对商业模式、市场竞争与高风险投资的深度分析 All-In Podcast 2026-06-23

对GameStop和AppLovin的评论

Everyone: 每个人都讨厌GameStop,而且似乎媒體上所有人都希望我們失敗,同時又希望他們成功。你手裡有一張能每年賺數十萬甚至數百萬美元的牌。他們不是用自己的錢買股票。他們最終會參加一堆董事會會議,並獲得巨額財富。你擁有一支薪水過高且管理層臃腫的管理團隊。在美國,除了風險就是把自己的資本冒出來。那麼,為什麼所有人都希望我們失敗呢?

Original English

Everyone: Everyone hates GameStop and it seems like everyone in the media basically wants us to fail and wants them to succeed and you've got a board that's making hundreds of thousands of dollars a year. They don't buy stock with their own money. They end up showing up to a handful of board meetings and they're making a fortune. You've got a management team that is grossly overpaid. There's nothing more American than basically risking your own capital. So why does everyone want us to fail?

AppLovin的成功案例: AppLovin從一個8美元的網域開始,沒有獲得任何風險投資(VC)資金。但他們還是成功了,成為世界上最大的廣告平台之一。現在,他們正將同樣的引擎帶入電子商務領域,透過AppLovin Ads。你的廣告會在手機遊戲中運行,以無打擾的全螢幕注意力接觸超過十億人。該平台找到買家並針對利潤進行優化。你設定目標,剩下的就交給它做。一家銷售400萬美元的廚具品牌試用過AppLovin廣告,達到了1600萬次曝光,變得有利可圖,並且他們正朝着今年8000萬美元邁進。立即訪問apploven.com/allin即可今天啟動你的第一個活動。

Original English

AppLovin的成功案例: AppLovin started with an $8 domain and no VC funding. They built anyway and became one of the largest ad platforms in the world. Now they're bringing that same engine to e-commerce through AppLoving Ads. Your ads run inside mobile games, reaching over a billion people with full screen distraction-free attention. The platform finds buyers and optimizes for profit. You set the target, it does the rest. A cookware brand doing $4 million tried AppLovven ads, hit 16 million, turned profitable, and they're on pace for $80 million this year. Visit apploven.com/allin to launch your first campaign today.

Ryan Cohen的背景與Chewy的故事

Ryan Cohen: Ryan Cohen,歡迎來到All-In專訪。謝謝你來這裡。

Original English

Ryan Cohen: Ryan Cohen, welcome to the All-In Interview. Thanks for being here.

對時間的感慨與eBay的挑戰: 謝謝你的邀請。我認為這已經有一十年了,想想你和我上次在紐約共進晚餐的時間,真是瘋狂,我們多久能變得這麼老呢?這是在你人生 unfolding 的幾個章節之前發生的事情。今天能和你談談很高興。你現在正在做一些非常有趣的事情,試圖收購和經營eBay,這顯然是一個重大的故事,它讓我們回溯到網路開始的25、30年前。但我首先想談談你的故事,如果可以的話。我希望那些正在看或聽這個的人能了解一點關於你以及帶你走到這一刻的旅程。也許我們可以回到你創立的業務Chewy,如果可以的話。

Original English

Ryan Cohen: Thank you for having me. I think it's been like a decade, which is crazy how old we get since you and I last had dinner in New York. This was before several chapters of your life unfolded. And it's great to be talking with you today. You're doing something really interesting right now, trying to acquire and run eBay, which obviously is a big story right now that takes us back 25, 30 years to the start of the internet. But I want to talk a little bit about your story first, if that's okay. And I'd love for folks that are watching this or listening to this to learn a little bit about you and the journey you've been on that brings you to this moment. Maybe we can go back to the business you started, Chewy, if that's okay.

Chewy的創立動機與市場洞察: 是的,當然可以。對。嗯,也許告訴我你為什麼要創立Chewy?你是如何產生那個想法的,以及在當時從什麼背景開始建立這個業務的?我們當時想在網路上建立一些東西,我們正準備推出一個線上珠寶網站。我們對珠寶一無所知。我們參加了一堆貿易展,買了數十萬美元的庫存,建立了網站,擁有分銷渠道,然後我正在一家寵物店裡購物。我有了一隻푸德爾(Poodle),每隔幾週就去那裡,在一次旅行中,我才真正理解了這個產品。這是一種經常性的收入購買。當時市場仍然是分散的。那個時候還有社區寵物店,而且它們尚未被Petco和PetSmart顛覆,這讓我感到非常著迷。然後你有了Amazon,它已經建立起來了,自90年代以來就有寵物產品,但他們在這個類別中並沒有真正實現規模化。所以,願景是複製我在社區寵物店那時的體驗,但把它做成線上並大規模地進行。我參考了Amazon在供應鏈方面的最佳實踐:快速運輸、擁有優質的選擇、具有競爭力的價格,以及像在社區寵物店那樣對產品非常了解的體驗。而且因為我是寵物主人,我們僱用的人也是寵物主人,所以很容易對寵物類別產生熱情。這一切都是以低利潤業務為目標的市場領導力。回想起來,與Amazon正面競爭銷售30磅的寵物食物可能不是最好的想法,但我們執行得非常好,並且迅速成長了,而且我們擁有負的營運資本,所以這是一個能夠獲得數十億美元收入卻不消耗大量資本的業務。

Original English

**Yes, definitely. Yeah. Well, maybe tell me why you started Chewy. How did you get that idea and and how did you get into building this business from where you were coming from at that time? We were um wanted to build something online and we were uh about to launch an online jewelry website. Did not know anything about jewelry. Went to a bunch of trade shows, bought hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of inventory, built the website, had the distribution, and then I was shopping in a neighborhood pet store. Uh, I had a poodle and I was going every few weeks and it just hit me on one of my trips that I understood the product much better. It was a recurring revenue purchase. The market was still fragmented. The fact that there was still neighborhood pet stores at the time and they had not been disrupted by Petco and PetSmart was fascinating to me. And then you had Amazon, which was established and had pet products since the '9s, but they hadn't really achieved real scale in the category. So, the vision was to replicate the same experience that I had at the neighborhood pet store, but do it online and do it at scale. And I looked at Amazon's best practices when it came to supply chain. So, fast shipping, having a great selection, being competitively priced, and then the experience at the neighborhood pet store of knowing the products really well, and it was easy to be passionate about the pet category cuz I'm a pet owner and everyone we hired were pet owners. And uh it was all about market leadership as a low margin business. hindsight, not necessarily the best idea to go head-to-head against Amazon, selling 30 lb bags of pet food, but we executed really well and we grew really quickly and we had negative working capital and so it was a business that was able to get uh billions of dollars in revenue and and not consume a lot of capital.

如何執行業務與管理團隊的建立

Ryan Cohen: 你是如何學會執行得很好的?在當時你沒有太多業務經驗。你是如何學到那些技能的?是什麼原則和價值觀讓你成為經營那家業務的專家?

Original English

Ryan Cohen: How did you learn to execute well? So, at the time you had little business experience prior to that. How did you learn those skills? What were the principles and the values that that made you excellent at operating that business?

對供應鏈的理解與競爭策略: 我從一開始就明白,真正的競爭永遠是Amazon,在供應鏈方面他們是世界級的。所以要非常激烈地與供應商談判,以獲得最好的產品成本。這意味著實現規模化,從購買狗糧棧板到運輸大量的狗糧,從分銷轉向直接採購,通常你買得越多,價格就越低。在倉庫中高效運營,優化勞動力管理、優化倉庫管理,與運輸承運商競爭以獲得有競爭力的價格。這是一場「花費幾美分」的遊戲,你知道我們目標是快速成長並建立市場領導地位,失敗和成功的區別就是:紅色的美分是失敗,黑色的美分是成功。所以,我們必須超高效地運營,而且該領域競爭非常激烈。這不是一個新想法。而是與Amazon正面競爭,Pets.com在背景中的情況。嗯,這使得籌集資本變得非常困難,但我會說從高層次來看,市場低估了可服務市場的規模,但低估了我們的執行力。你知道,作為消費者,我養過很多狗。那一直都是非常棒的消費體驗。你個人是意識到這一點的嗎?還是你帶來的那些了解消費者(除了供應鏈優化、勞動力優化、讓現金流運作正常)的人很厲害呢?在那個業務中,你花費了多少時間在消費者產品角度上?當我們查看這些群體時,你可以看到客戶非常忠誠。我之所以從珠寶轉向寵物食物的原因是因為它是一種經常性商品。所以我喜歡這一點:當我們剛開始Chewy的前幾年,我們只是專注於食物、零食、貓砂,都是人們每天都在購買的東西。所以願景和想法是:如果我們對客戶好,他們就會繼續與我們購物,這就是我們所做的。從手寫的節日卡到寵物肖像畫再到24/7客戶服務,我們都做了。如果出現任何問題,你知道,我們會照顧顧客,事情就是這樣發生的。而且客戶繼續與我們購物,最好的推薦是口碑,而且寵物主人喜歡告訴他們的家人和同業寵物主他們獲得了很好的體驗。

Original English

Ryan Cohen: I understood from the beginning that the real competition was always Amazon and they were world class when it comes to supply chain. So negotiating very fiercely with suppliers to get the best product costs. And that meant getting to scale and going from buying pallets of dog food to truckloads of dog food and moving from distribution to direct and buying generally the more you buy the lower the prices are going to be. Operating efficiently in the warehouses and so labor optimization, warehouse management optimization, getting competitive prices with shipping carriers. It was a game of pennies and we you know we were the goal was to grow quickly and establish market leadership and the difference between failure and success was you know pennies in the red is failure and and pennies in the black is success. So, uh, we had to operate hyperefficiently and there was a lot of competition in the space. It wasn't a novel idea. It was going head-to-head against Amazon and Pets.com was in the backdrop. Um, so it made it very difficult to raise capital, but I'd say at a high level, the market underestimated not not the size of the addressable market, but our execution. you know, as a customer, I've had lots of dogs. It was always such a great consumer experience. Did Did you personally put your finger on that or did you bring great people around you that understood consumer apart from the supply chain optimization, the labor optimization, getting the cash flows to work, right? Was there a lot on the consumer product angle that you spent time on with that business? When we looked at the cohorts, you could see the customers were very sticky and the I looked at it the reason why I moved from jewelry to pet food was cuz it was a recurring item. So I love the fact that it was consumable and when we started Chewy for the first few years we just focused on food, treats, litter, all of the things that people are buying all the time. So the vision and the idea was if we treat our customers well, they're going to continue shopping with us and and that's what we did. And so it was everything from the handwritten holiday cards to the pet portraits to 24/7 customer service. And uh if there was ever an issue, you know, we took care of the customer and that um that's what happened. and and the customers continued shopping with us and and the best referrals are word of mouth and um pet owners love to tell their friends and fellow pet owners if they have a great experience.

