑人。我觉得我有东西可以失去。我的担忧是,当西方的叙事是“是棕色人种让你的生活变得艰难”,或者“墨西哥人是强奸犯和杀人犯”时,如果我听到我的政治领袖这么说,我很可能会对我的邻居感到愤怒,即使他们什么都没做。
Original English
[Host]: even if you agree that immigration is a problem, it seems division is the most compelling narrative for politicians. I remember this particular quote about the black community where he said, "What do you have to lose?" I'm a black man. I feel like I've got things to lose. And my concern is when the western narrative is that it's the brown people that are the reason that your life is hard or like Mexicans and murderers. If I heard that from my political leaders, it's conceivable that I might be angry at my neighbor even though they've done nothing.
[万斯]: 但让我说一句,很多时候,总统被指控说过的话,他其实并没有说,或者有更广泛的背景。
Original English
[Vance]: But let me just say very often what the president is accused of saying, he didn't say it or there was much greater context.
[主持人]: 你见证了...但我认为,总统和我当然风格迥异。但唐纳德·特朗普作为一个人的真实面貌,远比媒体描绘的要丰富得多。
Original English
[Host]: You witness but but I think well the president I certainly have way different styles. But Donald Trump is much different as a human being than the media makes him out to be.
[主持人]: 但早在2016年,你和室友之间有一条私人信息,你说特朗普要么是个愤世嫉俗者,要么是美国的希特勒。你是如何从那个立场转变为同一个人的副总统的?这段旅程是怎样的?
Original English
[Host]: But back in 2016, there was a private message between you and a roommate where you said Trump was either a cynical asshole or America's Hitler. How do you go from that position to vice president of the same person? What is that journey?
[万斯]: 一段疯狂的旅程,老兄。但听着,我曾以为唐纳德·特朗普会是一个失败的总统。但他不是。我曾以为美国的机构基本上在正常运转。但它们没有。你必须能够承认自己什么时候是对的,什么时候是错的。他做事的方式是如此非常规,以至于以前无法想象的事情现在都摆在了桌面上。比如与伊朗的和平协议。
Original English
[Vance]: A crazy journey, man. But look, I thought Donald Trump would be a failed president. He was not. I thought that America's institutions were fundamentally functioning. They were not. You always have to be able to acknowledge when you're right and when you're wrong. Like he's so non-conventional in the way that he does everything that things that were previously unimaginable are actually on the table. This peace deal with Iran, for example.
[主持人]: 但有很多虚假的协议。
Original English
[Host]: But there's been lots of false deals.
[万斯]: 嗯,这次是真的。
Original English
[Vance]: Well, this one's real.
[主持人]: 还有以色列。特朗普称内塔尼亚胡是个“非常难搞的人”。内塔尼亚胡想要什么?
Original English
[Host]: and Israel. Trump called Netanyahu a very difficult guy. What does Netanyahu want?
[万斯]: 我不知道。嗯,我想说的是,我们是不同的国家,有不同的利益。
Original English
[Vance]: I don't know. Well, what I would say is that we're different countries with different interests.
[主持人]: 你信任他们吗?
Original English
[Host]: Do you trust them?
[万斯]: 我其实不信任任何人。在观察了美国总统的运作方式后,我相当确信他们是次要伙伴。我们是主要伙伴。我们是世界超级大国。
Original English
[Vance]: I don't really trust anybody. Having seen the president of United States operate, I feel quite confident that they are the junior partner. We're the senior partner. We are the world's superpower.
[主持人]: 我要稍微转个硬核的话题。呃,你认为外星人是真的吗?
Original English
[Host]: I'm going to take a little bit of a hard turn. Um, do you think aliens could be real?
[万斯]: 我认为是的。
Original English
[Vance]: I do.
童年与成长背景
[主持人]: 副总统先生,我这里有你的书。上面写着:“在我童年所有憎恨的事情中,没有什么比得上父亲角色的旋转门。我憎恨这种混乱。我憎恨这些男朋友总是在我开始喜欢他们的时候,就走出我的生活。”我总觉得,要理解坐在我面前的人,你必须了解他们早期的成长背景。我之前完全不知道你早年的情况。这在某种程度上影响了我后来看到你成年后的样子。你能带我回到你的成长背景,解释一下那段引言吗?
Original English
[Host]: Mr. Vice President, I have your book here. Okay. And it says, "Of all the things that I hated about my childhood, nothing compared to the revolving door of father figures. I hated the disruption. And I hated how often these boyfriends would walk out of my life just as I began to like them." I always think to understand the people that are sat in front of me, you have to take get a picture of their early context. And I had no idea about your earliest context. and it has in some respects informed what I've then seen from you later as an adult. But can you take me back to your context and explain that quote for me?
[万斯]: 是的。所以,呃,我在一个非常工薪阶层的小镇长大,一个非常工薪阶层的家庭。你知道,这是我小时候的一张照片。我的家庭,像许多其他处境相似的家庭一样,我们挣扎过。我们努力适应中产阶级的生活。这是我姐姐和我的祖父。有趣的是,我的祖父受教育程度很低,他高中毕业。我的祖母实际上13岁就辍学了。他们是虔诚的宗教徒,尤其是我祖母。但他们一生大部分时间都在经济上挣扎。我祖父在我13岁时去世了。我祖母在我20岁时去世了。这张照片可能是在她去世前不到一年拍的。我即将去伊拉克,她非常年老体弱。这是我们俩最后的合影之一。她才是真正抚养我长大的人,因为你提到了父亲角色的旋转门。我妈妈,一个了不起的人。她已经戒毒戒酒11年了。但在我的童年时期,她大部分时间都深陷严重的毒瘾之中。所以,祖母是我的救星。她挺身而出,确保我尽可能拥有稳定的生活。
Original English
[Vance]: Yeah. So, um I I was raised in very working-ass town, very working-ass family. You know, this is a photo of me when I was a little kid here. And my family, like a lot of other families in similar circumstances, we struggled. We struggled to adapt to middle class life. Yeah. This is my sister and my grandfather. It's interesting. My my my grandfather had very low formal education. and he graduated from high school. My grandmother actually left school when she was 13. Very religious people, particularly my grandmother, but you know, they they struggled pretty much economically for most of their lives. My grandfather died when I was 13. I think my grandmother died when I was 20. And you know, this is Yeah, this is right. This is probably not even a year before she died. And I was about to go to Iraq and she was very old and frail. And this is one of the last photos of the two of us. And this is really the woman who raised me because you raised the the revolving door of father figures. So mom, amazing person. She's been clean and sober for now 11 years. But she was was in the throws of a pretty bad addiction problem for much of my childhood. And so this was kind of my savior. This was the person who stepped in and made sure I had a stable life to the extent that I did.
[主持人]: 你的祖母,她13岁就怀孕了。
Original English
[Host]: And your grandmother, she got pregnant at 13.
[万斯]: 对。
Original English
[Vance]: Correct.
[主持人]: 她在那年纪流产了。
Original English
[Host]: And she had a miscarriage at that age.
[万斯]: 是的,没错。想想看。东肯塔基,那是美国一个极度贫困、非常偏远的山区。她当时和我祖父约会,我祖父那时16岁。她13岁。所以,他们都是孩子。她怀孕了。他们搬到俄亥俄州寻找更多机会,因为你在那个地方根本无法为自己建立好的生活,那里没有足够的好工作。然后她流产了。所以,那个让她离开家乡的原因,我认为也加速了他们的婚姻。如果不是这次意外怀孕,我不认为他们会在13岁和16岁结婚。她那时算是深陷其中了。他们结婚了,婚姻非常混乱,在很多方面充满虐待。但他们有了三个孩子:我妈妈、我叔叔和我阿姨。我们家族的故事在某种程度上是,我们中的一些人能够打破循环,而另一些人则不能。我写那本书的部分动机,就是想理解为什么我们中的一些人生活顺利,而另一些人却没有。
Original English
[Vance]: Yeah, that's right. So, think about this. Eastern Kentucky, you're talking about the hills of an extremely impoverished, very rural part of the United States of America. And so, you know, she is dating my grandfather who I think at the time is 16. She's 13. So, these are children. She gets pregnant. They move to Ohio for more opportunity because you you just couldn't build a good life for yourself. There weren't enough good jobs in that part of the world. And she had a miscarriage. So, like the thing that brought her out of her home, I think hastened them getting married. I don't think they would have gotten married at 13 and 16 were it not for this unplanned pregnancy. You know, she was kind of in it then. So, they're married. They have a very chaotic marriage, an abusive marriage in a lot of ways. But they have three kids, my mom, my uncle, my aunt. And the story of our families in some ways, some of us were able to kind of break the cycle and some of us weren't. And part of what motivated me to write that book is trying to understand why is it why is it that life worked out for some of us and didn't work out for others.
[主持人]: 所以你的生父把你送养了。
Original English
[Host]: So your biological father... He put you up for adoption.
[万斯]: 是的,他确实这么做了。我在五六岁的时候被一个叫罗伯特·哈米尔的人收养。严格来说,如果你看我的出生证明,他仍然被列为我的法定父亲。他从我7岁到10或11岁左右出现在我的生活中。然后他和我妈妈离婚了。之后他还逗留了一小段时间,但到我12岁的时候,他就彻底消失了。再也没有和他说过话,再也没有见过他。
Original English
[Vance]: So he did. So I was adopted by a man when I was five or 6 years old by the name of Robert Hamill and he became and it's still technically if you look at my birth certificate he is still listed as my legal father. Now, he was in the picture from, call it, I was seven until 10 or 11. And then he and mom got divorced. He still stuck around for a little bit after that, but by the time I was 12 years old, he was just gone. Never talked to him again, never saw him again.
[主持人]: 我这样理解对吗?这已经是你生命中出现的第三个男人了?因为你姐姐林赛来自另一个父亲。
Original English
[Host]: and am I right in thinking this is the the third man in your life at this point? Because your sister Lindsay comes from a different father.
[万斯]: 没错。她的父亲是个非常好的人。她比我大五六岁。他是我母亲的第一个丈夫。然后我的生父是第二个。我的法定父亲是第三个。从那以后,事情发展得更快了一些。在那之后,感情关系的更替更加频繁了。
Original English
[Vance]: That's right. So So her father, a very good guy. She's five or six years older than me. And so he was the first of my mother's husbands. And then my dad, my biological father was number two. And then my legal father was number three. And then, you know, things sort of got a little quicker from that point forward. So there was a there was a there was more turnover, let's say, in the relationships at that point forward.
[主持人]: 之后在你13岁时,你妈妈还遇到了一个叫马特的男人。
Original English
[Host]: There was also a guy called Matt thereafter at 13 years old that your mom had met.
[万斯]: 是的,一个好人。我和他很亲近。他实际上很关心政治,所以我们因为共同的政治兴趣重新联系了一下。但他只是个勤劳的好人。他在我生命中只出现了几年,可能更短,但他是一个重要而积极的力量。
Original English
[Vance]: Yeah. Yeah. Good guy. Very close to him. He actually is very political and so he and I um reconnected a little bit over our shared interest in politics, but he was just a good hardworking guy. You know, he was only around for maybe a few years, probably less than that of my life, but he was a a significant and positive force.
[主持人]: 在你的书里,第124页,你说和M还有马特住在一起,也就是你14岁的时候,就像坐在前排观看世界末日。
Original English
[Host]: In your book, Page 124, you you say living with M and Matt, which is when you were 14 years old, was like a front row seat to the end of the world.
[万斯]: 是的,那太混乱了。我以为那些是正常的事情,后来在和妻子或朋友聊天时才意识到,那是一种关系的不稳定,争吵,人们扔东西,如果争吵变得很激烈,有人会朝别人扔盘子。现在说起来都觉得疯狂,但在当时那是相当正常的。有时更糟,有时好一点,但总有一种感觉,关系总是混乱的。作为一个成年人,你现在有了这么多孩子,你几乎可以想象那种把疯狂当作正常的感觉,直到你看到别人的世界,或者别人听到你的世界,你才会意识到。
Original English
[Vance]: Yeah. Yeah. Well, it was just chaotic, right? I mean, things that I thought of as normal that I later realized in, you know, talking to my wife or talking to friends that just a level of relationship instability, you know, fighting, people throwing stuff, if the fights get really bad, some person throws a plate at somebody else. Again, it sounds even talking about it now kind of crazy, but it was pretty normal back then. And, you know, sometimes it was worse and sometimes it was better, but there was a sense in which relationships were always just kind of chaotic. as an adult, you know, like you can almost imagine now that you've got so many kids yourself that I I can understand the feeling of craziness being normal and you kind of don't realize until you see into someone else's world or someone else hears about yours
[主持人]: 因为我在很多方面都能感同身受。但作为一个成年人,你回顾过去,现在一定看到了那对你的塑造。
Original English
[Host]: cuz I can relate to that in many ways. But as an adult, you must look back on that and now see the the way that that shaped you.
[万斯]: 是的,那非常不健康。很难真正感受到稳定,很难真正与人建立依恋,因为你总是假设他们会离开。多年后,我在一次会议上演讲,一个儿童心理学家走过来对我说,文献显示,来自创伤或混乱环境但最终过得不错的人,他们生命中总有一个人,无论是老师、社工、祖父母、阿姨还是叔叔,他们总有一个锚点。这似乎是很多孩子成功与否的区别。我很幸运有那个人。我经常想,坐在这里,我是美国副总统。如果我的生活中只有那些混乱——那只是我生活的背景——但如果没有那些稳定力量,我的生活会变成什么样?天知道,老兄。
Original English
[Vance]: Yeah. Well, it was very unhealthy. Um I certainly think again it was hard to sort of really feel a sense of stability. It was hard to really attach to people because you always assumed that they were going to be gone. And you know, years later, I was I was talking to I was actually at a a conference. I was giving a speech and this guy came up to me and he was a child psychologist. And you know, he said, you know, one of the things the literature shows is that people who come from traumatic or chaotic environments and end up doing pretty well, they always have one person, whether it was a teacher, a social worker, a grandparent, aunt or an uncle. They always have one person who sort of their anchor. And that seems to be the difference for a lot of these kids. And and again, I was lucky enough to have that. And I think about my life a lot of time, sitting here, I'm the vice president of the United States. What would my life have turned out to be if you'd had all that chaos which was just a background part of my life? But you take out those stabilizing forces. God knows man.
[主持人]: 你的祖母...通过你的故事,当我读到你的童年时,她似乎是你一次又一次撤退的安全港。
Original English
[Host]: Your grandmother... Cuz through your story when I was reading about your childhood, she seemed like the safe place that you would retreat to over and over again.
[万斯]: 你知道,我认为男孩有男性榜样、有他们仰慕的父亲形象非常重要。她以一种非常规的方式,既是母亲形象,也是父亲形象。她极其古怪——我这么说完全是出于爱意——但她就是难以置信地坚强。我大概12、13岁的时候,和邻居一个孩子一起玩,他正走上歪路。他后来确实进了监狱。他开始吸毒,抽大麻,然后越陷越深。我祖母发现后告诉我,如果我继续和那孩子混在一起,她就用车撞死他。我当时有点懵。然后她说:“Jie,我向你保证,没人会发现的。”我当时想,“哇。”所以,为了那孩子的安全,我基本不再和他玩了。我认为那种坚强是必要的。她完全是靠意志力让我走在正道上。我不知道没有她我会在哪里。
Original English
[Vance]: You know, I was obviously I think it's very important for boys to have male role models, to have father figures that they look up to. She was in in an unconventional way like both a mother figure and a father figure. She was extraordinarily odd. And I mean that in the most loving way possible, but she was just incredibly tough. You know, I was, I don't know, 12, 13. I was hanging out with one of the kids in the neighborhood who was kind of going down a bad path. He actually would later spend some time in jail, but you know, he was getting into drugs, starting to smoke weed, starting to do a little bit more than that. Again, 12, 13, so we were pretty young kids. My grandmother found out and she told me that if I kept on hanging out with this kid, she was going to run him over with her car. And then I was like kind of caught off guard by that. And then she said, "Jie, I promise you and no one will ever find out about it." And I was like, "Wo." So like for the sake of this kid, I pretty much stopped hanging out with him. But that toughness, I think, was like a necessary part. It was like through sheer willpower that she kept me on the straight narrow. And uh again, I don't know where I'd be without her.
[主持人]: 在接下来的几十年里,你母亲的毒瘾似乎越来越严重。从处方药到海洛因,无所不包。这几乎摧毁了她和整个家庭的生活,几乎让你的祖父母破产。
Original English
[Host]: And over the next sort of couple of decades, your mother your mother's addiction um seems to get worse and worse. From prescription drugs to heroin and everything in between. And it really sort of ravages not just her life, but the family's life. Nearly making your your grandparents bankrupt.
[万斯]: 是的。顺便说一句,我妈妈已经戒毒戒酒11年了,这太了不起了。但你知道吗,当祖父去世时,他对我祖母来说,就像我祖母对我一样。我意识到,祖父对妈妈来说就是她的安全港,她的锚。我想她之前就有一些成瘾问题,但祖父去世后,情况急剧恶化,事情开始失控。我祖父母在祖父去世前尝试了各种方法帮助她。但情况越来越糟,毒品越来越烈,有过几次严重的过量。但靠着上帝的恩典和某种奇迹,她转变了,这太神奇了。这让我明白,对一些人来说,毒品夺走了他们太多东西。她就是这样。就像毒品夺走了她那么多一样,清醒又给了她很多回报。
Original English
[Vance]: Yes. And mom, by the way, has been clean and sober for 11 years, which is an amazing thing. But you know, when Papal died, he was what my grandmother was for me. I sort of realized that that's what papa was for mom. He was her safe place. He was her anchor. And I think she already had some addiction problems, but it just really accelerated from there. And things kind of went off the rails. And you know, my my grandparents before my grandfather died were trying various ways to help her. And yeah, it got worse and worse, harder and harder drugs, had a few bad overdoses, and you know, by the grace of God, some miracle, you know, it's it's amazing how transformed she is. And it sort of drives home how for some people drugs are just they they take so much away from a human being. And she was certainly that that way. And in the same way that they took so much away from her, sobriety has given her a whole lot back.
黑暗与光明:性格的形成
[主持人]: 如果我问问你的妻子,你生命中这段最具塑造性的时期是如何改变你的,她会说些什么?
Original English
[Host]: If I asked your wife how this season of your life, the most formative season of your life, has changed you. What are all the things you would say?
[万斯]: 有趣的是,我记得采访迈克尔·乔丹的教练时,他对我说,人们的黑暗面和光明面是根本相连的。我能理解。人们可能为之鼓掌或喝彩的东西,与你挣扎的东西或让你有时不那么“正常”的东西是根本相连的。是的,我完全理解。我认为,在黑暗面,她会说我有一种非凡的不信任感。我对不太熟悉的人,有时会对环境和无法控制的事情做最坏的打算,但也许对人们本身做最好的假设。所以,有一种内在的感觉,觉得世界要崩塌了。我认为这是真的。即使在我们的婚姻中,很难想象有比我们更成功、更幸福的婚姻了。我们的孩子很好,很健康。我和妻子非常相爱,她是我最好的朋友,我什么都跟她说,她是我最亲密的知己。然而,在我们12年的婚姻中,有无数次我会有这样的想法:这不可能持久。要么是她带孩子去杂货店,我开始想,“天哪,会有个醉驾司机迎头撞上。”我就是有一种内在的不稳定感。那是黑暗面。我认为光明面是,因为我见过很多人最好和最坏的一面,我倾向于对人类本身做最好的假设。所以,即使环境疯狂,即使有时事情完全失控,我想她会说,我可能拥有她所知道的任何人中最高的同理心。
Original English
[Vance]: It's funny because I remember interviewing, I think it was Michael Jordan's coach, and he said to me that people's dark sides and their light sides are like fundamentally interconnected. Yes. And I can relate. Absolutely. The things things people might clap for or applaud about, you're also fundamentally linked to the things that you struggle with or that make you sometimes not the most normal person. Yes, that makes total sense to me. I think on the dark side, what she would say is I have an extraordinary mistrust. I think of of people that I don't know particularly well. I sort of assume the worst sometimes about circumstances and and and things outside of my control, but I maybe assume the best about the people themselves, right? So, there's an inherent like sense that the world is going to fall apart. I think that's a very true thing. I mean, even in like our marriages, it would be hard to imagine. I'm not saying, you know, all marriages are work, but it would be hard to imagine like a marriage that was more successful and more happy than ours. Our kids are doing great. They're healthy. Like, my wife and I love each other very much, but we're also just like, she really is my best friend. She's the person I talk to about everything. She's my closest confidant. And yet, there are all kinds of times during our 12-year marriage where I've just had this thought like, there's no way this is going to last. either because she's taking the kids to the grocery store and I start thinking to myself, "Oh my god, a drunk driver is going to have a head-on collision." I I I just there's a sense of like instability that is very much built in. That's that's kind of the dark. I think the light is because I've seen a lot of people at their very best and their very worst. I sort of assume the best about the human beings themselves. So even though the circumstances are crazy and even though hits the fan sometimes completely outside of your control, I just I think what she would say is that I probably have a higher empathy quotient than any person that she knows.
