引言:文化与领导力作为投资考量
非常感谢您的盛情介绍,也感谢挪威银行(Norges Bank)的邀请。
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Well, thank you so much for the kind introduction and also thank you to Nogus Bank for this invitation.
这是一个全新的情况,因为过去我发表此类演讲时,会议室后面会有很多样品支持,比如奇巧巧克力、Nespresso咖啡等等。
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And it's a new situation because in the past when I had speeches like this, I would be supported by lots of samples in the back of the room, Kit Kat, chocolate, Nespresso coffee, what have you.
今天,我必须仅仅依靠论证的力量来说服大家,所以这有点像一个更高的门槛,我请求大家的理解。
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Today, I have to convince you just by the strength of my argument. So, it's a bit of a higher hurdle and um I'm asking for your understanding.
我想特别赞扬挪威银行,不仅因为他们的邀请,也因为他们将领导力和文化纳入了本次会议的议程。
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Um, I wanted to blow out Norrisbank for not just the invitation, but also for adding leadership and culture to the roster and the agenda of this conference.
因为在座的许多人都是运营DCFS(Discounted Cash Flow System: 折现现金流系统)的专家,擅长评估一家公司或一个商业机会的价值。
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Because many of you in the room are experts at running your DCFS, valuing a company, valuing a business opportunity.
但我确实认为,对企业的文化和领导力有所了解并形成自己的思考,是一项重要的一致性检查(consistency check)。
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But I do believe that having a handle and having your own thoughts about a business's culture and leadership is an important consistency check.
这是另一个维度,可以帮助你区分那些在PPT上听起来不错的故事,和那些真正具有高质量、更可能具有韧性和可持续性的故事。
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It's another dimension that helps you tell apart a story that just sounds good on a PowerPoint from a story that is true quality and that's more likely to be resilient and sustainable.
我们在上一个小组讨论中听到,优质公司很难找到。
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We heard in the previous panel, you know, quality companies are hard to find.
我确实相信,所有优质公司都有一个共同点,那就是强大的文化,它能在为该企业工作的管理人员与公司之间,以及管理人员团队成员之间建立起一种契合。
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And I do believe that one thing that all quality companies have in common is this strong culture. something that creates a legends between the executives working for that business and the company and also among the executives between each other as a team and uh hence it's important.
因此,这一点非常重要。
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Hence it's important.
CEO 的三大职责支柱
现在,我想分享一些关于这个问题的想法。
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Now I wanted to share a few thoughts on this.
首先,从CEO工作的整体视角来看,你日复一日地做很多事情,我将它们分为三大类,这并非按重要性排序,只是为了列举它们。
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So first of all to put in the overall perspective of a CEO's job um there's lots of things you're doing day in day out I would group them into three major buckets and this is not by order of importance just to enumerate them.
第一个是投资组合与战略(portfolio and strategy)。
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The first one is portfolio and strategy.
也就是说,你销售的产品和服务是什么,以及你为什么相信自己在这方面拥有长期可持续的竞争优势?
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So what is it as products and services you're selling and why do you believe you have longer term sustainable competitive advantage in it?
第二部分是结构与激励(structure and incentives)。
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Second part is structure and incentives.
这基本上是指你如何组织公司的团队,以确保所有这些好的事情都能成功地实现。
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So basically how do you group the teams in your company in ways that all of these good things are being brought out the door in a successful manner.
第三个是文化(culture)。
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And the third one is culture.
文化在某种程度上与前两者不同,因为它不能只是偶尔回顾一下。
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And um culture is something that is somehow different from these first two in the sense that you can't just every once in a while revisit it.
你必须每天都身体力行,从早上走进公司大门的那一刻起,直到一天结束发送最后一封邮件。
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You have to live it every day from the moment in the morning you walk into the door to the last email at the end of the day.
你必须注意的不仅仅是你给出的事实性答案或你做出的事实性声明。
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What you have to watch out for is not just the factual answers you're giving or the factual announcements you're making.
你还必须注意一致性(consistency),比如我向组织发出了什么信号,以及这与我昨天、上个月、去年所说的是否一致。
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You also have to watch out for the consistency like what signals am I sending into the organization and uh does that make sense compared to what I said yesterday, last month, last year because if you change your tune um every so often, I think you do confuse the organization.
因为如果你经常改变调子,我认为你会让组织感到困惑。
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Because if you change your tune um every so often, I think you do confuse the organization.
