Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev 谈 GameStop、公司转型与AI未来 The Knowledge Project Podcast 2026-03-03

GameStop事件回顾

主持人: 我想谈谈 GameStop 事件。你需要数十亿的抵押品,然后你决定限制交易。你是如何做出这个决定的?

Original English

主持人: I want to come to GameStop for a moment. You need billions in collateral. You make a decision to restrict the trading. How did you make that decision?

Vlad Tenev: 那是一个史无前例的情况。你知道,有时候你和创伤受害者交谈,或者就像我听很多有孩子的父母(包括我自己,我有一个以上的孩子)说的那样,怀孕和分娩非常非常痛苦,但出于某种原因,我不记得了。然后这种进化上的信号会让你想再来一次。嗯,我想我们正在做。是的,我想当时我正在 SEC 参加一个 IPO 圆桌会议,讨论如何让 IPO 再次伟大,而 Robinhood Ventures 正在将该基金上市。所以我们正在进行另一次 IPO,我开玩笑说,是的,这有点像 IPO 过程。我记得它很痛苦,我不喜欢它,但我真的不记得为什么了,现在我有点想再做一次。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: It was a situation which had no precedent. You know, sometimes you talk to um trauma victims or like uh I I've heard a lot from people that have many children uh including myself. I have more than one. It's like uh uh my wife says, you know, it's very the pregnancy and the child birth very very painful, but for some reason I don't remember it. And then that sort of like uh evolutionarily g gives you the signal that you should do it again. Um, and I think we're doing a Yeah, I think um I was at this IPO round table at the SEC uh about making the IPOs great again and with Rob with Robin Hood Ventures were taking that fund public. So, we're doing another IPO and I joked that um yeah, it's kind of like that the IPO process. I remember being painful and I didn't like it, but I don't really exactly remember why and now I kind of want to do it again. Um

Vlad Tenev: 但这只是一个与 GameStop 无关的题外话。嗯,除了那确实是一个非常具有挑战性的时期。当时正值新冠疫情末期,我觉得每个人都快疯了。他们被困在家里大约一年,很少有人际互动。我认为从危机管理的角度来看,这非常难以处理,因为我们正在与所有这些不同的利益相关者进行视频会议。监管机构也不在办公室。所以,嗯,是的,基本上发生的事情是,我们在半夜收到了一个自动文件,上面有很大的数字,对吧?它有不断变化的巨大数字,而且这是一个史无前例的情况。嗯,你知道,我们不得不做出一个艰难的决定,将 GameStop 和其他一些公司设置为只能平仓,这基本上意味着你不能开设新头寸,不能承担更多风险,持续大约一天。所以,时间甚至不长。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: but yeah, that's a big aside that has nothing to do with GameStop. Um other than yeah, that that was a very challenging time. It was towards the end of COVID and I felt like everyone was going a little bit crazy. They'd been cooped up at home for about a year without much humanto human interaction. I think from a crisis management standpoint, it was very difficult to deal with because we're doing these like conference video calls with all these different stakeholders. The regulators weren't in office and so um yeah, basically what happened was we got this like automated file in the middle of the night and it had big numbers on it, right? It it had big numbers that kept changing and uh it was a situation which had no precedent and um you know we we had to make a tough call to uh put GameStop and a bunch of other companies on position closing only which basically meant uh you couldn't open up new positions take on more risk uh for a period of about one day. So, wasn't even that long.

Vlad Tenev: 但由于社交媒体上流传着一种叙事,这种病毒式叙事认为这是散户投资者击垮对冲基金,而我们是工具。嗯,人们想把它描绘成一场善恶之战,我认为在任何其他时候,对于任何其他股票来说,这都可能是一个无伤大雅的风险管理决策,以控制我们的内部风险,但它却变成了 Robinhood 与对冲基金勾结,对抗散户投资者。我认为公司名称是 Robinhood 这一事实,使得这个诱人的谎言更容易传播开来。所以我记得在半夜醒来时,我的手机基本上无法使用,因为它就像你看到的那些视频一样,如果卡戴珊关掉手机上的“请勿打扰”,它就会一直嗡嗡作响。嗯,所以那就是我的早晨。我当时想,手机完全无法使用。我甚至无法进行 Zoom 通话,因为有陌生人打电话给我,让我重新打开它。你知道。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: But because there was this narrative that had taken over social media, this like viral narrative that it was the the retail investors taking down the hedge funds and we were kind of the tool. um people wanted to put it was like a good versus evil thing and and I think what was just um what would have at any other time for any other stock been kind of an innocuous riskmanagement decision to control our internal risk turned into Robin Hood's on the side of the hedge funds colluding against the the retail investor and I think the fact that the name of the company was Robin Hood made this like a juicy false narrative to uh that that continued to go viral. So, I remember in the beginning of the in the middle of the night when I woke up, my phone was basically unusable because it was like those videos you see of what happens if a Kardashian turns off uh do not disturb on their phone. It just is a constant buzzing thing. Um, so that that was that was my morning. I was like, the phone is completely unusable. I can't even get on a Zoom call because there's just random people calling me uh telling me to to turn it back on, you know.

主持人: 嗯,只是为了给不熟悉情况的人提供一些背景信息。当时流传的说法是,你与对冲基金勾结,因为对冲基金试图平仓他们正在抛物线式上涨的股票上的空头头寸,对吧?嗯,这是一个史无前例的情况。我以前从未见过。

Original English

主持人: Uh just to give people context a little bit um if they're unfamiliar with the situation. The narrative that came out was you were in bed with the hedge funds because the hedge funds were trying to close their short positions on a stock that was basically going parabolic, right? Um, and it was a unprecedented situation. I've never seen it before anyway. I I can't. But you also

Vlad Tenev: 以前从未发生过。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: It's never happened before.

主持人: 这个故事中一个有趣的细节,我认为很多人不知道的是,你在人们注册 Robinhood 时曾赠送 GameStop 股票,不是吗?

Original English

主持人: One of the interesting details of the story that I don't think many people know is you had given GameStop shares to people when they signed up for Robin Hood, didn't you? Like

Vlad Tenev: 绝对正确。所以你可以说,我们有点像整个事件的始作俑者。你知道,如果你在 2020 年加入 Robinhood,也就是 GameStop 事件发生之前,顺便说一句,那一年很多人加入了 RobinhoodGameStop 是我们赠送给客户的免费股票之一。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: that's absolutely right. So, you can make the argument that we kind of started the whole thing. you know, every everyone if if you were joining Robin Hood in the year 2020 leading up to the whole GameStop thing, uh which by the way, a lot of people joined Robin Hood that year, GameStop was one of the collection of free free stocks that was given to customers.

主持人: 所以,是的,很多人,你知道,只是进来,得到了他们的免费 GameStop 股票,也许他们当时并没有那么投入,但当他们看到 GameStop 上涨时,突然那些股票就值很多钱了。关于那个时期,世界仍然有什么误解?

Original English

主持人: So, yeah, a lot of people, you know, just came in, get got their free GameStop share, and maybe they weren't engaged that much, but then when they saw GameStop going up, suddenly those shares were were worth a lot of money. What's one thing the world still gets wrong about that time?

Vlad Tenev: 我的意思是,我认为主要的事情就是 Robinhood 与对冲基金勾结以停止交易。还有一个我认为更有趣的错误叙事。嗯,Sequoia Capital 不得不驳斥这一点。有人在网上说,白宫实际上打电话给我们的风险投资方 Sequoia Capital,并让他们向我们施压,要求我们关闭 GameStop。所以,嗯,是的,那是一个特别有趣的说法。但如果你在 Reddit 上看,它有数千次转发。嗯,所以,是的,我认为我们与对冲基金没有任何业务往来。所以,对冲基金会勾结让我们关闭股票交易的想法,嗯,对我来说总是很荒谬,但我想我们学到的是,一个诱人的谎言比无聊的真相更有力

Original English

Vlad Tenev: I mean, I think the major thing is just that Robin Hood colluded with hedge funds to shut down trading. There was also another false narrative that I think is funnier. I uh but yeah, Sequoia had to refute this. Someone put on the internet that uh the White House actually called uh Sequoia Capital, one of our venture capital investors, and got them to pressure us to shut down GameStop. So, um yeah, that that was a particularly funny one. But if you look on Reddit, that had like thousands of reposts. Um, so yeah, I think that I mean we don't really have any business with with hedge funds. So the the idea that somehow a hedge fund would collude to have us shut down trading of a of a stock um I mean always seems silly to me, but I think what we learned is a juicy falsehood is more powerful than kind of a a boring truth.

主持人: 是的。你不能用事实来对抗故事。这太奇怪了。

Original English

主持人: Yeah. And you can't fight story with facts. It's like so weird.

Vlad Tenev: 是的。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah.

主持人: 一旦一个叙事获得任何关注,无论它多么疯狂或虚假,事实往往都无法驳斥它。你在政治中经常看到这种情况,对吧?一旦有人讲了一个故事,人们的思维就被那个故事占据了,再多的证据或数据也无法推翻那个故事,他们会相信它长达 20 年。

Original English

主持人: Like once a narrative gets any traction whatsoever. It doesn't matter how crazy or false it is, facts do not tend to refute that. You see this in politics all the time, right? Once somebody tells a story and the mind share goes to that story, no amount of evidence or data will ever overturn that story and and they'll believe it for like 20 years.

Vlad Tenev: 是的。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah.

危机中的同行交流

主持人: 这很疯狂。嗯,但其中一个副产品是,你不得不与 Mark ZuckerbergDaniel Ek 交谈。我很好奇你在这段时间里从他们那里学到了什么。我想 Daniel 曾和你谈过如何应对公关危机,或者……

Original English

主持人: It's crazy. Uh, one of the byproducts of that though is you got to talk to Mark Zuckerberg and Daniel Ek. I'm curious about like what you learned during that period of time um from those two. I think Daniel had talked to you about like going through a PR crisis or

Vlad Tenev: 哦,是的。嗯,实际上我当时没有和 Daniel 谈过,但当他处理 Joe Rogan 的事情时,我确实给他打过电话。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Oh, yeah. Um, actually I didn't talk to Daniel at that point, but I did call him when he was um dealing with his Joe Rogan thing.

主持人: 我不知道你是否还记得。

Original English

主持人: I don't know if you remember that.

Vlad Tenev: 哦,完全记得。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Oh, totally.

主持人: 是的,比如 Joe Rogan 正在被取消,嗯,我的意思是 Spotify 承受着来自两方面的巨大压力,对吧?他们是下架 Joe Rogan 还是……

Original English

主持人: Yeah. like Joe Rogan was in the process of getting cancelled and uh I mean Spotify was getting immense pressure from both sides, right? Do they deplatform Joe Rogan or

Vlad Tenev: 是的。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah.

主持人: 他们会惹恼所有希望 Joe Rogan 被下架的人吗?嗯,所以那可能就是,我的意思是 Daniel 肯定处理过他的危机,但那可能就是他的 GameStop 时刻。所以,是的,我打电话给他,是为了回报,提供我能提供的任何支持,希望这对他有所帮助,但他实际上,嗯,是的,可能比我更聪明,在这些事情上做得更好。所以我不知道他是否需要。但,是的,当时 Mark Zuckerberg 给我打电话,Elon Musk 给我打电话,Marc Benioff 给我打电话,嗯,一个积极的副作用是,这些人当时可能不会关心小小的 Robinhood,突然间,我想,嗯,我得以与这些建立了庞大公司的商业巨头交谈,他们向我提供了他们对整个情况的看法。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: do they piss off all the people that want Joe Rogan to be deplatformed? Um so that that was probably I mean Daniel's I'm sure dealt with his share of of uh crises, but that was probably his GameStop moment. So yeah, I called him to pay it forward to to offer whatever support uh I could have and and hopefully that was helpful to him, but he's actually um yeah, probably wiser and uh and better than me in these things. So I don't know if he needed it. But yeah, at that time Mark Zuckerberg called me and Elon Musk called me, Mark Beni off called me and uh a nice positive side effect was these people probably wouldn't have cared about little Robin Hood at at the time and suddenly I think uh I got to talk with these business magnates that have uh have built massive companies and they're giving me their perspective on the whole situation.

主持人: 在那段时间里,你做的一件事我很喜欢,那就是你和 Elon 一起上了 Clubhouse。我不知道你现在是否后悔。

Original English

主持人: One of the things that I loved that you did during that period of time was you went on a Clubhouse with Elon. I don't know if you regret that now. Um,

Vlad Tenev: 不,不,我认为那可能是那一周最好的媒体亮相。当然,这没什么大不了的,因为我有一些糟糕的亮相,但是……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: no, no, I thought that was probably the the best uh media appearance of the week for sure. Not saying much because I I had some bad ones, but

《愚蠢的钱》电影

主持人: 你看了电影《愚蠢的钱》后觉得怎么样?

Original English

主持人: what did you think of the movie Dumb Money when you watched it?

Vlad Tenev: 我没有看完整部电影,但我看了我出演的片段。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: I didn't see the entire thing, but I did see the clips that I was in. And

主持人: 等等,拜托。你还没看吗?

Original English

主持人: Wait, come on. You haven't watched it?

Vlad Tenev: 嗯,我确实看了我出演的部分,大约六分钟。嗯,还有一些其他部分。嗯,我实际上认为,你知道,我知道它表现不佳,但是,嗯,我发现它或多或少很有趣。我最喜欢的部分,也许不是其他人最喜欢的部分,或者也许对于在座的一些女士来说是,我的角色是由一位非常英俊的演员 Sebastian Stan 扮演的,你知道,我对此并不感到不悦。嗯,我本来以为 Adam Driver 也会不错,但嗯,Sebastian Stan 可能演技稍逊一筹,但可能更养眼,对吧?我最享受的是,在每一个场景中他都赤裸上身。所以就像在厨房里磨冰沙谈论 GameStop,或者在浴室里刮胡子。仅仅是想到我赤裸上身处理所有这些复杂的商业情况,就让我有点想笑。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Um, well, I did see the parts that I was in, which was about six minutes. Um, uh, and some of the rest. Uh, I I actually thought, you know, I know it didn't do very well, but, uh, I found it more or less entertaining. My favorite part, which maybe wouldn't uh wouldn't be other people's favorite part or or maybe it would for for for some ladies there, was that my character um was played by a very good-looking actor, Sebastian Stan, which, you know, I wasn't displeased about. Um I would have thought Adam Driver would also be good, but um Sebastian Stan maybe a slightly less good actor, but probably uh easier on the eyes, right? And the thing that I enjoyed most is that in every single scene he was shirtless. So it was like in the kitchen grinding a smoothie talking about, you know, GameStop or in the bathroom shaving. Just the idea of me being shirtless dealing with all these complicated business situations just made me laugh a little bit.

主持人: 我想你将成为第一个登上 GQ 封面的物理数学家。

Original English

主持人: You're going to be the first physics math person on the cover of GQ, I think.

Vlad Tenev: 我的意思是,我明白他们在做什么。嗯,我受宠若惊,但是,是的,我当时没有解决所有这些商业问题。嗯,你知道,磨我的冰沙,完成我的锻炼。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: I mean, I see what they were doing. Uh, I'm I'm flattered, but yeah, I was I I wasn't solving all these business problems. Uh, you know, grinding my smoothie, finishing my workout.

2022年的挑战与转型

主持人: 大多数人认为 GameStop 是你和 Robinhood 最艰难的时期,但实际上 2022 年更艰难。发生了什么?

Original English

主持人: Most people assume that GameStop was the hardest time for you and Robin Hood, but actually 2022 was harder. What happened?

Vlad Tenev: 我认为 2022 年更艰难,因为它更像是一种渐进的、缓慢的消耗。我的意思是,GameStop 是短暂的、非常痛苦和有压力的,但一旦我们解决了情况,解锁了 GameStop 的股票,使其可以再次购买,你知道,我基本上就像参加了国会听证会,嗯,参加了一轮不同的播客节目,它的急性部分就结束了。GameStop 的急性部分实际上只有一天。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: I think 2022 was harder in the sense that it was sort of like a gradual, slower burn. I mean, GameStop was acute and very painful and stressful for a short period of time, but once we resolved the situation, unlocked the shares of of GameStop so they could start being purchased again, and you know, I basically like did my congressional hearing and uh did my roundt of different podcast appearances, the acute part of it was over. Like the acute part of GameStop was really one day.

主持人: 是的。然而在 2022 年,

Original English

主持人: Yeah. Whereas in 2022,

Vlad Tenev: 它是所有在新冠疫情期间对业务有利的经济趋势迅速逆转为不利的渐进转变。所以,例如,嗯,我的意思是,首先,嗯,新冠疫情救济刺激支票停止了,对吧?然后通货膨胀开始上升,这对人们的可支配支出和投资产生了巨大影响。然后在此基础上,嗯,利率也上升了。政府从长期处于历史低位的利率,转变为 30 多年来的最高利率。它们达到了,你知道,4% 或 5%。当这种情况发生时,投资实际上变得不那么有吸引力,因为你可以从股市获得平均 7% 的通货膨胀后回报率。嗯,或者你可以通过持有现金获得 5%。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: it was a gradual shift of all of like the economic trends that had been tailwinds for the business during COVID reversing rapidly into headwinds. So for example, um I mean first the the uh COVID relief uh stimulus check stopped, right? And then it became clear inflation was ticking up and that was having a a big impact on people's discretionary spending and and investing. And then layer on to that uh the interest rates government went from a long period of rock bottom interest rates to the highest interest rates in over 30 years. they went to, you know, four or 5%. And and when that happens, actually investing becomes less attractive because you can get your average 7% uh rate of return from the stock market after inflation. Um or you could get 5% just sitting in cash.

主持人: 是的。

Original English

主持人: Yeah.

Vlad Tenev: 所以人们自然会重新分配一点,开始持有更多现金,购买更少的股票。嗯,我们的业务是首次进入股市购买股票的人。嗯,所以我们业务的所有顺风都变成了逆风。当然,当这种情况发生时,市场也显而易见。公平地说,不仅是 Robinhood,我们整个行业都受到了重创。我们从 2021 年 IPO 时约 320 亿美元的估值,到 2022 年,我们以 6 美元多的价格交易。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: So people naturally reallocate a little bit and start holding more cash and and buying less stocks. Um, and our business was first timers getting into the stock market, buying buying stocks. Um, so all of the tailwinds for our business turned into headwinds. And of course, when that happened, it was obvious to the market as well. And not fair to to be fair, not just Robin Hood, but our entire sector got hit hard. We went from IPOing at about a $32 billion valuation in 2021 to in 2022 we were we were trading at like $6 and change.