業務管理與領導力建設的學習

Ryan Cohen: 最終,這個論點得到了驗證。那麼對於那些不知道的人來說,你於2017年建立了Chewy並以33.5億美元出售了公司。隨後進行了首次公開募股(IPO),該業務持續增長價值。所以,你確實執行得很好,但請幫助我理解你是如何建立和管理領導團隊、周圍的人員以及讓他們能成功執行的?在建立Chewy的過程中,作為管理者、CEO和營運者,你學到了什麼?

Original English

Ryan Cohen: the thesis ultimately played out. So, for those who don't know, you built and sold the business in 2017 for $3.35 billion. Subsequently, there was an IPO and that business continued to trade up in value. So, you clearly executed well, but help me understand how did you build and manage the leadership team, the management team and the people around you to execute so well. What did you learn as a manager, as a CEO, as an operator when you were building Chewy?

持續保持頂尖的狀態: 保持對一切的掌控。就是24/7地關注所有數字。我的意思是,我會一直待在Google AdWords上直到早上4點或5點管理廣告活動。我會直接與我們所有的主要供應商進行談判。有一家供應商在我的一次談判中告訴我,實際上說這就像是一年一合同,他說:「我很高興這結束了。我再也不用跟你談論了。」他會說,「明年我不用再跟她談話了。」那是一種讚美。每當其他人進行談判時,這很反直覺。他們想與供應商建立關係。現實是,這大多是交易性的。所以,如果我們的供應商寄給我們郵件禮物,那是一個非常壞的信號。這意味著我們支付過高的價格。如果我們的供應商告訴我們他們再也不想跟我們談了,這意味著我們拿到了正確的價格。但要讓大家進入那個框架並不容易。

Original English

Ryan Cohen: Staying on top of everything. Ju just it's 24/7 watching all of the numbers. I mean, I would uh stay in Google AdWords till 4:00 or 5 in the morning managing campaigns myself. Um, I was negotiating directly with all of our major suppliers. I had a supplier that told me during one of our negotiations actually said it was like a one or one-year contract and he's like, "I'm so happy this is over. I never have to talk to you for well it was it was basically another year." He's like, I don't have to speak to her for next year. I was like, that was a compliment. I would And anytime someone else was doing the negotiation, I mean, it's counterintuitive. They want to build relationships with suppliers. The reality is is it's mostly transactional. And so, if our suppliers are sending us gifts in the mail, that's a really bad sign. It means we're overpaying. If our suppliers are telling us they never want to speak to us again, it means we're getting the right price. But getting people into that framework

对管理人才的理解与团队建设方法

Speaker A: 我只是想理解你作为管理人员的能力,因为很明显你在GameStop上做了一件对的事情,并且你继续执行下去。我们稍后会深入探讨这一点,我试图了解你是如何找到优秀的人才的,又是如何让员工负责(hold people accountable)的,以及你为建立团队和运营团队开发了哪些管理技巧?

Original English

Speaker A: I'm just trying to understand your skill as a manager of people because clearly you did something right and you continue to execute at GameStop which we'll get to in a minute and I'm trying to understand how do you find great people and how do you hold people accountable and what are management techniques that you've developed for building a team and running a team?

Speaker A: 我寻找的是那些会过度投入(will overkill)的人,嗯,我以前有一个女性做客户服务,作为例子,她来自一个老年人之家,她申请过这个职位很多次,我们当时就觉得她不合格了,我们仔细看了她的简历,但她一直都在申请。她非常执着。所以从纸面上看,她不一定有正确的经验,但她有动力,她有积极性,她想工作,最后她变得不可思议。所以,我的意思是,总的来说,是找到那些极其渴望、愿意把所有东西都投入进去、不计后果地去行动的人,基本上和我们一样疯狂。而我们组建的团队就是一群心理变态(psychopaths)。

Original English

Speaker A: I look for will overkill and um I had a woman that was running customer service as an example and she came from uh she was working in like an old people's home and she applied for the job many times and we just we didn't think she was qualified and we looked over her resume uh and she kept on applying. She was relentless. Uh so on paper, she didn't necessarily have the right experience, but she had drive, she was motivated, she wanted to work, and she ended up being incredible. So, I mean it was in general it was finding people that are dieards that are just willing to put everything in, go all in, no pun intended, um, and basically be as psychotic as me. And that was the team that we put together. It was just a bunch of fellow psychopaths.

Speaker B: 而心理变态会吸引心理变态。那引擎就在那个点上运行了。

Original English

Speaker B: And psychopaths attract psychopaths. And the engine is running at that point.

Speaker A: 完全正确。完全正确。是的。A只会和A待在一起。

Original English

Speaker A: Exactly. Exactly. Yeah. A A's only put up with A's.

关于出售Chewy的看法与投资策略转变

Speaker B: 你后悔卖掉Chewy吗?因为我的意思是,它在两年后上市时市值达到了200亿美元。我指的是……

Original English

Speaker B: And do you regret selling Chewy when you did? Because I mean it went public at like what 20 billion market cap like two years later. I mean >> as soon as I sold it, it just >> took off.

Speaker A: 你是负债吗?不。我不知道发生了什么?

Original English

Speaker A: Were you a liability? No. I'm like what happened?

Speaker B: 嗯,你知道,如果你和那些投资银行家谈话,我们就像……你知道,我们获得了惊人的价格,然后突然它上市了,基本上比任何人都预期的要多得多。所以,没有人有水晶球。Chewy 是我的宝贝。我投入了很多精力,我热爱那家业务。所以是的,生活中的每件事都有一个原因,一种或另一种方式。

Original English

Speaker B: Well, I mean uh you know typical if you talk to the investment bankers there we're like you know we're getting a amazing price and then all of a sudden it goes public and there's basically a lot more than what anyone had guessed. So, nobody has a crystal ball. Um, Chewy was my baby. I put a lot of uh I love that business. And um so yeah, and everything everything works out for a reason in life one way or another.

Speaker A: 是的。如果我们当时还在运营Chewy,我们不会进行这样的对话。或者至少也许会,但那将是关于狗粮的事情。

Original English

Speaker A: Yeah. >> And we wouldn't be having this conversation if I was still running Chewy. So, or at least maybe we would, but it would be about dog food.

Speaker B: 我们会谈论你如何建立一个百亿美元的狗粮公司市值。但……

Original English

Speaker B: >> we'd be talking about how you built a hundred billion dollar market cap dog food company. But

从被动投资者到积极投资者的转变

Speaker A: 在你卖掉它之后,你变成了一个相当活跃的投资者。这是对你下一个阶段的公平陈述吗?

Original English

Speaker A: So after you sold it, you kind of became a pretty active investor. Is that a fair statement about the next chapter for you?

Speaker B: 我第一次成为激进投资者(activist)。是的,那是一个准确的陈述。你当时是相当活跃的,只是一般来说,你会买入并持有集中持有的股票。在那个阶段,这公平吗?

Original English

Speaker B: >> Uh I went activist for the first time. Yeah, that's that's a that's an accurate statement. >> Well, you were like a pretty active like just general like you would buy and hold concentrated positions and in stocks. Is that is that fair at that stage?

Speaker A: 你是如何挑选公司的?你寻找什么?你是如何做出那些投资的?也许你可以向我们讲述一下你在那个阶段经历的一些故事。

Original English

Speaker A: >> How did you pick companies? So what did you look for and how did you make the investments you made? maybe you can walk us through a couple of the stories of what you you went through at that stage.

Speaker B: 我寻找的是那些已经建立起来的业务,它们有强劲的历史盈利记录,而且通常在被动或激进投资方面不受欢迎。这就是我的总体框架。

Original English

Speaker B: >> Um, I looked for established businesses that have a strong historical track record of making money and typically are out of favor when it comes to passive or activist kind of investments. And so, um, that's been my general framework.

激进投资的动机与GameStop事件的细节

Speaker A: 你为什么选择在开始做这些的时候成为激进投资者?你是因为和管理层谈话时感到沮丧,决定让它上市,还是存在一种你一直在追求的模型,在那里你看到其他人通过公开指出业务问题并推动变革取得了成功?

Original English

Speaker A: >> Why did you choose to go activist when you kind of started making these? Were you getting frustrated in conversations with management, decided to take it public, or was there a model that you were kind of going after where you saw others have success with publicly calling out issues in businesses and driving change?

Speaker B: 嗯,当涉及到GameStop时,最初它是一种被动投资,我持股不到5%,而CEO实际上主动联系了我,因为他们当时正在与一个激进投资者打交道,他们希望我加入董事会。他们认为我基本上会是他们的朋友。“哦,这个人持有公司的一小部分股份,让我们给他一个董事会席位,他将帮助我们基本抵御这个激进投资者。”所以他们把这个想法灌输给了我。

Original English

Speaker B: Well, when it came to GameStop, originally it was a passive investment and I owned under 5% and the CEO actually reached out to me cuz they were fighting um an activist and they wanted me to join the board. They thought I was basically going to be their friend. They're like, "Oh, this guy owns a few percent of the company and let's give him a board seat and he'll help us basically fend off um this activist and so they kind of put the idea in my head.

Speaker A: 这大约是在2020年,对吧?

Original English

Speaker A: >> This is around 2020, right?