所以,这种一致性以及在某种程度上与文化的来源和你希望它随着时间发展到的方向保持同步,真的非常重要。
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So that consistency and being somehow in sync with where the culture is coming from and where you wanted to get to over time is really really important.
这听起来很明显,但你看,CEO不是机器人。
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Sounds pretty obvious, but look, I mean, CEOs are no robots.
我们是人类,我们受制于当下的情绪。
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I mean, we're humans and we're subject to um moods of the moment.
我们随着时间会面临不同的情况。
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We're subject to different, you know, exposures over time.
因此,随着时间的推移保持并展现这种一致性,比听起来要困难得多。
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And so bearing and and and displaying that cons consistency over time is more difficult than it sounds.
从投资者角度看企业文化
现在,作为投资者,当你们审视文化时,有几件事需要思考。
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Now, as you as investors look at culture, um a few things to think about.
首先,文化具有令人难以置信的粘性(sticky)。
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First one is culture is incredibly sticky.
一个组织越大、历史越悠久、越具标志性,它的粘性就越强。
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The larger and the more historic and iconic an organization, the more sticky it is.
这对你们很重要,因为当CEO告诉你们,对于一家大型、历史悠久的公司,他们在两三年内改变了文化时,我冒着给出挑衅性言论的风险说:卖掉股票。
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And the reason that's important to you is when you have CEOs telling you that for a large long-standing historic company, they changed the culture in the course of two or three years. At the risk of giving you a provocative statement here, sell the stock.
好吗?
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Okay?
因为说实话,这些人要么根本不知道自己在说什么,与组织内部的真实情况脱节,要么就是大大夸大了自己的成就。
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Because honestly either these people don't really know what they're talking about and are out of touch with what's really going on inside the organizations or they're vastly overselling uh their own achievements.
这两种情况都不好。
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Both of these are not good.
文化变革确实需要很长时间,而对于你们这些接触金融行业的人来说,判断这一点的最好方法是回顾20世纪90年代和21世纪初的所有这些银行合并案例。
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Uh culture change does take a lot of time and uh the best way for you with your exposure to financial industry to judge that think back to all these banking mergers in the 1990s and early 2000s.
直到今天,在许多这些大型金融机构中,当你走进这些公司时,你有时仍然能区分出那些合并在一起的不同部分。
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To this day with many of these large financial institutions when you walk into these companies you can sometimes tell apart you know one part from the other in those mergers coming together.
所以文化具有难以置信的粘性,工业企业也不例外。
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So cultures are incredibly sticky and industrial firms are not different from that.
接下来,文化在大多数属性上都不是一个愿望清单。
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Next one um culture in most attributes is not a wish list.
所以,如果有人向你展示一种只有积极属性的文化,那是一个值得怀疑的好时机。
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So if someone presents to you a culture and it has only positive attributes, it's a good moment to be suspicious.
在大多数属性上,都存在一个光谱(spectrum)。
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On most attributes, there's a spectrum.
例如,思考一下速度与稳定性。
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So think about, for example, speed versus stability.
如果有人声称他们的组织能够迅速转变并与行业中最快的公司保持一致,那对于在坏消息面前的韧性意味着什么?
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So if someone claims that their organization can turn on a dime and react in line with fastest ones in the industry, what does that mean for resilience in the face of bad news?
这对于能够熬过一个糟糕的季度或糟糕的一年,而不失去一些长期目标的能力又意味着什么?
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What does this mean for the ability to sit out a poor quarter or a poor year and not lose sight of some of your longerterm objectives?
这些事情大多都存在于一个光谱上。
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And most of these things do happen on a spectrum.
你不能只选择每个属性的积极方面,并声称那就是你未来的文化。
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You can't just pick the positive one of each and claim that that's your culture going forward.
所以,当你们未来进行这些对话时,如果听到太多好的方面,请询问不好的方面。
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And so when you have these conversations in the future, when you hear too many of the good ones, ask for the bad ones.
询问它对光谱的另一端意味着什么。
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Ask for what it means for the other side of the spectrum.
你知道,对话中是否遗漏了什么?
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And you know, is there something in the conversation that's missing?
CEO 如何塑造和改变文化
接下来我想谈谈,作为一名CEO,你实际上如何改变和塑造文化?
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Next one I wanted to talk about is as a CEO, how do you actually change and shape culture?
在我看来,有两个杠杆:一个短期杠杆和一个长期杠杆。
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And um in my view, there are two levers. A short-term one and a long-term one.