主持人: 所以我们自 IPO 以来市值损失了 80% 以上,你知道,很多人当时称 Robinhood 是一个失败的 IPO。

Original English

主持人: So we lost 80% plus of of our market value since IPO which you know a lot of time people were calling Robin Hood a broken IPO

Vlad Tenev: 对,我当时得到的建议是,也许我应该尝试找出如何进行收购并私有化之类的。嗯,所以,是的,所有这些与经营业务和开发产品无关的事情都开始出现。它们变得有点分散注意力。所以,是的,这非常非常难以应对。我想我从一个事实中得到了一些安慰,那就是这不仅仅是 Robinhood 特有的问题,但尽管如此,我的意思是,嗯,我们,嗯,作为一名企业家,嗯,是的,竞争非常激烈,你真的只是,嗯,想赢。所以我说,你知道,我不会成为那些放弃的人之一,因为很多创始人,不幸的是,我们在那段时间失去了很多伟大的创始人,他们只是离开了自己的公司,对吧?

Original English

Vlad Tenev: right and I was getting advice that maybe I should try to figure out how to do a buyout and go private or something. Um, so yeah, all of these things start coming up that don't actually have much to do with running your business and building products. They become kind of distracting. So yeah, that that was very very tough to navigate. And I think I took some solace in the fact that it wasn't just a Robin Hood specific issue, but nonetheless, I mean, uh, we, uh, as as an entrepreneur, uh, yeah, it's very competitive and you really just, uh, want to win. And so I said, you know, I'm not going to be one of these people that either gives up because a lot of founders, unfortunately, we lost a lot of great founders in that time where they just left their companies, right?

Vlad Tenev: 嗯,所以我不会放弃。我也不会固步自封,说我们只是要熬过去,希望未来利率降到零,然后就像,嗯,什么都不做,变成鸵鸟或乌龟。很多企业都在这样做。例如,抵押贷款公司,很多抵押贷款公司,如果你听他们的公开声明,他们会说:“嗯,市场总会在某个时候好转,人们会再次需要抵押贷款。”我们说:“我们能给客户什么,让他们在这种高利率现金有吸引力的特定市场环境中真正蓬勃发展?”这导致了 Robinhood Gold 的诞生,或者我应该说是复兴,它始于我们如何为客户提供未投资现金的绝对最高收益,以便他们可以将其投入平台。我们随后推出了 Robinhood Retirement,它拥有超过一百五十万个账户。我认为它是市场上最好的退休产品,优势巨大。如果你是 Gold 会员,我们会为你的退休金供款提供 3% 的匹配。所以我们真的开始思考,好吧,我们如何使业务多元化,摆脱交易,也摆脱那种零利率环境下蓬勃发展,但在高利率环境下可能表现不佳的业务。所以我们最终做到了。我们极大地多元化了业务。然后比我想象的更快,嗯,你知道,我们现在成为一家拥有 11 条业务线,年收入超过 1 亿美元的公司。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Uh but so I'm not going to give up. I'm also not going to batten down the hatches and say we're just going to ride this out and hope for interest rates to go to zero uh in the future and just like uh not do anything and and turn into an ostrich or a turtle. A lot of businesses were doing that. For example, the mortgage companies, a lot of the mortgage companies, if you if you listen to their public statements, they were like, "Well, the market's going to improve at some point and people will want mortgages again." We said, "What can we give to our customers that will actually let them thrive in this particular market environment where you see high rates and cash is attractive?" And that led to the birth of or the I should say the revival of Robin Hood Gold which started with how do we give customers the absolute highest yield on their uninvested cash so they can put that onto the platform. We followed that up with Robin Hood Retirement which has over one and a half million accounts. I think it's the best retirement product on the market by a wide margin. We give everyone a 3% match if you're a gold member for for making contributions into retirement. And so we we really started to think about, okay, how can we diversify the business away from trading, but also away from being sort of like a zerointerest uh business that thrives in that environment, but maybe doesn't do as well when when we're in a high interest rate. And so we ended up doing that. We diversified the business tremendously. And then quicker than I imagined, um, you know, we become a business that has 11 business lines now with, uh, over 100 million in annual revenue.

创始人模式与公司文化

主持人: 我和某人谈过,他们这样形容,也许他们错了,所以请纠正我,他们说你基本上解雇了“好人版”的自己,然后开启了“创始人模式”。我忘了他们的确切措辞,但是……

Original English

主持人: I talked to somebody, uh, and they characterized this, and maybe they're wrong, so correct this, as uh, you basically fired the nice version of yourself and be turned on like founder mode. I forget their exact words, but uh,

Vlad Tenev: 是的。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: yeah.

主持人: 这是真的吗?

Original English

主持人: Is that true?

Vlad Tenev: 我不知道我是否会这样形容。嗯,我仍然认为我很好。嗯,基本上,我当时不得不花很多时间思考如何解决问题。嗯,我认为当我们经历新冠疫情时,不仅来自其他公司,而且因为我们在新冠疫情期间表现非常好,增长非常快,所以有很多压力。对吧?我们从 2019 年底的 700 名员工和 2 亿多美元的年收入,

Original English

Vlad Tenev: I don't know if I would characterize that. Uh, I still think I'm very nice. Uh, basically what it was was I had to spend a lot of time thinking about how to fix things. And um I think that when we went through co there was a lot of pressure not just from what other companies were doing but also just because we were doing very well during COVID and growing very very quickly right we went from I'd say end of 2019 we had 700 people and something like 200 200 200 and change million in annual revenue.

主持人: 是的。

Original English

主持人: Yeah.

Vlad Tenev: 到第二年,也就是 2020 年底,我们拥有数千名员工,收入接近 10 亿美元。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: To in the next year end of 2020 we had thousands of people and close to a billion in revenue.

主持人: 所以这就像三倍多的增长。你看看我们周围,你知道,在新冠疫情期间,我们很多同期的公司都在挣扎。

Original English

主持人: So it's like a three threex plus in growth. And you look around us and you know during co a lot of our contemporary companies were struggling

Vlad Tenev: Airbnb

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Airbnb

主持人: 我们在某种程度上总是与 Airbnb 一起成长,我们几乎同时起步,他们稍微早一点。

Original English

主持人: which we always to some degree like grew alongside Airbnb we started at similar times they were a little bit before um so that

Vlad Tenev: 嗯,所以……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: um so that

主持人: 当时弥漫在空气中的是“我们必须严阵以待”。

Original English

主持人: what was swirling in the air was we've got to batten down the hatches co you know

Vlad Tenev: 但我们的业务正在蓬勃发展,事实上,我们当时听到的是客户支持系统不堪重负,我们的工程系统也承受着压力,我们最终不得不在新冠疫情期间招聘大量员工才能跟上。我想我们继续了这种招聘,并很快成为一家大公司。事情并没有很好地协同运作。嗯,很多远程加入的员工从未见过面。嗯,所以这不仅仅是我们很友善或者我们像溺爱员工一样。我认为导致业务和员工数量急剧增长的投入是不可持续的,比如你只有一次新冠疫情。所以当这种情况逆转时,它实际上给了我们一个机会,重新思考我们为了跟上而做出的所有改变,并进行一些调整,我认为当时很痛苦,但它使公司变得更健康。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: but our business was booming and in fact what we were hearing was customer support is getting strained our engineering systems were strained we ended up having to hire a bunch of people uh during COVID just just to keep up. I think we continued that hiring and became a big company very quickly. Things didn't really work very well together. Um a lot of the people that joined since we were remote had never met in person. Uh and so it it wasn't just that we were being nice or we were like coddling employees. I think that the the inputs that led to that tremendous acceleration in the business and the headcount growth um were not sustainable inputs like you only have one COVID. And so when that reversed, we actually it gave us an opportunity to rethink all the changes that we made to keep up and and reset a little bit, which I think at the time was painful, but it led to a much healthier company.

Vlad Tenev: 这就像,嗯,这就像,不是要再用一个举重类比,但它们太好了。嗯,如果你想变得非常非常强壮,嗯,有一种方法是逐渐增加肌肉质量,并长期保持低脂肪。但 Robinhood 所做的是,我们巨幅扩张,在此过程中也增加了大量脂肪,然后我们进行了大规模的精简。嗯,我认为这适用于很多人,你最终会达到同样的目标。回想起来,我想说,也许,嗯,说我会做得不同,这有点过分了。我认为我们必须适应我们当时的现实。所以我不知道我们是否……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: It's like um it's like, not to use another weightlifting analogy, but they're so good. Um, if you want to get really really strong, um, there's one way where you just like gradually build up muscle mass and keep your fat uh, low over long periods of time. But what what Robin Hood did was we bulked up gigantically and also gained a lot of fat in the process and then we did like a massive leaning out. Um, I think that works for for a lot of people and you end up getting to the same place. And in in retrospect, I'd say may maybe um it's too much to say that I would have done it differently. I think we we had to we had to adapt to to to what what our reality was at the time. So I don't know if we had

主持人: 我可能本来会……

Original English

主持人: a great I probably would have

Vlad Tenev: 在文化方面做一些不同的事情,思考价值观,并真正,嗯,更早地将它们确立下来。你知道我之前提到的价值观:高绩效安全至上精益求精一个Robinhood。但是,嗯……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: done things differently around the edges with the culture and thought about the values and and really um sort of like enshrined them earlier. you know the values I mentioned earlier high performance safety always um lean and disciplined one Robin Hood but um

主持人: 在实践中解决问题。

Original English

主持人: in practice fixing things

Vlad Tenev: 每个人都这么说,但我们遇到困难的地方是,这意味着撤销我已经决定的事情,这意味着承认我错了,所以人们通常,不是所有人,他们倾向于慢慢地,哦,我会撤销一点点,然后我得不到任何结果。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: everybody says that but we're it sort of like meets difficulty is that means undoing something I've already decided and that means admitting that I was wrong and so people sort of like tend in general not everybody they tend to like slowly sort of like oh I'll undo little bit of it and then I don't get the any of the results.

主持人: 哦,是的。所以,我有一个很好的商业建议。嗯,通常事情,嗯,如果你多次做,事情就会变得更容易。嗯,你可以练习一次,然后大张旗鼓地做。比如,也许你真的可以拿一件你做错了,想撤销的小事,然后说:“我想告诉你们我彻底搞砸了一件事。那是一个错误的决定,现在我们要把它撤销。”这可以是办公室里的零食之类的。取消了……

Original English

主持人: Oh yeah. So I have a good business suggestion. Um usually things uh things get easier if you do them multiple times and uh you could practice doing this once and making a big show of it. Like actually maybe you take a small thing that you were wrong about that you wanted to undo and just say I want to tell you about something that I completely screwed up. It was a wrong decision and now we're taking it back. It could be like the snacks in the office or something. Got rid of

Vlad Tenev: 取消了,嗯,嗯,周三的川菜外卖,然后,你知道,看看情况如何,然后你就会意识到,嗯,也许这没那么可怕,然后你就可以做……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: got rid of uh uh Sichuan food uh catering on Wednesdays and then you know see how it goes and then you realize well maybe it's not so scary then you can do it for

主持人: 严肃的事情,然后也许最终你可以同时做三四件事。

Original English

主持人: a serious thing and then maybe eventually you can do it for three or four things simultaneously.

Vlad Tenev: 嗯,我给你举个例子,在新冠疫情期间,我们引入了,嗯,很多,嗯,这是我从一开始就不太喜欢的一个想法,但很多人感觉非常强烈,当时事情太多了,但是,是的,我们当时有这些健康日,整个团队都会在特别努力工作后放一天健康假。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Um I'll give you an example during co we introduced um a lot of uh it it was this thing that from the beginning I just like didn't really like the idea of but a lot of people fel felt very strongly and there was just too many things happening but yeah we were like uh we had these wellness days where entire teams would like take a wellness day after working particularly hard

主持人: 有一次我只是说:“我们取消这些健康日吧。”当时有很多恐惧。我的意思是,有些人确实合法地喜欢健康日这个想法。我当时想,我不想成为一家有健康日文化的公司。我们有慷慨的带薪休假。请休带薪假。而整个组织或团队都在同一天休假的想法,

Original English

主持人: and At one point I was just like, "Let's kill these wellness days." And there was just a lot of fear. I mean, some people actually legitimately like the idea of wellness days. I was like, I I don't want to be a wellness day company. We have generous PTO. Take a PTO. And this whole idea that an entire org or team would take the same day off,

Vlad Tenev: 这似乎是个问题。如果出现问题,我们需要有人,但整个组织都在休假?这没有任何意义。嗯,我想这就像那些新冠疫情时代的产物之一,有些公司可能仍然有。但是,嗯,是的,无论如何,嗯,当时有恐惧,比如我们正在收回员工的一项福利。他们喜欢他们的健康日。他们会抱怨。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: that seems like a problem. What if there's an issue and we need someone the entire org is taking a day off? Doesn't make any sense. Um I think this was like one of those COVID era things that some companies probably still have. But um yeah, any anyway um and there was fear like we were were taking back a perk from employees. They like their wellness days. They'll complain.

主持人: 嗯,我们取消了健康日。抱怨了一天,然后我们再也没有听到抱怨。所以我想一旦你开始做这些事情,你就会意识到我们对后果最深的恐惧是错误的,嗯,是的,你会学到一些东西。

Original English

主持人: Well, we took off the wellness days. There was complaining for one day and then we never heard about it again. So I think when once you start doing these things and you realize our deepest fears about the consequences were were wrong and uh yeah you you learn some things.

Robinhood的运营原则

主持人: Robinhood 内部是如何运作的?如果你要提炼出你用来运营公司的运营原则,它们会是什么?

Original English

主持人: How does Robin Hood operate internally? like if you were to distill the operating principles that you use to run the company, what would they be?

Vlad Tenev: 我们的价值观是高绩效。所以,嗯,我们向员工以及任何求职者明确表示,这不是一份轻松舒适的工作。这是为那些想在一年内完成其他公司可能需要 10 年才能完成的工作的人准备的。嗯,所以我们保持非常非常高的绩效标准,这也会影响我们的薪酬方式,比如我们根据影响力不成比例地奖励员工,我们尽量避免根据传统方式奖励员工。想想一家典型的公司。员工的薪酬通常与他们管理的组织规模成正比。如果你想想这会激励什么,它会激励帝国建设。我想要一个拥有大团队的大组织,因为这样……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Our values are high performance. So, uh we make it clear to not just employees, but anyone applying for a job that this isn't meant to be like a cushy, chill job. like this is for people that want to stretch and to do in one year what maybe another company would expect you to do in 10 years. Um so we we keep a very very high performance bar and that filters into how we compensate like we we we reward people disproportionately based on impact and we try to stay away from rewarding people on conventional things. Think about a typical company. People are paid generally proportional to the org size that they manage. And if you think about what that incentivizes, that incentivizes empire building. I want to have a big org with a big team because then

主持人: 根据传统的人力资源指标,

Original English

主持人: according to traditional HR metrics,

Vlad Tenev: 我更重要。嗯,但我们真正想激励的是相反的。你能在最小的团队中产生巨大的影响吗?所以高绩效是其中之一。安全至上。我们有一个安全至上的价值观,这意味着我们肯定会快速行动。你知道,我们肯定会坚持绝对的绩效标准,但你不能以此为借口偷工减料或损害客户及其资金的安全。所以这是一个非常重要的价值观。你知道,作为一家值得信赖的金融平台,监管合规对我们的业务非常非常重要。所以我们有这个价值观。精益求精。另一个我总是问的问题是,我们如何用更少的资源做更多的事情?我们也会仔细审查每一笔钱和每一个流程。嗯,是的,我的意思是,我想如果我考虑文化,嗯,我不会一一列举每一个价值观,但这些是主要的。如果我考虑文化,它有几件事。它是我们如何招聘,嗯,我们引进的人才,我们如何进行绩效管理和奖励员工。嗯,还有,嗯,工作环境,办公室里的环境是怎样的?所以,招聘,嗯,真的是顶尖人才。我宁愿拥有一支由最优秀的人组成的小团队,也不愿拥有一支由平庸的人组成的大团队。这与高绩效、我们如何薪酬和绩效管理相符。我们希望根据影响力不成比例地奖励员工。而且,如果与某人不合拍,我们希望在流程上尽可能方便这个人去其他地方,对吧?我们不想,我们不想花太多时间。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: I'm more important. Um, but really what we want to incentivize is the opposite. Can you can you have a lot of impact with the smallest possible team? So high performance is one of them. Safety always. We have a safety always value which means sure we're going to move fast. You know, sure we're we're holding ourselves to an absolute performance bar, but you can't use that as an excuse to cut corners or compromise on uh the security of customers and and their money. So that's a very important one. You know, regulatory compliance is very very important to our business as a as a trusted financial platform. So, we have that one. Lean and discipline. Another one I always ask, how can we do more with less? We scrutinize every dollar and every process as well. Um, and uh, yeah, I mean, I think that if if I think about culture, uh, I I won't go through every single value, but uh, those are the big ones. If I think about culture, it's it's a few things. It's how we hire um the talent that we that we bring in, how we performance, manage and and reward people. Uh and also, uh the working environment, what's the environment like in in the office? So, hiring uh it's really top talent. I'd rather have a small team of the best people than a large team of of mediocre people. And that goes goes along with the high performance uh how we compensate and performance manage. We want to make it we want to reward people disproportionately based on impact. And also if it's not working with someone, we want to make it as easy as possible process-wise for that person to go somewhere else, right? We we don't want to we don't spend too much time.

主持人: 这有多快?这就像,你知道,某人在那里待了三周,然后你就会说:“哦,这行不通。”还是你会给它六个月,这听起来像是一个荒谬的漫长时期,特别是考虑到你想要实现的目标?

Original English

主持人: How quickly does that happen? Is this like, you know, somebody's there for 3 weeks and you're like, "Oh, this isn't working out." Or is it do you give it 6 months, which sounds like an absurdly long period of time, especially given what you're trying to accomplish?

Vlad Tenev: 我们想让它,我的意思是,有时很明显,嗯,你知道,无论出于何种原因,嗯,我们犯了一个招聘错误,通常是某人不合适。在那时,我们希望尽可能方便。所以,是的,如果只有三周,对我们或对那个人来说,继续下去就没有意义。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: We want to make it I mean, sometimes it's pretty obvious that uh you know, for for whatever reason, um we made a hiring mistake usually that that someone's not a fit. And at that point, we want to make it easy as easy as possible. So yeah, if it's three weeks, doesn't make sense for us or for the person to to to continue. Um

主持人: 我认为六个月,一旦你知道不合适,就太长了。

Original English

主持人: I think six months once you know it's not a fit is way too long.