Speaker B: 是的,完全正确。嗯,当时我父亲刚去世,他们向我提供了一个董事会席位,但我当时想做这件事,你知道,我看了看董事会,他们有一个非常大的董事会,他们向我提供一个董事会席位,这并不具有吸引力。然后情况变得更糟。他们被视为非核心商店,基本上处于破产边缘。股价大幅下跌,然后我继续积累。我最终超过了5%。到那个时候,我需要决定是提交G还是D?13G基本上如果你想保持被动,这意味着你不会与管理团队进行任何互动。而D就是你将与他们进行互动的地点。所以一旦我超过了5%,这是一个简单的决定。我记得当时我接到了GameStop CEO的电话,他当时说:“是的,我们正在讨论你超过5%并提交所需的SEC表格,但他问你提交的是D还是G?”我回答说,“是D。”而D显然意味着,你知道,你的意图是成为激进投资者,即使它不一定意味着你需要采取敌对手段。它只是意味着你将与管理团队进行互动。所以,嗯,总之,基本上就是这样发生的。

Original English

Speaker B: >> It was Yes, exactly. Uh so I wasn't in a place uh my father had just died recently and they offered me a single board seat and I'm like if I'm going to do this you know I looked at the board and they had a really large board and they're offering me a single board seat and it just wasn't attractive. And then you know co things got a lot worse. They were deemed a non-essential store basically like kind of on the verge of bankruptcy. The stock traded down significantly and then I continued accumulating. I ended up going above 5%. At that point, I needed to decide, am I going to file a G or a D? A 13G is basically if you want to be passive, which means you're not going to engage with the management team at all. And a D is where you are going to engage with them. So that was an easy decision once I crossed over 5%. And I remember actually getting a call from the CEO of GameStop at the time and he's like, "Yeah, we were discussing me going above 5% and filing the required SEC forms and he's like, "Did you file a D or a G?" And I'm like, "A D." And a D obviously is, you know, it's intended that you're going to be activist, even though it doesn't necessarily mean you need to be hostile. It just means you're going to engage with the management team. So, um, anyway, basically that's, uh, that was what happened.

GameStop的价值识别与市场叙事

Speaker A: 但回到GameStop,你是如何首先识别出GameStop的?因为那种故事线是,嘿,华尔街Bets在互联网上做了一些事情,然后每个人都开始关注它,它变成了一个迷因股(meme stock)。你看到了根本性的未实现价值吗?因为你似乎是一个真正的未实现价值投资者。我会用一种方式来形容。告诉我如果你不同意一个组织具有尚未实现的潜力的真实价值,那是什么?你在GameStop看到了什么?你是如何首先识别它的并开始参与和积累的?

Original English

Speaker A: >> But going back to GameStop, how did you first identify GameStop? Because the the kind of storyline is, hey, Wall Street Bets put something on the internet and everyone starts paying attention to it and becomes a meme stock. Was there fundamental unrealized value you saw? Because you seem to be a real kind of unrealized value investor is how I would kind of describe. Tell me if you disagree that there's real value in an organization that's not being realized its potential. What did you see in GameStop? How did you first identify it and get involved and start accumulating?

Speaker B: 我发现很有趣的是,无论出于什么原因,直到今天,每个人都讨厌主流媒体。普遍共识是GameStop很久以前就会倒闭了,对吧?比如15年前,这件事基本上被做空到彻底消失了。而且每个人都在做空它,每个人基本上都讨厌它。这是那种当你甚至说GameStop时,每个人都会说,“呃,你是一个GameStop的投资者。”所以,只要我记得,这基本上一直是“黑马”的声誉。每个人都喜欢站在交易的另一边或对它进行押注。所以我喜欢这个想法,比如进入一个你基本上正在面对一个即将烧毁的房子的情况。我最初是以投资者身份做的,因为通常在有大量悲观和恐惧的时候,你会看到机会。然后你知道,我最终不是故意加入董事会并成为CEO,但那不是最初的计划。最初的计划是做一个被动投资者,然后我基本上就……就是没有其他人可以做这份工作,所以有人需要做,而我们今天就在这里。

Original English

Speaker B: I found it fascinating that everybody was like, for whatever reason, and still to this day, everybody hates like the mainstream media, the general consensus has been that GameStop is going to be is was going out of business like a long time ago, right? Like 15 years ago, this thing was basically shorted to oblivion. Uh, and everyone was betting against it and everyone's basically just hated it. It's one of those things where when you even say GameStop, everyone's like, uh, like really, you're an investor in GameStop. So, that's always for as long as I remember, that's basically been the reputation is like the underdog. Everyone loves to take the other side of the trade or bet against it. And so, I like that. Like I like the idea of going into a situation where you're basically running into you're running into a burning house. And I originally did it as an investor cuz typically that's where you see opportunities is when there's a lot of pessimism and fear. And then you know I ended up basically not necessarily intentionally uh joining the board and then ultimately being the CEO. But that wasn't the original plan. The original plan was basically to be a passive investor and then I basically ended up just it's like there was no one else to do the job so someone needs to do it and here we are today.

价值发现的原始论点与业务周期的变化

Speaker A: 有关于价值实现的论点,还是仅仅是市场认为价值错了?你当时是否认为存在可以推动更多价值的运营变化?还是只是每个人都做空了它,每个人都站在了错误的一边?最初的论点是即将到来的主机周期,他们可能在即将到来的主机周期到来之前会生存下来,新的PlayStation和微软Xbox要发布。这是一个非常周期性的业务。GameStop通常在主机周期的开始阶段表现非常好,当市场非常紧张,人们基本上都在做游戏电脑来购买硬件和软件。所以这就是最初的论点,然后随着我被卷入,显然业务完全不同了,论点已经改变了。但那是我作为一名被动投资者开始的地方。所以他们要求你加入董事会,但你提出了一个观点,嘿,如果我要参与,我需要更多的董事会席位。这是否是这种演变的方式?

Original English

Speaker A: >> Was there a thesis on value realization or was it just about the market had the value wrong? Did you think at the time there was operational changes that could drive more value or was it just like hey everyone's got this shorted everyone's got this to the wrong side. The original thesis was that there's an upcoming console cycle and that they're probably going to survive until the upcoming console cycle and the new PlayStation and Microsoft Xbox comes out. And it was a very cyclical business. And GameStop typically does very well in the beginning of the console cycle when the market is very very tight and people are basically running a gametop to buy hardware and software. And so that was that was the original thesis and then as I got pulled in obviously the business is completely different and the thesis has changed. Uh but that's where I started as a as a passive investor. So then they ask you to join the board, but you make the point, hey, if I'm going to be involved, I need to have more board seats. Is that kind of how the evolution?

Speaker B: 是的,他们认为我基本上只是要加入董事会并成为一个“路径”(pathy)。

Original English

Speaker B: >> Yeah, they thought I was basically just going to join the board and be a pathy.

关于战略转变与业务模式的思考

Speaker A: 你可能选错了人来考虑那件事。所以你公开了你的看法,对吗?我记得当时大概是2021年,你和Chewy的另外两名高管一起加入了董事会,他们是你朋友或同事。这没错吧?

Original English

Speaker A: And then you said, then you probably picked the wrong guy to think that that was going to be the case. So then you went public with your views. Is that is that right? and kind of so I think it was 2021 like early 2021 you joined the board with two other executives from Chewy, two friends of yours or two colleagues of yours. Is that is that right?

Speaker B: 完全正确。然后股价上涨,所有做空头寸的对冲基金都不得不平仓,股价就暴涨了。这整个故事就是这样。所以2021年公司筹集了97亿美元,清除了所有债务。在那个商业周期点,你当时有什么计划?有没有一个投资运营计划是你试图让团队去执行的?

Original English

Speaker B: Exactly. And then the stock took off and all of the hedge funds that were short had to cover and the stock price just ripped. And this is the whole story. So then in 2021 the company raises billion7 wipes out all the debt and what was the plan at that point in the business cycle? Was there an investment operating plan that you were trying to get the team to execute against?

Speaker A: 最初的计划,我在GameStop学了很多东西。我基本上是去那里,带着Chewy的偏见——也就是我在Chewy学到的一切,我要应用到GameStop上。花了我大概一年时间才意识到那真的很愚蠢。但我最终雇佣了一群来自Chewy和亚马逊的电商人才。我不是CEO,我是雇了一个CEO。所以你知道,我没有对日常运营有深入了解。但战略是让GameStop更像Chewy。而那是错误的战略。一旦我成为CEO,我就很快调整了,因为……我的意思是,我只是坦率地说,我看了财务报表,发现这毫无意义。然后我们进入了一种疯狂的成本削减模式,专注于效率,基本上专注于GameStop真正擅长的事情,也就是二手商品方面。然后专注于非常出色地运营零售业务。最终,这导致我们进入了收藏品这个类别。你知道,今天这家公司在收藏品领域是领导者,软件只占业务的一小部分,但我们在方法上的很多学习来自于你看看Chewy和GameStop,你会说他们都是零售商,采取相同的剧本,但这并不是那样,完全不同的动物。你知道,一个有重复购买和非常粘性的用户群体,而且我们永远不会为库存过度购买,比如在Chewy上,因为最终我们会卖掉它,收入在增长,我们很快就处理了库存。而我们在GameStop上买了一堆各种库存,最后有一堆电视等等库存被困在商店里,如果你不卖掉它,你最终会损失很多钱,然后打折。所以这对我理解实体零售的很多东西是有帮助的。当我加入董事会时,当我成为CEO时,我没有任何实体零售经验。

Original English

Speaker A: The original plan I learned a lot at GameStop. I basically took I went in and I had this bias from Chewy, which is basically like everything that I learned at Chewy I was going to apply to GameStop. And it took me about I don't know maybe just over a year to realize that was really really stupid. But I ended up hiring a bunch of e-commerce people from Chewy and Amazon. And I wasn't the CEO. I hired a CEO. So, you know, I I didn't have day-to-day visibility on what was going on. But the strategy was to make GameStop more like Chewy. And that was the wrong strategy. And once I became the CEO, I quickly adjusted because I mean I I just frankly I looked at the financials and saw it didn't make any sense. And then it was, you know, went into maniacal cost cutting mode, efficiency, basically focusing on what GameStop is really good at, which is the pre-owned side of things. um and focused on running the retail business very very well. And then ultimately that led us to the category the category of collectibles which you know today the business is a leader in the collectibles category and uh software makes up a very small percent of the business but there were a lot of learnings on the way and you you look at basically Chewy and GameStop you say well they're both retailers you take the same playbook but that's not that was not the case totally different animal and you know one is you've got repeat purchases and you've got these really sticky cohorts and you know we can never over buy inventory for instance at Chewy because we would end up ultimately selling it. the revenues were growing and we turned the inventory very quickly. Whereas we ended up buying all kinds of inventory at GameStop and ended up having a bunch of TVs and um inventory that ends up getting stuck in the stores and if you don't sell it you end up basically taking down you know losing a lot of money and marking it down. So lot of learnings along the way for me to understand physical retail which when I joined the board I when I became CEO I had zero physical retail experience.