[万斯]: 我真的很努力去理解是什么驱使着人们。所以光明和黑暗是并存的。但远不止这些。回顾我们早期的关系,我那时很难搞。我们还没结婚时,一吵架,我就会说,“好吧,那分手吧。”她的反应是,“那太疯狂了。我们为什么要分手?让我们理性地谈谈。”我说,“亲爱的,在这种情境下我不会理性对话。那不是我的风格。”但只要你对此有自我意识,这就是一个可以解决的问题。她肯定会说,和14年前我们刚开始约会时相比,现在简直是天壤之别。但在早期,这段关系本身也是混乱的。
Original English
[Vance]: And I really try to understand what makes people tick. And so there's there's the light and the dark together. But there's there's a lot beyond that. I mean, look, I mean, I I was a lot of work when I look back at our early relationship and we'd have an argument like before we ever married and and I'd be like, "Okay, well, fine. Let's just break up." And her response is like, "Well, that's crazy. Why would we break up? Let's just like have a rational conversation." Like, I honey, I don't do rational conversations in this context. That is not something we do. But again, so long as you're, I think, self-aware about that, it's a problem that you can solve. And certainly I I mean I think she would say com now compared to 14 years ago when we first started dating it's just night and day but very early on it was a chaotic relationship itself.
[主持人]: 明显的回避型依恋风格,这完全说得通。100%。
Original English
[Host]: Clearly an avoidant attachment style which obviously makes a ton of sense 100%.
[万斯]: 是的,我以前没有词汇来描述,但那正是我的情况。
Original English
[Vance]: Yeah I didn't have the vocabulary to describe that but that's exactly what that was.
[主持人]: 你有没有去接受过夫妻治疗?因为你经历了那样的早期环境,如此回避,对承诺如此紧张,把一切都视为短暂易逝,却还能拥有像你和妻子那样健康的关系,这几乎不可思议。
Original English
[Host]: Did you go did you have to go to like couples therapy? Because it it seems almost inconceivable that you could go through that early context, have be so avoidant, see be so sort of on on edge with commitment and see everything as kind of being ephemeral yet still have a healthy relationship like the one you you have with her?
[万斯]: 没有,从未去过夫妻治疗。我自己去过几次治疗,但我发现和陌生人交谈太不舒服了。我不喜欢它的另一个原因是——我不是在批评治疗,它肯定帮助了很多人——但它感觉太自我指涉了,几乎鼓励我去责怪别人,责怪我的过去,责怪我的妈妈。我非常不喜欢那种放弃对自己生活掌控权的感觉。所以我们只是学会了如何更好地相处。但主要是我的改变。她在一个非常稳定的环境中长大。她的父母是南亚裔移民,但她在加州圣地亚哥出生和长大,非常正常的南加州中产阶级生活。我认为正因为如此,她拥有比我健康得多的关系处理方式。
Original English
[Vance]: No, never went to coup's therapy. I actually went to like therapy a couple of times and I just found it way too uncomfortable to talk to a stranger and so you know uncomfortable. Well, no, no. I mean, this is I guess this is kind of a we, you know, a weird kind of therapy, but no, it it's it just the idea. The other thing I really didn't like about it, and again, I don't mean this to criticize therapy. I'm sure it helps a lot of people. So, so please don't take this the wrong way. But there was something about it that felt almost too self-reerential and too like it almost encouraged at least me to blame others or to blame my past or to blame my mom or to blame it just I really didn't like this feeling that I was sort of giving up agency over my own life. And so we've just gotten better at how we relate to each other. But that's primarily me. I mean, she grew up in a very stable situation. So, her parents are South Asian immigrants to the United States of America. But she was born and raised in San Diego, California. You know, just very normal middle class Southern California life. And I think because that she just had much healthier, let's say, much healthier relationship practices than I did.
政治中的同理心与人性
[主持人]: 你刚才提到的理解对方、对人怀有同理心这一点,似乎与政治完全相反。因为我观察选举活动,观察你和总统如何与卡玛拉·哈里斯这样的人对抗。按照你的逻辑,你一定认为卡玛拉·哈里斯实际上是个非常好的人。你一定理解她。
Original English
[Host]: That point about understanding the person on the other end and having empathy for the human being. Politics. Yeah. appears to be almost exact because I watch the I watch the election campaigns. I watch how like yourself and the president went against um people like Camala Harris. So you must with that logic think that Kamala Harris is actually like a really good person. Like you must understand Kamala.
[万斯]: 我不会说我理解她。我会说我只是对另一边的人没有敌意。
Original English
[Vance]: I I don't I I don't have I wouldn't say that I understand her. I would say that I just don't have this animosity towards people on the other side.
[主持人]: 但这不就是这份工作隐含的要求吗?你必须指出他们的缺点。
Original English
[Host]: But you is that not like sort of implicit in the job itself that you have to point out their faults and
[万斯]: 是的,你必须这样做。但你可以理性地、冷静地去做。当然,对方做的一些事情会让我恼火。但我的基本倾向是,大多数人都是好人。如果他们做了你不同意的事,要么是他们搞砸了,要么是他们犯了错误。我一直都是这样。我对其他人总是更宽容。也许我做得太过分了,太宽容了。但我宁愿过于宽容,也不愿对人过于愤世嫉俗。因为如果你总是对他人的动机持怀疑态度,老兄,你的处境会非常非常糟糕。实际上,我认为采访也是如此。我遇到了来自不同背景的那么多人,我学到的一件事就是,试着去体验每一个人,而不是带着预设去评判他们。
Original English
[Vance]: Yeah, you do. Yeah. No, absolutely. But I think you can be sort of rational about it. You can be cerebral about it. Certainly there are things the other side does that annoy me. But you know like my my fundamental bias is that just most people are good people. And to the extent that they do something you disagree with, it's either because they screwed up on something or because they made a mistake or I just I've always been like this. I've always been more charitable about other human beings. And I I don't know. Again, maybe I pro maybe I do that too much. Maybe I'm too charitable. But I'd rather be too charitable than too cynical about human beings because that I mean you talk about a screwed up perspective to take into politics. If you're always cynical about other people's motivations, man, you're going to be in a very very bad spot. I actually think the same about interviewing remarkably because No, because I I miss I meet so many people from so many different and one of the things that I've come to learn is just just try and meet everybody as I experience them versus like
[主持人]: 尤其是在采访政客时,我只是想以我体验他们的方式去认识他们,而不是去想他们被如何描绘。这实际上让我更有同理心,因为我们都有先入为主的观念,然后你见到某人,你会想,“哦,他们也是顾家的人。他们关心X、Y和Z。他们关心同样的事情,只是对实现路径有不同意见。”
Original English
[Host]: you know especially when I'm interviewing politicians it's I just want to meet them as I experience them versus thinking about how they've been framed or whatever. And it's actually made me much more empathetic because again obviously we all have preconceptions and then you meet someone and you go, "Oh, they are a family person. They care about X Y and Z. They care about the same things. They just disagree about pathways."
[万斯]: 是的,当然。
Original English
[Vance]: Yeah. Yeah. Of course.
[主持人]: 但政治的游戏对我来说似乎是,把对方描绘成恶意的。
Original English
[Host]: But politics seems to be like the the sort of game of politics to me seems to be like paint the other side to be malicious.
[万斯]: 我认为政治游戏从根本上说是在向人们推销。不是关于卡玛拉·哈里斯、唐纳德·特朗普、JD·万斯或蒂姆·沃尔兹,而是关于美国人民。要推销,你就必须说这个产品好在哪里,那个产品差在哪里。这是固有的。但我认为你可以做到。我总是试图谈论哪些政策真的很糟糕,为什么我认为这搞砸了,为什么我认为她犯了错误。这很奇怪,你的职位本质上就是要指出别人的缺点,即使只是他们的行为而非品格。但即便如此,我确实看到政治中有些人从根本上憎恨另一边的人。那不是我,也永远不会是我。即使在我非常好斗的时候,即使我必须强调一个观点时,也不是。
Original English
[Vance]: Well, I I think the game of politics I mean fundamentally you're making a pitch to people, right? It's not it's not about Kla Harris or Donald Trump or JD Vance or Tim Walls. is about the American people, right? And fundamentally to make that sales pitch, you have to say what's better about this product, what's worse about the other product. So that that is just inherent. But again, I I think you can do that. You know, what I always try to do is I try to talk about here are the policies that are really bad. Here are the reasons why I think this is screwed up. Here are the reasons why I think that she made mistakes. But I, you know, it is weird. It is fundamentally you are in a position where you're trying to point out the faults in another people, even if it's just their conduct as opposed to their character. But even with that, I again I I I do think that you see people in politics who fundamentally just really hate the people on the other side. That's that's just not me. It's never going to be me. Even when I'm being very pugilistic, like even when you you really have to drive home a point, like I you know, not to get too much into the weeds of of partisan politics, but like something I think the Biden administration just like really screwed up in a profoundly dangerous way was the was our immigration policy.
[万斯]: 现在,有很多原因可能导致这种情况。但从根本上说,那是一个非常非常严重的错误。但我并不因为卡玛拉·哈里斯有糟糕的移民政策就恨她。我只是认为指出缺陷很重要。
Original English
[Vance]: right now. There are all kinds of reasons why that might have happened. But fundamentally, that was a very, very, very bad screw up, but I don't hate Kla Harris because I think she had a bad immigration policy. I just think it's important to point out the flaws
移民、分裂与身份认同
[主持人]: 在移民问题上,这是另一个产生巨大分歧的领域。我记得看到过一些事情,比如特朗普总统妖魔化墨西哥人和棕色人种。我记得那句我一直有点纠结的名言,他对黑人社区说:“你有什么可失去的?”我记得我当时想,我是一个黑人。我觉得我有东西可以失去。那种针对个体的叙事,那种笼统的妖魔化,会让人们的生活更艰难,感觉没有必要。即使你同意移民是个问题,那种基于肤色、宗教或“墨西哥人是强奸犯和杀人犯”的说法,短期内可能有效,但长期来看可能会播下分裂的种子,对社会来说可能是净负面的。
Original English
[Host]: on on the immigration policy. I mean, still got to go through your chart here, but on this point of immigration, this is another area where you get such division. And you get, you know, I remember watching the there was a couple of things I remember watching when I was I think probably back in Plymouth um in the countryside. One of them was like Trump, the president demonizing me Mexican people and brown people. I remember this particular quote which I've always struggled with a little bit where he said about the black community, what have you got to lose? And I remember thinking, I'm a black man. I feel like I've got things to lose. Um that kind of narrative about those individuals, that broadstrokes sort of demonization of them would make people's lives harder and feels unnecessary. Even if you agree that immigration is a problem, the the sort of like skin color or religion or like Mexicans rapists and murderers is is might might galvanize in the near term, but in the long term is probably going to sow division and that's probably net negative for society.
[万斯]: 嗯,关于我听到的总统说过的任何话,一旦经过社交媒体或非社交媒体的折射,很多时候他被指控说过的话,他要么没说过,要么是以完全不同的方式说的,或者有更广泛的背景。我记得在2015或2016年,当他提到“强奸犯和杀人犯”时,我也很反感。然后我去查了他到底说了什么。他实际上说的是,有些国家确实在鼓励囚犯进入美国。这是事实。这是否意味着每个进入美国的人都是强奸犯、杀人犯或囚犯?不,不是。但他没这么说。所以,这又回到了宽容的问题上,我确实试图从根本上理解一个人为什么说那些话?他们到底在想什么?他们想表达什么?如果你不同意,那也没关系。
Original English
[Vance]: Well, what I one thing I'd say just about anything that I've ever heard the president say that then that's then refracted through the lens of social media or you know non-social media is very often what he is accused of saying he didn't say it or he said it in a totally different way or there was much greater context. So like I like I remember for example like I remember back in 2016 or 2015 whenever he said this sort of being like offended at the rapists and murderers line and then I went and looked at what he said and what he said which is actually true is that some of these countries are actually encouraging prisoners to come into the United States of America. Does that mean that every person comes in America as a rapist or a murderer or as a prisoner? No, it doesn't. But he didn't say that. Right. So, so again this goes back to the point about being charitable is I I do try to understand fundamentally like why did a person say that?
[主持人]: 你不会那么说。
Original English
[Host]: You wouldn't have said that.
[万斯]: 但我和总统的风格确实截然不同。绝对不同。但我谈论移民的方式,是我们一直非常一致的领域,这显然是2024年竞选的一个主要问题。我思考移民的方式从根本上说,一个国家是由生活在你国家的人民组成的。美国有3.3亿灵魂,他们中的大多数人,无论是否投票给我,都是非常好的人,他们希望为家人和自己争取好的东西。当然,每个群体里都有一些坏苹果,3.3亿人里肯定有一些坏人,但大多数人本质上是善良正派的。然而,你可能会让一些可能有趣、正派、正常的人进入你的国家,他们只是会稍微打乱一下平衡。这就像我邀请10个人来家里吃饭,如果其中一个人带了个陌生人,可能还挺有趣。但如果每个人都带三个陌生人,那就会完全改变谈话的性质和房间的氛围。一个国家也是如此,只是规模大得多。所以,我可能用不同的方式看待或描述它。但我从根本上认为,总统在移民问题上的看法是非常正确的,具有先见之明。即使他直白的描述方式冒犯了一些人,我认为这对我们的国家和世界都是一个非常重要的贡献。很难找到一个美国人认为我们不需要边界和围绕边界的政策。
Original English
[Vance]: But but I think well the president and I certainly have way different styles. Absolutely. We have different styles. But I mean the the way that I talk about immigration I'd say that's one of the issues where we've always been like extremely closely aligned and that was obviously a major issue during the 2024 campaign. But the way that I think about immigration is is fundamentally like as a country you are the people who live in your nation. Okay? So America's 330 million souls, you know, I think fun again most of them who whether they voted for me or not, they're really good people and they want really good things for their families. They want really good things for themselves. And yeah, there are like some bad apples in every crew, 330 million people. There are definitely some bad people, but most people are fundamentally good and decent. However, you could let people into your country who could be fun, decent, normal human beings who just kind of mess with the the equation a little bit. It's like if I have a bunch of people over to my house for dinner and I I invite 10 people to come over for dinner and one of them brings a stranger, it's probably going to be fun, right? But if like every single one of them bring three strangers, it's going to totally change the character of the conversation that you're going to have of the room that you're going to have. A country is like that just on a much more massive scale. So I maybe come at it or I describe it a different way. But fundamentally I think that the president was very right about immigration in a way that was preient. And even if the blunt way that he described it offended some people, I think it was like a very important contribution to not just our country but to the world. I think it would be hard to find an American who didn't think we needed um again I'm not an American so I I guess I'm talking about wherever I'm from but we needed borders and a policy around borders.
[主持人]: 就像我们对自己的房子、参加的每个节日或去的每个场所都有边界一样。我一直担心的是,当我看到全球范围内——不仅仅是美国,现在整个西方,包括英国——这种叙事在上升时,为了解决问题,分裂似乎成了政客们最有力的叙事。然后分裂的下游后果在街头显现。特别是在英国,某些社区因为这种被用来获取权力的广泛政治叙事而被妖魔化和受害。但棕色人种、黑人或穆斯林在街头的真实后果,我认为高层的人没有考虑到这一点。有没有另一种方式来表达移民和合法移民的观点,而不妖魔化他人?
Original English
[Host]: Just in the same way that we have it around our house and every festival we enjoy and whatever it whatever venue we go to. I think the um the thing I've always been concerned about when I see the sort of rising narrative across the world, not just in America, but now across the West, um the UK as well, is in trying to solve that problem, it seems that like division is the most compelling narrative for politicians. And then the like downstream consequence of division you see playing out on the streets. You see like especially in the UK at the moment you're really seeing um certain communities be quite um demonized and victimized because of this broad political narrative which which is being used to get people into power. But then the downstream consequences of like real people on the streets that are brown or black or Muslims is like I don't think the people at the top consider that. Well, I mean I is there another way of of making the point on immigration, legal immigration without demonizing people?
[万斯]: 嗯,当我在移民讨论中妖魔化任何人时,我妖魔化的是那些不愿思考其后果的领导层。关于分裂,这个词对我来说很有趣,因为我认为分裂非常糟糕。我喜欢生活在一个有凝聚力的社区,人们和睦相处,无论对方长什么样或有什么想法,我们都爱他们。但让我给你一个稍微不同的视角。如果分裂不是政客妖魔化某些群体的结果呢?如果分裂是特定社会人口变化太快、太迅速的必然结果呢?你认为政客在利用分裂,但我实际上认为他们是在试图表达人们的一种感受,有时人们可能以我们不喜欢的或冒犯的方式表达这种感受。但假设你是一个英国或美国的工薪阶层,你知道有人搬到了你的社区。
Original English
[Vance]: Well, I I certainly when when I talk about it, to the extent that I demonize anybody on the immigration conversation, I demonize the leadership that is immune to thinking about the consequences of this. And so just this this point about division, division is a very interesting word to me because I think division is very bad. Like I I like living in a in a community that's cohesive, where people get along, where we love everybody regardless of what they look like or what they what thoughts they might have in their head. But like let me give you like a slightly different perspective on the division thing. What if division is not the result of politicians demonizing certain groups? But what if division is the inevitable consequence of when the population changes too quickly, too fast in a given society? and what you see as as you know politicians exploiting division. I actually think that what they're trying to do is articulate a feeling that people have and sometimes people might express that feeling in ways that we don't like or maybe they're offensive but but fundamentally like let's just say you're you know you're a working-class guy in Britain or you're a working- class guy in the United States of America and you know somebody moves in your neighborhood.
[主持人]: 是的,确实如此。我的家庭显然是黑人。我妈妈是尼日利亚人,我来自博茨瓦纳,我搬进了一个全是白人的社区。他们是怎么对待你的?我们被叫过几次N字词。
Original English
[Host]: That's right. I did I did. Yeah. So my my black we my family is obviously black. My mom's Nigerian and I came from Botswan and I moved into an all white neighborhood. Okay. And I mean how did people treat you? Uh we were called the n-word a couple of times.
[万斯]: 那太糟糕了。但我想你社区里的很多人是欢迎你的。
Original English
[Vance]: Well like like that's terrible. I don't like that. But I imagine that a lot of people in your community were welcoming unless unless
[主持人]: 他们确实是。但作为孩子,你只会记得那些让你与众不同的时刻。
Original English
[Host]: you know they were. For sure. For sure. But you know as a kid you only remember the ways you stand out.
