阵亡将士纪念日的历史与演变
1919年11月6日,英王乔治五世(King George V: 英国国王,在位期间经历第一次世界大战)的一封信在下议院(House of Commons: 加拿大联邦议会的下议院)被宣读。
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On November 6th, 1919, a message from King George V was read aloud in the House of Commons.
他在信中写道:“我希望并期望,在停战协议生效之时,即11月11日上午11点,所有日常活动能够完全暂停两分钟,以便每个人在完全的寂静中,将思绪集中于对光荣逝者的虔诚缅怀。”
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He wrote, in part, "It is my desire and hope that at the hour when the armistice came into force, the 11th hour of the 11th day of the 11th month, there may be, for the brief space of two minutes, a complete suspension of all our normal activities, so that in perfect stillness the thoughts of everyone may be concentrated on reverent remembrance of the glorious dead."
那一年,加拿大首次庆祝了停战日(Armistice Day: 第一次世界大战停战的纪念日,后演变为阵亡将士纪念日)。
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That year, Canada marked its first Armistice Day.
1931年,11月11日正式成为阵亡将士纪念日(Remembrance Day: 纪念在战争中牺牲的军人和平民的纪念日)。
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In 1931, November 11th became Remembrance Day.
自那时起的94年间,这个节日及其相关联的意义是如何变化的?
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In the 94 years since, how have the day and its associations changed?
在2025年,它对加拿大人来说意味着什么?
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What does it mean to Canadians in 2025?
加拿大2025年的国防开支与军事现代化
此外,联邦预算(Federal Budget: 加拿大政府每年提出的财政计划)在国防开支方面有大幅增长,未来五年将超过800亿加元。
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Then, the federal budget contains a big boost for defence spending, more than $80 billion over the next five years.
以下是财政部长弗朗索瓦-菲利普·香槟(François-Philippe Champagne: 加拿大财政部长)上周的讲话。
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Here's Finance Minister François-Philippe Champagne last week.
弗朗索瓦-菲利普·香槟: 我们将履行2%的北约(NATO - North Atlantic Treaty Organization: 北大西洋公约组织,一个军事联盟)承诺。
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We will meet our 2% commitment.
今年我们将实现北美航空航天防御司令部(NORAD - North American Aerospace Defense Command: 美国和加拿大共同的航空航天预警和控制组织)的现代化。
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This year we will modernise NORAD.
我们将加强北极防御,并为加拿大武装部队(Canadian Armed Forces: 加拿大的军事力量)的英勇将士配备他们保卫国家所需的基础设施和技术。
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We will reinforce our Arctic defence, and we will equip our brave men and women of the Canadian Armed Forces with the infrastructure and technology that they need to safeguard our nation.
这是加拿大几十年来为国防分配的最高金额。
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This is the most Canada has allocated for defence in decades.
它将如何推动我们武装部队的现代化?
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How far will it go to modernising our armed forces?
欢迎收看《综述》(The Rundown: 电视节目名称)。
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Welcome to The Rundown.
2025年,“勿忘”意味着什么?
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What does "lest we forget" mean in 2025?
参加过第二次世界大战的那一代人正在逐渐逝去。
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The generation that fought in the Second World War is passing away.
如今,很少有加拿大人亲自认识那些参加过现代冲突的人。
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Fewer Canadians today personally know people who fought in modern conflicts.
迈克尔·佩特鲁(Michael Petrou: 加拿大战争博物馆历史学家)正在努力确保他们的经历能够传承下去。
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Michael Petrou is working to make sure their experiences will live on.
他是加拿大战争博物馆(Canadian War Museum: 位于渥太华的国家级战争历史博物馆)的一名历史学家,我曾与他讨论过“《他们自己的声音》项目”(In Their Own Voices project: 加拿大战争博物馆的一个口述历史项目),该项目收录了服役人员的感想。
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He's a historian at the Canadian War Museum, and I talked to him about the In Their Own Voices project, which features reflections from those who've served.
迈克尔,很高兴你能来节目。
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Mikal, great to have you on the program.
你今天过得怎么样?
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How are you doing today?
迈克尔·佩特鲁: 很好,杰扬。
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Good, Jeyan.
谢谢你邀请我。
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Thank you for having me.
我想从你的家庭联系开始谈起。
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I want to start off with your family connection.
你从小就与加拿大军队有家庭联系。
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You grew up with a family connection to Canada's military.
给我们讲讲这方面的情况。
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Tell us a little bit about that.
迈克尔·佩特鲁: 当然。我小时候最直接的联系是我的外祖父威廉·纽伯里(William Newberry: 迈克尔·佩特鲁的外祖父,二战老兵),他曾在加拿大军队服役。
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Sure. The most direct one that I had when I was a little boy was my mother's father, William Newberry, who served in the Canadian Army.
他是一名军官,中尉,曾转战西西里岛、意大利、西北欧,隶属于安大略团,负责坦克部队。
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He was a lieutenant, an officer, fought through Sicily, Italy, North-West Europe, was with the Ontario regiment, with the tanks.
这在我小时候就深深吸引了我。
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And it fascinated me as a young boy.
但和许多退伍军人一样,他很少谈及此事。
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But like so many veterans, he rarely talked about it.
所以,他所经历的事情与对他意义重大的事情之间存在着一道鸿沟。
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So there was this gap between what he'd experienced and what clearly meant a lot to him.
他家里散落着一些二战时期的文物。
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There were scattered artifacts around his house from the Second World War.
他钱包里一直带着一枚银元,那是他入伍时高中老师送给他的,他一生中每天都带着它。
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He carried a silver dollar in his wallet that had been given to him by his high school teacher when he enlisted, and he kept that on him every day for his entire life.
他去世那天,那枚银元还在他身上。
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It was on his person the day he died.
所以,显然第二次世界大战对他意义非凡。
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So clearly the Second World War mattered to him.
它甚至塑造了他之后许多年的生活。
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It had shaped even the many years that followed.