Speaker B: 你会考虑GameStop这个网络、商店和消费者除了收藏品之外,还能利用哪些不同的类别?你是如何选择向收藏品扩张而不是其他任何你可能可以进入的二手类别的?

Original English

Speaker B: did you think a lot about here are the different categories we could leverage this GameStop network the stores the consumer into besides collectibles? How did you kind of pick the expansion into collectibles versus any other sort of used category you might be able to kind of move into?

Speaker A: 我们已经在那个类别了。我们不是在该领域深耕,我们尝试了一些消费者电子产品中其他几种不同的事情,但最终并没有像收藏品那样火起来。你知道,如果你特别看TCG,但现在我们在体育领域也在增长,也非常受欢迎。所以我们尝试了一些不同的事情,而且交易模型尤其,你知道,效果非常好,就像今天你可以基本上带来一个经过认证的PSA卡八级及以上的卡,我们会现场给你现金。我们买回那张卡,然后我们要么在商店里卖掉它,要么把它带回我们的仓库在线卖。所以这和我们在硬件和软件上有的交易模型非常相似,而且可以很好地扩展到交易卡类别。

Original English

Speaker A: We were already in the category. We weren't deep in the category and we did try a few different other things within consumer electronics that just really didn't end up taking off like collectibles did. And um you know if you look at at TCG in particular but now we're growing uh in sports as well has been very very very popular. So, we tried a few different things and the trade-in model especially, you know, worked really well where like today you could basically bring in a not basically you can bring in a graded PSA card eight and above and we will give you cash on the spot. We buy back the card and then we either sell it in the store or we bring it back to our warehouses and we sell it online. So that was very similar to the trade-in model that we had on both hardware and software and it was very extendable to the trading cards category as well.

Speaker B: 在你做出这个转变的过程中,你是否需要改变团队很多?管理团队,我指的是在你成为领导层CEO之后,在领导层以下的人员流动情况如何?那是在识别公司人才并让他们直接与他们合作。比如那些最了解GameStop的人,长期在那里工作的人,和我紧密合作,最终运作得非常好。

Original English

Speaker B: As you made this change, did you have to change the team a lot? Management team, I mean what was the turnover like after you became CEO at the leadership level and then below the leadership level? It was identifying the talent at the company and basically having them working directly with them. Like the the people who know GameStop the best have been the people that have been there for a long time and me working closely with them um ended up working really well.

Speaker A: 你当然也引入了其他人来补充。是的,一些……但总的来说,你知道,与那些了解业务的人合作是很好的。有些人管理过多个业务或担任过CEO,并将他们的技能应用到不同的业务线。比如我几个星期前采访了Charles Ko,他来自KO Industries。他有一整套原则,他试图将其应用于经营一家企业。他用这些原则来建立、收购和运营多种不同类型的业务,并通过将他的原则应用于他如何经营它们来改变业务。你有没有一个类似的框架或模型或机器来运行业务,评估什么有效什么无效,然后将它应用到GameStop、Chewy,也许是eBay上?你反复使用过什么对你来说效果好?还是说一切都真的是禅宗心、初学者心态、第一性原理的思维方式来思考这个业务?我肯定有,但我不太擅长把它表达出来。所以我不确定我是不是那个能把脑子里想到的事情说清楚的人。有时候,比如……无论我感觉如何,我甚至无法描述它。如果我描述了,结果就会是错的。所以别人可能比我更好地回答这个问题。你觉得一个反复为你工作的人会怎么说?

Original English

Speaker A: You brought in others obviously as well to complement that. Yeah, some some but I mean generally you know working with uh the people that have been there that know the business really well. Yeah, some folks who have managed multiple businesses or been CEO and applied their skills to different business lines. You know, I interviewed this guy Charles Ko a few weeks ago from KO Industries. He's got a whole set of principles that he tries to apply to running a business. and those principles he's used to build and acquire and operate multiple different kinds of businesses and he transforms the business by applying his principles to how he runs them. Do you have a similar sort of framework or model or machine that you use for running the business, assessing what's working and what's not working that you then bring to bear on GameStop, on Chewy, and maybe next on eBay that you've used repeatedly that works well for you? Or is everything kind of truly zen mind, beginner's mind, first principles approach to thinking about the business? I'm sure I do, but I'm not good at articulating it. So, I don't know if I'm the right person to be able to say what's going through my brain. Sometimes, like whatever I'm feeling, I can't even necessarily describe it. And if I describe it, it ends up being wrong. So, someone else could probably do a better job at answering that question than me. What do you think someone else that's worked for you repeatedly would say it's like to work with you?

Speaker B: 你得问他们。好吧,希望不是好消息。是的,压力很大。随着全球经济变得越来越互联,信任成为系统中最有价值的资产。NASDAQ每周分析18亿美元的交易。当一个机构出现欺诈模式时,人工智能可以在几小时内加强整个网络的检测能力。这就是当信任被构建到基础设施本身时看起来是什么样子。为正在到来的经济而构建的基础设施。在nasdaq.com上了解更多信息。数字本身就说明了你在GameStop上交付了什么。我认为收藏品现在占收入的42%,3.5亿美元。第一季度收入是8.35亿美元。你同比增长了14%。你将SGNA从228削减到202。你有97亿美元的现金,3.33亿的自由现金流,董事会只是授权可以进行股票回购。所以你运营这个业务的方式非常惊人。所以,在构建GameStop、运营它和执行的过程中,什么让你抬起头说,“嘿,我们应该考虑收购和其他事情,而不是仅仅有机地建立一切”?

Original English

Speaker B: You'd have to you'd have to ask them. Okay. So hopefully not good things. Hopefully not good things. Yeah, the pressure is on. As the global economy becomes more connected, trust becomes the most valuable asset in the system. NASDAQ analyzes 1.8 billion transactions every week. And when a fraud pattern surfaces at one institution, AI strengthens detection across the entire network within hours. That is what it looks like when trust is built into the infrastructure itself. Built for the economy that is arriving. Find out more at nasdaq.com. The numbers speak for themselves in terms of what you've delivered at GameStop. I think collectibles is now 42% of revenue, $350 million. In Q1, revenue was 835 million. You grew at 14% year-over-year. You cut SGNA from 228 to 202. You have 9.7 billion in cash, 333 million in free cash flow, and the board's just authorized to share repurchase. So, it's pretty tremendous how you've operated this business. So, so help me understand a little bit as you're building GameStop, operating it, and executing. What makes you lift your head up and say, "Hey, we should be doing acquisitions and looking at other things instead of just building everything organically in house."

对电商的思考与eBay的潜力分析

Speaker A: 我对电子商务有一些了解,而且坦白说,我更擅长运营这个领域。所以当你看看各个企业是如何运作起来有意义的,然后你再看看它在我能力的范围内时,我简直无法停止思考这件事。所以我观察Chewy的情况:从现在的角度来看,在宠物领域,我们曾经有很多竞争对手,他们都非常成熟,而且是相当不错的运营商,但他们最终没有成功,因为你知道,与亚马逊相比,那是一个低利润的业务。这有点像航空业,人们并不真正关心他们飞了哪家航空公司,他们只是单纯地以价格来购物。

Original English

Speaker A: I know a thing or two about e-commerce and it's an area where frankly I'm much more comfortable operating. And so when you look at how much the businesses together make sense and then you look at the fact that it's within my circle of competence, it's uh all I can't stop thinking about it. So I look at Chewy as like >> Chewy in hindsight, we had a lot of competition in the pet space that were really well-funded and they were decent operators and they didn't end up making it because, you know, it was a low margin business going head-to-head against Amazon. And it's similar to like the the airline industry where people don't really care about the actual airline they're flying. They're just basically shopping by price.

Speaker B: 是的,那是在网上销售宠物食品。不是一个好主意。你知道,GameStop,我也不认为那是一个很好的主意。但这实际上是一个非常好的主意,无论它最终是否成功,但这是一个非常好的主意。我们会看看会发生什么。

Original English

Speaker B: >> yeah, >> that that was selling pet food online. Not a great idea. And you know, GameStop, I don't think was such a good idea either. This was this is actually a really good idea whether it ends up working out or not, but this is actually a really good idea. We'll see what happens.

Speaker A: 有没有一个你记得当时说“该为eBay做个游戏”的时刻?你还记得那个想法萌生出来的时候,你是在思考这个业务还是在看这个业务的哪个瞬间吗?

Original English

Speaker A: >> Was there a moment you remember when you said, "Shit, we should make a play for eBay." Do you remember that moment when you were kind of looking at the business or thinking about the business when this idea kind of sprung forth?

Speaker B: 是的,我知道。那是什么?

Original English

Speaker B: >> Yes, I know. >> What was it?

Speaker A: 我当时在厕所。

Original English

Speaker A: >> I I was on the toilet.

Speaker B: 好的。你当时就是在想这件事。

Original English

Speaker B: >> Okay. And you were just thinking about it pretty much.

Speaker A: 我假设你一直在研究这个业务,因为你在收藏品行业,学了一点关于它,然后当时就有了这个想法。你当时就坐在那里想的。

Original English

Speaker A: >> I'm assuming you've been studying the business cuz you're in the collectibles business and learning a little bit about it and had this idea. sitting there.