Vlad Tenev: 但当然,有时我们也有人进来,无论出于何种原因,他们没有立即投入工作。但如果我们看到某人有潜力,并且他们在某方面非常出色,嗯,你知道,有时他们确实能达到目标,这可能需要六个月。但,是的,总的来说,我认为大多数公司都面临的问题是,流程阻碍了发展,实际上使得人们很难,嗯,很难摆脱低绩效者。我认为我们努力使这变得非常非常容易。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: But of course, sometimes we've had people that have come in and for whatever reason they don't hit the ground running right away. But if if we see potential in someone and they're extraordinarily good at at a particular thing, um you know, sometimes they they actually they get there and that could take six months. But yeah, generally speaking, I think what most companies suffer from is process getting in the way and actually making it very very difficult for people to uh to to get rid of low performers. and and I think we try to make that very very very easy.

主持人: 如果我从外部观察,你的招聘流程有什么不寻常之处,但对你来说很有效?

Original English

主持人: If I was looking from the outside in, is there anything about your hiring process that would stand out as unconventional that works for you?

Vlad Tenev: 嗯,我应该说我对每家公司如何做并不十分熟悉,对吧?所以,我确信有些公司也做很多这些事情,但是,嗯,是的。是的。也许一个不寻常之处,至少在金融服务领域,是对早期职业人群的重视。我认为从一开始,我们就把公司设在斯坦福大学旁边。我们会花很多时间,嗯,你知道,从那里招聘实习生和工程师,那是我的母校,也是我的联合创始人 Baiju 的母校。所以我们会在我们单独招聘每个人时,花时间去顶尖科技大学的招聘会。你知道,我仍然花很多时间与早期职业人士和实习生在一起,我认为这对公司非常好,因为我们领域中的许多公司随着发展往往会变得更老,你知道,在那里工作的人们……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Well, I I should say I'm not super familiar with how every company does it, right? So, I'm sure some companies do many of these things, but um yeah. Yeah. Perhaps one thing that's unconventional at least in financial services is uh emphasis on early career people. I think from a very beginning we put our company next to Stanford University. We would spend a lot of time uh you know recruiting uh interns and and engineers from there and that was my alma mater and and Beiju my co-founder as well. So we would spend time actually when we were individually hiring everyone going to career fairs at the top tech universities and you know I still spend a lot of time with early career folks and interns and I think it's very very good for the company because a lot of the companies in our space tend to get older as they get further along and you know the folks working there

主持人: 可能会与年轻人更加脱节,然后这会让你面临成为一家更具代际差异的公司的风险,从某种意义上说,你知道,Charles Schwab 很好地服务了婴儿潮一代。后来出现的 E*TRADE 确实是一家 X 世代公司,但我认为他们在吸引年轻一代方面遇到了一些困难。我知道,你知道,他们非常努力地想做到这一点,但我认为最好的方法是确保公司本身拥有年轻人的视角。

Original English

主持人: can be more disconnected from from the young people and then that puts you puts you at risk of becoming a more of a generational company in the sense that you know Charles Schwab serves baby boomers very well. you had Erade coming later that was really a Gen X company, but I think they've struggled a little bit getting the younger generation excited. And I know, you know, it they they try very hard to to get there, but I think the best way to do it is to actually make sure that the company itself has the point of view of of young people

Vlad Tenev: 而且你和他们坐在一起,和他们一起工作,同时向他们学习。是的。是的。是的,就坐在他们旁边。你知道,我总是喜欢让一些实习生或早期职业人士从事重要的事情,我也喜欢和那些从事关键优先事项的人在一起。所以,是的,我们不会把他们关在地下室,让他们去倒咖啡。重要的是,我们实际上希望你参与到能够投入生产的项目中,并做有意义的工作。我想说的是,我最初是 Robinhood 的一名实习生。我的意思是,我没有任何职业经验。我直接从学校毕业后就成为了一名企业家。所以,我有点能体会那是什么感觉。而且,你知道,如果我能成功并从实习生变成一家公司的 CEO,嗯,那么每个人都应该有能力做到这一点。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: and you're sitting with them, working with them, and learning from them at the same time. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, sitting right next to them. You know, I I always like to have uh some interns or early career people working on important things and I like to be around the people that are working on the key priorities as well. So, yeah, we don't just stick them in the basement and and have them fetch coffee. The big thing is we actually want you to have to to work on projects that ship to production and and do meaningful work. And what I like to say is I started off as an intern at Robin Hood. I mean, I didn't have any career experience. I went straight from school into becoming an entrepreneur. And so, I kind of have empathy for what it's like. And, you know, if I can succeed and become the CEO of a of a company from a internship and uh then everyone should have the ability to to do that.

领导力会议与产品发布

主持人: 你如何管理你的每周领导力会议?

Original English

主持人: How do you run your weekly leadership meeting?

Vlad Tenev: 是的。所以,每周领导力会议是一个大型会议。嗯,有很多人员参与,我喜欢让大批人员参与,因为这样每个人都可以听到彼此的想法。我不喜欢进行很多一对一会议。嗯,有些人非常喜欢一对一会议,但随着时间的推移,我的,你知道,我的一对一会议基本上是按需进行的,当你需要处理一些关键事情或需要做出一些重要决定时。嗯,所以领导力会议要么是我想要传达的重要信息,比如它们在每周初举行。所以很多时候,你知道,我这个周末花了一些时间思考这个问题,或者我们应该在这方面加快速度,或者,嗯,我们也会审查目标。所以我喜欢一个非常简单的机制来分享目标的进展。它要么是绿色、黄色或红色。如果是绿色,我们就不需要谈论它。如果是红色,我认为它值得一些审查。所以,你知道,有时我们会审查红色目标,看看我们如何能尽快帮助扭转局面。这涉及到一些仪式。你知道,我有一个木槌,我会在……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah. So, weekly leadership meeting is a big meeting. Uh there's there's a lot of people involved and I like uh having large groups of people involved because then everyone can sort of like hear what's on everyone's mind. I don't like having a lot of one-on- ones. Uh and some people are big one-on-one fans, but over time I've, you know, my my one-on- ones are basically on demand when you need something critical or or some important decision needs to be made. Uh so the leadership meetings are either important information that I want to cascade like they're at the beginning of the week. So a lot of it is you know I spent some time thinking over this weekend about this or we should be moving faster on this or it's uh we we also review goals. So I I like a very simple mechanism for uh sharing progress on goals. It's either green, yellow or red. If it's green, we don't really have to talk about it. If it's red, I think it deserves some scrutiny. So, you know, sometimes we go through the red goals and see how we can help turn it around as quickly as possible. And that involves a little bit of ceremony. You know, I have a gavvel and I I hit the gavvel on the

主持人: 你真的有吗?太棒了。

Original English

主持人: Do you actually? That's awesome.

Vlad Tenev: 是的。是的。嗯,是的,你知道,嗯,我认为有时让一些极其严肃的事情变得轻松一些真的很好,这样人们才能真正享受公开谈论,你知道,那些进展不顺利的目标。因为假设是领导团队中的每个人,嗯,即使不是非常强大,至少也非常强大。所以通常如果事情进展不顺利,嗯,你知道,总有很好的理由。通常不是因为缺乏努力,有时拥有多人的视角确实可以帮助我们快速改进事情并扭转局面。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah. Yeah. Um, and yeah, you know, it's uh I I think that sometimes it's it's really nice to lighten up some extremely serious things so that people actually enjoy uh talking openly about, you know, goals that things that aren't going well because the assumption is everyone in the leadership team is uh if not exceptionally strong at least very very strong. So usually if things aren't going well, um you know there there's a good reason. It's usually not for lack of effort and sometimes having the perspective of multiple people can can really help us quickly improve things and turn them around.

主持人: 你每周还有其他会议吗?比如,我认为创始人的时间是最宝贵和最具杠杆作用的。

Original English

主持人: Are there any other meetings that you have on a weekly basis? Like I I think about a founders's time being the most valuable and most highly leveraged.

Vlad Tenev: 是的。那么你作为创始人是如何独特地参与进来,为组织增加杠杆作用的,以及你在哪些方面放手?

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah. And then where do you get involved uniquely as a founder to add that leverage to the organization and where do you sort of like get hands off?

Vlad Tenev: 是的,我的意思是,通常我参与,嗯,任何给定时间正在进行的最关键的产品发布或项目。很多时候我们是,所以我们做了很多产品活动。我想今年我们将举办五场不同规模的活动,但通常产品活动都有主题。所以,实际上我们将在几周内举办一场。嗯,好吧,我应该更明确日期。我们将在今年 12 月 16 日举办一场。所以,嗯,接近年底,它被称为 Yes No。所以,这是一个关于预测市场AI的活动。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah, I mean usually I'm I'm involved in uh the most critical product launches or or projects that are going on at any given time. And a lot of times we are so we do a lot of product events. I think this year we're going to have five of various sizes and scales, but but usually the product events tend to have themes. So, actually we're doing one in a couple of weeks. Um well, I should probably be more explicit about the date. We're doing one on December 16th of this year. So, uh towards the end of the year, and it's called Yes No. So, it's an event on prediction markets and uh and AI.

Vlad Tenev: 而且我们花了很多时间确保信息传递正确,活动的设计外观和感觉,当然还有其中包含的产品。嗯,所以,是的,有一个很大的部分就是确保我们接下来要做的活动是……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: And I we spend a lot of time just making sure the messaging is right, the design of the the event, the look and feel, of course, the products that go into it. Um, so yeah, there there's a big component that's just making sure that the next event that we're going to do is

主持人: 你会深入参与其中吗?

Original English

主持人: Are you in the weeds on that?

Vlad Tenev: 嗯,是的。所以,嗯,你知道,我在活动中进行演示,我介绍产品,不仅仅是我,还有与团队一起。所以这个活动就像,嗯,电视节目。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Uh, yeah. So, um, I, you know, present at the events and I introduce the products, not not just me, but with with the teams that are that are working on them. So the the event is like um television show.

主持人: 是的。

Original English

主持人: Yeah.

主持人: 我很期待观看。你认为哪些因素使你的营销传播如此出色?它看起来如此清晰、简洁、切中要害。

Original English

主持人: I'm excited to watch. What factors do you think makes your marketing communication so good? Like you're it seems so clear and crisp and like on point.

Vlad Tenev: 嗯,谢谢。以前并非总是如此。嗯,我认为我们有很棒的人,他们完全专注于我们正在做的事情的故事讲述,以及其目的。我认为活动本身就是一个很好的强制功能,因为如果你要向 2000 万人传播一个新产品,它真的会迫使你将其提炼成 2000 万人都能理解的精髓。所以我认为我在沟通中有时会犯的错误是,我可能会过于专业化,过于注重细节,嗯,因为我只是假设观看的普通人像我一样了解业务细节,我认为这是一个不太好的假设。所以我认为,真正从第一性原理思考。例如,如果你从未听说过预测市场,你如何解释预测市场是什么,以及它为什么具有创新性?为什么这些东西的存在对社会很重要?我们从那里开始,然后我认为一旦你有了基础,你就会努力确保所有产品都与该基础相连。你讲述一个连贯的故事。我认为这真的只是关于故事讲述,你必须花时间让人们思考它,你知道,如果,嗯,如果我不思考它,或者如果 CEO 不思考它,那么我认为这个故事就不会被讲述。所以作为创始人兼 CEO,你必须亲自投入大量时间参与其中。我认为……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Well, thank you. It wasn't always the case. Um I think we have great people that think uh entirely about the storytelling of of what we're doing, what the purpose is. I think the events themselves are a good forcing function because if you're communicating a new product to 20 million people, it really forces you to distill it into the essence of what 20 million people can understand. So I think where where I tend to uh sometimes make make mistakes in communication is I can get too jargony, too in the details um because I just assume the average person watching is in the details of the business like I am, which I think is uh not a great assumption. So I think like really thinking about it from first principles. If you're someone who has never heard of a prediction market for example, how do you explain what a prediction market is and why why it's innovative? Why it's important for society for these things to exist? We we start there and then I think once you have the foundation, you try to make sure all the products plug into that foundation. You you you tell a coherent story. I think it's it's really just about storytelling and you have to spend time and have people thinking about it and you know if uh if I don't think about it or if the CEO doesn't think about it then I don't think the story gets told. So as a founder and CEO you have to spend a lot of time personally getting involved in that. I think

主持人: 当你这么说的时候,我想到的是 Steve Jobs 和功能与优势,他不会说,嗯,你知道,这里有 32GB 的音乐容量,他会说你的口袋里有一千首歌。你是这个意思吗?

Original English

主持人: I as you were saying that you what came to mind is like Steve Jobs and features and benefits like he he didn't come out and say like um you know here's 32 gigs of music capacity he's like a thousand songs in your pocket. Is that what you mean by that?

Vlad Tenev: 嗯,实际上,是的,你知道,当我们开始举办这些活动时,那是一个巨大的灵感。我们当时想,嗯,我们应该把它们做得和 Apple 的活动一模一样,因为他们已经做到了极致。但后来,你知道,现在我们今年已经举办了第五场活动。我们去年开始举办,现在我们真的完全不考虑 Apple 的活动了。我想,我想这几乎就像,嗯,学习一种新乐器,对吧?当你第一次学习一种乐器时,你知道,你只需要练习,并演奏过去其他大师创作的作品,但一旦你达到了一定水平,你就会知道如何创新,如何打破规则,如何改变事物。嗯,所以,是的,现在我们真的喜欢每次都尝试做出不同的东西。比如,我们如何从第一性原理出发,尽可能地把这个活动做得最好,嗯,我们不觉得我们必须受制于一些人只是复制的旧 Apple 模式。嗯,但要回答你的问题,不,我认为 Apple 的活动不一定有这样的规则。实际上,在他们的许多活动中,他们会深入探讨电脑的技术细节,他们会分享处理器的兆赫兹,他们甚至会进行烘焙比赛,你知道,他们会用 PC 加载一个网站,然后用 Mac 加载,显然 Mac 会快 10 倍,每个人都会说:“哦,我的天哪。”

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Well actually yeah you know when we started doing this events that was a huge inspiration. We were like well we should just make them exactly like the Apple events because they've perfected it. But then you know now now we're on our fifth event this year. We started it last year and it's really just we don't think about the Apple events at all. We I I think I think it's almost like um learning to play a new instrument, right? When you first learn to play an instrument, you know, you just have to practice and do what the other greats have composed in the past, but then once you get to a certain level, you you know enough to to innovate and to like break rules and to change things. Um, so yeah, now now we really like try to make it different each time. Like how how can we from first principles make this event as as good as possible and uh we we don't feel like we have to be tethered to the the old Apple model which some people just replicate. Um, but to answer your questions, no, I I think I don't think that was necessarily a rule that Apple had for the events. Actually, in a lot of their events, they get really into the technical details of the computers and they share the megahertz of the processors and they'll they they even had bake offs where, you know, they would load a website with a PC and they would load it with a Mac and obviously the Mac would load 10 times faster and everyone would be like, "Oh my god."

主持人: 是的。

Original English

主持人: Yeah.

Vlad Tenev: 你知道,1 秒,1.5 秒的加载时间对比 7.9 秒。嗯,

Original English

Vlad Tenev: You know, 1 second, 1.5 second load time versus 7.9. Um,

主持人: 嗯,Jobs,我的意思是,他有这种元素,你在整个历史和表演中都能看到,对吧?就像有一个……

Original English

主持人: well, Jobs was I mean, he had this element and you see it throughout history and showmanship, right? Like there was a

Vlad Tenev: 绝对。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: absolutely

主持人: 一个故事。有一个演示。就像你有所期待。你就像你能感受到正在发生的事情。

Original English

主持人: a story to it. There was a presentation. There was like you were anticipating. You were like you could feel what was going on.

Vlad Tenev: 是的。我认为,你知道,他基本上是一位艺术家。他可能是有史以来在这方面最伟大的人。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah. And I think you know he was basically uh an artist. He was probably the the greatest of all time at at that particular element of it.

AI在Robinhood的内部应用与Harmonic

主持人: 你们内部是如何使用 AI 的?有什么会让我感到惊讶的地方吗?

Original English

主持人: How are you guys using AI internally? Like what would surprise me about how you're using it?

Vlad Tenev: 是的。嗯,我想我们还没有太多公开谈论过,但我们将在 12 月 16 日举办一场 AI 活动,这是我们第一次,嗯,第一次专注于 AI预测市场的大型活动,但 AI 也将是其中很大一部分。嗯,我认为当我们谈论内部运营时,我们从一开始就告诉团队,看,我们想从两个领域开始,并成为我们领域中绝对的一流。那就是客户服务软件工程。因为如果你想想真正能推动进步的是什么,这些都是具有乘数效应的大团队。客户服务与,你知道,所有遇到问题或需要平台帮助的客户互动。传统上,这对于我们的同行和竞争对手来说是一个巨大的成本中心,因为它随着平台客户数量的增加而扩展。嗯,所以我们在这方面做了很多创新。总的来说,如果你在 Robinhood 上与客户服务互动,你就是在与我们的 AI代理互动。嗯,我认为我们在这方面是一流的。在软件工程方面,你可以将其视为加速产品速度和开发。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah. Um, I think we haven't talked too much publicly about it, but we're doing a AI event on December 16th, which is our first uh our first big event focused on AI as well as prediction markets, but AI is going to be a big part of it as well. Um I think that when we talk about internal operations, what we told the team from the very beginning is look, there's two areas where we want to start with and be absolute best-in-class in our space. And that's customer service and software engineering. Because if you think about what really moves the needle, those are the big teams that have multiplicative impact. customer service interacts with, you know, all all of our customers that are having issues or need help with the platform. And traditionally that's been a big cost center for our peers and competitors because it scales with uh with number of customers on platform. Um and so we've we've done so much innovation there. By and large, if you interact with customer service on Robin Hood, you're you're interacting with our AI agents. Um and and I think we are best-in-class uh on that side. On the software engineering side, you can think of it as accelerating product velocity and and development.