但他不常谈论它。
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But it wasn't something that he talked about a lot.
我认为这在许多二战老兵以及其他冲突和服役时期的老兵中都非常普遍。
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And I think that's quite common with a lot of veterans in the Second World War and veterans of other conflicts and other periods of service as well.
退伍军人与社会的疏离感
我能想象,你和那段历史有个人联系。
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I can imagine, you know, you have your personal connection there.
你在加拿大战争博物馆工作。
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You work at the Canadian War Museum.
我想更好地了解,你认为今天大多数加拿大人是否对我们的军队及其历史有个人联系?
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I want to have a better understanding of, do you think most Canadians today feel a personal connection to our military and its history?
迈克尔·佩特鲁: 嗯,我认为现在肯定比二战后要少。
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Well, certainly less now, I think, than after the Second World War.
我认为当我们审视退伍军人的退役后经历时,这是一个非常重要的区别。
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And I think when we look at the post-service experiences of veterans, I think that's a really important distinction.
在我在这里的工作过程中,我采访了200多名退伍军人及其家人,看到二战老兵和近期部署的老兵之间的一些共同经历,这非常引人入胜:战友情谊,常常伴随着悲伤,以及经历了许多未参军的人无法理解的事情。
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I think it's been fascinating in the course of my work here, I've interviewed more than 200 veterans and their family members, and it's been fascinating to see some of the shared experiences of veterans of the Second World War and veterans of more recent deployments: the comradeship, often the grief, the having experienced something that many people who have not been in the military can't understand.
所以,存在这种共同的经历。
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So there's that shared experience.
但二战时期和今天之间存在着巨大的差异。
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But a big difference between the Second World War and today.
当你问及个人联系时,我认为,是的。
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When you asked about the personal connections, I think, yes.
许多加拿大人确实与军队有个人联系,但这比二战后要少。
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Many Canadians do have a personal connection to the military, but it's less than it was after the Second World War.
二战后,有一百万男女成为了退伍军人。
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After the Second World War, a million men and women were veterans.
当他们回家时,他们周围都是参与过战争的人,在很多情况下,他们有共同的理解。
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When they came home, they were surrounded by people that had been part of the war effort, who had a common understanding, in many cases.
现在,对于阿富汗战争的退伍军人来说,情况就不同了,大约有4万人服役。
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That's different now for veterans of Afghanistan, about 40,000 served.
我认为,当然,战友情谊的纽带依然存在,但对于更广泛的社会而言,我认为可能会有一些孤立感,一些隔阂,我认为退伍军人的经历与更广泛社会所理解的之间存在着巨大的隔阂。
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And I think certainly there's still the same bonds of comradeship, but with larger society, I think there might be a little bit of isolation, a little bit of a gap, a big gap, I think, between the veteran's experience and what the broader society understands.
我认为这可能会让人感到孤独。
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And I think that can be lonely.
我曾与退伍军人交谈,他们说当他们聚在一起时,真正的故事才会在一个值得信任、安全的空间里,在有共同背景的人之间流露出来。
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I've spoken to veterans who talk about when they get together, that's when the real stories come through in a kind of trusted, safe space amongst people who have a common shared background.
但另一位退伍军人曾告诉我,他住在渥太华(Ottawa: 加拿大首都),他说:“我住在一个城市,周围有一百万人,但他们没有人知道我做过什么。”
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But another veteran told me once, he lives here in Ottawa and he says, you know, I live in a city that's-- I'm surrounded by a million people and none of them know what I did.
我认为这可能会让人感到有点孤独。
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And I think that can be a little bit lonely.
所以,即使存在这种个人联系,我认为它也比我们历史上其他时期要少。
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So even though there is that personal connection, I think it's less than it has been at other times in our history.
我认为这很重要。
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And I think that matters.
我认为这对退伍军人有影响。
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I think that's impactful for veterans.
《他们自己的声音》项目:记录战争的涟漪效应
好的,让我们来谈谈《他们自己的声音》项目中的这种联系。
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Well, let's talk about that connection in their own voices.
请告诉我这个项目是如何产生的,以及你们在其中记录了哪些故事。
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The project, tell me how it came to be and sort of the stories that you are capturing in those.
迈克尔·佩特鲁: 这个项目的目标,这个想法,这个灵感来自于我最近去世的同事蒂姆·库克(Tim Cook: 加拿大战争博物馆历史学家),他在这里的博物馆工作。
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So the goal of the project, that was the idea, the inspiration was my recently passed colleague, Tim Cook here at the museum, and his goal and our goal was to better understand the ripples of a conflict, the ripples of service, ripples of war, and how an experience in the military, wartime, yes, but also peacetime deployments, peacekeeping.
他的目标和我们的目标是更好地理解冲突的涟漪、服役的涟漪、战争的涟漪,以及军事经历——无论是战时还是和平时期的部署、维和——如何持续塑造退伍军人甚至他们家人在数年、数十年乃至有时数代人之后的生活。
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Once that period of deployment ends, once that conflict ends, we wanted to better understand how those ripples continue to shape the lives of veterans and even their families in the years and decades and sometimes generations afterwards.
所以,前提是,许多军事历史在战争结束或部署结束后就停止了,但其影响仍在继续。
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So the premise was, a lot of military histories end when the war ends or the deployment ends, but the impacts continue.
对于那些亲历者而言,战争并未结束,服役期也未结束,它存在于他们的思想和心中。
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The war is not over. The period of service is not over in the minds and in the hearts of people who were there.
因此,我们希望深入挖掘,揭示军事服务中那些有时被隐藏或未被充分探索的方面。
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And so we wanted to dig into that, uncover that sometimes hidden history, that hidden or underexplored aspect of military service.
军事历史对加拿大社会的塑造
这些档案告诉我们,加拿大社会是如何被我们的军事历史塑造的?
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What does the archive tell us about how Canadian society was shaped by our military history?
迈克尔·佩特鲁: 我认为这是一个非常重要的观点。
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That's, I think, a really important point.