[万斯]: 当然,我理解,我认为努力反击那些东西很重要。我们不希望进入社区的年轻孩子的记忆是那样的。但我们的隔壁邻居是一个黑人家庭,我的祖母并不“觉醒”,她对种族、性别或其他任何事情都没有进步的观点。但她真的很喜欢——我永远不会忘记——住在我们隔壁的那个黑人,她说“他有一颗善良的心”。那是她对任何人最高的赞美。他是一个牧师。那是一个非常非常好的家庭,稳定的家庭,有父母和几个孩子。我和他们的小儿子很亲近。我没有经历过那种分裂。当人们谈论分裂时,我不认为那个家庭和我们有本质上的不同。我相信他们经历过种族主义,但我不认为那是他们在那社区生活的日常。我祖母真正抵制变化的时候,是当有一些人搬进来,社区迅速恶化的时候。我在书里提到过一点。有一群人带着不同的习惯搬进来,有个女人,她说要洗澡,但喝醉了昏倒了,毁掉了整栋房子。在某种程度上,我祖母因为社区变化太快而感到不舒服,或者新来的人有不同的价值观,她无法再像以前那样和人交谈,她有这种感觉是错的吗?在2024年的竞选中,我因此受到攻击,因为我说过,如果你是一个美国人,一个英语母语者,你希望搬到你隔壁的人会说英语,这没关系。不是因为你是种族主义者或仇外者,而是因为你想和与你共享社区的人交谈。所以我经常看到的是,当政治家没有切实确保融合成为可能时,分裂就会被放大。要使融合成为可能,我认为它必须是缓慢的。你必须小心。100个人搬进一个社区和10个人搬进一个社区是不同的。你必须确保每个人都有经济机会。当每个人都有好工作时,欢迎新来者是一回事;但当很多人感到经济困难时,你欢迎新来者,他们的反应会完全不同。所以,这也许是我对你们认为我不该宽容的人宽容,但作为民选领导人,我的工作是创造一种减少分裂的环境,而不是假装分裂不存在。我认为,当事情变化太快时,人们自然会感到抵触,这没关系。
Original English
[Vance]: No of course you know that can be like Yeah. And I understand that and I and I certainly think it's important to like try to fight back against that stuff. Like we don't want young kids who come into a community for that to be like their their memory. But like I also like our next door neighbor was black family and my my grandmother was not woke. She did not have progressive views about race or gender or pretty much anything else. But like she really loved I'll never forget this. The the the black man who lived next door to us, she said he has a good heart. And that was her highest compliment of anybody. He was a preacher. The family was like a very very good family. Stable family. Mom, dad, few kids. And I was very close to to to the young son. And I I just I did not experience that. When people talk about division, I just did not see that family as substantially different from us. And I don't think that family I'm sure they experienced racism, but I don't think that was like a common fixture of their day living in that neighborhood. Now, yeah, that's where Mammald really did resist the changes is when we had a few people like the neighborhood went downhill very quickly, and I talk about that a little bit in the book, and you had a bunch of people move in with different habits, and you had a woman who, you know, she said a bath, but then she got drunk and passed out, and so she ruined her entire house. And you know some at some level was it wrong for my grandmother to feel offended that her neighborhood had changed so quickly so fast that she never felt she didn't feel comfortable there anymore or the people who came in had different values or she couldn't hold a conversation with somebody in the same way. You know, I I got attacked by this on this during the campaign in 2024 when I said, you know, it's actually okay if you're an American, an English native speaker, it's actually okay for you to want the person who moves in next to you to speak English, not because you're a racist or a xenophobe, but because you want to be able to talk to the person you share a community with. And so what what I often see is that division gets magnified when statesmen don't do the job of actually ensuring that integration is possible. And for integration to be possible, it has to be, I think, slowmoving. You have to be careful, right? A 100 people moving into a community is different from 10 people moving into a community. You have to make sure that everybody has economic opportunities, right? It's one thing to welcome a newcomer when everybody has access to a good job, but you welcome a newcomer when a lot of people are feeling economically distressed. They're going to react to it totally differently. So again, this is maybe me being charitable to people you think I shouldn't be charitable to, but fundamentally like my job as an elected leader is to create the kind of environment where division happens less. It's not to pretend that division doesn't exist. people naturally, I think, feel reactive when things change too quickly, and that's okay.
[主持人]: 我理解那种人类本能,某种程度上可以说是排外心理。我们都希望邻居能和我们交流。但微妙之处在于,当他们不会说我的语言时,我该怎么办?也许如果邻居不会说我的语言,我们可能无法相处,因为我们无法交流。但我不会生他们的气。我的担忧是,从高层来看,当西方的叙事是“棕色人种是你生活艰难的原因”时,如果我听到我的政治领袖这么说,我很可能会对我的邻居感到愤怒,即使他们什么都没做。仅仅是他们的存在就可能让我怨恨他们。然后当我怨恨他们时会发生什么?因为我被告知他们是导致我受苦、失业的原因。然后我们就陷入了文化战争,这是一个滑坡。
Original English
[Host]: No, I I understand the the sort of human instinct of of uh I guess of kind of like xenophobia in a way. Um and I think we all we all would want our neighbor to be able to connect with our neighbor. I think it's like the the point of nuance is when they can't speak my language, what do I then do about that? And I think, you know, maybe if my neighbor didn't speak my language, we might not get along because we won't be able to connect and talk. But but I wouldn't be angry at them. And I and my my concern is from a high level when the the sort of western narrative now is that it's the brown people that are the reason that your life is hard is I if if I believed that if I heard that from my political leaders, it's conceivable that I might be angry at my neighbor even though they've done nothing. Just their presence alone might make me resent them a little bit. And then what happens when I resent them? because I'm being told that they're the reason that I'm suffering. They're the reason I don't have a job. And then we get into this these like cultural wars, which is a slippery slope. I've always
[万斯]: 我听到了。但我想说的是,我并不生气。我在竞选路上一直这么说。我不生那些违法进入我国的非法移民的气。他们中的一些人可能甚至不知道自己在违法,他们来到我们的国家是为了给家人寻求更好的机会。我生气的是那个政治体系。我生气的是那个鼓励人们违反规则、播下分裂种子、然后又因为本地人环顾四周说“等等,我没同意这个”而生气他们的政治体系。所以,我认为每个人都有一种本能,想和与自己有共同点的人共享一个社区。一点点调味品是好的,但太多就会改变氛围。我认为大多数人不反对变化,但变化太快、太迅速,在移民背景下对一个国家是非常非常有害的。我认为你们国家、我们国家以及很多欧洲国家都经历过这种情况。我甚至不特别生任何国家的气,因为这是我们所有人都犯过的错误。但既然你看到了这一点,你正确地称之为分裂,我认为我们必须说,“等等,让我们尝试一种稍微不同的方式。”
Original English
[Vance]: I hear you. But what I would say is is I'm not mad, and I said this on the campaign trail all the time. I'm not mad at the illegal alien who broke our laws and came into the country. Probably some of them probably didn't even know they were breaking our laws, who came into our country and wanted better opportunity for their families. What I am mad is the political system. The I don't know, right? It's hard to say, but I am mad at the political system that encourages people to break those rules and sews division and then gets mad at the native population for looking around and saying, "Wait a second. I didn't sign up for this. I didn't agree to this." So, I just like, you know, I don't know what you describe that. I I would say there's an instinct in every human being to want to share a community with people where you've got something in common with. Okay. And and it's like everything, right? A little bit of spice is good. Too much spice changes the the dynamic a little bit. And I think most people, they're okay with change, but change that happens too fast, too quickly. I think in an immigration context is very very bad for a country. And I think you guys have had that. We've had that. A lot of European countries have had that. I don't even feel particularly angry um at any country because it's a mistake that all of us made. But now that you see that, I mean, you rightly call it division. I just think that we have to say, "Wait a second. let's try to do things a slightly different way.
[主持人]: 我认为算法也在其中扮演了重要角色,因为它的设计。但那是另一个话题了。不过,我确实认为,如果我的家庭在挣扎或处于危险之中,而那边有一块土地能给他们更好的机会,为了我的家人,我会努力搬过去。我想你也会这么做。如果你有家人——我有你妻子和孩子的照片——如果美国陷入灾难,而墨西哥发展得很好,即使你没有签证,你不会试图进入墨西哥吗?
Original English
[Host]: I think algorithms also play a big role in that because of the the design. So that's but that's probably another conversation. Um I do think though if I if my family were struggling or at all in danger at risk and there was a an area of land over there that offered them a better chance. I personally think for the sake of my family if my family was struggling I would try and move my family into that area. And I I assume you would do the same. I assume you would if your family I've got this wonderful photo of your kids and your wife. Well, if America went to catastrophe and Mexico was doing great, would you not try and get into Mexico even if it wasn't um you didn't have a visa?
[万斯]: 不,我不认为我会。我能理解为什么有些人必须搬家,你需要吃饭,需要养家。但关于移民问题,另一个挑战是,你希望人们对他们的国家有一种扎根感和奉献精神。与美国相比,欧洲有一个非常独特的地方。我十几岁或二十出头的时候,有一个民意调查问题:“你社会中有多少年轻人愿意在必要时为国捐躯?”在美国,这个数字大约是70%。而在所有其他西方国家,只有20%到35%。所以,你谈到为了经济机会搬到墨西哥,在一个墨西哥繁荣而美国挣扎的假设世界里。我明白你的意思,人们应该搬到能养家糊口的地方。但我爱这个地方,这种爱完全独立于它为我孩子提供的经济机会。这里有更深层的东西,与地方、记忆和民俗的联系。我开车穿过东肯塔基,那些美丽的连绵起伏的山丘,甚至山脉,但它们都充满了生机。你去西弗吉尼亚,你应该去看看。我认为那是世界上最美丽的地区,有山有水,如此翠绿,充满生机。我对它有非常独特的依恋。但即使你的家人处于危险之中,你也不会把他们搬到墨西哥。
Original English
[Vance]: I No, I don't think I would. I mean I I I can understand why some people have to like move, you need to eat, you need to provide for your family. But you know, I I I think that this is another thing about about the immigration thing that is that is challenging is, you know, you want people to feel a certain rootedness and a certain devotion to their country. You know, one of the things that's very unique about America compared to Europe is there's this poll question that went around when I was a teenager, maybe I was in my early 20s, and it asked, "What percentage of young people in that society would die for their country if they had to?" Like, I'm not excited about the idea, but would actually do it. In the United States, it was something like 70%. And in all the other European, all the other Western countries, it was like 20 to 35%. And so, you know, you talk about like, okay, moving to Mexico because there's economic opportunity in in a universe where Mexico is flourishing and America's struggling. I get what you're saying that you want people to move and migrate to the place where they can have a chance of feeding their family, but like I I love this place in a way that is totally independent of the economic opportunities it provides to my children. There's something much deeper and there's a connection to to to the places, to the memories, to the folkways. I I mean I I drive through Eastern Kentucky, man, and those beautiful rolling hills and even mountains, but they're all mountains that are a light with life because they're, you know, it's not the Rockies. You know, you go you go to you go to West Virginia, you should do this. It's the most beautiful area, I think, in the world because you get the mountains and you get the rivers and you get that, but it's also so green and rich with life. I feel an attachment to it that is very, very unique. But even if if your family were at risk, you wouldn't move them into Mexico.
[万斯]: 嗯,我家族的故事是,我的祖父母从东肯塔基搬到了俄亥俄州南部,距离并不远。这两个地方很近,但他们即使不想搬,也为了经济机会和养家糊口而搬走了。所以我当然能理解。我是副总统,有特勤局保护,现在很难设身处地。但如果有人拿着枪出现在我在辛辛那提的家门口,说“你必须离开,否则我们杀了你的孩子”,我会离开。但我认为大多数移民决定实际上没有那么极端和后果严重。
Original English
[Vance]: Well, I mean, look, my my the story of my family, my grandparents, is they came from Eastern Kentucky and moved to southern Ohio, not exactly that far away. These are these are two very close areas, but they moved away even though they didn't want to because of economic opportunity to provide for their families. So, I I certainly empathize with that. I mean, yeah, if somebody showed up, I mean, like, I'm the vice president. I have a Secret Service detail. It's hard to put myself in this perspective right now, but if like somebody showed up to my home in Cincinnati and pointed a gun at my head and said, "You have to leave or we're going to kill your children." I'd leave, right? But I I think most migration decisions are not actually that consequential and extreme.
海军陆战队与伊拉克战争
[主持人]: 这个年轻人,你最终加入了海军陆战队。
Original English
[Host]: This young man here, you ultimately go into the Marine Corps.
[万斯]: 我加入了海军陆战队。这是我,我相信是刚结束新兵训练营后。大概是2003年5月。这张照片是在新兵训练营拍的。我确定这张是在伊拉克拍的,大概是05或06年,当时伊拉克战争进展不顺利。
Original English
[Vance]: I go into the Marine Corps. Yeah. So, this is this is me in I believe right after boot camp. So, 2003, maybe May. Yeah, I think 2003. This is me. This photo is taken in boot camp. And this is I'm pretty sure this is taken in Iraq. Actually, this is either in ' 05 or ' 06 at a point when, you know, the Iraq war was not going well.
[主持人]: 你为什么...决定是什么?
Original English
[Host]: why did you die? What was the decision?
[万斯]: 当时有一种感觉,事后回想起来,我对此非常反感。我至今仍然对乔治·W·布什感到愤怒,尽管我努力宽容,也有为他工作过的朋友,认为他是个好人。但在我高中最后一年,我记得在一家叫Skyline Chile的餐厅,一个戴着二战老兵红帽子的人走出来。在美国我们叫他们“红帽子”。他是二战老兵。我记得当时想,这一代人正在逝去。因为你遇到的大多数老兵都是越战或第一次海湾战争的。我走上前,握着他的手说:“先生,谢谢您的服务。”他真的很感动。但我当时想,“这个人响应了号召。现在轮到我们了。”9·11事件发生时,我是一名高中生。当时有一种爱国情绪,认为这就是我们的二战。甚至一些历史类比也完全一样:萨达姆·侯赛因就是阿道夫·希特勒。如果你有机会在希特勒吞并苏台德地区时站出来说不,你会不会抓住那个机会?他们非常擅长利用那个爱国主义的蓄水池。顺便说一句,我认为那个蓄水池是非常宝贵的。政治家应该培养它,但只能在真正必要和合理的时候使用它。伊拉克战争搞砸的地方在于,我去找海军陆战队征兵员,我想成为海军陆战队员,因为我的表哥们是海军陆战队员,人们说海军陆战队最厉害。我签了字,以“开放合同”入伍。有时你入伍时工作就分配好了,但我说,“你们可以给我任何工作,我只想成为海军陆战队员。”我这样做是因为我爱我的国家,我想像那个戴着红帽子、仍然为此自豪的人那样做出贡献。这当然让我在05到06年去了伊拉克,交了很多朋友,对海军陆战队这个机构和人员有了极大的欣赏,但也对政治领导层变得有些失望。
Original English
[Vance]: You know, there was this sense, and in hindsight, I really resent this. I mean, I'm genuinely still angry at George W. Bush over this, even though, again, I I try to I try to be charitable and I have friends who worked for him, think he's a great guy. Not saying he's not, but when I was a senior in high school, I remember I'm at a restaurant. It's called Skyline Chile in southwestern Ohio. And this guy comes out of Skyline Chile. He's got like a World War II red veterans hat. We call them Red Hatters in the United States. So he was a veteran of World War II. And I remember feeling like cuz you know even that stage, this is probably 2003, 2002 maybe. Remember thinking to myself, this generation is dying away. like I I have this feeling, right? Because most most veterans you met, they were veterans of Vietnam, maybe of the first Iraq war. But I just went up and I was I shook his hand. I said, "Thank you, sir, for your service." And you know, he was like genuinely touched. But I remember thinking, "This guy answered the call. Now we have to answer the call." You know, September 11th happened when I was a junior in high school. And there was this patriotic sense of this is our World War II, right? And even some of the historical analogies that got used were the exact same. Saddam Hussein was Adolf Hitler. What if you had had an opportunity to stand up and say no to Adolf Hitler when he annexed the Sudatan land? Wouldn't you have taken that chance? And it it's like they they they were so good at tapping into that patriotic reservoir. And by the way, I think that reservoir is a very valuable thing. I think it's important for statesmen to cultivate it, but only to tap into it when it's really necessary and when it's really justified. And what was so screwed up about Iraq is I mean I remember like I went to the Marine Corps recruiter and I wanted to be Marine because my older cousins were Marines and people said the Marines were the toughest. Whether that's true or not, that was certainly the impression that Marines had of themselves. I signed on the dotted line. I went in what's called open contract. So sometimes you sign up and you have your job assigned like you already know what you're going to do. I went I went an open contract. I said, "You can give me whatever job you want to. I just want to be a Marine." And I I I did that because I loved my country and I wanted to contribute in the same way that that guy who wore a red hat, was still wearing his red hat, was still proud of it, knew that he contributed. And uh you know that led me of course to go to Iraq from '05 to '06 and made a lot of friends gained a ton of appreciation for the Marine Corps as an institution and the people but you know became a little jaded about our political leadership.
[主持人]: 你说你有点生布什的气,因为...
Original English
[Host]: Why are you you said you you kind of annoyed at Bush because
[万斯]: 因为那个存在于任何国家的爱国主义蓄水池,在美国可能最强大,因为我们有超过70%的年轻人说他们会为国捐躯。这在发达经济体中非常独特。很多欧洲人可能会说,“哦,那些好战的蠢货。”但我实际上认为,要成为一个真正的国家,你必须有这样的意愿:万一发生不幸,你愿意穿上制服去做需要做的事。但要让这种感情合理,领导人就不能滥用它。你不能说萨达姆·侯赛因是阿道夫·希特勒。他不是。你必须小心。我认为乔治·W·布什没有小心。他号召国家去做一件最终不符合我们国家利益的事情。但更根本的是,他利用了那个爱国主义的源泉,引导我们去做一件我们一开始就不该做的事情。
Original English
[Vance]: because that patriotic reservoir that exists in any country I think it's maybe most powerful in the United States of America because again we have this 70 70 plus percent of young people say they would die for their country. It's very unique among advanced economies. And I'm sure a lot of people in Europe look at that and say, "Oh, those jingoistic idiots, they're, you know, they're they're wrong or there's something bad about that." But I actually think you ha to have a real nation, you have to have the willingness that if, god forbid, something happens, you're willing to put on your uniform and go and do what needs to be done. But again, in order for that to work, in order for that feeling to be justified, leaders have to not take advantage of it. You can't say Saddam Hussein is Adolf Hitler. He wasn't. You You got to be careful with it. And I don't think that George W. Bush was careful with it. I I think that he called the nation to do something that ultimately wasn't actually in our best interest as a nation, but more fundamentally, he drew on that wellspring of patriotism to direct us to do something that we shouldn't have been doing in the first place
[主持人]: 是因为他得到了错误的信息,还是因为疏忽或无能?
Original English
[Host]: because he had bad information or because of negligence or incompetence.
[万斯]: 我认识足够多了解他的人。我认为他得到了错误的信息。但后9·11时代非常重要。我们必须去处理那些在世界各地存在、因美国上一代人的疏忽而滋生蔓延的恐怖网络。但反恐战争对美国来说,不像二战对英国那样是生死存亡的问题。我认为我们必须小心如何描述我们要求年轻人做的事情。如果你要求他们做某事,而他们觉得你对他们诚实,我认为这会为那个爱国主义蓄水池注入红利。如果你要求某人做某事,结果发现你对他们撒了谎,无论是有意还是无意,我认为你会消耗那个蓄水池。顺便说一句,我提到了那个民调。我不知道具体数据,但无论有多少美国年轻人说他们会为国捐躯,我敢打赌,2026年的数字肯定比2003年低得多。
Original English
[Vance]: I don't I mean, I you know, I know enough people who know him. I think he had bad information but you know fundamentally like post 911 was really important. We had to go and deal with the terrorist networks that had existed all across the world that had been allowed to fester over the previous generation of of American negligence. But fundamentally the war on terrorism was not an existential thing to the United States of America in the same in the way that like World War II was an existential thing for Britain. Right. And I think we just we have to be careful about how we describe what we're asking our young people to do because if you ask them to do something and they feel like you were being honest with them, I think that sort of pays dividends into that patriotic reservoir. If you ask somebody to do something and it turns out you were lying to them, whether it was intentional or not, I think you draw down that patriotic reservoir. I don't know what the By the way, I mentioned that that poll and you know, I don't have the information. I don't know the data in front of me, but whatever the number of Americans, young Americans who say they would die for their country, I would bet my I' I'd bet a lot of money that that number in 2026 is much lower than it was in 2003.