Vlad Tenev: 所以,我们看到我们的工程团队在产品速度方面有了巨大的提升,因为从很早的时候,我们就尽可能方便地使用所有 AI工具。嗯,它始于 GitHub Copilot,因为那是当时唯一的选择,然后当然是 CursorWindsurf,直到它被收购,然后当然,嗯,Claude Code 最近是一个非常流行的命令行界面工具,我认为 AI 采用的重要一点是,你必须跟踪正确的指标,并非常非常仔细地查看它们。我认为软件工程客户支持的优点是指标非常容易,对吧?对于客户支持,你必须查看 AI 转移率。有多少百分比的工单本来会转给代理,现在实际上完全由 AI 自助服务了?嗯,你希望尽可能提高这个比例。对于软件工程,你正在查看 AI 生成的代码提交百分比。但你还需要检查总工程速度或总的,你知道,每位工程师每月提交的代码是否持续增加,因为,嗯,你希望确保不仅仅是 AI软件工程贡献中占越来越大的比例,而且总体上你正在做出更多的贡献并提高生产力。所以我认为我们从内部开始做这些,现在我们已经将其融入到流程中,我们几乎将其视为员工数量。好吧,明年你需要多少计算能力?嗯,而不是这个员工数量,你有多努力地尝试在每个团队的工作流程中使用 AI代理?我认为下一个我们将看到真正有趣的东西的领域是创意和营销。所以你可以想象,创建真正高质量的广告宣传材料需要大量像……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: So, we've seen tremendous increases in product velocity uh from from our engineering teams because from a very early point, we've made it as easy as possible to use every AI tool. Uh it started with a GitHub Copilot because that was the only game in town and then of course cursor and wind surf until that got acquired and then of course uh claude code has been very popular uh command line interface tool recently and and I think the important thing about AI adoption is you have to track the right metrics and and actually look at them very very carefully and I think the the great thing about software engineering and customer support is the metrics are pretty easy, right? For customer support, you have to look at AI deflection rate. How many what percentage of tickets that would otherwise be going to an agent are actually being fully self-s served by by AI? Uh, and you you want to drive that up as high as possible. And for software engineering, you're looking at percentage of code commits generated by AI. But you also want to check that with is the total engineering velocity or the are the total you know monthly commits per engineer continuing to increase because um you want to make sure that it's not just AI is doing a larger and larger percentage of the software engineering contributions but that in aggregate you're you're making more contributions and and being more productive. And so I think we started with those internally and now we're we have it baked into the process where we almost think of it as headcount. Okay, how much how much compute do you need next year? Uh instead of this headcount, how hard have you tried to like use AI agents in the workflow for every team? And and I think the next frontier where we're going to see really interesting stuff is on creative and marketing. So you can imagine to create really high quality advertising collateral would have taken a lot of like

主持人: 伟大的艺术家长期以来的深度工作。但如果你能用最好的工具赋能这些艺术家,11 LabsMidjourneyRunway,你知道,创意总量可以增加 100 倍或 1000 倍,而且你实际上可以使它们更加个性化。所以,所以我想这就是下一个前沿领域,公司们还没有真正谈论,但我认为我们将在明年看到一个巨大的飞跃。

Original English

主持人: deep work over a long period of time by by great artists. But if you can empower those artists with the best tools, 11 Labs, Midjourney, Runway, you know, the the total amount of creative can increase by 100 or a thousandx and you can actually make them much more personalized. So, so I think that's that's the next frontier that companies aren't really talking about, but I think we'll get to the point where next year you'll see you'll see a big step change.

主持人: 那么,这意味着什么呢?请告诉我它的二阶和三阶效应。比如,如果你能做到这一点,那意味着任何人都能做到。

Original English

主持人: So, what does that mean though? Walk me through the second and third order effects of that. Like, if you can do that, that means anybody can do that.

Vlad Tenev: 如果任何人都能做到,那么突然之间,那会有什么后果呢?我实际上不认为任何人都能做到。嗯,我认为这些是非常难以解决的问题。嗯,是的,因为这不仅仅是,当然,大多数人甚至没有指标来跟踪这些东西,嗯,我可以给他们指标。希望它们对听众有用。但是,想想,比如说客户支持。我喜欢将 AI客户支持方面的进展分解为三个阶段。嗯,你会看到,或者更确切地说,是更多的阶段而不是步骤。阶段一、阶段二和阶段三。阶段一是,嗯,公司将帮助中心放入 AI聊天机器人中。所以聊天机器人可以回答帮助中心中的任何问题。大多数公司在客户支持方面使用 AI 都处于这个阶段,对吧,它只是……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: And if anybody can do it, well, all of a sudden, like what is the consequence of that? I actually don't think anybody can do that. Um, I think these are really hard problems to to get right. Um, yeah, because it's not just, of course, most people don't even have metrics to track this stuff, which is, uh, I can give them the metrics. Hopefully, they're they're useful to to listeners. But thinking about, let's just say customer support, for example, I like to break down customer support, progress in AI into three stages. uh and and you'll you'll see or more uh more phases than stages I should say. Phase one, phase two, and phase three. Phase one is uh a company puts the help center into the AI chatbot. And so the chatbot can answer any question from the help center. Most companies doing AI for customer support are in this phase, right, where it's just

主持人: 这很容易启动。大多数人只是……

Original English

主持人: that's pretty easy to to get going. Most people just

Vlad Tenev: 就像一个更好的搜索功能。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: like a better search function.

主持人: 是的。更好。

Original English

主持人: Yeah. Better.

Vlad Tenev: 嗯,你知道,它比实际拥有需要导航的帮助中心链接要好,实际上我认为可能大多数公司仍然没有将 AI 用于客户支持,他们仍然只是让你导航帮助中心。我们五到十年前也曾如此。阶段二,好吧,你变得更复杂了一点。你不仅仅是从帮助中心获取数据并将其输入 AI,现在 AI 实际上可以进入数据库。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Well, you know, and it's better than actually having links to the help center that you'd have to navigate, which actually I think probably still most companies aren't using AI for customer support and they're still pushing you towards just navigating a help center. We were there too, probably five years ago, 5 to 10. Phase two is all right, you're getting a little bit more sophisticated. You're not just taking the data from your help center and feeding it into the AI, but now the AI can actually go into the database.

主持人: 他们可以说,好的,我可以看到 Shane 的账户。他有,你知道,5 万美元在里面,他昨天刚从 Chase Bank 存了一些钱。好的。所以,你可以提取这些数据,并用它来提供更好的上下文支持,但它仍然是只读的。

Original English

主持人: They can say, okay, I can see Shane's account. He's got, you know, $50,000 in there and he just deposited some money yesterday from Chase Bank. Okay. So, you can pull that data and you can use it to provide better contextual support, but it's still read only.

Vlad Tenev: 是的。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah.

Vlad Tenev: 对。所以,嗯,粗略地说,假设 90% 的公司处于阶段一。90% 不处于阶段一的公司可能处于阶段二。然后你有了阶段三,也就是,好的,现在我实际上可以执行非只读操作。我可以更改一些东西。也许如果你对购买不满意,我会退款给你。我可以退还你的 Gold 订阅费。嗯,所以这实际上涉及到一些相当深入的……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Right. So, um rough numbers, let's say 90% of companies are in phase one. 90% of the ones that aren't in phase one are probably in phase two. Then you have phase three, which is okay, now I can actually do non- readonly actions. I can change stuff. maybe I'll refund you if you know you're not happy with your purchase. I can refund your gold subscription fee. Um, so that involves actually some pretty deep

主持人: 工作,深入集成到所有后端系统中。嗯,所以你可以想象,随着你深入,效用会增加,但成本也会增加。嗯,所以实际上我认为很少有公司处于阶段三。那就是 Robinhood 所在的阶段。嗯,是的,这实际上并不容易。我认为大多数公司都在外包这项工作,而这是供应商很难做到的,因为,你知道,供应商无法在实际连接所有系统的过程中为你节省太多时间。那将是你内部工程师必须完成的工作。但我认为让它变得更容易的是,从很早的时候,我们就希望我们的数据能够在内部轻松查询,因为我们希望运行良好的分析来了解正在发生的事情。所以一旦你的数据可以查询,它就会让你通常拥有良好的系统卫生。它,你知道,在一个地方。嗯,它就像有干净的接口。你花时间确保它是正确的。嗯,我认为我们所做的工作,并没有真正考虑 AI,使得连接这些模型并实际运行推理,以及,你知道,构建AI代理变得更容易一些。这只是我们在产品内部做的事情。我们有 Robinhood Cortex,它是我们的 AI模型,嗯,它在 Robinhood 中最明显的用例是股票和加密货币摘要。所以,如果你查看一只已经变动的股票,它会给你一个实时视图,告诉你实际推动它的是什么。我认为我们的一些竞争对手也做了类似的事情。嗯,但我认为我们的产品特别引人注目之处在于它每分钟都会更新。

Original English

主持人: work, deep integration into all of like the backend systems. Uh, so you can imagine the utility goes up as you get deeper, but the cost also goes up. Um, and so actually I think very few are in phase three. That that's where Robin Hood's in. Um, and uh, yeah, it's it's it's actually not easy. And I I think that most companies are vendoring this, and this is the thing that vendors are hard at because, you know, vendor is not going to be able to save you much time in the actual process of plugging into all your systems. That's going to be work that your engineers internally are going to have to do. But I think what made it easier is from a pretty early point, we wanted to make our data easily queryable internally because we wanted to run good analytics to understand what was going on. And so once your data is queriable, it makes it so that you you generally have good systems hygiene. It's, you know, in one place. Uh it's like got clean interfaces. You spend time making sure that it's correct. Um and and I think the work that we did not really thinking about AI made it a little bit easier to plug plug in these models and and actually run inference and you know build build agents and and that's just the stuff we do internally in the product. We have Robin Hood Cortex which is our AI model and um the most visible use case of it in Robin Hood right now is stock in crypto digest. So, if you go to a stock that's moved, it'll give you uh a real time view of what's actually driving it. I think some of our competitors have done this as well. Um, but I think what makes our offering especially compelling is it updates

Vlad Tenev: 基本上每分钟更新一次。嗯,每当有新信息进来时它就会更新,而你知道,我认为大多数公司每天只更新一次,对于新闻不断的公司来说,这基本上是过时的。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: basically every minute. uh it it updates whenever new information comes in whereas you know I think most companies do it once per day and it's just it's it's basically stale for companies in which lots of news happens

主持人: 你现在也有一家 AI 公司,对吧?

Original English

主持人: You have an AI company now too, right?

Vlad Tenev: 是的,没错。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yes, that's right.

主持人: 跟我谈谈我们训练模型的局限性以及其影响。我从这个角度思考,你知道,模型是在整个互联网上训练的。那里有很多垃圾。嗯,它们是预测性的,从某种意义上说,它们确实,嗯,你知道,请带我了解一下预测与从第一性原理出发的纯粹推理之间的区别,以及你认为当前的局限性是什么,我们正在走向何方,以及替代方案是什么。

Original English

主持人: Talk to me about the limitations of how we train the models and and what the implications are. I think about this in the sense of, you know, the models are trained on the whole internet. There's a lot of garbage out there. Uh they're predictive in the sense of they're really uh you know to the walk me through maybe the prediction versus reasoning pure reasoning from first principles up and how you think uh the current limitations are and where we're going with this and what the alternatives are. Sure. Um,

Vlad Tenev: 当然。嗯,是的。基本上,我几年前创办并担任董事长的公司叫做 Harmonic,它正在构建数学超智能,这是一种 AI,能够以超越人类,超越最优秀的人类数学家的水平解决数学问题。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah. And basically the company that I started a couple years ago that I'm chairman of uh is called Harmonic and it's building mathematical super intelligence which is AI that can solve math problems at a level exceeding uh humans, the best human mathematicians.

Vlad Tenev: 嗯,它还没有达到超越所有最优秀人类数学家的水平,但它肯定超越了我的水平,我没想到它会这么快做到。但,是的,今年早些时候,我们实际上在国际数学奥林匹克竞赛中获得了金牌表现,这是世界上最负盛名的数学竞赛。嗯,这些都是像天才高中生一样的人。有五个人在国际数学奥林匹克竞赛中获得了满分。嗯,只是为了说明一下,我说高中生,但我敢打赌我很难解决一个 IMO 问题。嗯,是的。是的。现在。所以我们的模型 Aristotle 解决了六个问题中的五个。嗯,赌注一直是这实际上会推广到其他事物。所以如果你作为一个人类擅长数学,我感受到了这一点,因为我主修数学。如果你能找出如何解决一个数学问题,你就能解决几乎任何问题。所以这可以推广到一般的问题解决,比如更好地做出商业决策。嗯,所以我们实际上在过去几周测试了这一点。嗯,他们为数学家和研究人员发布了一款产品,它已经被用来解决未解决的数学问题。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: And uh it's not quite at a level exceeding all of the best human mathematicians, but it certainly exceeded my level, which I didn't think it would do so so quickly. But yeah, earlier this year, we actually achieved gold medal performance at the International Mathematical Olympiad, which is the world's most prestigious mathematics competition. Um these are like cracked high schoolers. like five people got perfect scores in the International Mathematical Olympiad. And uh just to contextualize, I say high school, but I bet you I would struggle solving a single IMO problem. Uh yeah. Yeah. Right now. So Aristotle, which is our model, solved five out of six. And um the bet always was that this would actually generalize to to other things. So if you're good at math as a human, I felt this because I was a math major. If you could figure out how to solve a math problem, you could solve pretty much any problem. So that that could generalize to general problem solving, like be better at making business decisions, for instance. Um and so we've tested that actually over the past few weeks. uh they released a a product for mathematicians and researchers and it's been used to solve unsolved math problems.

主持人: 我看到了。

Original English

主持人: I saw that

Vlad Tenev: 你看到了 Erdos 问题。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: you saw the the Erdos problem.

主持人: 是的。是的。

Original English

主持人: Yeah. Yeah.

Vlad Tenev: 是的。所以 Paul Erdos

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah. So Paul Erdos

主持人: 我不明白。我只是看到你解决了它。

Original English

主持人: I didn't understand it. I just saw that you solved it.

Vlad Tenev: 是的。我的意思是,嗯,是的,问题本身对我来说太复杂了,无法理解和解决。嗯,但 Paul Erdos 是一位,嗯,非常多产的数学家。他实际上会环游世界,住在人们家里,与他们一起工作一两周,解决数学问题。所以有一系列关于 Erdos 猜想的文章和书籍。它们通常是猜想,比如这个东西在数学上似乎是真的,但我无法证明它。所以现在有,你知道,收集这些东西的网站。大约有 1000 个 Erdos 问题。嗯,大约一半是开放的未解决问题,嗯,是的,Harmonic 至少解决了一个。总是有一些争论,比如它是否在互联网上的其他地方被解决了,但没有人发现它。嗯,所以,你知道,这些公告总是伴随着一些争议,但我的意思是,解决一个人们关心的未解决问题是一件大事。你已经看到在几个月内从竞赛数学跳跃到解决未解决的 Erdos 问题。目标是,嗯,将其提升到每个人都关心的大规模重要未解决问题。实际上昨天他们发布了一个更新,嗯,Aristotle 也学会了编写计算机代码。所以在软件验证基准测试中,它达到了大约 97% 的新最先进水平

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah. I mean um yeah the problem itself is too complicated for me to understand and solve. Um but Paul Erdos was this like um very prolific mathematician. He would actually travel around the world, stay at people's houses and work with them for a week or two weeks at a time solving math problems. And so there's like a collection of articles and books of uh problems that Erdos conjectured. They're usually conjectures like it seems like this thing is true mathematically, but I can't prove it. And so now there's, you know, websites that collect these things. There's something like,00 Erdish problems. uh about half of them are are open unsolved and um yeah harmonic solved at least one of them. There's always some debate like is it solved somewhere else on the internet and nobody found it. Um, so you know there there's always some controversy around these announcements, but I mean it's solving an unsolved problem that people care about is a big deal. And you've seen making the jump from competition math to solving unsolved Erdish problems in a couple of months. And the goal is to um ladder that up to unsolved problems that everyone cares about that are of like massive importance. And actually yesterday they released an update that uh Aristotle learned to write computer code too. So on a verifi software verification benchmark it it hit a new state-of-the-art of something around 97%.

主持人: 太棒了。你训练它的方式与 AnthropicOpenAI 等公司训练模型的方式有什么不同?模型本身有什么不同?

Original English

主持人: Amazing. What's different about how you're training that versus how somebody like anthropic or open AAI like what's different about the model itself?

Vlad Tenev: 是的,两件事。一是,嗯,他们倾向于训练,嗯,我的意思是他们做了很多小事情来训练这些模型,我认为这些模型以前就像一个单体大型语言模型,现在它们实际上是一个AI代理网络,而 Aristotle 就是这样的,它实际上是一个针对略微不同事物进行优化的AI代理网络。嗯,我想在最高层面,嗯,数学的有趣之处在于你可以将一个数学问题表述为计算机代码

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah, two things. one is um they tend to train uh so I mean they they do a lot of little things to train these models and I think these models used to be like a monolithic LLM now they're actually a network of agents which which Aristotle is it's it's actually a network of agents that are optimized for slightly different things um I guess at the highest level uh the interesting thing about math is you can pose a math math problem as computer code.

主持人: 如果你把它表述为计算机代码,实际上有一种方法可以机器检查证明的有效性

Original English

主持人: And if you pose it as computer code, there's actually a way to machine check the validity of the proof.

Vlad Tenev: 哦,是的。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Oh yeah.

Vlad Tenev: 是的。所以它可以自动检查。这让你能够做什么呢?就是创建一个合成数据管道。所以所有训练 Aristotle 的数据,嗯,绝大多数数据实际上都是我们自己生成的数据。它不是,你知道,互联网数据。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah. So it can be checked automatically. And what that allows you to do is to create a synthetic data pipeline. And so all of the data that uh the the vast majority of the data that trains uh Aristotle is actually data that we generate. It's not you know internet data.

主持人: 那么会发生什么呢?你问一个问题。

Original English

主持人: And what happens is you ask a a question.

Vlad Tenev: 模型会推理它。它会尝试解决它。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: The model reasons about it. It tries to solve it

主持人: 在解决它的过程中。它解决了它,生成了一些引理和事实,这些引理和事实被证明了,因为你可以机器检查它们,你知道它们是正确的,如果它们是正确的,你就会把它们放入训练中,所以当它解决问题时,它会变得越来越聪明,这基本上就是这个想法。所以有相似之处。它可能更接近于训练一个模型下棋下得非常好,而不是训练一个像英语大型语言模型那样的模型。但我认为基本技术往往是重叠的。我的意思是,有很多强化学习后训练

Original English

主持人: and on the way to solving it. It solves it it generates some lemmas and facts that are proved and because you can machine check them you know that they're correct and if they're correct you sort of like put them into the training and so as it as it solves problems it gets smarter and smarter and that's basically the idea. So there's similarities. It's probably closer to training a model to play chess really really well than it is to training just like a English language LLM. But I think the the fundamental techniques tend to overlap. I mean there's a lot of reinforcement learning and post-training.