战争和军事服务塑造了退伍军人,也塑造了他们的家庭。
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And war and military service. It shapes veterans, it shapes their families.
但通过他们,它也塑造了他们的社区,乃至加拿大本身。
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But through them it also shapes their communities and indeed Canada itself.
所以,我认为有时我们倾向于将战争或部署视为独立的、孤立的事件。
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So I think sometimes we have a tendency to think of wars or deployments as discrete events, as isolated events.
但它们并非如此。
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But they're not.
即使在第二次世界大战80年后,加拿大仍然是一个在许多方面被塑造的国家。
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Even 80 years after the Second World War, Canada is still very much, we are a country that was shaped in many ways.
它在许多方面被第二次世界大战塑造。
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It is shaped in many ways by the Second World War.
因此,退伍军人的经历和军事服务对加拿大产生了巨大的影响,对加拿大社会中不同人群、不同群体的角色也产生了巨大影响。
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So the veteran's experience, military service has had an enormous impact on Canada, on the role of different people, different groups in Canadian society to look at the Second World War specifically, we can look at the experiences, say, of women.
具体来看第二次世界大战,我们可以看看女性的经历。
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The role of women in society changed radically because of the service of women during the war and filling roles that were not open to women before, a certain liberation socially, in terms of work, that was a direct impact of the Second World War for certain marginalised communities.
由于女性在战争期间的服役以及担任了以前不向女性开放的角色,女性在社会中的角色发生了根本性变化,这在社会和工作方面带来了某种解放,是第二次世界大战对某些边缘化社区的直接影响。
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The role of women in society changed radically because of the service of women during the war and filling roles that were not open to women before, a certain liberation socially, in terms of work, that was a direct impact of the Second World War for certain marginalised communities.
亚裔加拿大人,包括华裔和日裔加拿大人,在未享有完整公民权的情况下服役。
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Asian Canadians, Chinese and Japanese Canadians served without having enjoyed the full rights of citizenship.
现在,当他们从战场归来时,能够说“看,我们服役了,我们愿意牺牲”,这对于战后争取更大政治和公民平等的斗争来说,是一个有说服力的论据。
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Now, when they came back from the war, to be able to say, look, we had served, we were willing to die, was a persuasive argument in terms of the struggle, the post-war struggle for greater political and civic equality.
同样,我们来看看原住民退伍军人的经历,他们中的许多人在二战服役期间,在非原住民同事中享有某种程度的更大平等,但回到社会后,他们却未能享受到与非原住民战友相同的支持、欢迎和公平待遇。
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Similarly, we look at the experience of Indigenous veterans who many enjoyed a certain, a greater equality while serving in the Second World War amongst their non-Indigenous colleagues, and then came back to society where they did not enjoy the same sort of support and welcome and equality as their non-Indigenous comrades.
然而,他们在战争中的经历确实具有激励作用,它培养、启发或推动了新一代的战后原住民领袖,这些领袖正是受到他们在二战中经历的塑造。
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And yet their experience in the war was really a galvanising one in terms of nurturing or inspiring or pressing a new generation of post-war Indigenous leaders who were shaped by their experiences in the Second World War.
所以,所有这些涟漪也影响了加拿大社会,远远超出了战争本身,影响了加拿大的方方面面。
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So all these ripples impacted Canadian society as well, not far beyond the war, all aspects of Canada.
因此,我认为一个重要的观点是,军事历史确实会通过和平时期和公民社会产生涟漪效应。
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So I think that's an important point, is that the military history does ripple through peacetime and civil society, too.
退伍军人的战后困境
好的。
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All right.
接下来,我们有一个来自档案的片段要播放。
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With that, we actually have a clip from the archive that we want to show.
这是一位在二战中服役于加拿大皇家海军(Royal Canadian Navy: 加拿大海军的前身)的退伍军人。
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This is from a veteran who served in the Royal Canadian Navy in World War II.
他在这里描述了战争结束时的情景。
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Here he is describing what it was like when the war ended.
亚历克斯·鲍德温(Alex Baldwin: 一位二战退伍军人): 我余生该怎么办?
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What am I going to do for the rest of my life?
我什么都没学过。
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I wasn't trained for anything.
我没有受过上大学的训练。
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I wasn't trained to go to university.
我只是,我被震住了。
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I was just, I was shook up.
当你像那样操作一门炮,可能在一场战斗中发射50发炮弹时,它会对你产生影响。
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When you're on, when you're on a gun like that and maybe fire 50 rounds in a battle, it does something to you.
我不在乎别人会怎么说。
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I don't care what anybody will tell you.
你就是不够坚强来承受它。
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You're just not strong enough to handle it.
好的,听了这些,为什么在2025年,我们仍然需要倾听退伍军人及其家人的心声,即使如你所说,距离我们上次参战已经过去了一段时间?
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All right, listening to that, why is it important for us in 2025 to hear what veterans and families have to say, even though, as you mentioned, there is that distance in time from the last time that we went into war?
迈克尔·佩特鲁: 嗯,我认为我们需要设身处地地为那位退伍军人着想,那就是已经去世的亚历克斯·鲍德温。
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Well, I think we need to put ourselves in the place of that veteran, that's Alex Baldwin who's since passed.
他是我采访的第一批二战老兵之一。
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And he was one of the first Second World War veterans that I interviewed.
我将永远记住那一刻。
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And I'll always remember that moment.
我问他,战争结束时你感觉如何?
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I had asked him, how did you feel when the war ended?
他的回答是,我感到害怕。
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And his response was, I was scared.
当时,那句话深深地打动了我。
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And that has always, that poured into me at the time.
他描述了进入哈利法克斯(Halifax: 加拿大新斯科舍省的首府,重要港口城市)的情景,船只第一次亮起了灯,你不再担心死亡。
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And it struck, what stuck with me since he described coming into Halifax and for the first time, the boats were lit up. They weren't. You weren't worried about dying anymore.
但他感到害怕,因为他面前是未来数年乃至数十年的鸿沟,他不知道该做什么。
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But he was scared because he was facing this chasm of years and decades in front of him with no idea what to do.