[主持人]: 所以,这就像一种与国家签订的基于信任的契约。
Original English
[Host]: So, it's really like a sort of a contract with the nation that's built on trust.
[万斯]: 基于信任的社会契约。你违背了信任,就会产生非常非常严重的后果。
Original English
[Vance]: Social contract built on trust. You violate that trust and has very, very bad consequences.
伊朗战争与和平协议
[主持人]: 美国现在处于战争状态。
Original English
[Host]: The the US is I guess in a war now.
[万斯]: 嗯,现在不是了。
Original English
[Vance]: Well, not anymore.
[主持人]: 经典遗言。
Original English
[Host]: Famous last words.
[万斯]: 公平。我们处于停火状态,我感觉非常好。我们昨天宣布了停火,宣布了与伊朗人的和平协议。
Original English
[Vance]: Fair. We are in a ceasefire that I feel very good about. that we announced. I know this will air later, but but we announced the ceasefire. We announced the the peace agreement with the Iranians yesterday.
[主持人]: 是的。因为这场战争,我学到了很多关于战争的知识。部分原因是我在战争时期是一名采访者,我和很多人进行了很多关于战争本质的对话,学到了很多。坦白说,我以前对越南和战争心理学一无所知。罗伯特·P曾对我说:“人们低估战争的一点是,当炸弹开始落下时,政治会改变,无论是在炸弹落下的地方还是在后方。”在某种程度上,我认为伊朗战争现在就发生了这种情况。根据我的评估,它看起来会非常直接:投下炸弹,干掉领导人,人民起义——这是总统说过的,他鼓励人民在炸弹落下、哈梅内伊被干掉时起义。但然后发生了什么?看起来国家分裂成了各种小股民兵和军事力量。我记得希思说过,信鸽需要一些时间才能到达士兵所在的哨所,这说明了分裂是如何发生的。然后我听到总统和你多次说,我们不知道我们在和谁谈判,因为我们干掉了第一和第二层领导层。然后我想,天哪,我们又陷入了同样的境地:炸弹开始落下,产生了意想不到的后果,现在没有一个中央领导层可以谈判,同时国内政治也发生了变化,支持率开始暴跌。那里的地面政治也在变化。这是另一场永无止境的战争吗?
Original English
[Host]: Yes. I've learned so much about war because of this war. Um, in part because I'm an interviewer at the time of war and so I've been having lots of conversations with lots of people about the nature of war and I've learned so much. Frankly, I didn't know anything about Vietnam and really the psychology of war. Yeah. And how like when you start a war, Robert P said this to me. He said, "The thing people underestimate about a war is when the bombs start dropping, politics changes both where the bombs are dropping and at home." And I I to some degree think that with the Iran war now, that's like exactly what happened from my assessment of it, which is it looked like it was going to be quite straightforward. Drop the bombs, take out the leader. Um the people rise up, which is what um the president had said. He had encouraged the people to rise up when those bombs dropped and Kmeni was taken out. But then what then happened? What it's again I don't know what I'm talking about here so please correct me is it looked like the country kind of fractured into all of these sort of little pockets of militia and military um I remember I think it was heath saying it just takes some time for the carrier pigeon to get out to where the soldiers are the outpost but and it speaks to how the fracturing had happened and then I heard the president and I think yourself multiple times say like we don't really know who we're negotiating with or words to that effect because we've taken out the first and second row of leadership ship and then I I thought we gosh we're in the same situation again where the bomb started dropping unintended consequences were there's now not one central leadership to negotiate with but also politics at home has shifted the I mean the approval ratings of I got this graph of the approval ratings had started to plummet at home and politics is changing on the ground there as well is this another forever war
[万斯]: 答案是否定的。我在谈论这场冲突时总是说,唐纳德·特朗普吸取了教训。这么说几乎对他不公平,因为他不是在伊拉克战争后才学到教训的——他在伊拉克战争期间就说这是愚蠢的,我们应该撤出伊拉克。我认为,虽然我们在这次冲突中当然有一些目标,但我从未怀疑过。显然,我是内部人士,看到了总统的 deliberation 和想法,但我从未担心这会变成一场看不到尽头的多年远征,因为我知道我们的领导层正试图非常狭隘地定义目标,完成目标,然后看看情况如何。
Original English
[Vance]: well the answer is no um and you This is always when I I talked about this this conflict. I always said Donald Trump learned the lessons. It's actually that's almost unfair to him. He didn't learn the lessons of the Iraq war because back during the Iraq war, he was saying this was stupid. We should get out of Iraq. He was saying that back then. And I think that while there were certainly some objectives that we had in this conflict, I just never had any doubt. Now, obviously I'm an insider. I saw the president's deliberations and thought on this, but I I never had any worry that this would become a multi-year expedition with no end in sight because I knew that we had leadership that was trying to define the objective very narrowly, accomplish the objective, and then see where we are.
[万斯]: 关于街头起义,当然有人认为伊朗街头可能会因此起义,你会看到一个更亲美、更亲西方的新政府。但实际发生的是,我们知道我们能做的是削弱他们的军事力量。那才是主要目标。是的,总统谈到了伊朗人起义,但主要目标始终是削弱他们的常规力量,这样我们就能在与伊朗的博弈中处于更有利的位置,无论谁在发号施令,他们都不再能用枪指着我们的头。我们知道我们能实现这个目标。然后总是有一个问题:实现了这个目标之后,我们该何去何从?我对现在这个时刻感觉良好的一点是,总统基本上为我们买了一个选择权。他说:“我们可以削弱他们的军事力量,摧毁他们的常规军事力量,我们可以改变他们的领导层,然后我们可以向伊朗领导层展示一条前进的道路。我们接下来该怎么做?”你几个月前说的一些话现在已不再正确。两个月前,我会说:“我完全不知道我们在和谁谈判。”现在,我非常确信我们了解我们在和谁谈判,他们在乎什么。是的,他们的体系存在分裂。伊朗体系,简化来说,有三个极点。有政治极,即对领导层最 responsive 的人,比如外交部长、总统、议长。有神职极,即通过最高领袖掌握最终权威的教士和宗教领袖。然后是军事极,特别是伊斯兰革命卫队。这三个极点以奇怪的方式相互作用。两个月前,我们还在想,“等等,谁占上风?这个群体想要什么?那个群体呢?”但现在,我们录制这次采访是6月15日,对吧?我现在相当确信我们知道了我们在和谁打交道,分裂实际上已经弥合,体系 coalesced 了。有趣的是,他们现在告诉我们的是,不是街头起义,而是他们知道,他们显然不赞同我们所做的一切,有很多不信任和敌意,但基本上,47年来我们对美国做了一件事,我们不应该再那样做了。我们想要改变。如果你们美国人愿意真正与我们谈判对话,我们愿意做出长期承诺,永远不发展核武器,但我们想要一个与现在完全不同的与西方的经济安排。所以,我们现在正处于弄清楚具体细节的阶段。我对目前的状况感觉很好。我感觉我们实际上可以和那个国家建立更好的关系。我感觉他们永远不会拥有核武器了。那将是他们指向西方的一把真枪。但我也认为,在他们的体系内,有一种共识,即他们的关系将与过去不同。
Original English
[Vance]: And so, you know, if you go back, you talk about this this street uprising, certainly there was some thought that it would be possible that the Iranian street would rise up in the face of this thing and that you would see, you know, a new government that was much more pro-American, much more pro-western. What what happened though is and what we knew we could do is degrade their military. That was the that was actually the primary objective. Yes, the president talked about the Iranians rising up, but the primary objective was always to degrade their conventional power so that we could be in a better position visa v Iran so that whoever was calling the shots, they didn't have a loaded gun to our head anymore. Okay? And that's what we knew we could accomplish. And then there was always the question about, okay, now that we've accomplished that, where do we go from here? And you know, one one of the things that I I feel just just quite good about this moment that we're in is the president basically bought us an option. He said, "We can weaken their military, destroy their conventional military, we can change their leadership, and then we can actually present a pathway to the Iranian leadership. Where do we go from here?" Like, you said something very interesting that was true months ago that's not true now. Two months ago, I would have said, "I have no idea who we're who we're negotiating with." Absolutely. Now, I feel very confident that we have an understanding of who we're negotiating with, what it is that they care about. Yes, there are fractures in their system. Well, there there so so so so the Iranian system, this is oversimplifying it a lot, but it has kind of three poles. There's the political poll, the people who are most responsive to the leadership. That's the foreign minister, the president, the speaker of the parliament. Okay? There's a clerical poll, meaning the clerics who actually hold ultimate authority in the Iranian system via the supreme leader, the clerics, the the the religious leaders. And then you have the military, particularly the IRGC. Okay, all three of these polls interact with each other in in weird ways. And one of the things we definitely two months ago, we were like, "Wait a second, who has the upper hand? What does this group want versus this group versus that group?" But what what I feel pretty confident about now, I mean, this this we're taping this interview, I guess, June 15th, right? What I feel quite confident about right now is that we know who we're dealing with and the fractures really aren't the the you know the system is kind of coalesed and what they're telling us which is interesting now is it the street rising up no but what they're telling us is you know what you know obviously they're not like endorsing anything that we did there's a lot of mistrust a lot of animosity but you know fundamentally we've done one thing visav the United States for 47 years and we shouldn't do that thing anymore. We want to change. And if you, the Americans, are willing to actually negotiate with us to have a conversation. Yeah, we're willing to make the long-term commitment never to develop nuclear weapons, but we want a totally different economic arrangement than what we have with the West right now. So, that's where we're at right now is actually figuring out the details of what that would look like. But where where we stand right now, I actually feel pretty good about it. I feel good that we actually could have a better relationship with that country. I feel good that they'll never have a nuclear weapon. So that'd be like a real loaded gun they would have to the West. But I also think that there is a general consensus that their in in their system that their relationship would be different than than um than the past.
[万斯]: 另一件非常重要但被低估的事情是,如果我要写一本关于唐纳德·特朗普外交政策的书——顺便说一句,他讨厌别人写那种利用信任信息写成的内幕书——但我要说的是,他做事的方式,尤其是外交政策,是如此非常规,以至于以前无法想象的事情现在都摆在了桌面上。所以,当唐纳德·特朗普对伊朗人说,如果你们在核问题上给我们想要的,我们希望你们成为一个成功的国家,我们会取消制裁,让你们繁荣。这在10年前任何民主党或共和党政府下都是不可想象的。但现在可以想象了,因为唐纳德·特朗普就是觉得,“不,过去的方式是愚蠢的。我们要做点新东西。”这就是他摆在桌面上的。我们看看他们是否会接受,但现在我感觉很好。
Original English
[Vance]: The other thing just this is very important the underappreciated element like this is like if I was ever going to write a book about Donald Trump's foreign policy and by the way he hates people who write books not like books like that but insider books where you take trusted information and put it into a book doesn't like that but what I would what I would say is he's so non-conventional in the way that he does everything but certainly in the way that he does foreign policy that things that were previously unimaginable are actually on the table. So when Donald Trump says to the Iranians, we want you to be a successful country if you give us what we need on nuclear. We'll take the sanctions off your country and allow you to prosper. That would have been unthinkable 10 years ago in any Democrat or Republican administration. But it's thinkable because Donald Trump is just like, "No, the the way things worked in the past are dumb. We're going to do something new." And that's that's what he's putting on the table. We'll see if they meet us, but right now I feel pretty good about it.
[主持人]: 我以前从未听过的另一个词是霍尔木兹海峡。我听说过很多关于该死的霍尔木兹海峡的事。你们有没有预料到伊朗人会切断霍尔木兹海峡?你们在行动开始前就知道这一点。
Original English
[Host]: The other term I'd never heard before is straight of Hormuz. I've heard so much about the bloody straight of Hormuz. Um, did you have any idea that the Iranians would cut off the straight of Hormuz? You you did know that going into it.
[万斯]: 是的,这是一个主要考虑因素。你看到媒体报道说特朗普团队措手不及。但霍尔木兹海峡可能发生的情况,是我们讨论是否以及如何采取行动时的主要议题。所以,这当然是一个变量。你永远无法100%预测人们会做什么,但我们进入时的基本判断是,他们会试图切断海峡,抬高能源价格。他们认为——我认为这是真的——他们可以为我们切断海峡,但为自己保持海峡开放。当我们实施封锁时,事实证明并非如此。但基本上,我们预料到了某种情况会发生。但我们也认为,如果他们这样做,从根本上说是短期的。布伦特原油是主要原油指数,最高到过每桶126美元。现在大约是82美元一桶。它暴跌了,因为人们普遍认识到,这是一个短期冲击,不会永久改变世界能源经济。他们武器库中的这个武器相当强大,可以瘫痪世界经济,让国内民众在加油站感到不满。
Original English
[Vance]: it was a major you see these media reports like the the Trump team was caught off guard. What would happen in the straight of Horus was a main fixture of the conversation that we were having about whether to do this, how to do this. So, it was certainly a variable. Now, now you can never predict with a 100% certainty what people are going to do, but the basic bias that we had going into it is that they would try to cut off the straight. They would try to jack up energy prices. They thought, and I think this is true, they thought that they could cut off the straits for us, but actually keep the straits open for themselves. That ended up not being true when we imposed the blockade. But fundamentally, we we knew some version of what would happen. But we also went into it saying if they do this fundamentally it's a short-term thing. So like Brent crude is sort of the main crude oil index, right? I think the highest it got was $126 per barrel. Right now sitting here it's around $82 a barrel. It's fallen off a cliff because there's a broad recognition that yeah, it was a short-term shock, but not a short-term shock that's going to permanently alter the world energy economy. It's quite a powerful weapon they have in their arsenal just to take shutter the world's economy and piss off your people at home at the gas pump.
[主持人]: 嗯,事实证明地理在战争中真的很重要。是的,他们靠近霍尔木兹海峡。但如果你回到两周前,一个有趣且被低估的事情是,看看我们通过霍尔木兹海峡运出的石油量。美国、海湾国家联盟、阿拉伯国家,4月1日时几乎是零。到5月30日、6月初,每天是数百万桶。虽然不足以消除冲击,但我们看到了石油运输量的显著增长。我认为这也是我们与伊朗进行良好谈判的原因之一——他们认识到,是的,他们有这个杠杆点,但可能不是永远的。这是一张你可以打的牌,但你不能周复一周地打。它的力量会减弱。所以,我同意你的观点,他们有地理优势。但我认为那个地理杠杆点正在随时间减弱,这也是我们走到今天这一步的原因。我认为我们有一个非常好的协议,敲敲木头,我们得看到它完成。因为如果你是伊朗人,你会想,“我只需要等两年,因为总统两年后就会离任。”但如果唐纳德·特朗普还有两年半的任期,我认为伊朗人认识到他们没有两年半的时间来权衡。一方面,随着我们从海峡运出越来越多的石油,他们的杠杆点下降了。但更重要的是,看看波斯文化和伊朗历史,这是世界上最自豪、最古老的文明之一。他们不想成为一个利比亚式的残余国家。他们想要一个更光明的未来。我认为这是真的。当然,关于如何实现存在疑问,双方也有很多敌意,但我确实认为该政权看待世界的方式发生了根本性的改变。
Original English
[Host]: well uh geography really matters in warfare it turns out and yes they have great proximity to the straight of Hormuz but but again if you just go back two weeks ago one of the things that's interesting really under reportported um but I think you know your listeners will obviously be interested in is if you look at the amount of oil that we were getting out of the straight of Hormuz we I mean the United States the Gulf Coast coalition broadly speaking the Arabs in the Gulf Right? You look at it what it was, call it April 1st, it was like close to zero. You go to May 30th, early June, it was many, many million barrels of of oil a day. Now, not enough to eliminate the shock to be clear, but we were seeing significant increases in oil traffic. And again, I think that's one of the reasons why we're having a good negotiation with the Iranians is they recognized, yes, they have this leverage point, but maybe not forever. And it's one of those cards you can play, but you can't necessarily play it week after week after week. It degrades in power. So, I take your point. Yeah, they have this geographical thing going on. But I think that geographical leverage point was weakening over time and it's it's why we are where we are. I think with a very good deal, knock on wood, we have to see it completion because if you're them, you go, "Well, all I've got to do is wait two years because the president is going to be, you know, removed from from office in two years time. is going to be at the end of his term. So, if they could just wait it out for 2 years, they can hope that a new political leader that comes in um might be more charitable with them." Yeah. But if if if Donald Trump has two and a half years left in office, I think the Iranians recognize they did not have two and a half years to weigh things out. One is as we got more and more oil out of the straight, their leverage point decreased. But in some ways, more importantly, like look, you look at Persian culture, you look at the history of Iran, this is one of the proudest and oldest civilizations anywhere in the world. They don't want to be like a Libya style rump state. They want to have a much brighter future. Like I think that that's actually true. Now there's a question about how to get there and obviously there's a lot of animosity between the two sides, but I do think something has fundamentally changed in the way that regime sees the world.
[主持人]: 你们摆在桌面上的协议。现在,请原谅我的怀疑,但我在开始录制前就说过,我看所有的东西。如果你做采访,我看;如果总统做采访,我也看。我不知道为什么,但我对美国政治非常感兴趣,因为它影响整个世界。在我看的这些采访中,有很多虚假的协议。你飞到巴基斯坦,然后又飞回来,协议没达成。我看到一篇报道说,总统大概说了30次协议达成了或摆在桌面上。通常在周日,然后又不是了。然后我们又回到谈判中。所以,我不再相信协议能达成了。
Original English
[Host]: The um the deal that you have on the table. Now, okay, excuse me if I'm skeptical, but I said to you before we start started recording, I watch everything. Yes. So, I've watched every if if you do an interview, Hexath does one. If the president does one, I see it. I see the whole thing. I don't know why, but that I I'm very very interested in US politics because it does impact the whole world. And as I've watched these interviews, there's been lots of false deals. You flew out there to Pakistan and you flew right back. The deal wasn't done. Um I think I saw a report the other day that said uh the president has said roughly 30 times that there's a deal done or that there's a deal on the table. Usually on a Sunday, then it's not. Then we go back into this negotiation thing. So I'm like I don't have any trust anymore for for a deal getting done.
[万斯]: 嗯,这次是真的。
Original English
[Vance]: Well, this one's real.
[主持人]: 好的。那意味着什么?是不是有一份包含条款的合同已经发出,他们暂时性地,比如一份条款清单,说我们同意了?
Original English
[Host]: Okay, good. Okay, so people can always change their minds, but this one is real for sure. So what what does that mean? Does it mean that there's a contract that has been sent with terms on it and they've provisionally like a term sheet said we agree?
[万斯]: 是的。这正是发生的事情。他们同意了条款清单。
Original English
[Vance]: Yes. That's exactly what's happened. Okay. So they've agreed to a term sheet.
[主持人]: 然后,就像在商业和投资中一样,它会变成更正式的合同,然后签署。
Original English
[Host]: And then as is the case in business and investing, that becomes more of a formalized contract. Correct. And then that's signed.
[万斯]: 对。
Original English
[Vance]: That's right.
[主持人]: 那么条款清单里有什么?
Original English
[Host]: So what is in the term sheet?