Vlad Tenev: 也有预训练。嗯,但,是的,主要区别在于这种机器检查结果的能力,这为你的强化学习提供了良好的奖励信号。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: There's pre-training as well. Um but yeah, the the main difference is this this ability to machine check the results which gives you a a good reward signal for your reinforcement learning.

主持人: 你认为我们现在训练大规模语言模型的方式有什么局限性?从在大量数据集上训练并更具预测性,而不是我所说的自下而上的第一性原理,如果这有意义的话?

Original English

主持人: What do you think the limitations are on the way that we're sort of like doing the large scale language models now in the sense of training on huge data sets and being more predictive than I would say bottoms up first principles if that makes sense?

Vlad Tenev: 是的,我的意思是,我认为我们已经展示了创造新知识的能力。嗯,我认为这会继续下去。所以,你知道,现在,比如说,你可以轻松地以低成本生成一个长达 10 页的证明。实际上,我们可以生成更长的,但只是,嗯,举个例子,每单位成本和时间,你可以生成一个 10 页的证明。那么,一年后它将达到 100 页。三年后它将达到 10 万页。你可以说,好吧,什么样的数学问题需要 10 万页的证明?那可能是数学中最深奥的问题之一。同时,同样的事情不仅会发生在数学领域,还会发生在所有相关的领域,物理学、计算机科学,你知道,嗯,物理学中一个真正深刻的结果相当于什么?我的意思是,我们可以理解,嗯,统一理论的基础,这在理论物理学中已经是一个大问题 50 年了,比如你如何将,嗯,引力理论与其他力理论对齐,嗯,我们在这方面没有取得太大进展,可能 AI 可以帮助解决这个问题,然后如果我们能解决这个问题,对构建新工程的后果将是深远的。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah, I mean I think that we've already shown an ability to create new knowledge. Um, and I think that's going to continue. So, you know, right now, let's say you can easily at low cost produce a proof that's 10 pages long. And actually, we can produce longer ones, but just uh as an example, per per unit cost and time, you can produce a 10-page proof. Well, in a year it'll get to 100 pages. In three years it'll get to 100,000 pages. And you can say, okay, what type of problem has a 100,000 page proof? That's probably some of the deepest problems in in mathematics. And at the same time, that same thing is not just going to happen in mathematics, but all dependent fields, physics, computer science, and you know what uh what's the equivalent of a a really deep result in physics? I mean we can we can understand the fundamentals of um unification which has been a big problem for it's been the problem in in theoretical physics for 50 years like how do you align the theories of uh gravitation with the other with the other forces um and we we haven't had much progress in that and probably AI could help with that and then if we can figure that out the consequences for building new engineering is are profound.

主持人: 你认为 AI 会像一个模型“通吃”所有领域,还是会有多个模型,它们可能在不同方面略有不同,做得更好?你认为未来五到十年会如何发展?

Original English

主持人: Do you think AI is going to be like one model sort of like takes all or do you think it's going to be fairly like you're going to have multiple models that maybe are slightly nuanced a little bit better at different things? Like how do you see this playing out in the next, you know, five or 10 years?

Vlad Tenev: 我认为这取决于,嗯,我认为会有多个模型,这真的取决于用于训练它们的数据。所以,例如,Harmonic 的模型 Aristotle 的一个优点是,有很多数学家正在使用它来提出非常复杂的数学问题。所以如果你让所有数学家都使用这个模型,那么你在数学数据方面基本上就有了优势,我认为这在其他领域也是如此。嗯,我认为人们通常倾向于将 ChatGPT 作为首选,但它,你知道,它是一个很好的通用模型。它可能会给你一个合理的答案,但我认为他们不会花时间深入研究每一个领域。我认为这就是为什么你已经开始看到一些专业化。嗯,Anthropic 有一个非常好的编码模型,他们在软件工程的企业领域做得非常好。他们在这方面有所专长。嗯,Google 显然在一般推理方面有一个非常强大的模型。你知道,Gemini 3 发布了,让一些人感到惊讶,尽管如果你查看 Robinhood 预测市场,我们今年大部分时间都有一个关于哪个将成为年底顶级 AI模型预测市场。我认为年中就变得非常清楚,Gemini 将会胜出。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: I think it depends on uh I I think there's going to be multiple models and it's really going to depend on the data that is used to feed them. So for example, one thing that's great about Aristotle which is harmonics model is you've got mathematicians that are using it to ask very complex math questions. So if you if you've got all the mathematicians using the model then you basically have an advantage with mathematics data and I think that's true in other domains. Um, I think that generally people tend to use chat GPT as a first crack, but it's, you know, it's a it's a good general model. It'll probably give you a reasonable answer, but I don't think they're going to spend the time to go deep on every single domain. And I think that's why you're already starting to see a little bit of specialization. Um, Anthropic has a very good coding model and they've basically done very well in the enterprise for software engineering. They've kind of specialized there. Um, Google obviously very very strong model in general reasoning. You know, Gemini 3 came out and surprised some people though if you were looking at the Robin Hood prediction market, we had a prediction market for uh for the majority of the year on what's going to be the top AI model by the end of the year. I think it became pretty clear midyear that Gemini was going to take it

主持人: 有趣。我的意思是,他们应该基于他们拥有的数据访问权限。他们拥有世界上可能最高质量的数据源,并且可以完全访问,限制很少。

Original English

主持人: interest. I mean they should based on the data access that they have. They have probably the highest quality data source in the world uh and full access to it with very few restrictions

Vlad Tenev: 而且,嗯,无限的计算能力和大量净收入来资助它。是的,他们确实有一些优势。我想说 ChatGPT

Original English

Vlad Tenev: and and uh limitless compute and big printing lots of net income to fund it. Yeah, they've got they've got some advantages for sure. I would say chat GBT

主持人: 而且他们实际上与,嗯,Harmonic 竞争。所以他们有一个类似的数学模型叫做,嗯,AlphaProof

Original English

主持人: and they and they actually compete with uh harmonic. So they have a similar mathematics model called um alpha proof.

Vlad Tenev: 哦,有趣。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Oh interesting.

Vlad Tenev: 是的。它,嗯,再次将数学从英语转换为编程语言,嗯,你得到了奖励信号。实际上,有趣的是,AlphaProof 是去年第一个在 IMO 中获得银牌表现的 AI模型

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah. Which is uh again it converts mathematics from English into a programming language and uh you get that reward signal. And actually, interestingly enough, Alpha Proof was the first AI model to get a silver medal to achieve silver medal performance at the IMO last year.

主持人: 好的。

Original English

主持人: Okay.

Vlad Tenev: 但 AlphaProof,嗯,他们今年没有宣布金牌。所以,是的,我们,嗯,Harmonic 团队对此感到兴奋,你知道,在一年内我们能够超越 AlphaProof 的能力。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: But Alpha Proof uh they did not announce a gold this year. So yeah, we we were uh we were the harmonic team was excited about that that you know in a year we were able to surpass alpha proof capabilities.

主持人: 我会说 Gemini,嗯,在过去两周的使用中,它已经远远超过了 ChatGPT

Original English

主持人: I will say Gemini uh has far passed on my usage of just in the last two weeks like it blows away chat GPT.

Vlad Tenev: 很多人都这么说。是的。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: A lot of people have been saying that. Yeah.

主持人: 是的。我喜欢作为消费者的竞争,它很棒,你知道,对每个人来说都有更好的技术,竞争对每个人都有好处,它推动每个人变得更好,更努力工作,取得领先。

Original English

主持人: Yeah. And I love the race as a consumer like it's it's great and you know better technology for everybody sort of and competition is good for everybody like it pushes everybody to be better and work harder and get ahead.

Vlad Tenev: 绝对。是的。我的意思是,我听说有报道称 OpenAI 发布了红色警报。这很有趣,因为当 ChatGPT 在 2022 年发布时,嗯,Google 发布了红色警报。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Absolutely. Yeah. I mean, I I heard there was reports of OpenAI calling a code red. And it's funny because when Chad GPT came out, uh in 2022, Google called a code red.

主持人: 是的。

Original English

主持人: Yeah.

Vlad Tenev: 对。他们说:“这是对 Google Search 的生存威胁。”然后当时每个人都把他们排除在外。他们说:“一家又大又慢的公司。他们怎么可能赶上?他们只是被颠覆了。看看 Google Search 的市场份额。”所以,叙事转变的速度之快令人惊叹。嗯,但是,是的,我认为 SundarSergey 以及团队,嗯,做得非常出色。你知道,你必须向他们致敬。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Right. And they said, "This is a existential threat to Google search." And then at that time, everyone was counting them out. They're like, "A big slow company. How are they ever going to catch up? They're just getting disrupted. Look at the Google search market share." So, it's just amazing how quickly the narrative can shift. Um, but yeah, I think Sundar and and Sergey and the team have uh have done an amazing job. You know, you got to tip your hat off to them.

数学与商业决策

主持人: 我想回到你之前说的一点,关于数学如何帮助你在 Robinhood 做出决策。嗯,以及一般的决策。

Original English

主持人: I want to come back to something you said earlier about how math helps you make decisions at Robin Hood. Uh, and just decisions in general.

Vlad Tenev: 是的。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah.

主持人: 这两者之间有什么联系?

Original English

主持人: What's the connection there?

Vlad Tenev: 我认为数学是训练大脑做困难事情的好方法,对吧?这几乎就像如果你能硬拉 500 磅,那么从地板上抱起你爬行的婴儿就非常非常容易,对吧?所以没有哪个商业问题能像解决一个非常非常难的数学问题那样复杂。所以如果你习惯了痛苦和折磨,以及为了一个数学问题而撞墙 12 小时的精神压力,我和 Baiju 在大学时经常这样做。我们会熬夜解决这些问题集。嗯,他们认为那是很好的训练。这就像去健身房解决商业问题。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: I think math is a good way to train your brain into uh doing hard things, right? And it's almost like if you can deadlift 500 lb, then picking up your crawling baby uh from the floor is very very easy, right? So no business problem is as complicated as solving a really really hard math problem. So if if if you if you get used to the pain and the suffering and like the mental stress uh of beating your head against the wall for 12 hours on one single math problem, which Beiju and I did very very often when we were in college. We'd like pull allnighters working on these problem sets. Um they think that's really really good training. It's like going to the gym for uh for business problems.

私人市场与金融民主化

主持人: 你最近痴迷于什么?

Original English

主持人: What are you obsessed with lately?

Vlad Tenev: 嗯,我痴迷于商业世界。嗯,我目前作为 Robinhood 创始人兼 CEO 最关注的事情是让更多人进入市场,特别是提供私人市场准入。我认为这是当今资本市场最大的不公平。我认为这非常重要,因为你看到所有这些正在构建 AI模型的公司。我们正处于可能是有史以来最伟大的技术革命之中,不仅是我们这个时代,而且是所有时代。将会发生颠覆。将会发生大规模的市场错位。它同时也是增长最快的技术和产品,但在最不受欢迎之列。人们担心 AI 可能会抢走我的工作。我真的喜欢它吗?而且大多数 AI 公司都是私人公司,即使其中一些公司的估值高达数百亿甚至数千亿美元,这意味着散户投资者无法投资它们。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Um, I am obsessed with the business world. Uh, I the the thing that I'm most focused on right now in sort of my my life as Robin Hood founder and CEO is getting more people into the markets and in particular giving access to private markets. I think that's the biggest iniquity in capital markets today. And I think it's it's very important because you see all of these companies who are building AI models. We're in the midst of possibly the greatest technology revolution, not just of our time, but of all time. And there's going to be disruption. There's going to be largecale dislocation. And it's simultaneously the fastest growing technology and product out there, but among the the least popular. People are worried AI is possibly going to take my job. Do I really like it? And and of the majority of AI companies out there are private companies, even though some of them are in valuations of tens of billions or even hundreds of billions of dollars, which means retail investors can't invest in them.

Vlad Tenev: 将其与公司上市变得越来越具有挑战性这一事实并置。流程更多,公司上市的更少。机构资本有更多机会为私人公司提供资金,你就会遇到一种无意中的情况,即散户投资者被排除在一些最重要的公司之外。而且这不仅仅是 AI。我认为 AI 是最重要的,但也有太空技术,对吧?你看看 SpaceX,它的估值高达数千亿美元。它基本上是最大、最具影响力的私人太空公司。嗯,散户从一开始就被排除在外。所以,嗯,我正在努力找出如何纠正和扭转这种局面,让人们接触这些公司,并确保每个人都是我们行业的所有者。而且如果我们确保每个人都是所有者,如果你拥有某样东西,你就会想保护它。我认为我们更有可能拥有一个稳定繁荣的未来。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: and juxtapose that with the fact that going public as a company keeps getting more challenging. There's more process, less companies are doing it. There's more opportunities for institutional capital to fund private companies and and you get an inadvertent situation where retail investors are shut out of some of the most important companies. And and it's not just AI. I think AI is the most important, but there's also space technology, right? You look at SpaceX, it's valuation in the hundreds of billions. It's basically the largest and most impactful private space company. Uh retail has been shut out from the from the very beginning there. And so, uh, I'm trying to figure out how to correct that and reverse it, give people exposure to these companies and make it so that everyone's an owner of our industry. And and if we make sure everyone is an owner, if you own something, you want to protect it. And I think we're more likely to have a a stable and prosperous future.

主持人: 嗯,我本来想从你内部如何运作开始,但让我们直接深入探讨代币化以及我们如何让散户投资者接触私人投资。但也许谈论这个的方式是。所以,我们有太空技术,这可以说是未来 50 年最重要的技术之一。我们有 AI,可能也在同一范畴。然后我们有房地产,这是人们经常谈论和代币化的另一个领域。是的。是的。

Original English

主持人: Well, let I was going to start with how you operate internally, but let's dive in right here about tokenization and how we sort of allow retail access to private otherwise private investments. But maybe the way to talk about that. So, we have space, which is arguably one of the most important technologies over the next, you know, we can anticipate over the next 50 years. We have AI probably in the same bucket. And then we have real estate, which is another one that people sort of talk about and tokenizing. Yeah. Yeah.

Vlad Tenev: 你如何看待这三种不同类型的资产?我猜 AI太空技术是相同的?你正在代币化一个私人资产,嗯,你需要拥有其基础股票。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: How do you think about all three of those different types of assets where I would imagine AI and sort of space are the same? You're tokenizing a private asset that uh you need to own the underlying shares.

主持人: 是的。

Original English

主持人: Yeah.

Vlad Tenev: 房地产呢?

Original English

Vlad Tenev: What about real estate?

Vlad Tenev: 我认为房地产,嗯,非常重要,特别是现在大多数人不幸地处于难以购买第一套住房的境地。嗯,我认为这可以从多个角度解决。一种是通过将其分解成小块,使其成为,好的,嗯,也许我不想承担抵押贷款并拥有自己的房子,但也许我想成为一名投资者,并接触到一个或多个我认为会表现良好的地区的房屋。所以,我认为这会发生,但我的首要任务,我认为,是后期私人投资。我们在美国推出了 Robinhood Ventures,旨在解决这个问题,我们有第一个封闭式基金,我们已申请上市,目前正处于静默期。所以我不能详细谈论其运作机制,但我认为最大的机会和最大的问题在于私人市场,我认为在早期风险投资中也有机会。我们希望更多人能够接触到处于尽可能早期阶段的公司,尽管风险更大,但上涨的机会也更大。所以我认为那里有有趣的机会和产品,如果我们能够简化,嗯,资本市场方面,并使企业家更容易在另一方面筹集资金,那么我们也可以带来更多的创业和创新。是的。嗯,房地产对我们来说也很有趣。我认为房地产的运作方式并不令人惊叹。我的意思是,它有点像世界各地随机地方的低质量商业地产。所以,我认为,我的意思是,房地产是如此视觉化。嗯,仅仅通过 ZillowTrulia 浏览的购买体验已经变得非常好,我认为它远远领先于实际投资房地产的体验,我认为这两者并不完全重叠。所以我确实认为有空间推出一个真正优质、低成本且易于理解的房地产投资产品

Original English

Vlad Tenev: I think real estate is uh incredibly meaningful especially now that most people are unfortunately at a point where they're they're having difficulty buying their first home. Um, and I think that could be attacked from multiple angles. One is by breaking it up into little pieces and making it so that okay, uh, maybe I don't want to take on a mortgage and and own my own home, but maybe I want to be an investor and be exposed to either one or multiple homes in areas that I think will do well. So, I think that'll happen, but my my priority, I think, is latestage privates. We launched this thing in the US called Robin Hood Ventures which aims to solve this problem and we have our first closed end fund which we filed to go public which is in the quiet period right now. So I can't talk in much detail about the mechanics of that but I think the the biggest opportunity and the biggest problem is in private markets and I think there's also opportunity in early stage venture. We we want more people to be exposed to companies at the earliest possible stages even though the risk is greater because the opportunity for upside is also greater. So I think there's there's interesting opportunities and products there and if we can streamline uh the capital markets aspect and make it easier for entrepreneurs to raise money on the other side then we could lead to more entrepreneurship and innovation too. Yeah. And and real estate is interesting to us as well. And I think the way real estate's been done is not amazingly inspiring. I mean, it's sort of like generally lowquality properties in random parts of the world, commercial properties. So, I think that I mean, real estate is so visual. uh the the purchasing experience of just going on a Zillow or a Trullia and browsing has gotten really good and and I think it's far ahead of the experience of actually investing in real estate and I think those don't exactly overlap. So I do think there's room for a real estate investing product that is actually legitimately good and lowcost and and easy to understand.

主持人: 那么这会如何运作呢?Robinhood 会购买房地产,然后将其百分比代币化,就像股票一样吗?机制会是什么?

Original English

主持人: So how would that work? Would Robin Hood buy the real estate and then sort of tokenize percentages of it almost like shares like what would be the mechanism for that?

Vlad Tenev: 我认为代币化作为一种底层技术,嗯,可以实现,但在美国并不真正允许,原因在于,嗯,你将代币化的本质上是一家公司,所以当你代币化一家公司时,它就会进入证券监管,而证券监管有一个既定的框架,目前与,嗯,去中心化金融加密技术不兼容。所以这是正在解决的问题之一。但美国还有另一种机制,使用传统的渠道,嗯,叫做 40act 基金结构。我认为,嗯,将会有,嗯,在这个领域出现一波创新浪潮,部分原因在于现任政府已宣布他们愿意使用这些工具来提供另类投资私人投资的准入。嗯,目前的限制是,很难将单个资产,比如如果是房地产,单个房产,或者就后期私人投资而言,单个私人公司,嗯,使其可交易,但你可以做一揽子投资。所以,至少作为一种被动投资工具,我们可以为人们提供这种类型的敞口。所以你购买的是一揽子后期投资的准入,也许有特定行业,比如 AI太空,或者只是广义上的。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: I think I think tokenization uh as a underlying technology uh can be done but it's not really permissible in in the US and and the reason for that is um what you'd be tokenizing is essentially a a company and so when you tokenize a company it it goes into security regulations and security regulations have an established framework that is not currently compatible with uh decentralized finance and crypto technology. So that that's one of the things that is being worked out. But there's another mechanism in the US using sort of traditional rails which uh which are called 40act fund structures. And I I think there's been uh well there there will be a flurry of innovation in this space partly because the current administration has declared that they're open to using these vehicles to provide access to alternatives and privates. Um, and the limitations currently are that it's hard to take an individual asset like a if it's real estate, an individual property or an individual private company in the in the in the sense of late stage privates uh and and make that tradable, but you can do a portfolio of things. So, at least as a passive investment vehicle, we can give people that type of exposure. So you're buying access to a whole bunch of late stage maybe there's sector specific like AI or space or just broadly speaking.