短期杠杆是利用每个CEO在组织内部和外部都拥有的“肥皂箱”(soapbox: 借喻为公开演讲的平台或影响力),用更恰当的词来说,你基本上是在表明你希望事情如何发展。
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The short-term one is using the soapbox, for lack of a better word, that every CEO has inside the organization, outside the organization, where essentially you indicate the way you want it to be.
然后,除了你所有的沟通活动,无论是小型团体会议、个人会议还是大型团体会议,每次你面临决策时,你都试图将该决策与你正在谈论的某些属性联系起来。
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And then in addition to all the communication events that you have, whether it's small groups, individual meetings, or large group meetings, when every time you're facing a decision, you're trying to essentially link that decision to some of these attributes you're talking about.
通过这种方式,你某种程度上强化了它。
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And this way, you kind of reinforce it.
但这只是沟通。
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But that's communication.
虽然它在组织中传播得很快,但在可持续性方面,你只能走这么远。
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And um while it travels pretty fast in an organization, you can only you can only go so far when it comes to the sustainability.
长期部分,也就是能够世代相传的真正粘性,是通过人来实现的。
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Uh the long-term part, the true stickiness that lasts over generations is the one that happens through people.
这涉及到选择和提拔你认为最能体现你希望组织拥有的文化属性的人,或者在外部招聘时有选择性地提升这些属性。
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And there it's about selecting and promoting the people that you believe embody the cultural attributes the best way that you would want to see for your organization or in your outside hiring selectively advancing those attributes.
在这里,你就会明白为什么这需要很长时间,因为你不能同时更换整个大型领导团队。
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And there you see why it takes a lot of time because you can't turn over entire large groups of leadership teams at the same time.
所以这需要耐心,而且总是在你想要的变革与不破坏组织稳定之间取得平衡,因此这就是为什么它很容易需要5、10、15年,因为不仅是你的高级领导团队,还有组织的下一层级也会因此而改变。
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So this takes patience and it's always a balance between the change you want but then also not destabilizing the organization and hence that's the reason why it can easily take 5 10 15 years as you know not just your senior leadership team but also the next layers of the organization um get changed in that regard.
那是更持久的变革,是留下遗产的变革。
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That's the more lasting one. That's the one that leaves a legacy behind.
然后,显然,当你从那里开始改变,当你的环境发生变化,你希望发展和迁移你的文化时,你再次需要非常有耐心。
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And then obviously as you change from there as your environment changes and you would want to evolve and migrate your hers you again have to be very patient about that there is no shortcuts uh again those short-term situations usually um do not have staying power and it's important to keep that in mind.
没有捷径可走,那些短期情况通常不具备持久力,记住这一点很重要。
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There is no shortcuts uh again those short-term situations usually um do not have staying power and it's important to keep that in mind.
大型组织的常见陷阱
现在,谈到大型组织,让我强调两个常见的陷阱。
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Now when it comes to large organizations um let me highlight two common pitfalls.
这并不是对任何特定公司的具体反思,而是我从与许多公司高管的对话中听到的,以及在我自己的职业生涯中在大公司里经历的。
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And this is not a specific reflection on any specific company but from many conversations with COP simply what I heard and what I also experienced in my own professional life and large companies may have many strengths but there's two common weaknesses to watch out for.
大型公司可能有很多优势,但有两个常见的弱点需要注意。
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And large companies may have many strengths but there's two common weaknesses to watch out for.
第一个是内部导向(inside focus)。
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The first one is inside focus.
在许多大型公司,特别是那些具有深层垂直结构的公司中,你可能在职业生涯中花费很长时间,才真正需要与外部打交道。
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In many large companies especially the ones that have a deep vertical structure. You may spend a long time in your professional career before you really have to deal with the outside.
请记住,一个初级销售人员可能会看到很多外部情况,但他们只是在执行高层做出的决策,比如价格表。
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Remember, a salesperson, a junior salesperson may see a lot of the outside, but they're applying decisions that are made at the senior level like a price list for example.
所以,只有在组织的顶层,你才会遇到这些权衡,比如提高价格与市场份额,或者其他将公司外部与内部联系起来的关键决策。
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So, it's only at the top of the organization where you get into these trade-offs like raising prices versus market share or some other key decisions that link the outside of the company to the inside of a company.
而且,一个企业越大,高管达到那个级别所需的时间就越长,而在此之前,你所有的晋升和职业发展通常都是由“玩内部游戏”来决定的。
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And the larger a business is um the longer it takes executives to get to that level and before all of your advancements your your career progress usually gets determined by playing the inside game.