那是一种压倒性的感觉。
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And that was overwhelming.
获得这种视角很重要。
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And it's important to get that perspective.
重要的是要明白,那不仅仅是庆祝和振奋,对许多人来说,那是一个令人不安、脱节的时刻。
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It's important to understand that it wasn't just celebration and uplifting, it was this jarring, disjointed moment for many people.
我余生该怎么办?
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What am I going to do with the rest of my life?
那吓坏了亚历克斯。
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And that, that scared Alex.
除了战斗的一些症状和影响,他用“被震住了”来形容。
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In addition to some of the symptoms and the impacts of combat, which he talks about being shook up is how he phrased it.
你会发现二战老兵可能使用的词汇与年轻老兵不同,但他们描述的是相似的症状。
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You'll find Second World War veterans may use different vocabularies than younger veterans, but they're describing similar symptoms.
所以,除了这些,还有一种更具存在主义的思考:我余生该怎么办?
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So in addition to that, there's this kind of more existential, what am I going to do with the rest of my life?
所以,想象一下你22岁,想象你经历了这场极其重要的事件,然后想象你回家后,想知道接下来会发生什么。
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So, imagine yourself at 22, imagine having experienced this enormously consequential event, and then imagine coming home and wondering what comes next.
想象一下那对你内心造成了什么影响。
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And imagine what that, what that does to you inside.
我认为,除非你直接从像亚历克斯这样的人那里听到,否则你无法体会到这一点,这正是这类采访的特别之处。
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You can't get that, I don't think, unless you're hearing it directly from somebody like Alex, which I think is what makes interviews like that quite special.
迈克尔,非常感谢你。
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Michael, thank you so much.
迈克尔·佩特鲁: 谢谢你,杰扬。
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Thank you, Jeyan.
现代战争的演变与加拿大国防投资
国防开支是2025年联邦预算中的一个主要项目。
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Defence spending is a major line item in the 2025 federal budget.
总理马克·卡尼(Mark Carney: 加拿大总理)承诺今年将达到北约GDP(Gross Domestic Product: 国内生产总值,衡量国家经济产出的指标)2%的目标,到2035年达到5%。
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Prime Minister Mark Carney has pledged to hit a NATO target of 2% of GDP this year and 5% by 2035.
这项可观的投资是否合理?
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Does this sizeable investment make sense?
它将对我们的武装部队产生怎样的影响?
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What kind of difference will it make for our armed forces?
我采访了马克斯顿-劳里埃研究所(Macdonald-Laurier Institute: 加拿大的一家公共政策智库)高级研究员、《枢纽》(The Hub: 媒体出版物)特约撰稿人理查德·岛冈(Richard Shimooka: 马克斯顿-劳里埃研究所高级研究员),以及卡尔顿大学(Carleton University: 位于渥太华的一所公立研究型大学)副教授斯蒂芬妮·卡文(Stephanie Carvin: 卡尔顿大学副教授)。
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I asked Richard Shimooka, senior fellow at the Macdonald-Laurier Institute and contributing writer at The Hub, and Stephanie Carvin, associate professor at Carleton University.
理查德,斯蒂芬妮,欢迎来到节目。
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Richard, Stephanie, welcome to the program.
非常感谢你们抽出时间。
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Thank you so much for making time.
理查德,我先从你开始。
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Richard, I'm going to start with you.
这标志着二战结束80周年。
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This marks 80 years since the end of World War II.
今天的战争与当年加拿大士兵所经历的战争有任何相似之处吗?
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Does warfare today look anything like it looked to the Canadian soldiers who fought back then?
理查德·岛冈: 我的意思是,如果你只考虑我们日常生活的相似之处,对吧?
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I mean, if you just think about the parallel in our day to day lives, right?
在某些方面,战争只是反映了社会、技术等如何随着世代进步。
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In some ways warfare just kind of reflects how societies, technologies and all that sort of improve over generations.
当然,我们今天的生活完全不同。
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And certainly our lives are completely different today.
战争也不例外。
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And warfare is no different.
我认为,在电信等领域的一些重大发展,比如电话,对吧?
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I think some of the major developments in, let's say, telecommunications, like phones, right?
那时,决策周期,比如决定轰炸某个目标,可能需要一周左右的时间。
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Like back then, the decision making cycle, the decision to make, we're going to bomb something may take a week or so.
就像如果你有一个商业决策,需要时间来收集信息。
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And much like if you had a decision a business would take, you know, something like to kind of bring together information.
而今天,识别目标等所有这些都可以在几分钟甚至几秒钟内完成。
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And then today it's done within minutes or even seconds to some degree of, you know, the identification of a target, all that at the same time, some of the core strengths or ideas that you think about, how you know what Canadians are strong with, which is ingenuity and sort of how we operate on our daily lives is still reflected in the military so that, you know, it is it's a challenge.
同时,你所思考的一些核心优势或理念,比如加拿大人擅长的独创性以及我们日常生活的运作方式,仍然反映在军队中,所以,这确实是一个挑战。
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And then today it's done within minutes or even seconds to some degree of, you know, the identification of a target, all that at the same time, some of the core strengths or ideas that you think about, how you know what Canadians are strong with, which is ingenuity and sort of how we operate on our daily lives is still reflected in the military so that, you know, it is it's a challenge.
但我们有一个新的技术和社会背景,这就是战争受影响的方式。
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But we have a new technological and societal kind of backdrop, and that's how a war is affected.
许多核心价值观和理念依然存在,但技术环境和军事力量已经完全不同了。
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And so many of the core values, the ideas that exist, but the technology environment, the military is completely different.
改变战争格局的关键技术
好的,让我们接着这个话题。
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Well, let's pick up on that.
斯蒂芬妮,你认为哪些进步或技术对战争格局的改变最大?
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Stephanie, what advancements or technologies would you say have changed the game the most?