主持人: 是的。而且,嗯,代币化在美国以外会奏效。所以你可能几个月前看到我们为欧洲的加密业务举办了一场加密活动,在那里我们代币化了数百只公开股票,还代币化赠送了 OpenAISpaceX,这非常受欢迎,嗯,所以我认为与稳定币的演变类似,代币化将成为非美国投资的主要工具,嗯,直到我们获得监管明确。你还会看到私人资产的代币化也渗透到美国。嗯,美国已经拥有强大的传统金融结构,Robinhood 将努力使其更易于理解和散户投资者更容易获得。

Original English

主持人: Yeah. And uh tokenization will work outside of the US. So you might have seen a couple of months ago we did a crypto event for a crypto business in Europe and there we tokenized uh hundreds of public equities and also did a tokenized giveaway of OpenAI and and SpaceX which was very popular and uh and so I think similarly to how stable coin has evolved tokenization will be the primary vehicle for XUS investment uh until we get regulatory clarity And you'll see tokenization of of privates seep into the US as well. Uh and the US already has robust structures for traditional finance that Robin Hood will work to make more digestible and and accessible to retail investors.

主持人: 那么如果那是第一步,你认为第二和第三阶的预期和非预期后果是什么?

Original English

主持人: So if that's the first step, what do you see as the second and third order the intended and unintended sort of consequences of that?

Vlad Tenev: 我认为这取决于资产类别。所以,例如,对于私人资产,我认为,嗯,二阶后果是,对于企业家,市场的另一方,嗯,你将更容易筹集资金。所以,与其经历这种不透明的流程,花费大量时间与投资者一对一会面,亲自推销,嗯,你可以想象一个数字化募资流程,你连接到一个,你知道,电子市场,你可以按一个按钮,你就能获得经营业务所需的资本。我认为这不仅会发生在加密公司,还会发生在所有类型的公司。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: I think it depends on the asset class. So for example for privates I think the uh second order consequence is that for entrepreneurs the other side of the market uh you'll have an easier time raising capital. So rather than going through this opaque process of spending a lot of time meeting investors one-on-one, pitching in person, uh you could imagine a digital fundraising process where you're plugged into, you know, an electronic market and you can push a button and you you get the capital to to run your business. I think that'll happen not just for crypto companies, but for for all types of companies.

Vlad Tenev: 嗯,二级流动性将变得容易得多。所以如果你是一家公司的早期员工或高管,并且你有很多被锁定的股票,你将能够在一个透明的市场中轻松出售,而无需处理繁琐的文书工作。嗯,是的,或者等待 IPO。所以,我认为这些是事情,我认为三阶后果将是,嗯,创业活动的大爆发,比如如果更容易获得早期风险投资的资金,例如,你不需要作为 CEO 全职筹集资金,我认为将会有更多的资本,嗯,用于初创公司,结果只会是更多的初创公司。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: um secondary liquidity will be much easier. So if you're a early employee of a company or an executive and you have quite a bit of shares locked up, you'll be able to sell easily on a transparent market without the complexity of dealing with paperwork. Um yeah, or or waiting till IPO. So I I think those are the things and I think the third order consequence will be uh an explosion of entrepreneurial activity like if it's easy to get if it's easier to get funding for an early stage venture for example and you don't have to spend full-time as CEO raising capital I think there will be much more much more capital uh for startups and consequence only much more startups.

主持人: 对于像 Stripe 这样的公司,是否存在意想不到的后果?你的,嗯,你知道,他们可以说基本上控制着价格,它相当稳定,嗯,然而如果它流向散户,并且每天都被标记,那个价格可能会急剧变化,然后获得期权的员工,我只是想在这里思考一下这个链条,如果员工获得期权,但这些期权高度可变,因为如果你是公司,你希望将员工的任期与业务增长挂钩,你不能通过二级市场标记来扭曲这一点吗?因为他们在内部评估公司期权时必须考虑这些标记,还是不?我不知道。

Original English

主持人: Are there unintended consequences to a company like Stripe where your uh you know they're I would say by and large controlling the price like it's fairly stable uh whereas if it goes to retail and it gets marked by the day that price could change dramatically and then employees who are getting option I'm just trying to think through the chain here if employees are getting options but those options are highly variable because if you're the company you want to tie the employees tenure to the growth of the business and you can kind of distort that couldn't you with secondary marks cuz they would have to consider those marks when they're valuing the company internally for options or no I don't know

Vlad Tenev: 这真的取决于工具,所以例如,美国有要约收购工具,嗯,它只允许以 NAV(净资产价值)进行交易,NAV 是,嗯,这些资产由独立估值机构定价的价格。问题在于,如果你是一家四五年没有进行过一轮融资的公司,NAV 不一定能反映资产的真实成本。所以还有其他工具允许实时定价。我认为,嗯,理想状态是资产价格由供需以及透明市场中的买卖双方驱动。我认为那样每个人都能获得最好的结果,因为在任何其他情况下,有人可能会被利用,对吧?比如,如果,嗯,你知道,一方比另一方拥有更多信息,嗯,你知道,你可能会陷入不公平的境地。所以我通常主张通过双边市场透明地发现价格。现在,再次强调,这不一定是今天我们生活的私人资产世界。嗯,所以会有一个过渡期,并不是所有公司都会喜欢这些变化。但我确实认为这在某种程度上是不可避免的,因为将会发生的是,这些私人股票上将会有活跃的衍生品市场。我的意思是,你已经看到了。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: it really depends on the vehicle so for example there's tender offer vehicles uh in the US that allow trading only at uh the NAV the net asset value which is uh sort of like the the the price that these assets are priced by independent valuation bodies. The problem with that is if you're a company that hasn't done a round of financing in four to five years, the NAV is not necessarily reflective of the true cost of the asset. And so there's other vehicles that allow for real time pricing. And I I think that the platonic ideal is for the price of the asset to be driven by, you know, supply and demand and willing buyers and sellers in a in a transparent market. I think that's where everyone gets uh the best outcome because in any other scenario, someone could be taken advantage of, right? like if if uh you know one side has more information than the other um you know you you could you could end up in situations that aren't fair. So I'm I'm generally a proponent of price being discovered transparently through two-sided markets. Now again, that's not necessarily the world we live in today with private assets. Um, and so there will be a transition period and not not all companies are going to like the changes. But I I do think it's inevitable to to some degree that this happens because what'll happen is there's going to be active derivative markets on these private shares. I mean, there you've already seen that.

主持人: 已经有了。是的。而且数据正在泄露。我认为那是一个很难收回的精灵。如果价格已经泄露,然后公司无论如何都在进行一轮融资,那就像,嗯,为什么衍生品在这里,而你却以这个价格为这一轮定价?我为什么不对冲我的风险敞口呢?嗯,所以我认为在全球市场中,越来越难像私人公司历史上那样对价格拥有如此多的控制权。

Original English

主持人: There already is. Yeah. and the data is getting out. And I think that's a hard genie to put back in the bottle. If if the price is out and then the company's doing a round of financing anyway, it's like, well, why why are the derivatives here and you're pricing the round at at this price? Why don't I just hedge my exposure? Um, so I I think that it's going to be tough increasingly in a global market to have as much control over over the price as maybe private companies have historically had.

Vlad Tenev: 我能想到的另一个影响是 LP 们出售他们在基金或工具中的权益,而这些权益目前并非流动市场。如果它确实具有流动性,那么 LP 们在提前退出时往往会面临巨大的折扣或减值。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: One of the other impacts of that that I can think of off the top of my head is LPs selling their interests in a fund or a vehicle that they have where that is not a liquid market these days. And if it is to the extent that it is liquid, there's often huge discounts or haircuts on LPs trying to exit early.

主持人: 这个领域有很多活动,我认为它会继续下去,特别是对于 LP 权益和高度集中在一两家公司中的特殊目的载体。我认为这些在很多方面正在成为直接投资公司的替代品。我认为我们的偏好以及我们如何处理私人资产的获取是,我们总是会优先考虑通过正门进入,对吧?并确保公司希望接触散户,你知道,我们希望与真正看到这一点的公司合作。嗯,我认为在 OpenAISpaceX 代币化的案例中,我们有点像在进行一项实验,我们想成为第一个,你知道,如果有一本吉尼斯世界纪录,记录了 OpenAISpaceX 的第一次代币化。我想声称这一点。嗯,但你知道,从大局来看,那只是一个小小的赠品。我认为当公司真正参与其中时,规模化解决方案是最好的。在过去几个月里,随着 Robinhood Ventures 的启动,我看到的是,伟大的公司确实希望参与其中,并且确实看到了散户的价值。我们进行了一些投资,这些投资实际上已经公开表示他们多么喜欢这种模式,以及他们多么认为这是未来。我们看到了同样的现象。

Original English

主持人: There there's been a lot of activity in the space and and I think it'll continue particularly for LP interests and special purpose vehicles that are highly concentrated in one or two companies. I think those are in many ways becoming an alternative to to direct investments in companies. I think our our preference and uh h how we approach access to privates is we we always would prioritize coming through the front door, right? And and making sure that the company wants exposure to retail and you know we want to work with companies who actually see this. And um I think in in the case of the open AAI and SpaceX tokenization, we were sort of running an experiment and we wanted to be the first, you know, if there was a Guinness Book of World Records for the first tokenization of Open AI in SpaceX. I wanted to claim that. Um but you know, it was a small giveaway in the grand scheme of things. I think the scaled solution uh is is best when actually the companies are involved. And what I've seen in the past few months as we've gotten Robin Hood Ventures off the ground is that great companies do want to be a part of this and do see the value of retail. We made a number of investments that have actually been public about how much they love the model and how uh they think this is the future. And we saw the the same phenomenon

Vlad Tenev: 我们的 IPO 准入产品也是如此。所以,我们有一个很棒的 IPO 准入产品,它是 IPO 参与的头号散户渠道。我们于 2021 年,大约在我们上市的时候启动了这项服务。从那时起,我们已经完成了大约 50 次 IPO。在该项目启动之初,我们通常会受到公司的质疑。他们不明白为什么要这样做。他们的银行家会劝他们放弃。所以我们不得不请求帮助,我们真的不得不挤进一些交易,即使只获得少量配额。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: for our IPO access offering. So, we have a great IPO access offering, which is the number one retail channel for IPO participation. And we started this in 2021, around the time that we went public. And we've done, I think, roughly 50 IPOs since the beginning. And around the beginning of this program, generally, we got a skeptical reception from companies. They didn't understand why they would want to do it. Their bankers would kind of talk them out of it. So, we had to ask for favors and we really had to elbow our way into to getting even small allocations into some of these deals.

主持人: 而今年,情况发生了彻底的深刻变化,那些最好的上市公司正在主动找我们,寻求关于他们散户策略的反馈。你看到 CEO 们登上全国电视,谈论他们如何,你知道,希望为颠覆传统的 IPO 模式做出贡献,并随着时间的推移给予散户越来越大的配额。所以人们正在接受它,我认为同样的事情也会发生在私人散户准入上。它只是会更早进入阶段,但好处是如此强大,以至于我认为它会随着时间的推移而标准化。

Original English

主持人: And this year, there's a complete profound change where the best companies that are going public are coming to us and asking for feedback about their retail strategy. And you see the CEOs going on national television and talking about how, you know, they want to contribute to the disruption of the traditional IPO model and giving retail larger and larger allocations as time goes on. So people are embracing it and I think the same thing is going to happen for for private retail access. It's just going to go earlier stage, but the benefits are so strong that I think that they'll be it'll be standardized as time goes on.

Vlad Tenev: 嗯,我认为我们也可以让公司更容易上市。实际上两天前我在纽约参加了一个圆桌会议。它被称为“让 IPO 再次伟大”。我们戴着红帽子等等,嗯,在纽约证券交易所。我认为有很多改进空间。IPO 流程已经变得如此僵化,而且在所有阶段的品牌形象都很糟糕,你可以系统地全面改进。所以,嗯,我认为我们也应该这样做,并,嗯,改善上市公司的品牌形象,也让上市更容易。到那时,我们将真正从多个角度解决问题。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Uh and I think also we could make it easier for companies to go public. There was actually a round table that I was part of here in New York uh two days ago. It was called make IPOs great again. We had the red hats and everything um at the New York Stock Exchange. And I think that there's improvements. the IPO process has gotten so oified and the branding of it is bad at all stages that you can really just like systematically make improvements across the board. So, um I I think we should do that as well and make it uh improve the brand of of being a public company and also make it easier to to get public and at that point we'll we'll really be attacking the problem from multiple angles.

主持人: 你如何考虑下一步要扩展什么?做出这个决定需要考虑什么?在展望未来 10 年的路线图时,你脑海中会考虑哪些因素、哪些变量?我们可以做所有这些事情。我们如何分配我们接下来要做的事情?

Original English **主持人**: How do you think about what to expand in next? Like what goes into that decision? What are the factors, the variables that you're thinking about in your head as you're looking towards the road map the next 10 years? There's all these things we could do. How do we allocate what we are going to do next?

Vlad Tenev: 是的。嗯,我认为我们的北极星目标实际上就是最大化股权所有权,嗯,全球散户的直接股权所有权,对吧?你知道,这就是我们所追求的。我们如何让更多人投资公开股票?嗯,我们能从更年轻的时候开始吗?嗯,这就是为什么我们对 Invest America 等倡议以及 Trump 账户感到兴奋。我们能否让美国以外的人也参与进来,并尽可能方便?嗯,我们能否进入人们无法进入的私人市场?我认为,嗯,如果我们最大化股权所有权,以及实际上由散户直接持有的股权百分比,我们将最终建立一个更稳定和繁荣的社会,嗯,这是一个我更有信心的未来。所以,嗯,我们就是这样思考的,这就是为什么我们如此关心 Robinhood VenturesTrump 账户。嗯,我一直在谈论多代金融服务。我们如何让 Robinhood 很好地为你服务,嗯,为你的整个家庭服务,以及如果你的配偶、父母或孩子也在 Robinhood 上,如何让它更好地运作?嗯,我认为,嗯,将会有巨大的财富转移。所以,超过 120 万亿美元的财富将易手,从老一代转移到年轻一代。我认为这是一个巨大的机会,可以真正加速我们的目标。而且我认为如果我们这样做,Robinhood 本身作为一家企业也应该受益,嗯,就像我们的客户受益一样。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah. Um I think like our northstar is really just maximizing equity ownership uh direct equity ownership from retail across the world, right? And you know that that's what we get into. How do we get more people invested in public stocks? Uh can we start at a younger age and uh which is why we're excited about initiatives like Invest America with the Trump accounts. Can we get people outside the US plugged in as well and make that as easy as possible? Uh can we do private markets which are inaccessible to people? Like I think that uh if we if we maximize equity ownership and actually the the percentage of of it held directly by retail, we'll end up in a more stable and prosperous society that that's more uh and and that's a future that I feel much more confident in. So uh we we kind of think through that and that's why we care so much about Robin Hood Ventures, the Trump accounts. Um, I've been talking a lot about multigenerational financial services. How do we make Robin Hood work really well for you, uh, for your whole family and make it work better if your spouse or your parents or your children are on Robin Hood? Um, and I I think that there's a huge wealth transfer uh coming. So, over 120 trillion are going to change hands and go from the old generation into the young. And I think that's a big opportunity to actually accelerate our goals. And and I think if we do that, Robin Hood itself as a business should benefit as uh as as our customers benefit.

从共产主义国家背景看资本主义

主持人: 我喜欢一件事,你可能对此有独特的看法,考虑到你的背景,你家庭的背景是让人们在美国经济加拿大经济,无论什么经济中拥有股份,以此来抵御共产主义。但你来自一个共产主义国家。我的意思是,你父亲在那里,然后……

Original English

主持人: One thing I love and you might have a unique opinion on this given your background, your family's background is giving people a stake in the American economy, the Canadian econ, whatever economy, giving people ownership in that as a means of fending off communism. But you came from a communist country. I mean, your father was there and

Vlad Tenev: 跟我说说你是如何看待这一点的,以及抵御和对抗它的重要性。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: walk me through how you think of that and like how important it is to actually sort of fend that off and fight up front against that.

Vlad Tenev: 是的,我的意思是,我父亲离开保加利亚的那一年,他有机会在特拉华大学学习。所以在保加利亚,他是旅游经济学教授,嗯,在黑海沿岸,他们称之为我们的避暑胜地。所以无论如何,柏林墙倒塌了,铁幕被 رفع 了,突然间保加利亚人可以离开了。西方人可以进来,我们也可以离开。所以我的父亲得到了去特拉华大学攻读硕士学位的机会。他离开的那一年是 1991 年。所以我们当时没有能力让全家都去。我们没有那样的资源。我们当时也不确定在美国是否会成功,那里是否有未来。嗯,所以我的父亲在 1991 年去了。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah, I mean the year that my father left uh Bulgaria, he he had an opportunity to study at the University of Delaware. So in Bulgaria he was a professor of economics in in tourism uh in on the Black Sea coast which is our warm weather summer capital they call it. So anyway the the Berlin Wall fell the Iron Curtain was lifted and suddenly folks from Bulgaria could leave. People from the west could come in and and we could leave. And so my my dad was given an opportunity to go to the University of Delaware to pursue a master's degree. and the year he left was 1991. So we we couldn't we weren't in a position where my whole family would go. We didn't have the resources for that. And we also weren't sure at the time whether it was going to work out in in America, whether there's a future there. Uh so my dad went in 1991.