这就是为什么我相信,在培养高级领导者方面,通常小型公司是更好的温床。
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And um that's why I believe when it comes to schooling senior leaders, usually a smaller company tends to be the better breeding ground.
而对于大型公司,如何从高层对抗这种内部思维,需要持续的关注。
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And with larger companies, that whole notion, what do you do from the top to counter that inside thinking that requires constant attention?
另一个是问责制(accountability),或者说缺乏问责制。
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The other one is accountability or the lack of accountability.
在这里,组织越大、越复杂、越矩阵化(matrix organization: 一种组织结构,员工同时向职能经理和项目经理汇报),你就越会发现人们夸大好的方面。
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And here again, the larger, the more complex the organization, the more matrix the organization, the more you find that people oversell the good things.
比如25个人都声称是他们创造了好的消息,而对不好的事情则轻描淡写。
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Like 25 people claiming that they were the ones who created the good news and underell the bad things.
他们选择视而不见,希望不好的事情不会与自己扯上关系。
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Look the other way hoping that it doesn't get attached to you.
这也是一个非常常见的陷阱,而且与内部导向一样,没有简单的对策。
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And that's also a very common pitfall and one where like with the inside focus there is no simple recipe for how to counter that.
作为领导者,你每天必须做的是努力指出这些情况。
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What you have to do as a leader dayto day is to try and call out these situations.
努力确保你灌输了外部思维。
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Try to be sure you instill that outside thinking.
努力确保你找到了那些对好的事情负责的人,也找到了那些对不顺利的事情负责的人,并且组织内部有公正可言。
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Try to be sure that you do find the people that were responsible for the good things but also for the things that didn't go so well and that there's justice in the organization because once people feel that they can get away with a lack of accountability it goes downhill from there.
因为一旦人们觉得他们可以逃避问责,事情就会开始走下坡路。
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Because once people feel that they can get away with a lack of accountability it goes downhill from there.
多元化与包容性领导力的进步
以上就是我想分享的一些高层次的想法。
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So those were some of the high level thoughts I wanted to share.
我想以一个与我之前谈论的内容略有不同的主题来结束,那就是我想告诉大家,我总共担任上市公司CEO已有21年。
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I wanted to leave on something that's a bit of a gear shift from what I was just covering before and that is I wanted to tell you that um in total I've been serving as a public company CEO for 21 years.
当我回顾过去二十年领导团队的变化时,我看到了多元化与包容性(Diversity and Inclusion, D&I)带来的显著变化。
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And when I look at how leadership teams have changed over those two decades I've seen a remarkable change coming from diversity inclusion.
我看到了非常重大的变化,不仅是在纠正历史错误方面,而且我还看到了对企业带来的巨大益处,因为讨论的质量大大提高了。
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And I've seen very significant changes not just in the sense of correcting historic wrongs but also I've seen tremendous benefit to the businesses because the quality of the discussion has improved so much.
这是一种全新的讨论,带来了不同的观点,更多的广度,并且能够让旨在服务社会的组织真正做到这一点。
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It's a whole different discussion that brings different views to the table a lot more bandwidth and kind of enabling organizations that are designed to serve society to actually do that.
因为社会确实比过去的领导团队所拥有的更广泛的横截面。
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Because society does come with a much broader cross-section than what leadership teams used to have in the past.
我想告诉大家的是,显然在当前的辩论中,对于一家大型公司来说,每个人都必须遵守其运营所在每个司法管辖区的当地法律,这一点很重要。
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And um what I wanted to tell you is obviously in the current debate it is important that for a large company everyone follows the local laws in every jurisdiction where they work.
但我确实希望,也希望你们作为投资者能关注到,通过更多元化、更具包容性的领导团队可以实现的总体现状不会被忽视。
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But I do hope and I also hope that you as investors pay attention to that that the overall spirit of what can get done with more diverse more inclusive leadership teams that that doesn't get lost.
因为我确实相信,这是过去几十年中真正的进步领域之一。
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Because I do believe that is one of the true areas of progress over the last few decades.
我也相信还有很长的路要走,而且我确实相信,除了道德伦理标准之外,它也具有商业上的合理性。
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And I do I also believe there is ways to go and I do believe that in addition to the moral ethical standards I do believe there's also business rationale with it.
我就讲到这里,期待接下来的小组讨论。
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I stop it here and look forward to the panel. Thanks.
谢谢。
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Thanks.