斯蒂芬妮·卡文: 嗯,我认为毫无疑问,如果我们谈论1945年以来,那就是核武器,对吧?
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Well, I think indisputably, if we're talking since 1945, it's nuclear weapons, right?
核武器对我们思考战争的方式和战争策略产生了巨大影响。
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Nuclear weapons have really had a huge impact on the way we think about warfare, on the strategy of warfare.
在某种程度上,随着这些核武器的出现,现在很多目标是威慑而非使用武力。
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And to a certain extent, with the advent of these nuclear weapons, a lot of the aim now is to deter force as opposed to use force.
而且,你知道,暴力的威胁实际上是潜在的,这意味着你基本上是在威胁,如果你做了我们不喜欢的事情,就会遭到大规模报复,而不是真正需要去使用武力,然后在你同意我们的条件后停止。
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And, you know, the threat of violence is really kind of latent in the sense that, you know, you're basically threatening massive retaliation if you do something that we don't like as opposed to, you know, actually having to go and use force and then stop once you agree to our terms.
所以,我认为这是其中很大一部分。
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So I think that's been a large part of that.
但与此同时,我们也看到了其他方面的进步。
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But at the same time, we have also seen advancements in other kinds.
并不是说1945年以来就没有战争了。
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It's not like there hasn't been war since 1945.
显然是有的。
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There obviously has been.
其中很多战争都非常不同,因为它们是国家与非国家行为者(Non-state actors: 指国际关系中不属于国家主体的行为者,如恐怖组织、跨国公司等)之间的冲突。
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And a lot of them have been very different in the sense that they are conflicts that are between states and non-state actors.
当然,我们在20世纪50年代、60年代和70年代经历了去殖民化战争(Wars of decolonisation: 指二战后殖民地争取独立的战争)。
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We had, of course, the wars of decolonisation in the 1950s, 60s and 70s.
在那些情况下,军队拥有巨大的杀伤力,例如大量的部队,但却难以对抗那些组织良好、动机强烈但装备简陋的群体,这些群体尽管也得到了国家的支持,但却能够造成足够的损失,使得这些庞大的军队无法前进。
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And, you know, in those cases, you had, you know, armies that had tremendous amounts of lethality, like large numbers of troops and struggled against kind of ragtag groups of, you know, well-organised, well-motivated forces that were nevertheless also supported by states but were able to inflict enough cost that these large militaries were unable to go forward.
所以这表明,技术并非总是答案。
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So it shows that, you know, technology isn't always the answer.
关键在于方式。
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It's the way.
我认为这在很大程度上是理查德回答的一部分,即你快速做出决策的能力,将这些技术融入你的思维方式,以及你赢得民心的能力,这都是信息战(Information warfare: 利用信息和信息技术来获取竞争优势的战争形式)的一部分,信息战也正在迅速改变国家思考武装冲突的方式。
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And I think this was, you know, very much a part of Richard's answer, your ability to make those decisions quickly, to kind of integrate those technologies into how you think, but also your ability to win hearts and minds, which is a part of this kind of information warfare, which is also rapidly changing the way, you know, states have to think about armed conflict.
军事适应现代技术的挑战
那么,理查德,当谈到技术时,军队需要做些什么才能适应并跟上时代?
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So with that, Richard, what does a military need to do in order to adapt and keep up with the times when we talk about technology, specifically.
理查德·岛冈: 关键在于灵活性。
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The critical is flexibility.
我的意思是,你考虑一下我们现在的技术变化速度,对吧?
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I mean, you think about the rapidity of how our technology change is occurring right now, right?
你考虑一下印度在生物伦理学(Bioethics: 涉及生物学和医学进步的道德问题研究)或生物技术(Biotechnology: 利用生物系统、生物体或其衍生物来开发或制造产品和技术的应用科学)领域的发展,对吧?
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You think about think about India in the space of sort of bioethics or biotechnology, right?
这是一个在新型病原体和相关领域快速发展的领域。
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That's an area where you see rapid development in sort of new novel forms of pathogens and areas.
军队必须对此保持关注,因为这可能是我们某个对手可能使用的潜在载体。
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And that's the military has to keep it, keep focus on this, because that's the potential vector that one of our adversaries may use.
这当然是一个小众领域,但它只是众多领域之一。
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You know, it's a niche area, certainly, but it's just one of many.
你现在想想人工智能,政府和我们的社会在应对这种大约在十年前半才真正出现的新型技术时所面临的困难。
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You think about AI right now, just the difficulty that governments are and our societies are trying to deal with this absolutely novel form of technology that really didn't exist in maybe a decade and a half ago.
军事被视为新的制高点,这意味着如果我们不处于这一领域的前沿,至少不了解其影响和可能性,那么像中国这样在该领域投入巨大的社会,我们可能会落后。
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And the military is viewed as basically being the new commanding heights in the sense that if we are not on the cutting edge of this, at least to understand its effects and its possibilities, then one of our societies like China, which is a huge investor in this field, we may fall behind.
因此,具备灵活性,在部门或军队内部拥有知识储备,以识别趋势、需要关注的事项和需要避免的事项,这些都是我认为在部门内部以及其他所有地方都绝对需要的关键灵活性领域。
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So certainly the ability to be flexible, to have the sort of reservoir of knowledge within the department or the military itself, to identify what are the trends, what are the things we need to watch, and what are the things we need to avoid. Those are the kind of critical areas of flexibility that I think you will see within the department, within everywhere else that are absolutely required.
加拿大武装部队的能力差距
斯蒂芬妮,其他军队拥有哪些加拿大武装部队不具备的能力?
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Stephanie, what kind of capabilities do other militaries have that the Canadian Armed Forces don't?
斯蒂芬妮·卡文: 这是一个非常有趣的问题。
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It's a really interesting question.
在某种程度上,它实际上归结到子弹上,对吧?
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You know, and on some level, it actually kind of gets down to bullets, right?