Speaker B: 是的。我的意思是,我关注eBay已经很长一段时间了,我开始欣赏他们的那个在收藏品领域的经验,他们的护城河。但它不仅仅是收藏品。我的意思是,它是业务中翻新科技产品的那一部分。

Original English

Speaker B: >> Yeah. >> GameStop, it's a big portion of our business, and it's a big portion of eBay's business, too. in the secondhand business as well. So, there were other things that I thought about where I could personally add value and might make sense for GameStop, but this one made sense for me personally and it makes sense for GameStop.

Speaker A: 所以,如果你研究了eBay,你认为早期团队做得对的地方是什么?仅仅是网络效应和业务发展起来后,一旦他们有了网络,就很难打破护城河了吗?有没有关于公式、消费者模型或经验的什么东西?因为你在公开场合说过,嘿,eBay在早期看起来很像它现在的样子。早期管理层、早期设计原则、早期工程有什么让eBay成为今天的样子的事情吗?

Original English

Speaker A: >> so if you have studied eBay, what do you think the team did right in the early days? Was it simply the network effect and the business took off and once they had the network it was hard to break the moat? Was there anything about the formula or the consumer model or experience? Cuz you you've said publicly, hey, eBay looks a lot like it did in the early days. Was there something about early management, early design principles, early engineering? Anything that happened in the early stages of eBay that made it what it is today?

Speaker B: 我知道,我看看他们首先是市场模式,他们拥有先发优势。所以他们能够拥有先发优势,并且在没有亚马逊的情况下成为事实上的在线市场,这非常重要。那真的很有帮助。我不会这么说,如果你笼统地看电子商务的增长,然后你以亚马逊为例,它基本上采用了市场模式,但也采取了获取第一方库存并扩大其市场份额的做法,最终他们实现了规模化,而且本质上他们做的事情就是沃尔玛正在做的,但他们是在线且大规模地做。我的意思是,显然你不能把两者比较,但他们对构建一个市场的关注为他们提供了一个护城河和持续的竞争力,但我不会说他们的执行是出色的。在早期,当它是创始人运营的时候,那是非常棒的。但从那时起,如果你看看电子商务增长了多少,以及他们为了迎合这个领域中非常专注于特定类别的新的竞争对手——像Shopify、社交商务、亚马逊、eBay——而放弃了多大市场份额,这些竞争者都抢走了可观的市场份额,亚马逊仍然能够维持收入基础并产生收益,但他们并没有随着电子商务的整体发展一起成长。所以,如果你看看最近他们的表现,我的意思是,他们基本上业务已经停滞了好几个季度了,而且运营支出也显著增加了。所以,不是说你知道他们是某些类别中事实上的在线市场,但在其他方面这个业务应该要大得多。

Original English

Speaker A: I, you know, I look at basically the marketplace model where they had first mover advantage. So their ability to have first mover advantage and really be the like de facto marketplace online including against Amazon was was significant. Um so that was really helpful. I wouldn't say that if you look in general at the growth in e-commerce and you look at Amazon as an example that basically took the marketplace model but also took taking possession of firstparty inventory along with growing their marketplace and like they ultimately scaled it and they essentially did what Walmart was doing but they did it online and at scale. I mean, obviously you can't compare the two, but they they their focus on building a marketplace gave them a moat and staying power, but I wouldn't say that their execution was great. In the early days, it was great when it was founder operated. But since then, if you look at how much e-commerce has grown and how much market share they've given up to the likes of basically everyone, new competitors in the space that are very category focused, live shopping competitors picked off significant share from them, Shopify, social commerce, Amazon, eBay's been able to maintain a revenue base and and generate earnings, but they haven't grown along with the rest of e-commerce. So, and and if you look at how they've done most recently, I mean, they've basically the business has stagnated up into the last few quarters and their operating expenses are up significantly. So um it's not to say you know they've they they are the de facto marketplace online especially in certain categories but that business should be significantly larger.

Speaker B: 你觉得他们错过了什么机会吗?如果错过了,为什么在实体店呢?你知道亚马逊、Shopify显然已经成为它们各自的类别。所有那些强大的卖家可能在某个时候都转向拥有自己的店铺了。eBay错过了什么?仅仅是执行力问题吗?还有赢得那个市场的机会吗?

Original English

Speaker B: >> Do you think they missed the boat and if so why on stores? You know Amazon stores, Shopify obviously have become categories unto themselves. All of those power sellers probably transitioned over to having stores at some point. What did eBay miss? Was it purely execution? And is there still an opportunity to win back that market?

Speaker A: 我可以理解,我不是在倡导,我的意思是这并不是我今天会和亚马逊进行正面竞争的事情。但我认为eBay本可以成为亚马逊。所以当你看看亚马逊构建了什么时,我的意思是从获取库存和他们提供优秀客户体验的原则来看,这就是为什么我们都喜欢在亚马逊上购物,而作为卖家,中心化平台是一个非常强大的平台,而且卖家通常也喜欢它。我不知道他们是否一定喜欢利润率,但他们可以在亚马逊上移动大量的库存。所以eBay通过什么都不做,基本上在某些亚马逊不强的地方开辟了一个利基市场,因为他们在其他类别中很强,你知道,你买充电器或新产品。这不一定是你想搜索像独特的棒球卡或难以找到的钢笔或二手汽车零件的地方。我不知道这是否完全是策略问题,还是仅仅因为他们最终在那些类别中默认了,因为他们的最大竞争对手专注于其他事情。

Original English

Speaker A: >> eBay could I mean and and I'm not advocating I mean this is not something I would not go head-to-head against Amazon today. But I mean eBay could have been Amazon. So when you look at what Amazon has built, I mean everything from uh taking inventory and their principles of they provide a great customer experience and so I mean that's why we all love shopping on Amazon and as a seller seller central is a very powerful platform and sellers generally like it too. I don't know if they necessarily like the margins, but they can move a lot of inventory on Amazon. So, eBay by doing nothing has basically carved out a niche in certain categories where Amazon isn't strong because they're strong in other categories and you know, you're buying a a phone charger or new products. It's not necessarily the place where you want to search for like a uh uh a unique baseball card or a hard to find pen or a used auto part. I don't know if it was necessarily through strategy or just because they ended up they ended up basically like defaulting into those categories cuz their largest competitor was focused on other things.

Speaker B: 你觉得亚马逊现在赚得太多了吗?因为我觉得你提出的观点对我很有共鸣。我参与了许多董事会业务,我看到了亚马逊对卖家收取的利润率,这让每个人都感到沮丧。在我看来,每个人都在寻找替代方案,但你留在亚马逊的原因是你能获得亚马逊带来的覆盖面和受众。所以,对于那些卖家来说,亚马逊没有提供其他具有竞争力的替代方案。eBay拥有相当大的用户群。你觉得亚马逊在这一点上赚得太多了吗?eBay有没有机会在这一点上提升并与之竞争?

Original English

Speaker B: >> Do you think Amazon's over earning right now? Cuz I I think the point you make resonates with me. I've been involved in a number of businesses I've been on the board of and I see the margin that Amazon takes for seller from sellers and everyone's frustrated about it. It almost feels to me like everyone's hungry for an alternative, but the reason you stay on Amazon is the reach and the audience that you get with Amazon. So, there's not a lot of other places that offer a competitive alternative to Amazon to those sellers. eBay's got a pretty big audience. I mean, do you think that Amazon's over earning in that sense? And is there an opportunity for eBay to step up and compete in that sense?

Speaker A: 他们向卖家收取很多钱。我同意你的看法。而且卖家喜欢它,因为他们移动了大量的库存,但他们不喜欢利润率。

Original English

Speaker A: >> They charge a lot of money to their sellers. I I agree with you. And um sellers like it because they move a lot of inventory, but they don't like the margins.

Speaker B: 问题显然是库存,对吧?我的意思是,如果eBay朝着那个方向发展,而你正在运营eBay,你认为你会如何处理库存和物流?

Original English

Speaker B: >> The problem would obviously be inventory, right? I mean, if eBay were to go in that direction and you were running eBay, what do you think you do about inventory and logistics?

Speaker A: 我不会对亲自接手库存感兴趣。我喜欢市场模式,而eBay做得好的类别也是GameStop表现特别好的类别。但与亚马逊正面竞争是……嗯,这不是最有吸引力的业务。eBay臭名昭著于买入并出售了许多大公司。他们收购了PayPal,后来又将其拆分和剥离,然后在2005年收购了Skype,之后在2009年将其中70%出售给20亿美元,然后在2011年靠微软的过度支付赚取了另外20亿美元。所以他们在Skype的出售中获得了不错的利润。所以当你想到eBay拥有的用户群时,你可以进入很多附属业务。当你看看PayPal、看看Skype的时候,那些是战略错误还是战术错误?这意味着它们是好的战略举措,但它们管理不善,在收购后没有得到很好的整合和运营。你认为当时发生了什么?

Original English

Speaker A: >> eBay is notorious for having bought and then sold a number of big businesses. They bought PayPal and then later spun it out and divested and they bought Skype for 2.6 billion in 2005 and then sold 70% of it for 2 billion in 2009 and then they got lucky with Microsoft overpaying in 2011 and they made another 2 billion on it. So they they netted a good profit on on the Skype sale. So when you think about the audience that eBay has the user base, there's a lot of ancillary businesses you could get into. When you look at PayPal, when you look at Skype, were those strategic errors or were they tactical errors? Meaning, they were good strategic moves, but they were mismanaged and not well integrated, not well run after the acquisition. What do you think happened there?

Speaker B: 嗯,如果你今天看看eBay,我的意思是,我喜欢关注。所以他们专注于核心的eBay是合理的。我的Chewy策略不是为不同的地理区域创建所有这些其他子品牌。它一直都是专注于Chewy。所以,嗯,这种专注是有帮助的。我会说在eBay的案例中,这没有带来显著的GMV增长,如果有什么增长的话,或者收入增长。

Original English

Speaker B: >> Well, if you look today at eBay, I mean, I like focus. So, them focusing on core eBay makes sense. I mean, my strategy at Chewy wasn't creating all these other subprs for different geographies. It was always focusing on Chewy. So, um, the focus is helpful. I'd say in eBay's case, hasn't resulted in significant GMV growth, if at all, or earnings growth.