[万斯]: 有几件事。第一,霍尔木兹海峡立即开放,封锁立即解除。我说“立即”时有点保留,因为海湾地区不同船运公司的风险承受能力不同。正如我之前所说,有些人现在已经在通过霍尔木兹海峡运送大量石油,尽管伊朗人威胁要射击他们。但这意味着,随着时间的推移,我们将清除霍尔木兹海峡的水雷。伊朗人将停止射击。我们将解除海军封锁。我认为你会看到海峡交通很快全面恢复。这是第一点。最重要的是,那里有水雷。但这是一个非常大的水道,现在有很多交通在运行。我们知道水雷在哪里,它们并非无处不在。船只现在能够移动的最大障碍实际上不是水雷本身,而是伊朗人在另一边发射无人机和导弹。自从我们签署协议以来,我们看到这种情况急剧减少。所以,你已经看到了谈判的成果。第二,协议规定伊朗人放弃他们的高浓缩材料库存,承诺对其核计划进行长期检查,以换取与美国完全不同的经济关系。美国对伊朗的制裁清单有60页之长,设计上对伊朗经济具有极大的破坏性。协议的内容是,如果伊朗人采取重大步骤表现得像一个正常国家,他们将获得重新融入世界经济的重大机会。我认为这在某种程度上是最深刻的。美国从中得到的是他们永远不会成为核大国的长期保证。人们很难理解这有多短暂。伊朗的核计划已被完全摧毁,现在不存在了。但随着时间的推移,他们可以尝试重建。所以我们想说的是,我们不希望你重建这个计划。如果你做出真实、可验证的承诺不这样做,那么你就能获得很多经济利益。
Original English
[Vance]: Well, a few things. So, the the first is that the Straits of Hormuz opens effectively immediately and the blockade is lifted effectively immediately. Now, when I say effectively, that's doing a little bit of work there because, you know, part of what's going on is there's a different risk tolerance for different shippers in the Gulf. So, some again, like I said earlier, some of these guys are already shipping a lot of oil through the Straits of Hormuz right now, even though the Iranians are threatening to shoot at them. But what what this means is that over time we're going to demine the straight of Hormuz. The Iranians are going to stop shooting. We're going to lift our naval blockade and you're going to see I think a pretty quick resumption of full flow of traffic in the straight of Hormuz. That that's number one. And there's most important thing there's mines there mines in there. But it it's, you know, it's a very big waterway. There's a lot of traffic moving right now. So we know where the mines are. They're not everywhere. And you know, again, the ships are able to move. The biggest obstacle and impediment to ships moving right now is actually not the mines themselves. It's the Iranians who are shooting drones and missiles on the other side. Now, I say that we have seen a precipitous decline since we signed this agreement. We've seen a precipitous decline and even that happening. So, you're already again seeing the fruits of this negotiation that we have. Number two is it contemplates the Iranians giving up their highlyenriched stockpile of material, committing to a long-term inspections regime on their nuclear program, and in exchange having a totally different economic relationship with the United States of America. So like there's a stack of of sanctions that the US has on Iran that is like 60 pages long. That is incredibly destructive to the Iranian economy by design, right? the the the deal is you're not going to behave like a normal country. We're not going to engage in normal trade and transactions with you. What this agreement provides is that if the Iranians take significant steps to behave like a normal country, they're going to get significant reintegration into the world economy. And I think that's that that that is in some ways the most profound thing. And what the United States gets out of that is is the long-term guarantee that they never become a nuclear power. I think people always sort of it's hard to to appreciate how temporal this is. The Iranian nuclear program has been completely destroyed. Like it doesn't exist right now, but over time you can try to rebuild it. And so what we're trying to say is we don't want you to rebuild this program. If you make real commitments and verifiable commitments that you're not going to, then you're getting a lot of economic benefits on the side.
[主持人]: 你们投下了那些大型钻地弹。我对整个军事行动系列非常着迷。据我所知,核材料现在被埋在地下很深的地方。根据这个协议,你们会去把它取出来吗?他们会把它交给你们吗?会发生什么?
Original English
[Host]: You dropped those big uh bunker buster bombs. Correct. um was very fascinated by all the all that whole series of of military operations and um it the nuclear material is now buried pretty deep underground from what I understand with this deal. Do you get to go and get it? Do they hand it over to you? What happens?
[万斯]: 协议的结构是,伊朗人、美国人和国际原子能机构将共同合作去取出并销毁这些材料。这是基本想法,我们将共同努力。协议设想了一个关系的新时代。所以,想法是我们都努力合作,销毁这些材料。如果成功,伊朗人将与西方建立完全不同的经济关系。如果不成功,美国也不会更糟。
Original English
[Vance]: So the way the deal is is structured is that the Iranians, the Americans and the International Atomic Energy Agency will actually work together to go get the material and destroy it. That's that's the basic idea is that we're all going to work together. Again, the the agreement contemplates a new era in relation. So the idea is that we're all going to try to work together, destroy this material. And again, if that happens, the Iranians are going to have a totally different economic relationship with the West. And if it doesn't happen, then the United States is no worse off.
[主持人]: 你们能检查他们不会只是跑到另一座山上去建造新的核武器吗?
Original English
[Host]: And you do you get to check that they're not just going to a different mountain and building new nuclear weapons?
[万斯]: 这就是核查要素的作用。但我们有很好的情报,你可能猜到为什么。我们对伊朗国内的情况有很好的了解。我们也许可以永久地把那些材料埋在地下,但我们不想那样做。我们实际上想解决问题,我们希望伊朗人与我们建立不同的关系,这就是我们正在努力做的。
Original English
[Vance]: That's where the verification element comes in. But we have a very good sense, you know, you can probably guess why. We have a very good sense of what's going on in the country of Iran. We could probably keep that material just permanently buried, but we don't want to do that. We actually want to solve the problem and we want the Iranians to have a different relationship with us and that's what we're trying to do.
[主持人]: 关于你们能够去检查他们不会建造新核武器的具体细节,听起来好像还没有定义清楚,比如这些检查如何进行。
Original English
[Host]: And the specifics of you being able to go and check that they're not just building new nuclear weapons. It sounds to me like the specifics haven't been defined yet, like how those checks take place.
[万斯]: 是的,就像你说的,这是一份条款清单,我们在原则上和谈判方法上达成了广泛一致,但还有很多细节需要从这儿开始敲定。所以,霍尔木兹海峡开放,核检查,以及一个移除核废料的联盟。他们因此获得参与经济的机会,制裁将被解除。
Original English
[Vance]: Well, it's Yeah, it's like you said, it's it's a term sheet where we've got broad agreement on principles and how we're going to approach the negotiation, but there are a lot of details that we got to figure out from here. So I've got straight of Hamuz opens um nuclear inspections but also a coalition to remove the nuclear waste. Correct. Um from that they get the opportunity to participate in the in the economy and sanctions will be lifted.
[主持人]: 条款清单里还有没有其他没提到的内容?
Original English
[Host]: Is there anything that's in that term sheet that's not included there?
[万斯]: 还有一些小细节。显然还有永久停止敌对行动。我们正试图在这里带来一个地区和平的时代。但这基本上是主要内容。还有以色列。昨天有一些有趣的言辞交锋。我什么都看,所以我看到了福克斯记者昨天打电话给特朗普,因为内塔尼亚胡开始投掷炸弹,特朗普说了些精选的话,有点像你祖母会说的话。显然,他说特朗普打电话给内塔尼亚胡,告诉他“你没有判断力。BB为什么要发动攻击?我非常生气。”在我们本该签署协议前半小时,特朗普称内塔尼亚胡是个“非常难搞的人”。“他应该非常感激我们这么做,因为如果伊朗有核武器,以色列连两个小时都撑不下去。”他对内塔尼亚胡和他所做的事骂了很多脏话。我听到你实际上说过,你认为以色列和美国在相关问题上有着不同的目标。我不想曲解你的话。
Original English
[Vance]: I mean there are other like little details and things like that. You know obviously the permanent sessation of hostilities. We're trying to bring in a a regional era of peace here. But that's pretty much the main thing. and Israel. Um, there was some uh some interesting words exchanged yesterday. Again, I watch everything. So, I saw that the the Fox reporter had called Trump, I think yesterday, because Netanyahu had started firing some bombs and he had some select words, kind of like your grandmother's words. Yes, indeed. Apparently, he said uh Trump said he'd phoned Netanyahu and told him he had no judgment. Why did BB have to do a attack? I'm so pissed off. Half an hour before we were supposed to sign the deal, Trump called Netanyahu a very difficult guy. He should be very thankful for us for doing this because if Iran had a nuclear weapon, Israel wouldn't be around for 2 hours. Um, lots of cussing at Netanyahu and what he had done. You I've heard you actually say that you think Israel and the United States have two different objectives as it relates to I don't want to mischaracterize your words, but
[万斯]: 嗯,我想说的是,我们是不同的国家,有不同的利益。我认为美国有时人们会描述说,以色列是美国的好伙伴。这是真的。但有时人们会错误地描述说,以色列和美国的利益总是完全一致的。这不是真的。我们是不同的国家,有不同的需求和地理位置。
Original English
[Vance]: Well, what I'd say is that we're different countries with different interests. I think the United States sometimes people characterize, you know, Israel is is a good partner to the United States. That is true. But sometimes people mischaracterize it and say that Israel and the United States are fundamentally always aligned. It's just not true. We're different countries. We have different needs. We have different geographies.
[主持人]: 你信任他们吗?
Original English
[Host]: Do you trust them?
[万斯]: 我不信任任何人。在国际事务和外交方面,我认为他们非常有能力吗?绝对。当我们有共同利益时,我们合作得很好吗?绝对。但我不信任任何人。我认为我们必须持续专注于我们自己的利益。总统对BB说的话是,你知道,我们是世界超级大国,显然是以色列在全世界最重要的盟友。有时为了确保我们能实现目标,总统必须与以色列总理进行非常坦率的对话。有时他这样做。有时一切顺利,有时不顺利。这就像任何关系的本质一样。任何关系都会有需要更直接的时候,有时你们合作,有时会有更多冲突。
Original English
[Vance]: You know, I don't trust anybody. Um, when it comes to international affairs and diplomacy, do I think that they're they're very capable? Absolutely. Do I think that again, when we have shared interests, we work together very well? Absolutely. But but do I but I I don't trust anyone. And I think that we we just have to continually be laser focused on what our interests are. And you know what the president said about BB is, you know, sometimes, you know, we are the world's superpower and obviously we're Israel's most important ally anywhere in the world. And sometimes to ensure that we are able to accomplish our objectives, the president has to have a very frank conversation with the prime minister of Israel. Sometimes he does that. Sometimes everything works smoothly, sometimes it doesn't. It's just the nature like any relationship, right? Any relationship is going to have moments where you have to be more direct, sometimes you're working together, and sometimes there's a little bit more conflict.
[主持人]: 世界对美以关系的看法和想法从未像现在这样被广泛讨论。
Original English
[Host]: The world's opinion and thoughts about the USIsrael relationship, has never been more widely discussed.
[万斯]: 我同意。我几乎不知道为什么,但在过去6到12个月里,人们确实在质疑这段关系是什么,谁是这段关系中的主导伙伴?用非常简单的话来说,因为我对此了解不多,这段关系是什么,为什么,从何而来?
Original English
[Vance]: I agree. And I I almost I almost don't know why, but it's it seems to be the case that over the last I'd say six to 12 months, people are really now questioning what is this relationship and who is who is the dominant part partner in the relationship? What for someone and just in super simple terms because I don't really know a lot about this particular point. What is the relationship and why and where did it come from?
[万斯]: 嗯,我算不上美以关系专家。但让我说,他们在某些方面是中东唯一的民主国家。非常发达的经济,高技能人才,技术创新。一个900万人口的国家,却产生了世界上很多发明,经济上令人印象深刻。他们可能也比世界上任何国家都更擅长情报收集。因为他们是发达经济体,人民普遍希望和平和谐,只想工作和抚养孩子,所以有很多共同的利益和目标。特别是,当我们21世纪初最大的问题之一是伊斯兰恐怖主义兴起时,我们有很多可以合作的地方。但即使在21世纪初,以色列的利益和美国的利益也有很大重合。但即使在21世纪初,以色列比美国更担心伊朗,而我们更担心基地组织,这是伊斯兰恐怖主义的不同分支。所以,即使在我们非常一致的时候,我们也是有着不同目标的不同国家。在观察了美国总统的运作方式后,我相当确信他们是次要伙伴。我们是主要伙伴。我们是世界超级大国。就是这样运作的。但有时,就像和英国一样。我会说英国是我们最亲密、最古老的盟友。我这么说不仅仅因为你是英国人。
Original English
[Vance]: Well, you know, I'm I'm hardly an expert in US-Issraeli relations, right? But but let let me just say they're obviously in some ways the only democracy in the Middle East. Okay. Uh very advanced economy, very high-skilled people, technological ingenuity. I mean it's a country of 9 million people. They generate a lot of the world's inventions just from 9 million people. It's very impressive country economically. They're also probably better at intelligence collection than any country in the world. So there again and and again because they're an advanced economy because you know they're people generally speaking want to live in peace and harmony just want to go to work and raise their kids there are a lot of shared interests and a lot of shared objectives and I think that you know over time especially for example when one of our biggest problems going back to you know the early 2000s was the rise of Islamic terrorism um Islamic radical terrorism I should say there was a sort of broad recognition that there's a lot for us to work on but but again even even if you go back to then the early 2000s, very large alignment between Israeli interests and American interests. But even in like the early 2000s, the Israelis were much more worried about Iran than the United States was, right? We were much more worried about al-Qaeda, like a different branch of Islamic terrorism. So even when we've been very aligned, we're just different countries that have different objectives. And you know, I will say having seen the president of United States operate, I feel quite confident that, you know, they are the junior partner. We're the senior partner. We're the world's superpower. That's the way that it works. But, you know, again, sometimes it's it's like with the UK. I would say the UK is our closest ally, our oldest ally. I'm not just saying that because you're a Brit.
[主持人]: 你信任英国吗?
Original English
[Host]: Do you trust the UK?
[万斯]: 呃,再次,我不真正信任任何人。但我喜欢很多英国人吗?绝对。我对英国这个国家和文化有难以置信的好感吗?绝对。我真的很喜欢很多人,甚至包括工党政府里的人,尽管他们在政治上与我和特朗普政府其他成员不一致。但我们时不时会有分歧。我们合作得很好,有时利益不一致,我们必须以最好的方式追求自己的利益。
Original English
[Vance]: Uh, again, I don't really trust anybody, but do I like do I like a lot of Brits? Absolutely. Do I have a I mean, incredible fondness for the United Kingdom as a country and a culture. Absolutely. And I really like a lot of the people even in the Labor government, even though they're politically misaligned uh with with me and and the rest of the Trump administration. But you know like we have disagreements from time to time. So we work really well together and sometimes we have misaligned interests and we have to pursue our interests in the best way we can.
[主持人]: 请告诉我,内塔尼亚胡想要什么?因为我坐在这里和专家们交谈,他们说他们想接管整个中东,他们想统治中东。
Original English
[Host]: What does and please do tell me like what does Netanyahu want because I sit here with these experts and they say they want to overtake the whole of the Middle East. They want to run the Middle East.
[万斯]: 他想要什么?我不知道。我无法进入别人的脑袋。
Original English
[Vance]: What does he want? I don't know. I don't know. Um I Well, I mean I I I don't I can't get inside somebody's head.
[主持人]: 你问过他们想要什么吗?你怎么想?
Original English
[Host]: Have you asked them what they want? What do you think?
[万斯]: 嗯,在这次特定的行动中,利益一致的地方是,我们都希望伊朗的常规军事力量被大大削弱,被摧毁。以色列人共享这个目标。我不知道BB是否这么想,但我认为以色列社会内部有些人想把伊朗变成利比亚,一个拥有9000万人口的失败国家。可能吧。但我不知道BB是否想要那样。我实际上从未和他有过那样的对话。那将是一次有趣的对话。我现在可以告诉你,伊朗变成一个波斯版的利比亚对美国有利吗?绝对没有。这也是总统让我们走上这条道路的原因之一,即致力于我们的利益:消除核威胁,并改变与伊朗人的动态,这现在非常有可能。
Original English
[Vance]: Well, I I think that in this particular operation, again, where interests were aligned is we wanted Iranian conventional military power to be much weaker, to be decimated. You know, the the Israelis shared that objective. Do I think that there are maybe I don't know if BB thinks this, but do I think there are people within Israeli society who would like to turn Iran into Libya, basically a failed state with 90 million people? Probably. But I I don't know that BB wants that. I've actually never had that conversation with her. It would be an interesting conversation to have. I'll tell you right now, is Iran turning into a Persian Libya good for the United States of America? Absolutely not. And that's one of the reasons why the president has set us on this course of working on our interest, which is the elimination of the nuclear threat and a and a change dynamic with the Iranians, which is very much on the table.
从批评者到搭档:与特朗普的关系
[主持人]: 你竞选参议员,并且成功了。根据我的研究,这实际上是你和特朗普第一次成为朋友。在那之前,你们不是朋友。你之前对唐纳德·特朗普非常批评。你可能被问过一百万次了,但我直到今天才知道这件事。我读了你在《大西洋月刊》上写的那篇文章,你批评他利用挣扎的工人阶级。你的原话是:“特朗普提供的是痛苦的轻松逃避。对于每一个复杂的问题,他都承诺一个简单的解决方案。他可以通过惩罚离岸公司来简单地让工作回来。正如他告诉新罕布什尔州人群的那样,人们与阿片类药物危机太相似了。他可以通过修建墨西哥墙和阻止卡特尔来治愈成瘾流行病。他将通过无差别轰炸使美国免于羞辱和军事失败。但没有一个可信的军事领导人支持他的计划,这并不重要。他从不提供这些计划如何运作的细节,因为特朗普是文化海洛因。他让一些人感觉更好,但他无法解决所有问题,总有一天他们会意识到这一点。”非常严厉的言辞。很久以前了,2016年,10年前。是什么改变了?
Original English
[Host]: You run for Senate. and you're successful. And this is really from what I could see from my research where you and Trump first made friends, I should say. before then you weren't friends. You were quite critical of Donald Trump before then. And you've been probably asked this a million times, but what I actually didn't know this until literally today. That I read the piece you written in the Atlantic where you criticized him for taking advantage of the struggling working class. What Trump offers, this is your quote, is an easy escape from pain. To every complex problem, he promises a simple solution. He can bring jobs back simply by punishing offshore companies into submission. As he told the New Hampshire crowd, folks are too similar with the opioid Scrooge. He can cure the addiction epidemic by building a Mexican wall and keeping the cartels out. He will spare the United States from humiliation and military defeat with indiscriminate bombing. But it doesn't matter that no credible military leader has endorsed his plan. He never offers detail for those plans to work because Trump's Trump is cultural heroine. He makes some people feel better, but he cannot fix all that ils all that them and one day they'll realize it. Very tough words against Trump. Long time ago, but 2016 and 10 years ago, what changed?
[万斯]: 首先,我认为你必须能够承认自己什么时候是对的,什么时候是错的。我在2016年有很多是对的,但让我挑一件事。你能再读一遍我提到“没有一个可信的军事领导人支持这些计划”的那句话吗?
Original English
[Vance]: Well, let me let me pick up. First of all, I think you always have to be able to acknowledge when you're right and when you're wrong. And there was a lot I was right about in 2016, but but just pick up on something. Can you read the line for me again where I talk about no is it no credible military leader has endorsed these plans?
[主持人]: 是的,上面写着:“没有一个可信的军事领导人支持他的计划,这并不重要。”
Original English
[Host]: Yeah, it says um it doesn't matter that no credible military leader has endorsed his plan.
[万斯]: 好吧。我想说的是,我写了那句话。我当时相信它。现在读起来,我几乎为自己写了它感到尴尬,因为它显然是荒谬的。事实上,唐纳德·特朗普与2016年的军事专家和军事领导层不一致,这是一件好事,而不是坏事。想想那些军事领导人。我非常尊重部队、服役人员和穿上制服的人,但你可以提出一个非常可信的论点,即从90年代初到至少2016年,美国在30年里没有赢得过一场战争。唐纳德·特朗普不信任军事领导层是有原因的。他是对的。我认为总统当时所代表的,很大程度上是认识到美国机构已经变得僵化和破碎,而他是一把打破这些机构的武器。
Original English
[Vance]: Okay. So, what I would say is I wrote that. I believed it when I wrote it. And reading it now, I'm almost embarrassed that I wrote it because it was so obviously absurd. In fact, the the fact that Donald Trump was misaligned with the military experts and the military leadership of 2016 was a good thing, not a bad thing. Think about those military leaders. I mean, I have a lot of respect for the troops, the people who serve, the people who put on a uniform, but you can make a very credible argument that from the early '90s until, you know, at least 2016, America hadn't won a war in 30 years. Like, there's a reason why Donald Trump mist mistrusted the military leadership. And he was right. And so much of what I think the president re represented at the time was a recognition that American institutions had become sclerotic and broken and he was a weapon to break down those institutions.