我们听说过这样的故事,加拿大武装部队无法用子弹进行训练,因为存在弹药短缺(Ammunition shortage: 弹药供应不足的情况)。
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Like we've heard stories that, you know, Canadian armed forces haven't been able to train with bullets because there's an ammunition shortage.
所以,这就是我们目前面临的一些问题。
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So that's kind of some of the level that we're dealing with right now.
我们也许可以在预算部分更多地讨论这个问题。
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And we can get back to that maybe more in the budget part of the conversation.
但在很大程度上,我认为我们并非没有先进的能力。
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But I think to a large extent that it's not, you know, we have really some really advanced capabilities.
我们看到加拿大武装部队最近刚刚启动了一个网络司令部(Cyber Command: 专门负责网络空间军事行动的指挥部门)。
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You know, we saw the Canadian Armed Forces just recently start up a cyber command.
我认为它是CAF Cybercom。
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I think it's CAF Cybercom.
我们拥有天基能力,尽管我们正在寻求增强它们,而且我们在北极拥有非常好的能力,在某些方面甚至我们的北约盟友也对此感兴趣,并正在与我们合作进一步开发。
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We have space based abilities, although we're looking to enhance them, and we have really good capabilities in the Arctic, in certain capabilities up there that, you know, even our NATO allies are, are interested in and are working with us on developing further.
所以,并不是说我们没有能力,但我认为加拿大武装部队目前正在关注的一个问题是战争是如何变化的,尤其是在过去的三到四年里。
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So, you know, so it's not to say we don't have capabilities, but one of the things that I think that the Canadian Armed Forces is looking at right now is how warfare has been changing, particularly in the last, you know, even just 3 to 4 years.
他们正在研究俄罗斯入侵乌克兰的教训。
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They're looking at the lessons of Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
他们正在看到适应的速度有多快。
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Right. And they're seeing how quickly adaptation takes place.
双方在人力方面面临的挑战,以及如何将武力和技术结合起来,以在乌克兰的情况下生存下来,或者,仅仅是仍然存在的一些残暴行为。
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You know, the challenges that both sides are really having in terms of manpower and how to integrate force and technology together in order to basically survive in the case of Ukraine or, you know, just simply some of the brutality that still continues to exist.
回顾过去十年叙利亚冲突,虽然大部分已经解决,尽管该地区仍有一些战斗。
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You know, if we think back to the Syrian conflict in, you know, the over the last ten years, which is, you know, thankfully largely resolved, although there's still some fighting in that region.
但我的意思是,俄罗斯武装部队正在使用桶装炸弹(Barrel bombs: 一种简易的非制导爆炸装置,通常由金属桶填充炸药制成),那只是简单的金属容器,里面装满了杂物,在高空投下,里面有炸药,造成了巨大、无法估量的痛苦。
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But, I mean, the Russian armed forces were using barrel bombs, which are just simply, you know, metal containers full of junk dropped at large heights with dynamite and cause huge, immeasurable suffering.
所以这并不是一项先进技术,但它是一种愿意对平民使用残忍武力的行为。
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So this isn't exactly an advanced technology, but it is a willingness to use brutal, brutal force on civilian populations.
这绝对是我们过去几年在苏丹、乌克兰、加沙等任何地方看到的战争的特点。
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That has definitely been a character of the wars we've been seeing in over the last couple of years, whether it's in Sudan, Ukraine, Gaza, anywhere.
加拿大军队的现代化需求与预算分配
理查德,八月份,加拿大陆军发布了一份关于军队现代化的政策提案。
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Richard, in August, the Canadian army put out a policy proposal about modernising the force.
他们在文件中说,我们拥有的军队不是我们需要的军队。
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They said in that document, the army we have is not the army we need.
你能描述一下我们现有军队与所需军队之间存在的差距吗?
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Can you describe the gaps that exist between the army we have and the army we need?
理查德·岛冈: 嗯,这是多方面的。
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Well, it's manifold.
我的意思是,在某种程度上,你必须记住,我们大多数盟友大约在2014年、2015年就开始了大规模现代化周期。
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I mean, to some degree, you have to remember that most of our allies had starting a major modernisation cycle around 2014, 2015.
这与北约威尔士峰会(NATO Wales summit: 2014年北约在威尔士举行的峰会,确定了国防开支目标)相符,当时首次制定了2%的指导方针。
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And that kind of aligns with the Wales summit, the NATO Wales summit, where that was where the 2% guidelines were first instituted.
从那时起,他们一直在密切关注乌克兰以及其他冲突中发生的事情,以识别主要趋势,对吧?
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And since then they have sort of viewed what's gone in Ukraine to such a great point and also in other conflicts to identify, well, what are these major trends, right?
以及我们如何从这里出发,处理和解决这些问题?
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And where can we go from here to sort of deal with, to, to address those issues?
例如,在陆军中,防空被视为绝对至关重要的促成因素。
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So, for example, in the Army, specifically air defence is seen as absolutely vital enabler.
我们今天在乌克兰看到,无人机的使用占据了陆军现有能力的很大一部分。
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We watched today what goes on Ukraine with just the amount of drones that they've really taken up, a huge part of sort of the Army's existing capabilities.
它不是替代品,但它无疑是远程火炮的补充,对于识别目标进行侦察来说,这可能是该领域最重要的发展。
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It's not a it's not a replacement, but it's certainly a supplement, let's say, for a long range artillery, for the ability to sort of identify targets to reconnaissance is probably the most important development this area.
因此,防空系统对于确保军队能够保持受保护、能够机动并执行任务来说绝对至关重要。
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And so air defence systems are absolutely vital to ensure that, you know, armies can remain protected, able to be mobile and sort of undertake operations.
我们没有任何真正有效的远程火炮。
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We don't have any real effective long range artillery.
我们的坦克正在老化。
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Our tanks are starting to get old.
我们没有多少坦克,因为我们已经向乌克兰捐赠了不少。
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We don't have many because we've actually donated a fair few to Ukraine.
我可以一直说下去。
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And I can get on and on and on.
但我认为真正缺乏的、真正需要解决并加速进展的部分是网络组件。
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But the one part that I think is really lacking that really needs to be addressed and accelerate progress.