聚焦单一品牌与生态系统优势

Speaker A: 我喜欢专注于一个单一的品牌,尤其对于一个全球性的企业来说,这有很大的潜力。你知道,eBay已经在很多品类中占据了主导地位,所以要同时把多件事情都做得特别好是很困难的。

Original English

Speaker A: I do like being focused. Now, I mean, they've recently made acquisitions, which uh don't make sense, but generally speaking, like I like focusing on a singular brand, and especially with a business that's global, there's a a lot of upside, and you know, eBay plays in a ton of categories already. So, it's hard to do multiple things exceptionally well.

Speaker B: 是的。另一个例子是,他们买下然后卖给了创始人埃里克·艾瑞(Eric at VGO)StubHub,四年后,但它也没有很好地转型。这是否意味着eBay不能在其他市场中做得好,还是你认为是通过一种更好的方式有机地构建产品来扩展到其他市场垂直领域?

Original English

Speaker B: Yeah. The other example, obviously, StubHub, which they bought and then sold to the founder, Eric at VGO for four billion years later but also didn't didn't really transition well. Does that mean that eBay can't really do well in other marketplaces or do you think it's about building the product organically in a better way to expand into other marketplace verticals?

Speaker A: 是的,通过eBay和专注来有机地构建它,我认为这是最合理的。在Dono时代之后,这家企业发生了什么变化?他离开,我想是大概两年前,2015年,已经有大约11年了。如果有人问你“给我总结一下过去11年eBay发生了什么”,你会如何概述这11年的业务情况?如果你只是看看他们过去做得怎么样,从合作以来,每一个重要的指标都在下降:GMV(商品交易总额)在下降,活跃用户下降了3000万。营业收入下降了。现在收入基本上是盈亏平衡的。它上涨了几个百分点,而运营支出却显著增加了。他们的运营支出对于一个没有库存的企业来说,已经超过了其收入的一半。所以这是一个没有增长的企业。电商领域里的其他所有人都增长了,他们赚得更少了,花得更多,而且他们的卖家坦率地说并不高兴。比如,如果你和卖家谈话,为了让他们在eBay上做生意,他们必须使用eBay之外的各种第三方工具,因为eBay甚至没有提供那些工具。

Original English

Speaker A: Yeah, building it organically through eBay and through focus um is is where I where I where I believe makes the most sense. what's happened with the business in the post Dono era. He left I think what did he leave a couple years ago 2015 and it's been about 11 years. I mean if someone were to ask you hey give me your summary of what's happened to eBay in the last 11 years how would you kind of talk through what's happened in the business? I mean if you just look at how they've done in the past since co every important metric is down uh GMV is down, active users is down by 30 million. Operating earnings is down. Revenue now is you know basically essentially break even. It's up a few points and operating expenses is up significantly. Their operating expenses now are for a business that has no inventory. They're operating their revenues are their operating expenses are over half of their revenues. So that's a business that they're not growing. Everybody else in e-commerce is growing and they're making less money and they're spending a lot more and their sellers frankly aren't happy. Like it's you talk to sellers and in order for them to do business on eBay, they have to use all kinds of thirdparty tools outside of eBay because eBay is not even providing those tools.

Speaker A: 我想,现有的管理团队不会自己撸起袖子。他们会去外部咨询公司告诉他们如何经营他们的业务。

Original English

Speaker A: But, you know, I guess uh existing management team doesn't roll up their like they're not going to roll up their sleeves. They're going to go to outside consulting firms to tell them how to run their business.

Speaker B: 那就是发生了吗?你所陈述的似乎很明显。所以,你认为管理层只是变得自满,领取薪水,没有人像老板一样行动,没有人真正知道如何执行,还是你认为他们从根本上会不同意你提出的那些观点?

Original English

Speaker B: Is that what's happened? What you state seems obvious? So, do you think it's that management's simply been complacent and collecting a paycheck and no one's acting like an owner, no one actually knows how to execute, or do you think they fundamentally would disagree with that strategy, those points that you're making?

Speaker A: 嗯,他们永远不会承认这一点,但我敢打赌,他们正在与多家外部顾问合作,原因完全不同,而且他们没有让他们的卖家感到满意。所以,他们的卖家在平台上是因为他们在平台上做很多生意,他们想移动产品,但他们不觉得eBay想要让他们成功,也不愿意与他们一起努力去做更多生意。这就是从创始人经营的企业转向有专业管理团队的企业时会发生的事情:你失去了一对一的沟通,以及真正深入解决根本问题的“撸起袖子”的感觉。

Original English

Speaker A: Well, I mean, they're never going to admit it, but I would I would bet everything that they're working with multiple outside consultants and for a different for a lot of different reasons and they're not making their sellers happy. So, their sellers are on the platform because they do a lot of business on the platform and they want to move product, but they don't feel like eBay wants to make them succeed and is working with them to do more business together. So that's what happens when you go from a business that founder operator run to business with a professional management team is you know you lose the one-on-one and the just the rolling up your sleeves really getting into solving the root cause of problems.

Speaker B: 你相信构建长期的运营计划吗?也就是说,你是否能为eBay阐述一个战略愿景,然后写下未来三到五年要做的事情,以便那些正在考虑你收购要的股东既能看到你的愿景,也能看到你对该愿景在未来几年执行的计划?还是你更倾向于一种响应性管理模式,即你将去哪里诊断问题,并以更敏捷的方式迭代业务直到成功?

Original English

Speaker B: Do you believe in building long range operating plans? Meaning, would you articulate a strategic vision for eBay and then write out what you're going to do over the next 3, four, five years so that the shareholders that are considering your acquisition offer can see both your vision and your plan for execution on that vision over the next several years? or are you much more of a responsive manager where you're going to go in and diagnose and be much more of a tactician in iterating almost in an agile way the business to success.

Speaker A: 你如何看待向现有管理团队展示你将如何比他们更成功地运营这家业务?

Original English

Speaker A: How do you kind of think about presenting how you're going to be more successful in operating this business than existing management?

增长向量与未来战略方向

Speaker B: 所以有三个领域。第一是立即通过削减成本和从业务的运营基础中提取20亿美元的成本,以及近55亿美元的支出,而这些支出主要是为了几乎没有用户增长。所以你可以通过削减成本来立即提高收入。这就是第一点。然后是两个增长向量,我非常感兴趣。第一个是直播电商,有一个巨大的竞争对手正在彻底压制它,eBay拥有用户、品牌和平台,但这个平台出于很多不同的原因很糟糕。而且他们没有在平台上提供内容创作者,根本没人真正知道eBay Live的存在。这就像一个申请流程。我采访了卖家,他们告诉我他们申请成为卖家并正在等待批准。这就像他们基本上阻止自己取得成功,也阻止了内容创作者进入平台。然后整个eBay Live的后端也很糟糕。直播电商的总潜在市场(TAM)是4000亿美元。在美国增长非常快。在亚洲也非常受欢迎。eBay Live应该要大得多。他们应该在这个领域成为领导者。而且他们最多只有几百个人,你知道,基本上在观看他们的销售情况。所以这对他们开始在直播电商中做得非常好是一个巨大的巨大增长机会。

Original English

Speaker B: So there are three areas. Number one is on immediately improving earnings through cutting costs and pulling $2 billion of costs out of the business and on the operating base of, you know, close to 5.5 billion of expenses. Um, and $2.4 billion spent on sales and marketing for essentially no user growth. Um there's a lot of money to pull out there. So you have the immediate increase in earnings through cost cutting. That's basically one. And then there's two growth vectors that um I'm very much interested in. Number one is live commerce and there's a large competitor that is completely crushing it and eBay has the users. eBay has the brand, they have a platform, but the platform sucks for a lot of different reasons. Uh, and they don't have the content creators on the platform and nobody even really knows eBay Live exists. There's like an application process. I talked to sellers and they're telling me like they've applied to be uh to be a seller and they are waiting to get approved. It's like they're basically stopping themselves from being successful and getting content creators onto the platform. Uh, and then the entire back end of eBay Live also sucks. So, live commerce, the TAM is like 400 billion. It's growing very quickly in the US. It's very popular in Asia. And eBay Live should be significantly larger. They should be the category leader in the space. and they have like at max a few hundred people you know in um you know basically watching watching their uh watching watching their sales. So that's a huge huge growth opportunity for them to start doing really well in live commerce.

Speaker B: 而且我们还有通过商店之外的益处,基本上修复平台的前端和后端。在这些商店中,有1600个本质上可以作为创作者工作室使用的节点。它们可以被用作履行和物流,最终让卖家和内容创作者能做他们最擅长的事情,那就是创作内容,我们可以帮助他们进行摄影,我们可以帮助他们进行履行,我们可以帮助他们进行物流,我们还可以进行身份验证,这也会延伸到市场模式。所以我会非常专注于在成本削减之外发展直播电商方面。第三点是我以前没有公开谈论过的一点,但eBay今天在实体商品、实体收藏品方面是领导者。举个例子。所以我会将这一点扩展到数字收藏品。本质上,如果你看看所有这些游戏内物品、人们正在积累的AAA大作、皮肤、武器,所有这些东西,将eBay变成一个可以为游戏内数字物品提供流动性的市场。本质上,这就是NFTTS本该有的东西,人们曾以为他们拥有它,但最终它们没有真正的效用。游戏内物品实际上具有真正的效用。如果你看看所有这些收藏品,坦率地说,这是一种自我满足的心理(ego play)。你拥有艺术品。比如,那是什么?到最后一天,这是一种自我满足的心理。

Original English

Speaker B: And the benefit also we have with the stores beyond basically fixing the platform the front end and the back end uh using the stores there's 1,600 essentially nodes that can be used as studios for creators. They could be used as fulfillment and logistics and ultimately allowing sellers and content creators to do what they do best which is create content and we can help them on photography, we can help them on fulfillment, we can help them on logistics um and we can also do the authentication and that extends to the marketplace model as well. So uh I would focus a lot on on growing the live commerce side of things beyond the cost cutting. And then the third thing is and this is something that I have not spoken about before publicly but eBay today is the leader in physical items, physical collectibles as an example. And so I would extend that into digital collectibles. And essentially, if you look at all of these in-game items, AAA titles that people are accumulating, skins, weapons, all of these things, taking eBay and building a marketplace where you can provide liquidity for in-game digital items. Essentially, it's what NFTTS could have, people thought they were, but ultimately they had no real utility. In-game items actually have real utility. And if you look at all of these collectibles, frankly, they're an ego play. You own art. Like, what is that? At the end of the day, it's an ego play.