[主持人]: 你对他2016年的评估与民主党对他的评估相似。你和室友之间有一条私人信息,你说他要么是个愤世嫉俗者,要么是美国的希特勒。你是如何从那个立场转变为同一个人的副总统的?这段旅程是怎样的?
Original English
[Host]: Your assessment of him is similar to the democratic assessment of him. But your assessment of him back in 2016 is similar to the democratic assessment of him. That there was a private message between you and a roommate where you you said he was either a cynical asshole or America's Hitler. How do you go from that position to vice president of the same person? What is that journey?
[万斯]: 一段疯狂的旅程,老兄。但你必须问自己,首先,我以为唐纳德·特朗普如果当选会是一个失败的总统。他不是。我以为美国的机构基本上在正常运转。它们没有。我以为那些告诉我们关于战争事情的军事领导人,和那些告诉我们关于疫情事情的科学家,基本上是明智的,大多数时候是对的。我错了。
Original English
[Vance]: A crazy journey, man. But but again, I mean, it's you have to ask yourself, first of all, I thought Donald Trump would be a failed president if he got elected. He was not. I thought that America's institutions were fundamentally functioning. They were not. I thought that the military leaders who told us this about a war were the scientific experts who told us this other thing about a pandemic were fundamentally maybe not always right but fundamentally wise people who were mostly right. I was wrong.
[主持人]: 你在幕后观察到了什么,是JD当时没看到的?在运作中,当你看到他做决定时。
Original English
[Host]: What have you observed behind the scenes that that JD didn't see? So in operation when you see him making decisions.
[万斯]: 我想先说明一下,我在2020年就投票给了他。在成为他的副总统提名人之前很久,我就深度参与了2024年的竞选。我的改变纯粹是基于我从外部看到的东西,而不是因为我有什么内幕消息。现在,有了内幕知识,我想说的是,那篇《大西洋月刊》文章真正搞错的一点是,唐纳德·特朗普作为一个人的真实面貌,远比媒体描绘的要丰富得多。他非常温暖。他对自己的孩子和孙子孙女是一个非常充满爱心的人。他极其慷慨。如果你在椭圆形办公室见到唐纳德·特朗普,他好像必须送你一件礼物。无论是水瓶、MAGA帽子、硬币还是别针。他就是这样的人,他真的很喜欢款待别人,喜欢让别人开心。我从外部完全不了解这一点。我看到的只是他和记者争吵的片段。那让你对一个人有非常非常片面的看法。所以,是的,我从内部看到了一个更加多维的人物。关于唐纳德·特朗普,我想说的是,我记得在2016年,事后看来这太愚蠢了。人们说他很笨,或者不太聪明。他超级聪明。他读很多书。他在本能层面理解人,比我认识的任何人都好。从纯粹的智商角度来看,他是一个非常聪明的人。有趣的是,如果你让唐纳德·特朗普和美国的其他45、46位总统一起做智商测试,我保证他会接近或处于顶端。而2016年整个美国媒体至少让我相信了他不是一个聪明人。
Original English
[Vance]: Yeah. So I I mean I I want to caveat this with with saying that you know I didn't know him well by the time you know I mean I voted for him in 2020. Um obviously you know very very involved in the 2024 campaign well before I was ever his vice presidential nominee. I I had that change based purely on what I saw from the outside. It's not like I had insider knowledge about Donald Trump and that's what caused me to change. Now, what I will say is that having the insider knowledge, one thing that that really mistakes or or gets wrong, that piece in the Atlantic, that's when that that that's where that piece was published, is that Donald Trump is much different as a human being than the media makes him out to be. He's very warm. He's a very like loving person to his kids, to his grandkids. He's incredibly generous. Like if you see Donald Trump, you know, in the Oval Office, it's like he has to give you a gift. Like he has to whether it's, you know, a water bottle or a MAGA hat or a coin or a pin. Like he he just he's one of these people who he really likes hospitality. He really likes making other people happy. I had no understanding of that from him from the outside. What I would see is, you know, clips of him arguing with a journalist and that was it. And that gives you a very very one-dimensional view of a person. And so yeah, I definitely from the inside have seen a much much more multi-dimensional figure. The thing I say about about Donald Trump is I remember this in 2016 and in hindsight it's just so so dumb. People would say that he was dumb or that he wasn't very smart. He's super smart. Like he reads a lot. He understands people at an instinctual level better than anybody that I've ever known. But he is a very very like from a pure IQ perspective, he's a very smart person. And it's interesting that so many people like, you know, if you give Donald Trump an IQ test with the other 45 46 presidents that the United States has had, I guarantee he he'd be either near the top or at the top. And the entire American media in 2016 had convinced me at least that he was not a smart person.
[主持人]: 到2022年,他支持了你,你赢得了参议员选举。然后在那之后的某个时候,你被介绍给他,他邀请你成为美国副总统。如果我能像苍蝇一样趴在墙上,那是一个电话还是一个会议?
Original English
[Host]: And by 2022, he's endorsed you and you, uh, you win your race in the US Senate. And then sometime after then, um, at some point, you're going to get introduced to him and he's going to ask you to be the vice president of the United States. Bring me, if I was a fly on the wall, was that a phone call or was it a meeting?
[万斯]: 在那之前有过会议。那时我已经参与了他的连任竞选。我是最早支持他的参议员之一,可能是在2023年。当时我认为他会赢,但传统观点认为他甚至赢不了共和党提名,他的政治生涯结束了。所以我早早支持了他。在那段时间里,我和他变得相当亲近。我们讨论了很多问题。他给我在参议院处理的各种法案提供建议。我们变得很亲近。因为俄亥俄州东巴勒斯坦的火车脱轨事件,我们合作得非常紧密。所以我们发展出了关系。我们先是友好,然后更亲近,然后他成了我在政治上真正敬仰的人。然后2024年竞选升温,有各种谣言说我可能成为他的竞选搭档。我们从未真正讨论过这件事,直到他选定我前一两天。那是一次面对面的谈话。实际上是他被枪击的那天早上。他去宾夕法尼亚州的那次集会,被枪击了。谢天谢地他没事。然后两天后,他邀请我成为提名人。
Original English
[Vance]: Well, there have been meetings before that. Just generally at that point, I was involved in his re-election campaign. I was one of the first, maybe the very first senators to endorse him in 2023, I believe, is actually when I endorsed him. very early on in 2023 when again I thought he would win but the conventional wisdom was that he would not win even the Republican nomination that his political career was over. So I endorsed him very early. He and I became quite close over over that period. We talked a lot about issues. He gave me some advice on various bills that I was working on in the Senate. We just became pretty close. He and I worked very closely together over there was this train derailment in East Palestine, Ohio and he and I became quite quite close over that. So we just sort of developed a relationship. we were friendly and then we were closer and then he was sort of, you know, a person that I really looked to in politics and then the 2024 campaign really started heating up and there were all these rumors about possibly me being his running mate. And you know, he and I didn't ever have that conversation like about being his running mate until like a day or two before he picked me. And that was an inerson conversation. It was actually the morning he was shot in person. He goes to that rally in Pennsylvania. He gets shot. Um, obviously he's okay, thank God. And then two days later, he asked me to be the nominee.
[主持人]: 他问你的时候你在哪里?
Original English
[Host]: So, where where were you when he asked you?
[万斯]: 我刚降落在密尔沃基参加共和党全国代表大会。有一个截止日期,因为大会的运作方式是,你必须在周一3、4点左右由代表正式提名。当时是11点。我刚到密尔沃基,完全不知道发生了什么。我觉得我有机会,但不确定。他打电话给我,我没接。我电话太多了,电话直接进了语音信箱,根本没响。然后我收到一个朋友——现在是白宫办公厅主任——的短信说:“你刚错过了一个非常重要的电话。”我给他回电话说:“怎么了,总统先生?”他说:“J,你刚错过了一个非常重要的电话。我得选别人了。”但然后他问了我,剩下的就是历史了。
Original English
[Vance]: Uh, I had just landed in Milwaukee for the RNC convention. It was there's like a deadline to it because the way the convention works is you have to be formally nominated by the delegates on Monday at like 3 or 4:00. And it was 11:00. I had just arrived in Milwaukee. I had no idea what was going on. And I thought I had a good chance, but I wasn't sure. and he called me. I didn't answer the phone. Uh I think that it was like it was just it was one of those things where I was getting so many phone calls and the call went straight to voicemail. Like it never rang. And so I get a text message from a friend of mine who's now the White House chief of staff said, "You just missed a very important phone call." I called him back. I said, "What's up, Mr. President?" He said, "J, you just missed a very important phone call. I'm going to have to pick somebody else." Uh but then he asked me and the rest is history. Man,
副总统生活的代价
[主持人]: 你当时知道你在签什么吗?
Original English
[Host]: Did you know at that time what you were signing up for?
[万斯]: 不,我完全不知道。
Original English
[Vance]: No, I had no idea. No idea.
[主持人]: 那你为什么想做?人们说我代表我的国家,但为什么?代价很大,对你的家庭。我今天到这里时,感觉有50个持枪的人。他们搜查了整个建筑。副总统和他的家人怎么能这样生活?你知道你在签什么吗?
Original English
[Host]: So why did you want to do it? And you know people say I represent my country, but why why? It's it's a lot. It's a big cost to your family. When when I when I arrived here today, I saw I don't know. It felt like 50 men with guns probably. Yeah. They'd scoped out the whole building. I thought how does the vice president live with his family when you have this going everywhere with you? Like did you know what you were signing up for?
[万斯]: 不,我不知道。你签约是因为你想有所作为,而且我已经是参议员了,已经在政治圈了,不如尝试在最高级别服务。你认为你能帮忙。副总统的一部分工作是在竞选活动中帮忙。竞选中最紧张的部分就是和总统候选人一起“侧鞍骑行”。这些都是人们最初从政的原因。但听着,我不是个抱怨者,我永远不会抱怨这个。但如果我是个抱怨者,我唯一会说的是,这对孩子们来说非常艰难,尤其是我们的大儿子。我完全不知道我把自己卷入了什么。我和总统通了那个简短的电话。我的孩子在密尔沃基的酒店里跟我聊宝可梦卡,我们还在 unpack 行李,然后我就成了副总统提名人。我必须在3、4个小时后穿上西装准备被提名,各种思绪在我脑中盘旋。有人敲门,是特勤局。他们说,“好了,你现在受我们保护了。我们必须把你全家搬到总统的酒店,这样你们就在同一个保护泡泡里。”突然间,我意识到我的生活完全改变了,再也回不去了。我对此还好,你会习惯的。我是个成年人了。但这对我的大儿子——他现在9岁了——非常艰难。
Original English
[Vance]: No. No, I didn't. I mean I you know you sign up because you want to make a difference and because you know I was already a senator so I'm already in the politics business. I might as well try to serve at the highest level possible. You know you think you could help. Right. Part of being the VP is you help on the campaign trail. You know, six months really the part of the campaign that is the most intense is the part where you're sort of riding a side saddle with uh with the presidential nominee. So just like all these things for why people get into politics in the first place. But no, I mean look, I'm not a whiner and I would never complain about this, but if I was a whiner, the one thing I would say is it was very hard on the kids, in particular our oldest son. And I just had no idea what I was getting myself into. I mean, okay, so the president, he and I have this brief phone conversation. You know, my kid is talking to me about Pokemon cards at the hotel in Milwaukee. We're still like unpacking our suitcase, and it's like, okay, I'm now the VP nominee. I have to get on my suit. I have to get prepared to be nominated like 3 or 4 hours later, and all these thoughts are swirling through my head. Knock at the door, and it's the Secret Service. And it's like, "All right, you're under our protection now. We have to move your entire family to the president's hotel so that you're in the same protective bubble." And all of a sudden, I just realized my life is totally different now. It'll never be the same. I I was okay with that, you know, like you sort of you just get used to it. I'm a grown man. But it was very hard on, you know, my my oldest boy who's 9 years old now.
[主持人]: 他发表过评论,是吗?
Original English
[Host]: He made a comment, didn't he?
[万斯]: 哦,是的。他讨厌这一切。他讨厌被关注,讨厌别人对他另眼相待。他去学校,人们把他当特殊人物看待,而他只想做个普通孩子。我感到内疚,非常内疚。我有一种感觉,“天哪,我把这个孩子征召进了这种生活。”我完全不知道我让他签了什么。他没有选择,是我替他签的。那非常艰难。
Original English
[Vance]: Oh, yeah. He hated it. He he hated the attention. He hated how people treated him differently. It was like one of these things where, you know, he would go to a school and people would treat him like he was special and he just wanted to be a normal kid. And I felt guilty. I felt really guilty about that. And I felt this sort of sense like, oh my god, I've conscripted this kid into this life. I had no idea what he was he was what I was signing him up for. He didn't sign up for it. I signed him up for it. And that was pretty tough.
[主持人]: 你在新书《共融》第198页写道:“有时我觉得我毁了他的人生,甚至没有问过他。”指的是你7岁的儿子。“有时我觉得我毁了他的人生,甚至没有问过他。”
Original English
[Host]: Sometimes I feel like I ruined his life without even asking him. You wrote that in your new book, page 198. In reference to your seven-year-old son. Sometimes I feel like I've ruined his life without even asking him.
[万斯]: 是的,我当时就是那种感觉。当然,我现在有了一些 perspective。我们做得很好的一点是,为他找到了能让他远离关注和压力的社区。他上了一个非常好的基督教学校,他很喜欢。顺便说一句,另一面是,你可能知道,你会意识到天性比教养重要得多。我们的大儿子是个内向的人。我们6岁的儿子更像是我,有点外向,他喜欢这一切。所以你必须平衡这对孩子们的影响。但我不再觉得我毁了我9岁儿子的人生了,但在当时,我对自己让他签下的东西感到极度内疚。在你的新书《共融》里,你引用他说的话:“爸爸,我只想让每个人都像以前那样对待我们。”
Original English
[Vance]: Yeah. Yeah. And that's that's how I that's how I felt. I mean I I think that I've I've gained certainly some perspective about it. You know, one of the things we've been quite good at is just finding communities where he's more isolated from all the attention and all the pressures of it. You know, we have a very very good school community for him, a Christian school that he goes to and he loves. There's also, by the way, a flip side is, you know, kids, as you may know, you realize how much nature matters more than nurture. You know, our oldest boy is an introvert. Um, our six-year-old is a little bit more like me. He's a bit of an extrovert. He loves it. And so, you you kind of have to balance the way that it affects the kids. But, you know, I don't feel like I've ruined my nine-year-old's life anymore, but I certainly at that time I felt extremely guilty about what I had signed him up for. And in your new book, Communion, you say, "Dad, he you quote him and say that he said, "Dad, I just want every everyone to go back to treating us like they used to."
[主持人]: 这些话很难听。很难吗?
Original English
[Host]: These are these things hard to hear. Like, is it hard?
[万斯]: 当然,老兄。当然。你有孩子吗?
Original English
[Vance]: Of course, man. Of course. I mean, you you know, do you have kids?
[主持人]: 还没有。正在努力。
Original English
[Host]: Not yet. It's been trying.
[万斯]: 祝你好运。我会为你的努力祈祷。但孩子对你的情感影响是极其深刻和颠覆性的。当你的儿子告诉你他想要你再也无法提供的东西时,那是非常非常艰难的事情。另一面是——你可以说这是合理化,但我认为是真的——这种生活也带来了很多祝福。我和他谈了很多。我在书里写到,查理·柯克可能是帮助我思考如何与他对话最有影响力的人。不要假装对他没有牺牲。不要假装你没有让他签下改变他生活的东西。你确实做了。但我试着和他谈论,也有好处。你看到了世界,我们以一种其他孩子从未有过的方式看到了这个国家。我们住在这栋很酷的房子里,我住在华盛顿特区的海军天文台。如果我不是副总统,我们不可能住在这里。所以我学会了对他不只是淡化负面,而是将其置于背景中,同时强调正面。有趣的是,大约一年前我问他:“你还不高兴我成为副总统吗?”那时大概上任四五个月。他说:“绝对不高兴。”我最近又问他,他说实际上挺好的。所以孩子们会适应,生活会改变。你会为他们找到 routine。但我也认为,那种内疚感促使了某些行为。如果不是认识到我们造成了这种改变和 disruption,我们还会围绕他们建立现在的生活吗?不会。所以,好坏都要接受。你接受你造成了一些问题,但你也接受你可以让事情变得更好。
Original English
[Vance]: Yeah. Yeah. Good for you. You know, my my prayers for that endeavor. But your kids have an emotional effect on you that is just totally profound and revoly and yeah man when when your son tells you that he wants something that you can no longer provide him that's a very very tough thing. Now the flip side of it is and you can say this a rationalization but I think it's true. The flip side is there are a lot of blessings that come along with this life. And you know, I've talked to him a lot about this. I actually, you know, I write this in the book that Charlie Kirk was probably the person who was most influential in helping me think through this conversation is, you know, don't try to pretend that it's not a sacrifice to him. Like I I you know, don't pretend that you haven't signed him up for something that has changed his life. You have. But I try to talk to him about, well, there are benefits, too. You've gotten to see the world. We've got to see the country in a in a way that no kid has ever gotten to see it. And we get to live in this cool house. I live in the Naval Observatory here in Washington DC. We would not get to do that if I was not the vice president. So, what I've I've I've learned to do with him is not to minimize the negative, but to try to contextualize it, but also to try to emphasize the positive. And it's funny, you know, I asked him this probably about a year ago. I said, "Are are you still unhappy that I became the vice president?" This is probably four or five months into it. He said, "Absolutely." I asked him that question recently and he said actually it's pretty good. So kids adjust, you know, lives change. You figure out a routine for the kids. But I also think that, you know, that that guilt motivated certain conduct. Would we have built the life that we have around them were it not for this recognition that we had caused this change and this disruption? No. So you take the good with the bad. You accept that you've caused some problems, but you also accept that you can make things better.
[主持人]: 这里有一张你妻子的可爱照片。
Original English
[Host]: a lovely photo here if your your wife is.
[万斯]: 我喜欢这张照片。我觉得她很美。这实际上是我见到她妈妈那天或那个周末。我们在布鲁克林的高线公园。不,不在布鲁克林,在南曼哈顿。有一个小观景台,我们坐在那里拍照。我们在一起的第一个夏天,我们从2011年3月开始约会。我当时在康涅狄格州纽黑文做研究助理,大约一个半小时火车车程。她在纽约市。这在某种程度上是我们关系的隐喻,因为我觉得纽约是个令人生畏的地方。我不知道怎么坐地铁,甚至不知道怎么买地铁卡。但因为爱她,我一有机会就去那里。我们每时每刻都在一起。当你刚爱上一个人时,那就像一种痴迷。那个夏天,我们作为年轻情侣一起探索纽约市。那天我见到了她妈妈,我通过了考验,因为现在我在这里。
Original English
[Vance]: I love this photo. I think she looks beautiful. This is actually the day or at least the weekend that I met her mom. We were This is at the Highline in Brooklyn. Have you ever been to the No, not in Brooklyn, in South Manhattan. Uh the Highland. Yeah, Highland Park. You know, it it basically travels a long way up South Manhattan. Uh there's this little observation deck. We're sitting there taking a photo. And you know, that that first summer we were together, we started dating in March of 2011. And so I was doing a research assistant thing in New Haven, Connecticut, about an hour and a half train ride. She was in New York City. And um you know, it it was in some ways like a metaphor for our relationship because I found New York just this totally intimidating place. I didn't know how to ride the subway. I didn't even know how to like buy a subway card to get on the subway. But I was just because I was in love with her. I went down there every chance I could get. We spent every moment. You know, like when you're when you're when you're newly in love with somebody, it's just like an obsession. and we sort of explored New York City together as this young couple this summer and uh that was the day that I met her mom and I passed the test because here I am.
[主持人]: 你成为副总统,最让她惊讶的是什么?她没想到的是什么?