Vlad Tenev: 嗯,保加利亚通货膨胀率超过 100%。所以,我们在这里谈论 5% 的通货膨胀,但实际上是三位数百分比的通货膨胀。我记得我妈妈,嗯,会往窗外看。我们住在瓦尔纳的一套公寓里,我仍然记得杂货店的排队。你必须在正确的时间去,嗯,否则就没有鸡蛋和牛奶了,你知道,牛奶会装在那些大塑料袋里。所以,嗯,是的,当时还有电力配给。所以,你知道,当通货膨胀达到那么高的时候,你会遇到各种各样的问题,不仅仅是食物短缺,还有电力短缺。所以他们会实行轮流停电。所以,我记得我们围着收音机,收音机是电池供电的,你知道,几乎每天晚上都会停电。所以,我们就会和我的祖父母一起听收音机。嗯,然后我们来到了美国。我妈妈在我爸爸一年后来了。我比她晚六个月。嗯,我记得我当时五岁,所以我仍然能,嗯,我仍然记得一些事情,比如很清楚,你知道,我有在保加利亚的童年记忆,然后当我来到美国时,有一件事让我震惊,那就是杂货店里有香蕉。你走到杂货店,你会看到一大堆香蕉。而在保加利亚,香蕉就像一种疯狂的美味。嗯,因为你必须从古巴进口。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Uh the inflation rate in Bulgaria was over 100%. So, we talk a lot about, you know, 5% inflation here, but literally it was like tripledigit percentage inflation. And and I remember my mom um would look out the window. We lived in an apartment in Varna and I still remember the line for the the grocery store. Like you had to actually get there at the right time. um or or otherwise there were no eggs available and no milk available you know and the milk would be in these like big plastic bags. So um yeah and there there was also power rationing. So you know when when inflation hits that high you get all kinds of problems not just food shortages but also electricity and power shortages. And so they would have these rolling blackouts. So, I remember being huddled around the radio and the radio was like battery powered and you know the power would go out pretty much every night. So, we would just be like listening to the radio with with my grandparents. Um and then we came to the country uh to the US. My mom came about a year after my dad. I came 6 months after her. And um I remember I was 5 years old so I could still uh I still remember some things like it it was very clear you know I have memories from childhood in Bulgaria and then when I came to the US and one thing that shocked me was that there were bananas in the grocery store. Like you go to the grocery store and you'd see the big thing of bananas. And in Bulgaria bananas were like a crazy delicacy. Well, because you had to get them from Cuba.

主持人: 是的。

Original English

主持人: Yeah.

Vlad Tenev: 对。那是,那是我们的,我想那是香蕉贸易伙伴。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Right. That was that was our I think that was the banana trading partner.

主持人: 所以,香蕉是什么?

Original English

主持人: So, it's like bananas are what?

Vlad Tenev: 20 美分。嗯,所以,是的,那看起来很疯狂。然后我还记得当我稍微大一点的时候,那是 1996 年,1997 年,我来美国五年后,保加利亚不幸地获得了世界最高通货膨胀率的殊荣,一年内达到了 1800%。所以货币基本上崩溃了,他们不得不不断地加零。以前是,你知道,两列弗兑一美元,我想后来达到了 2000。嗯,所以他们不得不不断地回收所有钞票,并添加越来越多的零。在那时,我当时,我实际上早些时候在看这个。嗯,我的父母有我最初储蓄账户的银行对账单。所以,我的祖父母在我出生时为我开了一个储蓄账户。你看到他们所有的存款,就像,你知道,10 列弗,20 列弗。嗯,在 90 年代中期达到了 2000 列弗,然后下一个就基本上是零了。是的。他们不得不做各种疯狂的事情。我的祖父会,嗯,投资铜制炊具。所以他有一个壁橱,在他的公寓里,里面装满了铜锅和铜平底锅。它们比货币更能保值。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: 20 cents. Um, so yeah, that that seemed crazy. And then I also remember when I was a little bit older, so this was 1996, 1997, 5 years after I came, Bulgaria had the unfortunate distinction uh of having the highest inflation rate in the world was 1,800% in one year. So you had the currency essentially collapsed and they they kept having to add zeros to it. It used to be, you know, two Bulgarian leva to one dollar and I think it got to 2,000. Um, so they kept having to like recycle all the bills and add more and more zeros. And at that point, I was I was actually looking at this earlier. Um, my parents had uh the bank statements for my initial savings account. So, my grandparents opened up a savings account for me when I was born. and you see all their deposits and it was like, you know, 10 leva, 20 leva. Uh it got up to 2,000 leva in the mid 90s and then the next one it was like basically zero. Yeah. They they had to do all sorts of crazy things. My my grandfather would uh invest in copper cookware. So he had we had this closet in in his apartment that was just full of copper pots and pans. They would hold value better than the currency. And

Vlad Tenev: 我认为,如果有一种简单的方法可以投资和保护你的财富,嗯,最终对国家会好得多,因为,你知道,国家被耽误了。这有点像我出生的那一年,1987 年,也许那个时候是国家的鼎盛时期,然后很长一段时间都是逐渐衰落,我认为现在有希望的迹象,但你知道,我认为,嗯,很多都始于人民的意愿,以及他们对未来的乐观程度,能否抚养孩子,嗯,经济,以及,嗯,你知道,我只是看到了一个市场体系不起作用的影响。嗯,所以,你知道,这让我珍惜我们这个国家所拥有的一切,嗯,并希望将其推广到全球,推广给其他人,并让人们更容易拥有正在生产东西的公司。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: I I think that if there was an easy way to invest and to protect your wealth, um it would have been much better for for the country uh at the end of the day because you know the the country got set back. It's sort of like the year I was born, 19 1987, maybe the time around that was was the heyday of the country and then for a long time it was just a gradual decline and and I think now there's promising signs but you know I think that um so much of it starts from the will of the people and and and how optimistic they are about the future being able to raise children uh the economy and uh you know I just just saw the impacts of of having a a market system that just didn't work. Um so you know made me appreciate what we have in this country and uh wanting to make it more global exported to to everyone else and and just making it easier for people to own companies that are producing stuff. I

主持人: 我喜欢拥有美国梦一部分的想法。嗯,有没有另一个主要的指标可以改变事情?比如是住房负担能力吗?是乐观情绪吗?比如,有什么可以做的方式来给人们提供一个阶梯,如果你愿意这样想的话。所以这个阶梯不是外展。

Original English

主持人: I love the idea of owning a part of the American dream in that sense. Um, are there is there another leading sort of indicator of that that can change things? Like is it housing affordability? Is it optimism? Like what can be done in a in a way to sort of give people a rung on the ladder, if you will, if you want to think about it in that way. So the ladder is not outreach.

Vlad Tenev: 我认为这就像我们如何让更多人投资资本主义,其中一种方式就是资产所有权

Original English

Vlad Tenev: And I think about that in terms of like how do we get more people invested in capitalism and one of the ways is is ownership of assets.

主持人: 是的。嗯,我喜欢他们将此与学校教育和投资组合等联系起来的做法。另一个是什么?比如,我们能做的下一件大事是什么,来让人们在资本主义中拥有股份?

Original English

主持人: Yeah. Uh, and tying that I love what um they're doing with tying that back to education in schools and the portfolios and stuff. What's the other one? Like what is the next big thing that we could do to sort of like give people a stake in capitalism?

Vlad Tenev: 是的。我的意思是,我们谈到了房地产。嗯,我们过去肯定谈过房地产。嗯,我希望,你知道,我是一个多元化投资组合的倡导者。所以我不想说一种资产比另一种资产更好。嗯,我认为,如果,如果我们让它更容易,我认为我们的一般方法是,看看富人可以接触到什么,他们有什么工具来保护他们的财富和增加他们的财富。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah. I mean, we talked about real estate. Uh, we've definitely talked about real estate in the past. Um, and I want to, you know, I'm a I'm a I'm a proponent of a diversified portfolio. So I I don't want to say one asset is better than another asset. Um I think that if if we make it easier to I I I think the general approach that we have is look at what wealthy folks have access to, what are the tools they have to protect their wealth and and grow their wealth.

主持人: 而且,你知道,他们可以接触到各种不容易接触到的东西。嗯,很多另类投资房地产私人信贷私募股权风险投资。如果我们生活在一个大众市场可以轻松接触到这些东西的世界里,那么,嗯,我认为我们会处于一个良好的状态。

Original English

主持人: And you know they have access to all sorts of things that are not easily accessible. um a lot of alternative investments, real estate, private credit, private equity, venture capital. And if if we're in a world where it's easy for for the mass market to have access to these, then uh I I think I think we'll be in good shape.

比特币与Robinhood的商业模式

主持人: 你如何看待像 Bitcoin 这样的东西?

Original English

主持人: How do you think about something like Bitcoin?

Vlad Tenev: 嗯,我认为 Bitcoin 在过去十年中一直是表现最好的资产。嗯,你开始看到它变得更加机构化。我的意思是,不仅仅是 DAT,还有公司将 Bitcoin 纳入资产负债表,机构和资产管理公司也接受它。我的意思是,很长一段时间以来,Vanguard,最大的资产管理公司之一,都说:“我们不会在我们的平台上提供 Bitcoin。”但是,你知道,即使是这样的公司也在改变态度并提供它。嗯,是的,我认为你应该期待这种情况加速。我的意思是,Bitcoin 作为最初的加密资产将永远是独一无二的。没有人会是第一个或原创的。我认为这就是为什么这么多人,这就是为什么它有如此神秘和光环的原因,对吧?因为,嗯……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Uh I think Bitcoin has been I think in in hindsight the the top performing asset of the past decade. Um and you're starting to see it becoming more institutionalized. I mean not not just with the DATs but companies putting Bitcoin on on the balance sheet, institutions and asset managers embracing it. I mean, for a long time, Vanguard, one of the largest asset managers, said, "We're not going to offer Bitcoin on our platform." But, you know, even companies like that are changing their tune and and offering it. And um, yeah, I think you should expect that to accelerate. I mean, Bitcoin as the original crypto asset is always going to be singular. nobody else is going to be the first or or original. And I think that's why so many people that's why there's such like a mystique and aura about it, right? Because um

Vlad Tenev: 你知道,你去参加这些 Bitcoin 活动,那里有信徒,他们会告诉你,无论发生什么都无关紧要。它上涨,我买更多;它下跌,我买更多;我会告诉所有我认识的人去买它。嗯,所以,嗯,是的,到目前为止,我绝对不会,嗯,我绝对不会长期看空 Bitcoin

Original English

Vlad Tenev: you know, you go to these you go to these Bitcoin events and there are believers and and they'll tell you it doesn't matter what what's going to happen. It goes up, I buy more, it goes down, I buy more, I'll tell everyone I know to buy it. Um, so, um, yeah, at this point I would I would definitely not, uh, I I I would definitely not be, uh, a long-term Bitcoin bear.

主持人: 如果交易散户资产,嗯,并允许轻松访问,你们不收取任何费用。你们如何赚钱?你们仍然要支付员工工资。你们有一个组织要运营。如果我可以通过应用程序购买 TeslaSpaceXStripe 或其他任何公司的股票,

Original English

主持人: If trading retail assets uh, and allowing easy access to that, you guys offer no fees on that. How do you make money on that? You still have people to pay. You get an organization to run. If I if I can go buy a share of Tesla or SpaceX or Stripe or whatever through the app,

Vlad Tenev: 你们如何赚钱?

Original English

Vlad Tenev: how do you make money on that?

Vlad Tenev: 嗯,我们确实有,嗯,基于费用的产品。我认为在最初,嗯,是的,Robinhood 是一个更简单的业务。我们提供股票交易。最初,我们不赚钱,最终它变成了订单流支付保证金借贷以及余额利息。但现在 Robinhood 是一个金融超级应用。我们有 12 个,我们有 11 条业务线,截至上次财报电话会议,每条业务线产生 1 亿美元或更多的收入。我认为一般原则是,我们通过所有标准方式赚钱:交易资产利息基于借贷的收入,但我们喜欢压缩利润并,嗯,更高效地运营。所以通过我们的技术使用,我们可以以,嗯,更低的成本提供我们的服务,我们实际上可以将差额回馈给客户,这样你使用除 Robinhood 之外的任何其他产品都会处于财务劣势。嗯,所以,是的,我认为不幸的是,它不像,哦,免费交易或不收取佣金那么简单。我们确实通过其他方式赚钱,但总的来说,使用 Robinhood 应该比我们的任何竞争对手更便宜、价值更高、更具成本效益,涵盖我们整个产品套件。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Well, we do have um feebased products. I think that in the beginning um yeah, Robin Hood was a simpler business. We offered equities trading. At the very beginning, we didn't make money and eventually it became payment for order flow and margin lending and interest on on uh on balances. But now Robin Hood is a financial super app. We have 12 we have 11 business lines as of the last earnings call that generate 100 million in in revenue or more. And I I think the general principle is we make money in all of the standard ways transactions interest on assets uh lending based revenue but we like to compress the margins and uh operate much more efficiently. So through the through our use of technology we can offer our services at uh much uh much lower cost and we can actually give to our customers the difference so that you're actually at a financial disadvantage using any other product than Robin Hood. Um so yeah I think unfortunately it's not as simple as like oh free trading or not commissions. We we do make money in other ways, but generally using using Robin Hood should be cheaper, higher value, more cost-effective across our entire product suite than any of our competitors.

Robinhood信用卡

主持人: 你认为你的信用卡为什么如此成功?每个人都有信用卡。是的,有上百种不同的。它们非常,这几乎就像当我看到你的信用卡有多么简单时,我当时想:“哦,我的天哪,这就像 Steve Jobs 回到 Apple,把 400 条产品线变成,不,我们只做四台电脑。或者简化一切。”

Original English

主持人: Why do you think your credit card was so successful? Like everybody has a credit card. Yeah, there's a hundred different ones. They're super It's almost like when I saw how simple yours was in a way, I was like, "Oh my god, this is like Steve Jobs coming back to Apple taking 400 product lines and making like no, we're doing four computers. or simplifying everything.

Vlad Tenev: 价值主张很容易解释。所有类别3%现金返还,对吧?如果你是一个信用卡迷,很多人都是,如果你是那种关注积分的人,嗯……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: It's easy to explain the value prop. 3% cash back on all categories, right? And if you're a credit card nerd, which many people are, if you're like one of those people that follows the points guy, um

主持人: 有些业务就像,嗯,只是为了优化积分。

Original English

主持人: there's businesses like related to like just optimizing points.

Vlad Tenev: 是的。我的意思是,但你知道,很多人也不想玩那个游戏。他们想说:“好的,我不想花时间在电子表格中工作,弄清楚,好的,如果我在旅行上花这么多钱,我用这张卡,我的杂货用那张卡,我的汽油用这张卡。”嗯,所以3%现金返还所有类别的价值主张非常非常引人注目。因为这让你作为一个消费者可以这样说:“这只是我的默认卡。我只是,我只是要把它放在我的钱包顶部。当然,我有机会,有能力做更多的工作。如果我想做更多的工作,也许我会拿出其他卡用于其他情况,但我也知道,如果我不想考虑它,这张卡作为默认卡总体上非常好。我认为,我的意思是,在某些情况下,如果你看看真正成功的电子商务公司,比如 Amazon,他们所做的是做得如此出色,以至于他们成为了你购买东西的默认去处。当然,也许现在如果你想比较购物,你想买一条新皮带……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah. I mean, but you know, a lot of people don't want to play that game either. They want to say, "Okay, I I don't want to spend my time working in spreadsheets and figuring out, okay, if I spend this much on travel, I use this one card, and for my groceries, I use that, and for my gas, I use this." Um, so it's very, very compelling value proposition is say 3% on all categories. Because what that allows you to do as a as a spender is to say, "This is just my default card. I'm just gonna I'm just gonna this is going to be at the top of my wallet. Sure, I have the opportunity, the ability to do more work. If I want to do more work, maybe I'll pull out some other cards for other scenarios, but I also know that if I don't want to think about it, this card is is really good in general as a default. And I think I mean in in some cases if you look at the really successful e-commerce companies like an Amazon what they've been able to do is do such a good job that they've become the default place you go to buy stuff. And sure, maybe at this point if you want a comparison shop and you want to buy a new belt

主持人: 你真的想在皮带上省钱,你可能可以在其他地方找到更便宜的。但他们做得足够好,他们在绝大多数事情上为你服务得很好,以至于他们成为首选。我认为这就是我们通过信用卡所能实现的。你知道,即使它仍然,即使它仍然没有完全普遍可用,我们也有超过 50 万持卡人,我们是增长最快的信用卡之一。嗯,你知道,越来越多的人加入。这就像信用卡公司通常不得不真正考虑客户获取成本

Original English

主持人: and you really wanted to like save on on the belt, you could probably find it cheaper somewhere else. But they do a good enough job and they serve you well for such a large majority of things that they become the first option. And I think that's what we've been able to to achieve with the credit card. And you know, even even though it's still e even though it's still not completely generally available, we do have over half a million card holders and we're among the fastest growing credit cards. Um, and you know, more people keep joining. It's like credit card companies typically have had to really think about cost of customer acquisition.

Vlad Tenev: 是的。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah.

Vlad Tenev: 因为他们必须为客户的到来付费。但我们有如此强大的口碑传播,以至于客户的到来速度比我们能让他们离开的速度还要快。嗯,这完全来自于点对点评论,嗯,现有满意客户在社交媒体上发布他们多么喜欢它。我认为这是其成功的一个巨大推动力。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Because they have to pay for for for customers to come in. But we have such strong word of mouth that customers are coming faster than we can let them off. Um, and that's just entirely from peer-to-peer reviews, uh, existing happy customers posting about how much they love it on social media. I think that's been a huge driver of of its success.

主持人: 两个问题。你认为像 Amex 这样的公司为什么不复制这种模式?嗯,他们不能吗?因为它是一个结构性问题,他们的成本结构与你的不同,所以他们无法做到。是什么阻止了他们这样做?

Original English

主持人: Two questions. Why do you think like somebody like Ax just doesn't copy that? Uh, can they not? because it's a structural problem and they can't do it from their cost structure is different than yours. Like what prevents them from doing that?

Vlad Tenev: 我认为,我认为这是一个成本结构问题。你看看那些大型信用卡公司,他们有数万名员工。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: I I think I think it's a cost structure problem. You look at the big credit card companies and they have tens of thousands of people.

主持人: 是的。

Original English

主持人: Yeah.