Speaker B: 比如,如果你看看集换式卡牌,它就是一块纸板,一块塑料。它们非常受欢迎,但除了能告诉人们你拥有这些非常独特的集换式卡牌之外,它们没有真正的效用。但如果你看看游戏内数字物品,没有提供流动性的市场。所以我会利用eBay来为游戏内数字物品提供流动性。我相信可触及的市场要大得多。

Original English

Speaker B: Um, if you look at trading cards, I mean, it's a piece of cardboard in a piece of plastic. and they're very very very popular, but there's no real utility to them other than being able to tell people you've got these really a really unique trading card. But if you look at in-game digital items, there's no marketplace that is providing liquidity for them. And so I would use eBay to uh to provide liquidity for in-game digital items. And I believe that addressable market is significantly larger than

关于收购和商业决策的讨论

Speaker A: 也许比eBay在实体商品上的市场要大得多,而且没有人做过。这本该存在,但它不存在,这有点疯狂了。

Original English

uh could be much larger than eBay's marketplace on physical items and no one's doing it. And and this should already exist and it's kind of like it's crazy that it doesn't exist.

Speaker B: 你们的eBay董事会拒绝了你的报价。他们是在考虑Ryan Cohen说:“嘿,你是个经营Chewy几年、卖掉它,并且运营GameStop的人。你从未真正操作过如此规模的业务。我们不会把我们的股份拱手让人,然后让你负责整个企业。你没有经验。你没有技能。你没有能力。”他们拒绝你的投标的理由是什么?以及你听到任何关于这里发生的事情的反馈,无论是私下还是通过第三方渠道的反馈是什么?

Original English

The eBay board has rejected your offer. Is it that they're looking at Ryan Cohen saying, "Hey, you're a guy that ran Chewy for a few years and sold it and you've been running GameStop. You've never really operated a business of this scale. We're not going to hand over our shares for your shares and put you in charge of this overall enterprise. You don't have the experience. You don't have the skills. You don't have the competency." What's their rationale for rejecting your bid? And what's the feedback, the frank feedback you've heard either behind closed doors or through, you know, third parties about what's going on here?

Speaker A: 嗯,他们发布了一封拒绝信,说我们的报价是不可思议的。而且有很多不确定性,你知道,坦率地说,我指的是这很正常。他们不想把 reins 交出。他们赚了很多钱,所以我完全理解为什么他们会采取他们所采取的立场。但你知道,他们在拒绝信中把话说清楚了。第一点是呃,你知道,比如融资的不确定性,坦率地说,如果我们拿不到融资,这意味着eBay无法获得融资,因为我们正在从eBay的资产负债表上获取融资。但是,管理层高层的参与度非常低。坦率地说,真的没有参与。我的意思是,他们他们在玩游戏。他们把我们指向他们那些高价顾问,然后当我们联系他们安排会议时,他们不安排会议。所以当你第一次开始有这个想法坐着在约翰那里,你当时是想说:“我要推进这件事。我假设在某个时候你会找银行谈论围绕这个结构,以弄清楚我们如何制定这个投标方案。”你打算走哪条路?你是否说过让我们做一半现金,然后说服他们接受我们的股票,基本上把他们的股票转成我们的股票,让我们运营这家业务,而不是为公司进行一次全现金收购融资?你们能说服股东、投资者、资本提供者、大型机构、银行、贷款机构以及其他方面组建一个560亿美元的现金辛迪加吗?所以,你可以做一次全现金收购要约,这将让他们更难轻易拒绝。也许你可以向我们介绍你一直在思考结构方面的银行对话和整个过程。

Original English

Well, they put out a rejection letter which said that our offer was incredible. And there was a lot of uncertainty and you know frankly and by the way I mean this is expected. They don't want to hand over the reins. They're making a lot of money and so I completely understand why they're taking the position that they're they're taking. But you know they they spelled it out in the rejection letter. And number one was uh you know that like the financing uncertainty which frankly if we can't get the financing it means that eBay can't get the financing because we're getting the financing off of eBay's balance sheet. But there's been very you know there has not been very much engagement from the management board level. Frankly there's there's been really no engagement. I mean they're they're playing games. they pointed us to their high-priced advisors and then when we reach out to schedule a meeting they they don't schedule the meeting. So so when you first started having this idea sitting on the John and you're like I'm going to move forward with this thing. I'm assuming at some point you called bankers and talked about structure around this to figure out how do we put this bid together. Where do you go down the path where you said let's do half cash and then convince them to take our stock and basically roll their stock into our stock and let us run the business versus raise the capital to do an all-cash offer for the company? Is it impossible for you guys to convince shareholders, investors, capital providers, large institutions, banks, lenders, and so on to put together a syndicate of $56 billion of cash? So, you could make this an all-cash offer, which would make it a lot harder for them to simply reject easily. Maybe you can walk us through the banker conversations and the process you've gone through in thinking about structure here.

Speaker B: 最终,决定是你想经营这家企业吗?你认为谁更有能力来经营这家企业?谁能最大化股东价值?因为通过向现有股东、GameStop股票——嗯,合并后的公司,至少在不久的将来,利润来自于eBay。所以他们将继续拥有eBay,以溢价出售50%现金和50%股票。本质上,他们可以继续拥有eBay,除了你有一个高度激励去最大化股东价值的人,了解一些电子商务和高效运营业务的知识。

Original English

Ultimately, the decision is who do you want to run the business? And who do you think is more competent to run the business? And who's going to maximize shareholder value? Because by giving existing shareholders, GameStop shares, uh, GameStop, the combined company, the at least in the very near to medium future, the earnings are coming from eBay. So, they're going to continue owning eBay, offering them 50% cash, 50% stock at a premium to where we bought it. And essentially, they get to continue owning eBay, except you've got someone that is highly incentivized to maximize shareholder value, knows a thing or two about e-commerce and running the business efficiently.

Speaker A: 但为什么不全现金,Ryan?比如为什么不筹集资金呢?如果你能筹集一半的现金来完成投标,为什么不筹集全部现金?卖掉你的股票,把GameStop的股票卖给那些与你目标一致的投资者来筹集现金,而不是那些拥有eBay股票的投资者,然后再让他们做一次全现金要约。

Original English

but why not go all cash, Ryan? Like why not raise the capital? If you can raise half the cash to do the bid, why not raise all the cash? Sell your shares, sell GameStop shares to investors to raise the cash that are aligned with you rather than the investors that own those eBay shares and then go make them an all-cash offer.

Speaker B: 我的意思是,我们今天没有提出那样的话,而且要筹集这么多现金也是一件很麻烦的事情。所以,嗯,你知道,呃,我们并没有600亿美元的现金躺在那里,对吧?告诉我关于所有者的情况。你和eBay的任何股东谈过吗?你对他们如何考虑投票他们的股份有看法吗?我的理解是最近拒绝了召开特别股东大会的能力。有一项投票未能将门槛降低到流通股的10%。目前是20%。所以,这个失败意味着如果没有20%的股份要求召开会议,你就不能召集特别股东大会。对吗?嗯,是的,很接近,但这是正确的。所以如果你去和eBay的实际所有者谈谈,因为这是一种广泛拥有、机构持有的股票,你是否已经开始进行那些机构对话,看看人们的处境如何,他们对管理层和对你的战略以及你为他们创造价值的能力有何看法?

Original English

I mean, that is not what we've presented today and that's a lot of cash to come up with. So, um, you know, uh, we don't have, uh, $60 billion of cash just lying around, right? Well, tell me about the owners. Have you spoken to any of the shareholders at eBay? And do you have a view on how they're thinking about voting their shares? My understanding is there was recently a rejection on the ability to call a special shareholder meeting. There was a vote that failed to reduce the threshold to 10% of shares outstanding. It's currently at 20%. So that failure means you cannot call a special shareholder meeting without 20% of the shares calling for it. Is that right? Um yeah, it was close, but that's right. And so if you go through and start talking to the actual owners of eBay today, because it's a pretty broadly owned, institutionally owned stock, have you started having those institutional conversations to see where folks are at and how they're feeling about management and how they're feeling about your strategy and your ability to deliver value for them over the next couple of years?

Speaker A: 是的。是的,我的意思是,我不想……我不想深入到个别股东的讨论中,但是……共识总体上是一致的,他们喜欢这家业务,而且他们看到了很多机会。所以我们会看看最终会发生什么,也许构成可能会发生变化,因为你知道,如果你热爱这家业务,你可能不想要50%的现金。你可能想继续投资。所以,你知道,这也有可能。最终,投票是关于谁将成为资本的更好受托人,以及谁能发展这家企业。嗯,我是谁,或者是一个基本上正在出售股票的人,而且他没有用自己的钱在公开市场上买过哪怕一股股票,并且已经卖出了数千万美元。你知道有趣的是,也许你可以帮我理解这一点是,我们所做的事情——我所做的事情——是很大的,你知道,不是每天都会发生这种事情,但为什么每个人都希望我们失败?为什么每个人都希望GameStop失败?为什么媒体是这样的人的例子?为什么你有一个没有利益相关者管理的团队?他们不是创业者。他们以前从未自己建立过任何东西。他们基本上只是大型公司的员工,那些被过度支付了薪水。我不认为他们一生中都曾取得突破。为什么每个人都希望他们成功?但是当你有一个……而且这将会公布。它还没有提交。也许到你知道当它播出的时候,就会是这样。但我把我自己的5亿美元投入到这次交易中。我没有从GameStop里拿出一分钱。我为GameStop投资了很多钱。我做了一段时间了。GameStop今天业务要强得多。每个人都讨厌GameStop,而且似乎媒体上每个人基本上都希望我们失败,并希望他们成功。而你有一个董事会每年赚数百甚至数千美元。他们不是用自己的钱购买股票的。他们最终会出席一小部分董事会会议,并赚了一笔横财。你有一个管理团队被严重高薪聘请,却承担了零风险。为什么每个人基本上都希望这个根深蒂固的管理团队和董事会保持这样受保护的状态,继续经营业务?而且他们不想要什么比冒自己的资本的风险更重要的东西吗?所以为什么每个人都希望我们失败?评论员们。你们有什么理论吗?