Original English
[Host]: What surprised her most about you becoming the vice president? What what what didn't she expect?
[万斯]: 她不太容易被惊讶到。所以这是个很难的问题。但我认为特勤局的保护也让她惊讶了。它如何改变你的生活。举个例子,我们去罗马参加新教皇——那位美国教皇——的就职弥撒。我在世界上最喜欢做的事,如果给你两小时自由时间,我会去某个地方,无论是在乡下还是大城市,和乌莎一起散步。那是我度假或放松的终极方式。我们试图在罗马散步,但感觉海豹六队空降了罗马。他们封锁了每个交通路口,头顶有直升机盘旋。我认为让她惊讶的是,安全协议改变了我们做简单事情的方式,比如一起散步。
Original English
[Vance]: She doesn't get surprised by much. So that's actually a very very hard question. I do think the Secret Service protection surprised her too. The way that it changes your life like to give you an example. So, you know, we went to Rome for the Pope's inaugural mass, the new pope, the American pope. And like my favorite thing to do in the world, like if you said, I'll give you two hours, you can do whatever you want. What I would do is I would go to some place, whether in the country or in a big city, and I would just take a walk with Usha. Like that's that that is my ultimate way to like vacation or to relax. And you know, we tried to take a walk in Rome and it was like, you know, Seal Team Six had descended upon Rome. They were shutting down every traffic intersection. There's a helicopter flying overhead and just that I think that's surprising to her how much the security protocols have changed just the way that you know we we do things like take a walk together.
[主持人]: 你还能自己做那个决定吗?你能对所有这些特勤局的人说“不”吗?我现在看不到特勤局的人,但我知道他们在那窗帘后面。
Original English
[Host]: Can you make that decision still yourself? Can you could you say to all these Secret Service people? There's none. Okay. I can't see any secret service at the moment, but I know they're behind that curtain.
[万斯]: 他们都在窗帘后面。他们在外面,无处不在,可能在屋顶上。但你能自己决定你想做什么吗?你能说,“听着,我想走到街对面的沃尔玛”吗?
Original English
[Vance]: They're all behind the curtain, and I know they're building. Yeah, they're outside. They're everywhere. They're probably on the roof. But can you just Are you the one that still gets to make the call of of what you wanted to do? So, could you say, "Listen, I want to walk down the street to Walmart."
[万斯]: 实际上有法律规定,他们有法律义务保护我。他们是很棒的人。我们找到了折中办法,找到了一种不打扰所有人的散步方式。但这需要一些工作和练习。最大的变化不是你不能散步,而是基本 protocol 和我们想要的生活方式非常不同且不匹配。所以我们解决了问题,现在情况不错。但一开始,老兄,那真是疯狂。
Original English
[Vance]: There are actually like statutory prohibitions like they they have legal obligations in order to protect me. They are, I will say, great people, amazing people. And we found accommodation like we found a way of taking a walk without disrupting everybody, right? But it's taken a little bit of work and a little bit of practice. And the biggest change is just again, it's not that you can't take a walk. It's that the basic protocol, the thing that they've gotten used to is much different and more misaligned with the way that we want to live our lives. So, we figured it out. Like, we've gotten things to a good place. But in the in the in the first instance, man, it was crazy.
[主持人]: 我简直无法想象。今天来这里就是这样。你听说过特勤局,但像我这样的人,昨天来过这里,今天再进入这栋楼,简直不敢相信。我被搜身,检查口袋,人们递给我东西让我穿上。我下楼去地下室的厕所,下面有个带枪的人。我门外也有个带枪的人。枪就在那儿。我想,“哇。”
Original English
[Host]: I I just couldn't imagine. It was actually getting here today. Like you hear about Secret Service, but when you as someone like me who I was here yesterday, so making my way into this building today, which is like our studio. I couldn't believe it. I was being tapped down, pocket checked. People were handing me stuff. Keep this on. Uh I went downstairs to the toilet in the basement. There was a guy down there with a gun. I was like I was like there was a guy outside my door with a gun. The gun's I was like, "Wow."
[万斯]: 你现在从未如此安全过。
Original English
[Vance]: You've never been safer than you are right now.
信仰之旅:从无神论到基督教
[主持人]: 你写了这本新书叫《共融》。副标题是“找回我的信仰之路”。回到信仰。所以在你30多岁的时候,你变成了无神论者,在你20多岁后期。
Original English
[Host]: Yeah. Yeah. Um you've written this new book called Communion. which is about it's I mean the subtitle is finding my way back to faith. Back to faith. So for your 30s you you you became atheist in your early your late 20s.
[万斯]: 是的,我在20多岁,甚至20岁出头。我在一个福音派家庭长大。非常保守,非常福音派的基督教。我的祖母就是这样的人,她一天读五六次圣经,祈祷五六次。妈妈是虔诚的宗教徒,但我们属于那种“不去教堂”的人。我会和爸爸去教堂,偶尔和妈妈或祖母去,但我们的宗教体验主要在家里。我们会看电视上的布道者,看葛培理复兴大会,但不怎么去教堂。后来,我觉得我的信仰不再对我说话了,似乎与我的生活无关。其中有一种新无神论的元素,我认为自己比那些抚养我的乡巴佬知道得更多。他们的信仰都是迷信,我是理性的、受过大学教育的孩子,我知道别人不知道的事情。这里面有一种知识上的傲慢。但所有这些事情交织在一起。从根本上说,尽管我深爱我的祖母,但我的信仰从未扎根的原因是我从未看到它为什么那么重要。它只是一个背景,我们相信的东西。我十几岁时确实相信这些,但它并不真正重要。所以,当那个男孩与现实和世界上发生的很多事情碰撞时,我没有做好将信仰融入这个新世界的准备。
Original English
[Vance]: Yeah, I would say in my 20s even yeah in my early 20s. So I was raised in an evangelical household. Very conservative, you know, very evangelical Christianity. My grandmother was one of these people, you know, she read the Bible five, six times a day. She prayed five, six times a day. was a woman. You know, mama was was devoutly religious, but we were what you you would call unchurched. So, I would go to church with my dad. I would occasionally go to church with my mom, occasionally with my mama, but you know, our religion was very much experienced at home. It was you would watch televangelists on TV. Uh you would watch Billy Graham revival um things on TV, but we didn't go to church that much. And so, you know, I got to a point in my life where I I just felt like my faith wasn't speaking to me anymore. It didn't seem to have particular relevance to my life. There was a certain, you know, new atheist element to it where I assumed that I knew more than these, you know, bumpkins that had raised me. And, you know, her faith is all superstition. I'm rational and I'm a college educated kid and I know things that other people don't. So, there's a certain intellectual arrogance that was built into it. But sort of all these things kind of swam together. But fundamentally, I I think that the with all love and affection of my grandmother, I I think the thing about my faith that just never took root is that I never saw why it actually mattered that much. It was just a thing. It was in the background. It was something we believed. I mean, I really did believe this stuff when I was a teenager, but it didn't really matter. And so when that boy collided with reality and collided with a lot of things that were going on in the world, I just was not properly prepared to actually integrate my faith into this new world.
[主持人]: 你什么时候意识到它很重要?
Original English
[Host]: When did you realize that it mattered?
[万斯]: 我变成了无神论者,是那种愤怒的无神论者,会和信教的人争论,假装自己比别人聪明。事后看来很尴尬。但我有一个缺点,我想出人头地。它来自一个好的地方——我想要稳定,体面的收入,给我的孩子提供我没有的稳定。但坏的地方是,我太在乎我的学历、上什么学校、赚多少钱。这种新无神论实际上是一个只想往上爬的孩子的完美哲学。我想赚尽可能多的钱,拥有最 prestigious 的职业,为了野心而野心。我赢得了生活摆在我面前的所有竞争。在我20多岁后期,我有漂亮的女朋友,事情很顺利,我在耶鲁法学院,美国最好的法学院。每个人都认为我很聪明,因为我在耶鲁法学院。我当时在乎那个,现在不在乎了。我意识到我实际上不是一个快乐的人,也不是一个好人。我在乎我上什么法学院,远超过我是否对这个女孩好。我疯狂地爱着她,但我是一个特别好的男朋友吗?不是。我从青年时期学会了混乱,我每隔一个月就威胁要和她分手。如果我们吵架,我就会消失几天。我意识到,这里缺少了什么。所有这些对成就、比别人聪明、理性的 obsession,并没有让我成为一个好人。我环顾四周,问自己,我真正想成为什么样的人?我最钦佩谁?我慢慢意识到,那些最有美德、在真正重要的事情上做得最好的人,他们是基督徒。他们的信仰驱动的不是对出人头地的 obsession,而是对善待他人的 obsession,或者是对培养重要品格力量的 obsession,以便你能承受非常艰难的环境。我开始想,等等,我生命中认识的基督徒身上有这些阳光,基督教思想在我自己的知识好奇心背景中也有。如果基督教在所有这些方面都比其他东西更温暖、更真实,那么它的其他部分可能也有可取之处。这引导我以一种我十几岁时从未有过的方式思考我的信仰。最终我恍然大悟,这里面有非常深刻的东西。起初是 intellectual 的,但随着时间的推移,它变得更情感化和实践化。最终我受了洗,我小时候从未受过洗。尽管我妻子不是基督徒,我强迫她带我们的三个孩子和我每周去教堂,她对此非常耐心。但这确实以更慢的方式改变了我。
Original English
[Vance]: Well, well, so so okay. So, so I become an atheist. I'm I'm sort of one of these like angry atheists, you know, where I'll like argue with people who say that they're religious and I I pretend that I'm smarter than everybody else. And it was like very embarrassing in hindsight. But you know I I I go back and so just a flaw that I have all of us have many flaws, many virtues. But a flaw that I have is I just I wanted to rise above. Now where it came from a good place is I wanted stability. I wanted a decent income. I wanted to provide my kids that stability that I didn't have. But where it was a very bad thing is I cared way too much about what credentials I had, where did I go to school, how much money that I made. And so this sort of new atheism actually was like the perfect philosophy for the creed of a kid who just wanted to get ahead. I wanted to make as much money. I wanted to have the most prestigious profession. I was super ambitious for ambition's sake. And you know, so I I I'd won every competition that life had put before me. You know, I'm I'm at this point in my late 20s. I've got a beautiful girlfriend. Things are going pretty well. I'm at Yale Law School, right? The top law school in the United States of America. Very prestigious. Everybody thought I was very smart because I went to Yale Law School. And I cared about that back then. I don't care about it now. And I sort of realized I'm actually not like a happy person. I'm not a good person. I care about where I went to law school way more than whether I'm good to this girl, right? I mean, like like I I really was like madly in love with her. But was I like a particularly good boyfriend? No. I I had learned from my youth to be chaotic and I'd threatened to break up with her every other month. And you know, if we had an argument, I'd just like disappear for a couple days. And I was just like not I I sort of realized, okay, there's something missing here. There's something that all of this obsession with achievement and being smarter than everybody else and being rational, it has not actually made me a good person. And I sort of looked around and said, well, who are the people that I like actually want to be like? Who are the people that I most admire in the world? And I slowly realized that the ones who were the most virtuous, the ones who were the best at the things that actually mattered, they were Christians. And their faith motivated not an obsession with getting ahead, but an obsession with treating people well or an obsession with developing the strength of character that mattered so that you could withstand, you know, very tough circumstances. And I started to think to myself, okay, wait a second. There's like these rays of sunshine from Christians that I knew in my life, from Christian ideas that sort of were in the background of my own, you know, intellectual curiosity. And if there are all of these rays of sunshine where Christianity seems to be warmer and truer than something else, maybe the rest of it actually has something to be said for it, too. And that kind of led me down a pathway of thinking about my faith in a way that I never had when I was a teenager. I never had to when I was a teenager. And it finally just hit me like there is something deeply profound about this. And at first it was an intellectual thing, right? But over time it became a more emotional and more practice thing. And eventually I got baptized. I never been baptized as a kid. And you know even though my wife is not Christian, I force force her to take take uh our three kids and husband to to to church every single week and she's remarkably patient about it. But it's it's it's one of these things where it really did transform me but in a slower way.
[主持人]: 无神论在某种程度上也是一种宗教形式,不是吗?它有同样程度的确定性。这就是为什么我称自己为不可知论者,因为说“我知道”感觉有点傲慢。
Original English
[Host]: Atheism is a form of religion in in a way, isn't it? It has the same level of sort of certainty and that's why myself to you as an agnostic because I it feels a little bit arrogant to say that I know.
[万斯]: 是的,那很有趣。
Original English
[Vance]: Yeah. Yeah. No, that's that's that's interesting.
人工智能与未来
[主持人]: 我要稍微转个硬核的话题,那就是AI。AI将导致大量工作 disruption,这是我观众的热门话题,也是我作为企业家和投资者经常讨论的。当你观察大型AI公司CEO们的话,我发现一件有趣的事,山姆·奥特曼关于AI影响的言论非常反乌托邦。埃隆也是,非常反乌托邦。现在,我认为唯一和AI一样不受欢迎的是美国的ICE。我前几天看到了一个关于它有多不受欢迎的图表。埃里克·施密特,我知道你认识他,因为他曾是你公司的投资者。前几天他在大学毕业典礼上演讲时,每次提到这个词都被嘘了。你害怕人工智能目前对经济和失业的潜在影响吗?
Original English
[Host]: I'm going to take a little bit of a hard end which is uh AI. AI is going to cause a lot of job disruption and um it's a big topic of conversation for my audience, but also as an entrepreneur and investor. We we're talking a lot at the moment about the impact of AI. When you look at the the words of the big AI CEOs over time, one thing I find fascinating is if you look at Sam Alman's words about the impact AI is going to have, it's very dystopian. You look at Elon, very very dystopian. And right now, I think the only thing that's up there with being as unpopular as AI is ICE in the US. I saw this graph the other day in terms of how unpopular it is. Eric Schmidt, who I know you know because he was an investor in your company, I believe. The other day when he was doing that commencement speech in front of the college students, he was booed every time he said the word. Are you scared about the potential economic impact and unemployment impact of artificial intelligence at this moment in time?
[万斯]: 我对此的恐惧程度低于对其他事情的恐惧。历史类比总是有问题的。顺便说一句,我认为AI公司本身,CEO们,有 incentive 变得超级反乌托邦。因为这就像一种病毒式营销,如果人们害怕你的产品,那一定意味着它真的有效。如果他们不害怕,也许它实际上没那么好。所以我认为那里有些奇怪的东西,最悲观的预测和制造它的人之间存在某种协同效应。但先放在一边,因为我确实有一些真正的担忧。关于工作 displacement,让我退一步,因为我对此有特定的偏见。我在2010年代初形成了一种近乎宗教的观念,我现在认为那是荒谬的。那种观念是,经济存在从农业到工业再到服务业的必然 march。我所有的朋友和家人失业的原因,是因为那是发达经济体去工业化的必然趋势。当时甚至有一种论点,美国制造业就业下降是因为自动化和技术,与外包或移民无关,纯粹是技术用机器人取代了工人。我认为那个故事完全是假的。制造业中的机器人确实提高了生产力,改变了生产线工人的工作内容。但现实中,制造业就业增长了很多,只是没有发生在美国。我认为有时我们告诉自己技术必然导致失业的故事,是为了掩盖导致人口失业的真正原因:外包或移民。你把工作运到另一个国家,或者让别人取代了现有的人。那么我对AI的看法是什么?如果你回顾工业革命,上一次劳动力市场的重大 disruption,实际上在工业革命结束时工作的人比以前多得多。当然,一些工作不同了,有一些工作 disruption。但当我看到AI时,我不认为大规模失业是最可能的结果。我认为人们会变得更高效。一些人的工作会改变,一些人会失业。但我不相信它会 lead to 大规模失业,我也没有在数据中看到任何证据。让我告诉你什么让我担心。历史类比总是有问题的。回到工业革命,从农业经济向工业经济转变的主要后果是大规模失业吗?不是。但发生了什么?富人变得更富了。这导致了欧洲的法西斯主义和共产主义。事实上,你们国家和我们国家几乎是唯一两个成功避免了法西斯或共产主义革命以应对工业革命的国家。顺便说一句,关于基督教真正有趣的一点是,关于资本和劳动如何合作、如何实现社会和谐的 seminal 文本,与马克思所说的不可避免的社会分裂相比,是教皇利奥十三世,他在著名的通谕中写道,保持社会各阶层和谐的方式是确保工人能够谈判。这就是集体谈判理念的基督教基础,确保资本家不能利用工人,他们必须尊重工人。我认为在AI时代,我们要么遵循那个基督教的社会和谐概念,要么醒来发现富人变得更富了,而普通美国人、英国人、西方社会成员停滞不前,人们真的憎恨相对贫困。你可以给人们iPhone和21世纪经济的物质享受,但如果你让富人变得更富,你会遇到严重的问题。所以我认为这是AI带来的一个后果。你问到的另一件我真正担心的事情是监控。AI,正如我一个朋友所说,从根本上说是一种共产主义技术,因为它允许政府和企业以非常深刻和不同的方式监视人们。这让我非常害怕。我不想要一个由AI驱动的社会信用体系。我不希望你因为某个科技CEO根据没人真正理解的人工智能算法给你打分而无法买啤酒。那也让我害怕。但我不认为我们会大规模失业。我们可能会有大规模不平等。那是它自己的问题,一个不同的问题。
Original English
[Vance]: So, I'd say I'm less scared about that than I am about other things. Okay. historical analogies are always fraught. And by the way, I think the AI companies themselves, the CEOs, there's a certain incentive to be super dystopian. Yeah. Because it's it's like a form of viral marketing that if people are really scared of your product, that must mean that it really works. And if they're not scared of your product, maybe it actually doesn't work that well. So, I think there's something weird there. There's something synergistic about the most pessimistic predictions about AI and some of the people who are making it. But like, set that to the side cuz I do have some real concerns. But on the job displacement thing, okay, so let me back up for a second because I bring a certain bias to this. So when I was, again, this is a this is an almost religious idea that I developed in the early 2010s that I think is just preposterous now. And that religious idea was that there was like this inevitable march of economics from agricultural to industrial to service-based. M and the reason that all of my friends and family were losing their jobs was because that was just an inevitable economic trend that advanced economies they de-industrialized. Okay? And there was even this argument at the time that the reason why manufacturing employment was going down in the United States was because of automation, because of technology. that it had nothing to do with outsourcing or with immigration but it was purely because of technology had replaced all these workers with robots. I think that story is totally false. Now the robots that exist in manufacturing did they make people more productive? Absolutely. Did they cause a change in what a manufacturing line worker was doing in say 2005 versus 1955? Absolutely. So the change is there but in reality there was a ton of manufacturing job growth. it just wasn't happening in the United States of America. And I think sometimes we tell ourselves a story that technology always leads inevitably to job loss to make up for the fact that what often leads to job loss among populations is either outsourcing or immigration. You ship the job to another country or you have somebody else take the job of somebody who currently has it. So what do I think is actually going on with AI? I think you know if you go back to the industrial revolution, right? the last significant major disruption in the labor market, you actually had way more people working at the end of the industrial revolution than you did beforehand. Again, some of the jobs were different. There was some job disruption. But when I look at AI, I don't see mass unemployment as the most likely consequence. I think people will become more productive. I think some people's jobs will change. Some people will lose their jobs. But I I just don't buy this idea and I haven't seen any evidence in the data that it's going to lead to mass unemployment. Let me tell you what it does what does worry me. Again, historical analogies are always fraught. You go back to the industrial revolution. Was mass joblessness the main consequence of the shift from an agricultural to an industrial economy? No. But what did happen? Rich people got way richer. And that led to in Europe fascism and communism. In fact, your country and my country pretty much the only two countries that successfully avoided either a fascist or a communist revolution in the in response to the industrial revolution. That's by the way one of the real interesting things about you know Christianity is the the seinal text about how capital and labor could work together about how you could have social harmony compared to Marx who was sort of saying there's an inevitable social division was Pope Leo I 13th who wrote in his famous encyclical that the way to preserve harmony between the social classes was to ensure that the workers could bargain. This is where sort of the idea of collective bargaining had a Christian underpinning and to make sure that the the capitalists weren't able to take advantage of the workers. They had to sort of respect them. And that that that model of social harmony I think is something we're either going to follow that Christian concept of social harmony in the age of AI or we're going to wake up and we're going to realize that rich people have gotten way richer. The average American, the average Brit, the average Western society member has stagnated and people really hate relative poverty. You can give people iPhones and you can give the people the creature comforts of a 21st century economy, but if you make rich people way richer, you are going to have significant problems. And so I think that is like one of the consequences that I see from AI. The one other just because you asked about it, the other thing I really worry about with AI is surveillance. AI is, you know, a friend of mine once said that AI is fundamentally a communist technology in that it allows governments and corporations to surveil people in very profound and different ways. And that scares me a lot. Like I don't want a social credit system that's powered by AI. I don't want you to not be able to buy a beer because some tech CEO has given you a score based on an artificial intelligence algorithm that nobody actually understands. That scares me, too. But I don't think we're going to have mass unemployment. We might have mass inequality. That's its own problem. It's a different problem, though.