因为就像我们今天的社会一样,正如我之前提到的,我们认为手机和其他社交媒体系统将我们联系在一起,使我们在许多工作中更有效率。
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So the networking component, because just like in our society today, as I mentioned before, we think about phones and, and sort of other sort of social media systems sort of bind us and make us more effective in a lot of our work.
由于资金削减,军队在采用这方面一直很慢,这是一个我们需要解决并推进的核心领域。
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The military has really been slow to adopt this because of those funding cutbacks, and that's a real core area that we need to address and move forward.
好的。
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All right.
你谈到了资金。
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You talk funding.
让我们谈谈预算。
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Let's talk budget.
自由党政府的预算在未来五年内拨出了超过800亿加元,用于军队的重整和再投资。
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The Liberal government's budget laid out more than $80 billion over the next five years to rearm and reinvest in the military.
其中有资金用于招募和留用、基础设施和培训以及新设备。
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There is money set aside for recruitment and retention, for infrastructure and training and for new equipment.
斯蒂芬妮,我们知道我们需要为子弹提供资金,但你还希望看到这些钱用在哪里?
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Stephanie, we know that we want a line there for bullets, but what else do you want to see the money go to?
斯蒂芬妮·卡文: 嗯,预算中最有趣的事情之一是,在这840亿加元中,有25%仅仅用于加薪,对吧?
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Well, one of the most interesting things that is in the budget is that of that $84 billion, 25% is earmarked just simply for raises, right?
仅仅是支付给那些加入武装部队的人,提高他们的薪水。
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Just paying people to get to, who have joined the armed forces, improving their salary.
希望这将有助于改善招募和留用。
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And hopefully that will help improve recruitment and retainment.
我认为这总体来说是件好事。
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And I think that's a good thing overall.
我的意思是,我们希望我们的士兵得到良好的报酬,因为他们在许多方面做出了我们许多平民世界的人不常做出的牺牲。
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I mean, we want our soldiers to be well paid because they are in many ways making sacrifices that many of us in the civilian world aren't making on on a regular basis.
所以我认为这是件非常好的事情。
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So I think that's a very good thing.
我认为还有180亿加元用于理查德刚才提到的一些武器。
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There's another, I think, $18 billion that's aimed at some of the weapons that, you know, Richard was just mentioning.
而且,如果我们看看陆军发布的文件,他们已经确定了他们需要的一些能力,只是为了帮助他们更好地进行全面作战。
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And, you know, if we look at the, the the document that the Army has been putting out, they've identified a number of those capabilities that they need, just things to help them just do better war fighting generally. Right.
所以,像更好的精确度,变得更难被发现、被否认。
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So things like better precision becoming harder to detect, deny.
我认为,这肯定是乌克兰战争的教训之一。
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I think, you know, that's part of the lessons of Ukraine for sure.
能够更好地瞄准,更快地瞄准。
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You know, being able to target better, target faster.
我认为这是其中很大一部分。
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I think that's a large part of it.
他们还确定了需要发展远程能力。
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They've also identified the need to engage in long range capabilities.
所以,很多这种远程精确能力是那180亿加元的一部分。
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So a lot of that kind of long range precision is a part of that $18 billion.
最后,从长远来看,我认为这不包含在840亿加元中,但总体上在预算中,是帮助开发北极的能力。
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And and then finally kind of long term, I don't think this is in the $84 billion, but it is in the budget generally is the ability to, you know, help develop the Arctic. Right?
如果你想在那里,你需要北极地区强大、安全、健康的社区。
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You know, if you want to be up there, you need strong, safe, healthy communities in the Arctic.
所以,拥有全年通行的道路将非常重要,特别是如果你要强调陆军和军队在北方持续存在的能力。
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And so having things like roads that exist year round is going to be very important, particularly if you're going to emphasize the Army and military's ability to have persistence in the north.
所以,仅仅是建立这些能力,以便我们能够将大量人员部署到北极。
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So just simply building up those capabilities so we can put numbers of people up there in the Arctic in this, this document, you know, all the recent documents, whether defence policy update or the inflection point.
这份文件,所有最近的文件,无论是国防政策更新还是转折点。
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2025 Army document, really are emphasizing the Arctic as a central area of importance in the future.
2025年陆军文件,确实都在强调北极作为未来一个核心重要区域。
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2025 Army document, really are emphasizing the Arctic as a central area of importance in the future.
对国防预算策略的评估
理查德,我也想听听你对此的看法。
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Richard, I want to get your take on that as well.
但总的来说,你对预算中的国防开支计划有何看法?
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But overall, what do you make of the budget's plans for defence spending?
理查德·岛冈: 我认为这也许是初步的蓝图,用他们的一些语言来说,但我认为它仍然需要更多的细节才能真正全面理解它可能带来的影响。
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I think it's maybe the first initial blueprint to use some of their language, but I think it still requires a lot more detail to actually get a full appreciation of what it may entail.
而且,我作为一个普遍的观点,因为我们在实际现代化方面相对于我们的盟友已经如此滞后,我们可能需要更多的投资,或者说显著更多的投资。
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And I also, as a general view, because we've been so delayed on the actual modernisation vis-a-vis our allies, we probably need more investment or significantly more investment.
问题是,部门内部没有足够的能力来实际执行这些雄心壮志。
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The problem is, is there's just not enough capacity within the department to actually execute on, on, on some of these ambitions.
所以,它确实对这些方面有一个很好的概述。
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So it has definitely has a great rundown of those aspects.
唯一可能需要补充的领域是,有66亿加元用于加拿大的国防工业基础(Defence industrial base: 一个国家生产军事装备和服务的工业能力),这是一个为了获得所需的弹药、舰船等以执行广泛政策雄心所真正需要的领域。
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The only one area that probably add might be is that there is $6.6 billion for the defence industrial base of Canada, an area that in order to sort of, let's say, get the munitions, get the ships and whatnot that are required to sort of execute on on the broad policy, ambition is really required.