Original English

Yeah. Yeah, I mean I I don't want to um I don't want to get into individual shareholder discussions, but the consensus has generally been aligned which is they love the business um and yeah they they see a lot of opportunities. So, we'll see what ends up ultimately happening and maybe the composition could shift because, you know, if you love the business, you might not want 50% cash. You might want to stay invested. So, you know, that that's a possibility, too. Ultimately, the vote is on who's going to be a better fiduciary of capital and and who can grow this business. um me or or someone that's basically selling stock handover fist and by the way has not bought a single share of stock in the open market with his own money and has been selling tens of millions of dollars. And you know the interesting thing in this and maybe you can help me understand this is that there's no question what we're doing what I'm doing is uh it's big you know it's not every single day that something like this occurs but why does everybody want us to fail? Why does everyone want GameStop to fail? And why is everyone like the media as an example? Why is it that you've got a management team with no skin in the game? They're not builders. They haven't built anything themselves before. They've basically just been employees at major companies that have been overpaid. I don't think they've ever broken out a sweat in their entire lives. Why does everyone want them to succeed? But when you have someone that And by the way, um this is going to be coming out. It hasn't been filed yet. Maybe by the time that you know when this airs it will be. But I'm putting 500 million of my own money into this transaction. I haven't pulled a penny out of GameStop. I've invested a lot of money into GameStop. I've been doing it for a long time. GameStop's a much stronger business today. Everyone hates GameStop and it seems like everyone in the media basically wants us to fail and wants them to succeed. And you've got a board that's making hundreds of thousands of dollars a year. They don't buy stock with their own money. They end up showing up to a handful of board meetings and they're making a fortune. You've got a management team that is grossly overpaid with taking zero risk. And why is everyone basically want this entrenched management team and board to stay like protected and to continue running the business and doesn't want there's nothing more American than basically risking your own capital. So why does everyone want us to fail? commentators. What's your theory?

Speaker B: 我不知道。你和他们的CEO谈过吗?我非常想谈谈。他不会接受会议的。我会明天飞到加利福尼亚。不。而且我的意思是,你是那个要解雇他的人,但他会拿到工资,对吧?一份大额工资。一个大额工资。他的降落伞在哪里?你知道降落伞是什么吗?它超过1亿美元。所以,他将获得1亿美元离开。没有。你和任何董事会成员谈过吗?他们不会接受会议吗?不。你联系过他们吗?是的。市场的好处是,他们不在乎媒体说什么。短期内,他们可能会在乎。这是一个投票机,但在长期来看,它是一个衡量机器。如果GameStop的业绩持续保持,那些可能想看到公司失败的人将会失去,因为你会获得筹码,对吧?最终。

Original English

I don't know. Have you sat down with their CEO? I would love to. He won't take the meeting. I would I will fly to California tomorrow. No. And I mean, you're the guy that's going to fire him, but he's going to get a payday, right? A big payday. A big payday. What's his parachute? parachute. Do you know what the parachute is for him? It's over 100 million bucks. So, he'll get 100 million to walk away. Yeah. Have you met with any of the board members? No. They won't take the meeting? No. Have you reached out? Yeah. The great thing about markets, they don't care what the media says. On the short term, they might. It's a voting machine, but on the long term, it's a weighing machine. And if the performance continues to be delivered at GameStop, people that might want to see the company fail are going to lose because you're going to get the weight, right? That's ultimately

对游戏停止的看法与策略

Speaker A: 在这里,没有什么比这更重要了。但我认为到这个阶段,看到GameStop的结果之后,人们必须开始关注这不仅仅是一只迷因股票。我认为媒体为了给你们增加可信度,我对此的看法是,他们将不得不承认他们对GameStop仅仅是一只迷因股票的所有看法都是错误的,并且实际上这里存在一个业务,存在价值正在创造,而且他们错过了这一点,并且完全搞错了故事。因此,要认识到这一点,并认识到你作为高管和CEO的能力,以及作为一个可以比安装的管理层更好地运营eBay的人的能力,这会让他们在评估牌桌上所有牌是如何摆放的方面做出错误的判断。这是我对这一切的所有理论,因为每个人都陷入了迷因股票狂热中,说:“嘿,这全都是假的,不是真的。”而且每个人都同意了这一点。一旦每个人都同意了它,就没人可以重写历史了。没有人能说他们对COVID是错的。你不能让所有人都说他们对GameStop是错的,因为它会破坏他们的信誉。为了维护他们的信誉,他们必须继续让你看起来更不可信。这就是我对它的看法。

Original English

Speaker A: what's going to matter more than anything here. But I would assume that at this point, seeing the results at GameStop, folks have to start paying attention that this isn't just a meme stock. I do think that the media, in order to give you credibility, and this would be my take on this, they're going to have to acknowledge that all of their takes on GameStop just being a meme stock were wrong and that there is actually a business here and that there is value being created here and that they missed that and they got the story completely wrong. And so to recognize that and to recognize your competency as an executive and as a CEO and as someone that can run eBay better than the installed management makes them wrong in their assessment of how the cards were all laid out on the table. That would be my theory about all this because everyone got caught up in the frenzy of the meme stock craze saying, "Hey, this is all just fake and it's not real." And everyone agreed with that. Once everyone agrees with it, no one's allowed to rewrite history. No one can ever say that they were wrong about COVID. You can't have everyone say that they were wrong about GameStop because it ruins their credibility. To maintain their credibility, they have to continue to make you seem less credible. That would be my take on it.

Speaker B: 是的。是的。那么,你的下一步是采取敌对行动吗?你打算进行一次招标吗?我的意思是,这会如何发展?我将做我们所需要做的任何事情,为了成功。

Original English

Speaker B: Yeah. Yep. So, your next steps, you going to go hostile? You going to do a tender? I mean, how's this going to go? I'm going to do whatever we need to do, whatever I need to do in order to succeed.

Speaker A: 但你已经下定决心了。是的。如果我是他们的银行家,我会被聘请来运营一个流程并最大化股东价值。那些银行家然后会试图与你谈判。但事实是,如果没有其他竞标者,他们只是在相互谈判。说这公平吗?比如,这里是否会出现其他可以击败你提供的价格、可以击败你摆在桌上的报价的竞标者?

Original English

Speaker A: >> But you're committed >> clearly. >> Yeah. >> If I'm their bankers, I get hired to run a process and maximize shareholder value. Those bankers then try and negotiate with you. But the truth is, if there's no other biders, they're just negotiating against themselves. Is is that fair to say? like are there other biders that could emerge here um that could beat this price that you're offering that could beat this offer that you're putting on the table?

Speaker B: 嗯,那是一大笔钱。这是一个很大的溢价,美感在于观察者的眼中,对我来说,为了我能对这家企业做些什么而支付这个价格是合理的。不仅仅是短期内增加收益,而是从长远来看,在活体商业中获得显著的市场份额和数字构建一个游戏数字市场。这对于现有管理团队来说,他们永远无法在他们最疯狂的梦想中建立的东西是有价值的。所以对我来说,做一些像这样的事情是值得的。然后,你知道,当涉及到他们的主要竞争对手时,在能够以如此规模完成交易方面存在反腐败问题。但嗯,我不知道他们为什么不和我谈。他们应该谈,因为我不会停止。我不会离开。

Original English

Speaker B: >> Well, it's a lot of money. It's a big premium and uh beauty is in the eye of the beholder and like it makes sense for me to pay this for the business because of what I could do with the business. Not just shortterm in terms of increasing the earnings, but long-term in terms of really taking significant market share in live commerce and digit building a digital marketplace for gaming. That's something an existing management team would never be able to build in their wildest dreams. And so it's worth it for me to do something like that. And then, you know, obviously when it comes to their large competitors, there's antirust issues in terms of them being able to do a deal of this size as well. But, um, I don't know why they won't speak to me. They should cuz I'm not going to stop. I'm not going to go away.

Speaker A: 另一个选择。是的。人们也可以在公开市场上买入股票,并投票支持你的报价。所以我的意思是,历史上这种情况经常发生的是股东基础可以轮换,如果人们今天喜欢股票的溢价,明天不想拥有GameStop的股票,那么很可能会为交易这些股票开发出一个良好的市场,如果市场开始相信你的故事,我就会想象是这样,而且这可能也会在这里发生。

Original English

Speaker A: >> another another option. >> Yeah. >> Yeah. I mean, people could come along and buy the shares on the open market, too, and vote in favor of your offer. So I mean this is what often happens in these sorts of situations historically is the shareholder base can turn over and if people like the premium on the stock today and they don't want to own GameStop stock tomorrow there's probably going to develop a good market for trading the shares if the market starts to believe your story I would imagine right and so that might happen here as well.

Speaker B: 所以,我们在工具箱里有很多不同的升级路径,我们会看到他们。你和银行家合作了吗?你一个人在做这件事吗?是的,我们正在与银行家以及高管顾问合作。好的,Ryan,很高兴认识你,听到你的历史和对你想把GameStop和eBay带到哪里愿景。真的,伙计,在这个过程中是最好的运气,感谢和你谈话。我非常感激。很高兴和你谈话,大卫。我将全力以赴。

Original English

Speaker B: >> so >> there's a lot of different escalation paths that um we have in our toolkit and we'll see them. Are you working with bankers? Are you doing this alone? >> Yeah, we're we're working with bankers and uh highriced advisors. >> Okay, Ryan, this has been awesome to get to know you and hear about your history and your vision for where you want to take GameStop and eBay. Really, man, the best of luck to you in the process and thanks for speaking with us. >> I appreciate it. Great speaking to you, Dave. I'm going all in.

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关键字: supply-chain market-leadership risk-management business-strategy