[主持人]: 根据2026年美联储和人口普查局的数据,美国的金融不平等已达到近四十年来的最高水平。显然,本周我们看到了美国出现第一位万亿富翁的头条新闻。这引发了辩论。想想我们在机器人领域看到的爆炸式增长,埃隆·马斯克的薪酬方案奖励他在特定时间线内推出100万个类人机器人,埃隆自己说某个时候会有10亿个类人机器人,类人机器人会比人类还多。在我看来,这肯定会导致某种工作 disruption。当然会有新工作被创造出来,但很难预测。像OpenAI和Anthropic这样的大型前沿模型公司将成为这场演变的受益者。财富可能会积累到这些大公司。我们已经有了疯狂的不平等。你如何看待重新分配这些财富?伯尼·桑德斯说人们需要拥有这些AI公司50%的股份。
Original English
[Host]: Um, according to this the current 2026 Federal Reserve and Census Bureau data, financial inequality in the United States has reached its highest level in nearly four decades. And obviously, we've seen this headline this week of the US's first trillionaire. Which again has been talked about everywhere around the world and has now sparked this debate. You think about the the explosion we're seeing in Rob rob robotics and Elon Musk's pay packet rewarding him for getting a million humanoid robots out there at at a certain timeline and Elon himself saying there'll be a billion humanoid robots at some point. There'll be more humanoid robots than humans. It appears to me that there will be some kind of job disruption. We can obviously there's new jobs created which are like hard to forecast. Yeah. And you've got these big like um frontier model companies like OpenAI and Anthropic that are going to be bene benefactors of this evolution. Wealth is presumably going to acrue to these large large corporations, the metas, the anthropics, the open areas. How do you think about we're already we already have crazy crazy inequality. How do you think about redistributing that wealth? Bernie Sanders is saying people need to own 50% of these AI companies.
[万斯]: 总统也喜欢这个主意。我不知道他会不会说50%,但他确实喜欢这个主意。在社会福利文献中,有一个概念是“再分配”与“预分配”。预分配的想法是给工人,给普通人一个谈判的席位。我认为这不仅仅是经济问题。经济问题当然非常重要。你希望生活被这项技术改变的工人能有一席之地,能够与公司谈判争取更好的工资。但想想看,单个工人去和Anthropic的Dario谈判是不可能的。但工人联合起来,这就是集体谈判理念的来源。我认为这有一个深刻的基督教概念。你必须给国家的每个人一个席位。例如,有经济部分。还有文化部分。AI将如何改变我们消费、分发和创造的文化?在五六十年代,人们普遍接受——这不是审查制度,没有法律强制——但好莱坞会咨询当时的宗教领袖,以确保他们制作的内容符合其成员的感受和一些基本的基督教理念。同样,这不是强制的,但有一种机制给了每个人一个席位。我认为这是这个国家制度性基督教衰落带来的坏处之一。我们不再有一个机制来迫使有权势的人与其他人合作。宗教是西方实现这一目标的方式之一,我认为是最深刻、最有效的方式。我们不再拥有它了,我真的很担心。所以总统支持美国拥有这些大型AI公司。他喜欢这个主意,作为一种主权财富基金的想法,美国在这些AI公司中持有股份。他公开说过。但总统是一个非常规的人。你会说共和党人不应该那样想。总统不在乎。他只是思考他的想法,然后判断是好是坏。我称他为激进的实用主义者,尽管大多数欧洲人认为他是一个超级意识形态的人。他在这方面极其务实。但有一个非常重要的想法。认为我们可以让这些公司在10、20年后积累数万亿美元的财富,然后成功地重新分配给工人,我对此非常怀疑。我认为这是一个非常现代的、我称之为自由派的概念:你可以通过征税给穷人,然后问题就解决了。那实际上是把穷人变成了富人的附庸。你必须给每个人在社会中的 stake。我还没完全想清楚这在AI时代如何运作。我认为工会是一个非常重要的模式。但那种从一些人那里拿走给另一些人的模式,从未提供过一个稳定的社会。你必须给工人一个席位。
Original English
[Vance]: which the president by the way likes that idea too. He likes that idea. Um I don't know that he would say 50% but he does like that idea. So there there's a um there's a concept in uh in in like the social welfare literature of redistribution versus predistribution. The idea of predistribution is that you give workers you give people normal people a seat at the bargaining table. And I don't think it's just economic. The economic thing by the way is very important. like you you you want the the the worker whose life has been transformed by this technology to have a seat at the table. You want them to be able to actually bargain with the company for better wages. Now, that's impossible if you think about it. Like the individual worker to negotiate against, you know, Daario from Anthropic, it's not going to happen. But workers working together, this is where the idea of collective bargaining came from. But there's all kind of interesting things. And again, I think there's like a deeply Christian concept to this. I know you're sort of you know fascinated by faith but not a person of faith yourself. There is a very deeply Christian concept that you have to give everybody in the country a seat at the table. So for example like okay there's the economic piece of it. What about the cultural piece of it? How will AI transform the culture that we consume that we distribute that we make? You know, back in the 50s and 60s, it was broadly accepted that now it wasn't a censorship regime. There was nothing legal going on here, but it was broadly accepted that Hollywood would consult with the religious leaders at the time in order to ensure that the content they were making was actually consistent with the sensibilities of their membership and consistent with some basic Christian ideas. Again, that wasn't forced, but there was this mechanism that gave everybody a seat at the table. And I think that's one of the bad things about the there are many bad things about the decline of institutional Christianity in this country. But we do not have a mechanism that gives powerful people that forces them to actually work with everybody else. Religion was one of the ways that happened in the west. I think probably the most profound and effective way that happened in the west. We just don't have it anymore and I really worry about that. So the president is supportive of of the United States owning these big AI companies. He likes the idea as sort of a sovereign wealth fund idea of the United States taking some stake in these AI companies. He said so publicly. I'm not breaking news. But you know again the president he is a very unconventional person. You would say a Republican is not supposed to think like that. The president doesn't care. The president just thinks the thoughts that he has. He develops them whether they're, you know, he tries to determine is this a good idea or a bad idea. I would call him sort of a rag radical pragmatist, though I think most Europeans think that he's this hyper ideological person. He's extremely pragmatic about this stuff. But but but one one one very important thought. The idea that we're going to allow these companies, let's say 10 20 years down the road to accumulate trillions and trillions and trillions of dollars of wealth and then we're going to be be able to successfully redistribute it to workers. I'm very skeptical of that. Very skeptical of that. I think that's that's a that's a very modern I call a liberal concept. this idea that you can just tax people and give it to poor people and it works out. Then you turn the poor people into effectively subservients of the rich people. You have to give everybody a stake in the society. I haven't quite figured out how this is going to work in the age of AI. I think labor unions are a very important model here, but this is the the model where you just take from some people and give to other people. That's never provided a stable society. You've got to give the workers a seat at the table.
祖母的遗产与告别
[主持人]: 祖母。她在你21岁时去世了。在她72岁生日两天后,因肺萎陷被紧急送往医院,然后被拔掉了生命支持系统。从你的故事来看,她显然是你生命中最重要的角色。她没能看到你今天达到的地位。我读到,她去世时你没有哭。你也没有处理那些情绪,因为你感觉到整个家庭濒临崩溃,你想表现出情感上的坚强。这是你在《乡下人的悲歌》第169页说的。她今天会怎么看你?她会说什么?
Original English
[Host]: Mama. Mama. She passed away when you were 21 years old. Rushed hospital with a collapsed lung 2 days after her 72nd birthday. and she was taken off life support. She was clearly the most important um figure in your life from reading your story for so many reasons. She hasn't gotten to see the position you rose to today. I read that you didn't cry when she passed away. um you didn't process those emotions either because you sensed that your entire family was on the verge of collapse and you wanted to give the impression of emotional strength. That's what you say in your book um Hillbilly in on page 169. What would she think of you today? What what would she have said?
[万斯]: 她是一个 deeply patriotic 的人。我想她会对此感到惊叹。那些盛况,能去白宫,这些对她来说会非常有意义。
Original English
[Vance]: Well, I think you know she she she was again a deeply patriotic person. I think she'd be amazed by this. I mean the the pageantry, being able to go to the White House, just things like that would have been very very meaningful to her.
[主持人]: 你会对她说什么?
Original English
[Host]: what would you say to her?
[万斯]: 我想我会说谢谢。我学到的最重要的一课是,好人和挣扎的人之间的区别在于,好人有一颗感恩的心。我不知道如果没有这个女人我是否还能活着。我肯定不会在这里。祖母会担心的一件事是——我认为我做得不错,但明确一下——祖母会非常担心那些排场和仪式。就像她会为此惊叹一样,她会觉得难以置信,会喜欢参与和看到。但她总是非常担心。她总是说:“别太把自己当回事。”意思是,“别让它冲昏你的头脑。不要因为你有头衔或更多钱就觉得自己比别人好。”我必须不断提醒自己,我只能当四年副总统。我会在这四年里尽我所能做好工作,但这并不让我比别人更好,也不意味着我比别人知道得更多。我可能更了解CIA的报告,但如果你开始认为自己更好,你就无法成功地治理一个民主国家。
Original English
[Vance]: I think that I would say thank you. I mean the the the through the maybe the most important lesson that I've learned is that the difference between good people and people who struggle is good people have a good sense of gratitude. And I don't know that I would be alive were it not for this woman. I certainly wouldn't be here. And I think the the one thing Maml would worry about, and I think I've done a pretty good job, just to be clear, but Mammo would worry a lot about the pomp and the circumstance. In the same way that she would be amazed by it, she would find it incredible and she would love to participate and see it. She's always really, really worried. She would always say, "Don't get too big for your britches." And what that means is, "Don't let it go to your head. Don't think that you're better than somebody just because you have a title or because you have more money than they do." And I think that I I have to constantly remind myself that I get to be vice president for four years. I'm going to do as good of a job as I can for that four years, but it doesn't make me better than anybody. And it doesn't mean that I know more than anybody. I mean I may know more about like CIA reports, but fundamentally if you start to see yourself I think as better, you become unable to successfully govern a democratic country.
[主持人]: 你曾为失去祖母而悲伤吗?
Original English
[Host]: Have you ever grieved the loss of Noah? Because
[万斯]: 哦,绝对。我在书里写了,她去世时我没哭。但两天后我哭了很多。我悲伤了很久。我对祖母最大的遗憾是她从未见过乌莎。她们有如此相似之处,又如此不同。她们都非常聪明。尽管祖母中学辍学,乌莎上了法学院,但她们都非常直言不讳。乌莎没有 filter,这是我最初被她吸引的原因之一,即使她会冒犯你,她也会说出自己的想法。但她们来自如此不同的世界,我想我的祖母会对她着迷。你知道,当我妈妈见到乌莎时——乌莎种族上是印度人,在美国出生——我妈妈说,“这有时表明我们中的一些人对世界了解得多么少。她是什么种族?”我说,“妈,她是印度人。”我妈妈说,“哪个部落?”所以她们来自非常不同的世界。但关于她去世,我最大的遗憾是,如果她是我生命前20年最重要的人,她也是我余生最重要的人。我真的很希望她们俩能见面,因为她们都是了不起的人。
Original English
[Vance]: Oh, absolutely. I mean, I you know, I think I wrote in the book, I didn't cry when she died. I I cried a lot two days later. Yeah. I mean, I've grieved I've grieved her for a long time. I My biggest regret with Mamal is just she never met Usha. And there's something so similar about them, but so different. Like they're both incredibly smart. Even though Mammo left school, middle school, Usha went to law school, they're incredibly blunt people, right? I mean, Usha just doesn't have a filter. It's one of the things I I was immediately attracted to about her is that even if she was going to offend you, she was going to say exactly what was on her mind, but they came from such different worlds and I think my grandmother would be fascinated by her. You know, when mom met Usha and you know, Usha ethnically is Indian. She was born in the United States. But you know, my mom said, it just goes to show sometimes how how uh how little some of us knew about the world. She said, you know, what is she like ethnically? And I said, "Mom, she's Indian." And my mom says, "Which tribe?" So they came from very different worlds, both mom Anushia, but also Mammo Anushia. But that that is the biggest regret about her death is that you know if she was the most important person in my life for the first 20 years is the most important for the rest of it. And I really wish those two people could have met cuz they're amazing people.
[主持人]: 你的情绪仍然在表面。
Original English
[Host]: The emotion's still right on the surface for you.
[万斯]: 非常如此。
Original English
[Vance]: Very much so.
结尾:外星人与信仰
[主持人]: 我们播客有一个结束传统。上一位嘉宾会给下一位嘉宾留一个问题,不知道是留给谁的。留给你的问题是,呃,我觉得有点偏见,但问题是:外星人是真的吗?很有趣。答案是,我不知道。我对自己发誓,我现在上任一年半了,我要去查阅所有关于UFO的高度机密信息。我只是还没做。这是那种疯狂的事情,你上任后日常工作就占据了所有时间。但我相信一些事情,我认为它们是真实和理性的,但我认识到,可能还有比存在外星人更疯狂的想法。比如,我相信大约2000年前,一个犹太人是上帝的独生子,被钉死在十字架上,三天后复活。我认识到这听起来有点离谱,但我认为这是真的。我100%相信人们有神秘体验。我和参与过驱魔的人谈过。理性思维会说,“那只是精神分裂症或其他精神疾病。”我和一些人谈过,他们说,“是的,99.9%我考虑进行驱魔的人都是精神分裂症或其他精神疾病。”但确实存在一些我们无法解释的奇怪事情。有一些奇怪的时刻。我记得祖母去世后不久,我姐姐对她女儿——大概七八岁——有点生气,然后灯泡就爆炸了。我们俩对视了一下,心想那是祖母。我在《共融》里写到过。我和一个《纽约时报》记者谈论教皇,他更批评教皇,而我的态度是,他不是政客,不能用政客的标准评判他。我们正在谈话,一个玻璃杯以完全疯狂的方式从吧台上掉下来摔碎了,让我们停下了脚步。我们俩对视着说,“那到底是什么?”我相信神秘体验。我不认为它们经常发生,但我认为人们会有一些经历,如果你用纯粹狭隘、超理性的世界观是无法解释的。换句话说,我认为超理性的世界观实际上并不完全准确。外面有些奇怪的东西。
Original English
[Vance]: It's interesting. Answer is I don't know. It It is It is something that I have sworn to myself, I'm now a year and a half into this job, that I would go through all of the highly classified information about everything that we know about UFOs. I just haven't done it yet. It's like one of these crazy things where you get in the job and the day-to-day just takes over. So, I haven't done that yet. But, I mean, look, I I am I believe in things and I think that they're true and I think that they're rational, but I recognize that there may be even crazier than the idea that there are extraterrestrials. Like, I believe that a Jewish man about 2,000 years ago was the only begotten son of God, was literally crucified, and then rose from the dead 3 days later. Like, I recognize that sounds a little out there, but I think that it's true. And I I 100% believe that people have mystical experiences. I I've talked to people who have been involved in exorcisms. And again, I think the rational mind says, "Well, that's just schizophrenia or that's some other mental illness." I've talked to people who said, "Yeah, 99.9% of the people that I've looked at to do an exorcism on were schizophrenic or had some other mental illness." But there's something there are weird things out there that we cannot explain. There are weird moments. I mean, I remember not long after my grandmother died, my sister lost, you know, she didn't really lose her temper, but like got kind of angry with her daughter and her daughter's, I don't know, seven or eight years old at the time and like the light bulb just exploded and both of us looked at each other like that was mamal. Remember I was talking I I write about this in communion. I was talking to the New York Times writer um about the pope and sort of different perspectives on the pope and he was more critical of the pope and I was more my attitude is like ah you know he's not a politician you can't judge him by politician standards this is the last pope and we're like having this conversation and it's like I'm telling you man a glass just falls off the bar in a totally crazy way and shatters and like stops a step in our tracks and we both just looked at each other and said what the hell was that And I I I'm a believer in mystical experiences. I don't think they happen that often, but I think that people have experiences that are impossible to explain if you have a purely narrow, hyperrational view of the world. In other words, I think the hyperrational view of the world is actually not totally accurate. There's some weird shit out there.
[主持人]: 所以,你认为外星人可能是真的?
Original English
[Host]: So, you think aliens could be real?
[万斯]: 我认为是的。
Original English
[Vance]: I do.
[主持人]: 《共融》。这真的很有趣,因为我在新无神论方面和你有过类似的旅程,非常理性,怎么可能这些都是真的,每次有机会就和基督徒争论,部分是为了弄清楚我自己的观点。这就像一场 sparring match。我现在发现自己是一个不可知论者,思想开放,对新想法好奇。这几乎是一种谦卑,我以前在那个阶段并不谦卑,但现在我对自己可能完全错了持开放态度,并认真倾听。我认为这就是这本书如此有趣的原因,因为你代表了很多人的旅程,他们理性地说服自己信仰是不可能的,但后来在某种程度上感到缺失了什么,觉得自己被自己或社会或某种文化欺骗了,然后进行了开放思想的探索,回到了一个有意义的地方。我认为意义和目标感在当今社会非常缺失。而且,就像你说的,我在这里采访过的基督徒,他们是我能坐下来交谈的最有美德、最坚定、稳定、快乐、有同理心、慷慨的人,这对我来说似乎不是巧合。这本身似乎就是某种证明。所以你的书《共融:找回我的信仰之路》,我认为对任何处于那个旅程任何阶段的人来说,都是一个美妙的方向。它现在出版了。副总统先生,非常感谢您的时间。我知道您很忙,您今天选择给我一些时间,是我的真正荣幸。我真的很感激。谢谢。
Original English
[Host]: Communion. Um, it's really interesting because I went on a similar journey to you in terms of new atheism, very rational, how could any of this be true, arguing with Christians every time that I had the opportunity to in part to try and figure out my own opinion. It was like a sparring match, of course. Um, and I now found myself as being an agnostic person and being open-minded and curious to new ideas. And I've it's almost a humility that I wasn't humble before in that in that season of my life, but now I'm like open that I could be completely wrong. And listening intently. And I think this is why this book is so interesting because you represent, I think, the journey of a lot of people who have rationally talked themselves out of the possibility of faith, but then have felt something is missing at some level, feel like they've been lied to by themselves or society or some kind of culture. And then have had the sort of open-minded exploration back to a place of meaning. And I would say that that meaning and that sense of purpose is so absent in society at the moment. And also like you said, the Christians that I've interviewed here, it doesn't feel to me to be a coincidence that they're the most virtuous, anchored, stable, happy, empathetic, charitable individuals I get to sit with. And that itself appears to be proof of something. And so your book here, Communion, Finding My Way Back to Faith, is I think a wonderful journey in that direction for anybody who is finds themselves at any stage in that journey. and it's out right now. Mr. Vice President, thank you so much for your time. I realize you're very busy, so it's a true honor that you chose to give me some of your time today. I really, really appreciate it. Thanks.
[万斯]: 我真的很享受这次对话。谢谢。
Original English
[Vance]: I really enjoyed this. Thank you.
[主持人]: 谢谢。
Original English
[Host]: Thank you.