即使在那里,我也会认为数量仍然不够。
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And even there, I would argue that there's just there's just not enough amount.
我认为另一个重要的方面是,其中很多都被纳入了五年时间框架,我们不清楚具体的细节以及顺序。
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The other one aspect that I think is, is important to view is that a lot of this was put into a five year time frame, and we don't know about exactly the details and also the sequencing.
它会像许多其他以前的政策文件或预算一样是后置加载(Backloaded: 预算支出在后期集中)的,还是前置加载(Frontloaded: 预算支出在前期集中)的,或者均匀分布?
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Is it going to be backloaded like a lot of other previous policy documents or budgets, or is it frontloaded or evenly distributed?
这些都是大问题。
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Those are big questions.
所以,我们需要看到更多细节,这是我的想法。
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So we need to see a bit more, as would be my thought.
而且我们可能也需要花更多的钱。
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And we probably need to spend more as well.
斯蒂芬妮·卡文: 是的。
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Yeah.
如果我能补充一点,我想说的是,“潜艇”这个词并没有真正出现在预算中。
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And if I could just complement that point I would just say that, you know, the word submarine doesn't really appear in the budget.
所以我们知道那将是一个未来的决定。
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Right. And so we know that's something that's coming.
那是一个未来的决定。
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That's a decision down the road.
但是的,我的意思是,我不会确切地称之为蓝图。
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But yeah I mean I wouldn't exactly call it's a blueprint.
但就像最微弱的蓝色一样,未来几年还需要公布更多的细节。
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But like the faintest, faintest of blue, there's a lot more detail that's going to have to come out in the next couple of years.
但我认为,军队显然将此视为一个世代机遇。
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But I think that clearly the military is seeing this as a generational opportunity.
希望我们能看到这个计划开花结果。
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And hopefully we will see that plan come to to fruition.
我的一位朋友最近说,这就像政府邀请军队去自助餐,但没有给他们任何饮食限制。
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A friend of mine put it recently, it's like they it's as if the government has invited the military to go to the buffet, but not given them any dietary restrictions.
所以我们得等着看结果如何。
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And so we're going to have to wait to see how that works out.
好的。
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All right.
理查德,有人说预算策略似乎有两个目的:重新武装加拿大军队,同时发展加拿大的国防工业。
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Richard, the some have said that the budget strategy seems to have two purposes: rearming the Canadian military and at the same time, economically developing the Canadian defence industry.
从表面上看,有些人可能会觉得这很好。
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On paper, some people might look at that and be like, hey, that's really good.
一举两得。
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Two for one right there.
这是正确的策略吗?
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Does that is that the right strategy?
理查德·岛冈: 我认为这带有相当大的风险。
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I think it carries a fair bit of risk.
我想说的是,财政部在预算发布后的评论,他说这必须支持加拿大经济,我认为这反映了潜在的风险。
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And I'd say the Ministry of Finance's comments just after the budget, where he says it has to support Canadian economy, I think is kind of reflects the potential risks of it.
坦率地说,如果你看看大多数其他国家的国防工业,它都服从于国防政策。
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Frankly, if you look at defence industries in most other countries, it's subservient to defence policy.
它与国防政策直接相关。
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It is it is a direct line towards it.
而一个讽刺之处在于,加拿大国防工业的出口量实际上与其为国内用途生产的量大致相同,对吧?
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And one of the ironies that Canada actually exports about as much as it produces for its own domestic utility, right, in the defence industry.
所以我们实际上拥有一个高度全球化的产业。
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So we actually have a highly globalised industry.
但现实是,加拿大军队在20年甚至30年里一直缺乏一些非常关键的投资。
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But the reality is that the Canadian Forces have basically been starved for 20, if not 30 years of some pretty critical investments.
如果你开始转向,哦,我们能为加拿大的国内利益获得最大收益,而不实际解决那些问题?
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And if you start sort of diverting to look towards, oh, what can we get the most for the domestic benefit of Canada without actually addressing those?
可以说,政府在外交政策或主权方面最根本的关切,你将无法物有所值。
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Arguably the most fundamental concern that government has in terms of its foreign policy or its sovereignty, you are not going to get the bang for your buck.
你实际上可能会以更高的成本获得更少的能力。
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You may actually get less capability at much higher costs.
对吧?
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Right?
而且你甚至不会获得巨大的经济产出,因为它并非真正取决于军队的需求。
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And and just not even you wouldn't get the great economic output because it's not really hinged on what the forces needs.
对。
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Right.
以及什么能在长期可持续,因为你只是在进行经济赌注,而不是真正持续地押注于国家主权所需的东西。
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And and what what are you what would be sustainable in long term because you're just kind of making economic bets rather than actually sustained bets on, you know, what what is required for those for the national sovereignty of the country.
我们今天就到这里。
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We are going to leave it there.
斯蒂芬妮,理查德,看来我们几个月后还会再进行这次对话。
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Stephanie, Richard, it looks like we're going to have this conversation in a few months' time.
所以期待着。
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So looking forward to it.
感谢你们的见解。
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And thank you for your insights.
斯蒂芬妮·卡文: 谢谢。
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Thank you.
你希望在《综述》中看到什么?
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What do you want to see on The Rundown?
我们希望这是你的节目。
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We want this to be your show.
所以请发送电子邮件至rundown@tvo.org,或在Instagram上联系我@jeyanjeganathan,告诉我们你关心的话题,以及你认为目前哪些方面做得好或不好。
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So email us at rundown@tvo.org or reach out to me on Instagram @jeyanjeganathan and tell us about the topics that matter to you and what you think is working or not working so far.
因为,安大略,这是你的节目。
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Because, Ontario, this is your show.
明天见。
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See you tomorrow.
📌 文中提及的人物和组织
人物: François-Philippe Champagne, Mark Carney
公司/组织: TVO Today, House of Commons, NORAD, NATO
媒体/书籍: The Rundown, In Their Own Voices, The Hub