Vlad Tenev: 对。数万名员工手动,嗯,服务这些账户,你知道,他们花费大量资金在营销上。所以,嗯,是的,我认为信用卡项目本身的实际经济效益被,嗯,运营这些业务所需的大量员工的经济效益所掩盖。我认为这些是非常非常痛苦的决定,因为不仅,嗯,我的意思是,你不仅在谈论缩减,嗯,员工数量,而且为了做到这一点,你实际上必须拥有能够自动化整个服务流程和承保的技术。我认为我们有一个优势,因为我们能够从头开始构建它。所以你可以从第一性原理开始。所以我想,嗯,是的,我认为这是一个非常非常具有挑战性的问题。我不羡慕他们。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Right. Tens of thousands of people that are manually uh servicing the these accounts and you know that they spend a ton of money on marketing. So uh yeah, I think the the actual economics of of the card program itself are dwarfed by the economics of like the large headcount needed to to operate the businesses. I think those are very very painful decisions because not only um I mean not only are you talking about like shrinking uh headcount but also in order to do that you actually have to have the technology to to be able to automate the the entire servicing process and the underwriting. And I think we had an advantage because we were able to build this from scratch. So you could start from first principles. So I I think um yeah I think it's it's very very challenging problem to solve. I don't envy them.

主持人: 不,当你作为现有企业面临这种情况时,这很难。你可以跑上去,我认为这就像,嗯,你知道,如果你没有像 American Express 那样的资源,在某种意义上你现在有了,但我的意思是,当你开始时你没有。是的。

Original English

主持人: No, it's hard when you're the incumbent and you're faced with it. You can run up I I think of this as like uh you know if you're you don't have the resources maybe as like American Express and in some sense you do now but I mean when you started you didn't. Yeah.

Vlad Tenev: 你想做什么?你想跑上楼,因为他们又胖又开心,所以跑上楼会很糟糕,但他们追不上你,因为,嗯,他们会气喘吁吁。他们会恐慌。他们会心跳加速,他们跟不上你的速度。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: And what do you want to do? you want to run upstairs cuz they're like fat and happy and so it's going to suck to run upstairs but they can't chase you because uh it's going to be they're going to be out of breath. They're going to be panicing. They're going to have heart like they can't keep up with the velocity that you can move at.

主持人: 是的。顺便说一句,我认为,嗯,如果我们能给信用卡公司施加压力,让他们开始现代化,那对他们和消费者都有好处。所以,嗯……

Original English

主持人: Yeah. And by the way, I think that um if we can put pressure on the the credit card companies to start modernizing, that'll be good for them and for the consumer. So um

Vlad Tenev: 但你没有 3% 的交易费。那怎么来的呢?是从余额中来的吗?是不是你每年只支付一次,所以你可以在此期间保留并赚取利息?那怎么运作的?

Original English

Vlad Tenev: but you don't get 3% like in a transaction fee. Like how is that from balances? Is it from like a you're only paying that out once a year so you get to keep that during the and earn interest on it? Like how does that work?

Vlad Tenev: 是的。所以这里有一个很棒的事情。嗯,我们还有另一个东西,至少纯粹的信用卡公司没有,那就是一个经纪业务

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah. So here's the great thing. Um the other thing that we have that at least the pure play credit card companies don't have is a a brokerage business

主持人: 这与它相关联。

Original English

主持人: that ties into it.

Vlad Tenev: 所以为了获得 3% 的现金返还,你实际上必须将资金存入你的经纪账户。所以我们通过 Robinhood Gold 创建了这个飞轮效应,通过使用信用卡,你也使用了经纪产品。当然,最初主要是反过来的。所以现有的经纪客户会采用信用卡,但我们越来越多地看到人们为了信用卡而来找我们,然后我们实际上让他们也使用经纪业务和我们的财富管理产品。我们看到的是,你使用 Robinhood 的产品越多,你就越投入,它会带动所有业务。所以我们其他每条产品线都受益。我认为这就是真正推动我们更快地多元化和增加新的相邻产品线,而不是仅仅深入经纪业务的原因。所以基本上,嗯,我们在退休产品中也看到了这一点。如果有人将信用卡作为他们的主要卡,他们会将更多的财富投入 Robinhood,更多的资金投入其中,他们就会成为我们更有利可图的客户。这使我们能够弥补从网络获得的返利与我们支付给客户的 3% 之间的差距。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: So in order to get the 3% cash back, you actually have to deposit the funds into your brokerage account. And so we've created this flywheel through Robin Hood Gold where by using the credit card you also use the brokerage product. And of course at at the beginning it was mostly the other way. So existing brokerage customers would adopt the credit card but increasingly we're seeing people coming to us for the credit card and then we we we actually get them to use brokerage and our wealth management offerings as well. And what we've seen is that the more products you use of Robin Hood, the more engaged customer you are, it lifts all boats. So each of our other product lines benefit. And I think that's what's really pushed us to more rapidly diversify and add new adjacent product lines rather than just getting deeper and deeper into into into brokerage. So basically uh and we saw this with retirement as well. If someone uses the credit card as their primary card, they put more of their wealth into Robin Hood, more of their money into it, and they become a more profitable customer to us. And that allows us to close the gap between the rebates we get from the networks and the 3% we we pay back to customers.

成为首选金融机构

主持人: 如果你必须对最重要的三种产品进行排名,当涉及到将我的金融机构转移,让你成为主要的金融机构时,它们会是什么?

Original English

主持人: If you had to rank sort of the three products that matter most when it comes to transferring my financial institution, making you the primary financial institution, what would they be?

Vlad Tenev: 是的,我的意思是,让我们成为你的主要金融机构,实际上是关于覆盖范围,目标是让 Robinhood 不仅仅是你的次要账户,还是你的主要账户。我们希望两者兼顾。我们可以成为你的次要账户和你的主要账户,你的备用账户和你的主账户。嗯,大多数时候,当你问人们你的主要金融账户是什么时,他们会谈论他们的工资在哪里入账,他们的银行账户。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah, I mean, making us your primary financial institution is really about coverage and and the goal is for Robin Hood to be not just your secondary, but also your primary account. We want to be both. We can be your secondary account and your primary account, your backup and your and your main. Um, most of the time when you actually ask people what's your primary financial account, they'll talk about where their paycheck lands up, their bank account.

Vlad Tenev: 而且,你知道,一段时间以来我们并没有真正涉足那个领域。但你可能已经注意到,嗯,几周前我们开始推出 Robinhood Banking

Original English

Vlad Tenev: And you know, for a while we weren't really playing in that space. But you might have noticed uh a couple weeks ago we started rolling out Robin Hood banking.

Vlad Tenev: 如果你在社交媒体上看到,Robinhood Banking 大受欢迎。我的意思是,人们喜欢产品体验的一切。我们,我们,我们真的,那里的团队在细节上做得非常出色,构建了一个全面的银行产品,它结合了你在其他任何地方都找不到的东西,比如实时现金交付,嗯,这在纽约可用。所以,如果你实际上住在这里,你可以尝试一下。这也在更广泛地推广。但也有一些基本功能,比如儿童储蓄账户联名账户,这样你就可以和你的配偶共享财务,嗯,家庭优先体验,你可以在一个地方管理整个家庭的财务。嗯,所以,是的,它是你在其他地方找不到的差异化功能组合。惊人的经济效益,你可以在储蓄账户和支票账户上获得高利率,顺便说一句,这让人们非常恼火,银行玩这种游戏,就像……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: And if you look on social media, Robin Hood banking is a hit. I mean, people love everything about the product experience. We've we we've really the team there has really done a nice job sweating the details and building a a comprehensive banking offering and it's a combination of things that you won't get anywhere else like real-time cash delivery uh which is available in New York. So, if you're actually here uh doiciled, you can try that out. That's rolling out more broadly as well. but also just the bread and butter, child savings accounts, joint accounts so that you can have uh shared finances with your spouse, uh a family first experience where you can actually manage the finances of the whole family in one place. Uh so it's yeah combination of differentiated features you won't find elsewhere. amazing economics where you have the opportunity to earn a high rate of interest not just on savings but also on checking which by the way is a huge annoyance for people that the banks play this game of like

主持人: 哦,是的。

Original English

主持人: oh yeah

Vlad Tenev: 你的钱进出你的支票账户,当然,如果你试图直接从你的储蓄账户中多次存取钱,他们会惩罚你,没有任何理由,嗯,除了收取支票账户的高额利差。所以,所以这基本上有点像愚蠢税,他们试图惩罚你做错事。我认为,嗯,或者抱歉,惩罚你做正确的事。所以,我认为,你知道,不要太苛刻,他们正在经营他们的业务,人们,嗯,他们为人们提供有价值的服务,但我认为这是一个我们差异化的机会。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: your money goes in and out of your checking and of course will penalize you if you try to take money in and out directly of your savings too many times for no reason um other than to collect the high spread on checkings. So, so it's it's basically a little bit of a stupid tax where they try to like penalize you for for doing wrong things. And I think that um or sorry, penalize you for doing the right thing. So, I think, you know, not to be too porative, they're running their business and people are uh they provide valuable services for people, but I think that's an opportunity for us to to differentiate.

主持人: 这几乎就像他们是为了机构而不是为了客户而运营。我就是这么想的。每当我与银行打交道时,他们都会做这样的事情,比如,哦,如果你想赚取利息,你必须开一个储蓄账户。这就像,你是因为我开储蓄账户而受到激励吗?因为即使这让我更困难,所以会有一点摩擦,你因此会获得更多的浮动资金。这就像是以你作为银行的利益为导向,而不是以我作为消费者的利益为导向,因为我作为消费者,不想要另一份银行对账单。我不想再要一张密码卡。我不想再要一个我必须跟踪的东西。是的。

Original English

主持人: It's almost like they're run for the institution versus the customer. That's how I think about it. Whenever I deal with a bank and they do this thing where it's like, oh, if you want to earn interest, you have to open a savings account. It's like, are you incentivized by me opening a savings account? Because like even if it makes it harder for me, so there's a bit of friction and like you get a little bit more float because of that. Like that's oriented around you as a bank, that's not oriented around me as a consumer because me as a consumer, I don't want another bank statement. I don't want another pin card. I don't want another thing that I have to keep track of. Yeah.

Vlad Tenev: 我只想要一个账户。只要支付我那个账户的利息就行了。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: I just want one account. Just pay me the interest on that account.

Vlad Tenev: 是的,我认为这是对的。嗯,我认为有时公平地说,这些事情之间有一条微妙的界限。嗯,因为,你知道,他们必须,他们有各种各样的安全和稳健限制等等。所以,

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah, I I think that's right. Um and I think sometimes to be fair there's a delicate line between these things. Um because you know they they have to they have all kinds of like safety and soundness constraints and all of that. So,

主持人: 嗯,再深入一点,因为我真的很想了解为什么传统机构没有迅速适应一个不断变化的世界,也许从最乐观的角度来看,或者它只是保持原样。

Original English

主持人: well, go deeper on that for a second because I would really love to understand why legacy is not adapting quickly to a changing world perhaps in the most optimistic sense or it just remains that way.

Vlad Tenev: 我的意思是,我认为曾经有一条规则。我认为这是,嗯,嗯,我没有研究过这个,所以你可能需要,嗯,查一下,我们可能需要纠正它,但是,嗯,我认为很长一段时间以来,银行实际上被禁止支付储蓄利息。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: I mean, I I think at one point there was a a rule. I think this was uh uh I I didn't study this so you might have to uh look it up and we might have to correct it but uh I think for a long time banks were actually prevented from paying interest on savings

主持人: 而且,嗯,担心的是,你知道,如果他们开始竞争支付利息,或者抱歉,他们被禁止支付支票账户的利息。

Original English

主持人: and and the fear was that you know if they start competing over paying interest or sorry they were prevented from paying interest on checking

Vlad Tenev: 担心的是……

Original English

Vlad Tenev: and the fear was

Vlad Tenev: 如果在支付支票账户最高利率方面存在大量竞争,它会影响银行的安全和稳健,并导致更多的银行倒闭,所以,你知道,FDICOCC 介入并表示,你知道,储蓄账户不支付利息。我认为这后来被废除了,但你知道,到那时,当然,你从支票账户收取的利息是损益表中的一个大项目,很难放弃。所以他们有点像在结构上依赖它。嗯,你知道,如果你有数万亿美元的支票账户,你习惯于从中赚取 5% 的收益,而你突然谈论将大部分收益返还给客户,并且不赚取任何利润,你如何适应?嗯,你知道,你很快就会这样做,你的收益就会下降,盈利能力就会下降。如果你是上市公司,你知道,这可能会对股价产生影响,突然之间就变成了安全和稳健问题。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: if if there was a ton of competition over paying the highest rate on checkings it would affect the safety and soundness of banks and it would lead to more bank failures and and so the you know the the FDIC or OC came in and they said you know no no interest on savings. I think that was later repealed but you know by that time of course the interest you collect from from the checking accounts was such a big line item part of the P&L that it's hard to part with that right and so they they sort of like became structurally reliant on it. Um, and uh, you know, it how do you how do you adapt if you have trillions of dollars in checking that you're used to paying to to earning 5% on and you suddenly are talking about giving the majority of that back to the customer and and taking no profit. Um, you know, you you do that very very quickly and your earnings go down, profitability goes down. if you're public, you know, that that could have an impact on the stock price and suddenly it becomes a safety and soundness concern.

主持人: 是的。我今天早上开车来这里的时候就在想这个问题。我在想,如果最终目标是抵押贷款以某种方式将人们与金融机构联系起来,嗯,因为他们可以将抵押贷款与其他产品联系起来。他们可以将其与你的工资存款联系起来。然后我在想,嗯,Open Door 希望实现一键购房。如果他们与 Robinhood 或其他金融机构整合,你就可以当场实现这一点。你可以实现,哦,你的抵押贷款获批了。它被批准了。嗯,这似乎只需要几秒钟。

Original English

主持人: Yeah. I was thinking about this driving here this morning. I was like, I wonder if the the ultimate endgame is like the mortgage ties people to financial institutions in a way uh because they can tie the mortgage to other products. They can tie it to your paychecks deposited. And then I was thinking, well, Open Door wants to enable like one-click buying of a house. And if they were to integrate with Robin Hood or somebody else or a financial institution, you could literally enable that on the spot. You could enable like, oh, your mortgage is granted. It's approved. Uh, and it seem it'd be like seconds.

Vlad Tenev: 是的。而且我们与 Sage Home Loans抵押贷款合作关系,可以让你在全国平均水平上获得 75 个基点的折扣。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah. And and we have a mortgage uh partnership with Sage Home Loans that gives you 75 basis points off of uh the national average

主持人: 因为你也有关于人们的更好信息,对吧?

Original English

主持人: because you have better information about people too, right?

Vlad Tenev: 你有历史,完整的历史信息,我想你可以用 AI 来利用这些信息,实际上可能会产生比人类更好的预测结果。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: you have history, complete history information, and you can use that with AI, I would imagine, to actually probably generate better predictive outcomes than humans.

Vlad Tenev: 是的,我认为抵押贷款业务的难点在于它非常依赖利率。所以,嗯,我认为我们不一定想进入抵押贷款承销业务或持有抵押贷款,但我们想,我们想帮助人们满足他们所有的财务需求。我认为对于这一点,作为一个网络,并允许不同的银行竞争谁能为你作为消费者提供最好的利率,这可能是我们将继续走的路。但最终,这不就有点回到代币化了吗?嗯,所以就像你可能会提取那些抵押贷款,嗯,冒着听起来像 2007 年的风险,提取那些抵押贷款,并允许散户投资者参与这些抵押贷款。不,我没有深入思考我们是否会证券化抵押贷款

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Yeah, I think the hard part about the the mortgage business is very rate dependent. So, um I don't think we necessarily want to get into the mortgage underwriting business or holding mortgages, but we we want to get we want to help people with all of their financial needs. And I think for that one, being a network and allowing different banks to compete over who can offer you the the best possible rate as a consumer is is probably the road we're going to keep going on. But ultimately, isn't doesn't that come back full circle a bit to the tokenization? Uh so like you might pull those mortgages uh at the risk of sounding like 2007 here, pull those mortgages and allow people to retail investors to partake in those mortgages. No, I haven't thought deeply about whether we would securitize mortgages.

Vlad Tenev: 嗯,我的感觉是,我的意思是,归根结底,嗯,我们只是想,我们只会启用能为客户提供,你知道,最低成本的东西,无论是代币化能实现这一点,还是,你知道,你可以直接连接到一个银行网络,传统上可以竞争你的抵押贷款,我认为这还有待观察。嗯,你可能会争辩说,实际上代币化最初会有一个劣势,因为银行不会进行代币化,所以你可能必须在他们所在的地方与他们会面,并以他们能够支持的方式向他们提供信息。但是,是的,随着时间的推移,这种情况可能会改变,嗯,如果他们,他们,他们往往是技术的落后者。所以如果你知道 5 到 10 年后他们正在进行抵押贷款发放和链上操作,那么,嗯,你可以想象它会成为那个领域的主要市场。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Um my feeling is that I mean at at at the end of the day um we just want we'll just enable what offers customers the you know lowest cost whether it whether tokenization enables that or you know you can connect directly to a network of banks that can compete over your mortgage traditionally I think remains to be seen. Um, you you could argue actually tokenization at first would have a disadvantage because the banks won't be tokenizing and so you probably have to meet them where they are and give them the the information in ways that they can support. But yeah, over time that's likely to shift uh if if they they they tend to be lagards of of technology. So if you know 5 to 10 years they're doing mortgage mortgage originations and onchain then um you can imagine it it being the the primary market for that.

成功的定义

主持人: 我们总是以同样的问题结束这些采访,那就是,对你来说,成功是什么?

Original English

主持人: We always end these interviews with the same question which is what is success for you?

Vlad Tenev: 对我个人而言,我认为成功是,嗯,为世界创造的价值远远超过你为自己创造的价值。所以,嗯,是的,我想如果对世界其他地方的总体影响,而且我认为显然它应该是积极的。我认为它比我个人发生的事情要大得多。嗯,我认为这就是推动我,正如你所说,进一步股权所有权的原因。嗯,让每个人都参与其中。嗯,因为我认为,如果我能在私人市场公开市场、所有IPO后市场中发挥作用,并让更多人拥有这个国家伟大的产业,那将不仅仅带来更聪明、更富裕的个人,还会带来一个更稳定和繁荣的社会。我认为这就是我会在圣诞节围着火炉,自豪地告诉我的孙辈的遗产。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: For me personally, I think success is um creating dramatically more value for the world than you create for yourself. So um yeah, I I think I would feel good if the aggregate impact on the rest of the world and I think obviously it should be positive. I I think it is is is much bigger than what happens to me personally. Um and I think that's what's pushing me to, as you said, further ownership. Uh make it so that everyone has skin in the game. Um because I think that if if if I can play a part in doing that across privates, publiclix, all post IPO and make it so that more people own uh the great industries of of this country will lead to not just smarter and more well-off individuals, but also a more stable and and prosperous society. And I think that's the that's a legacy that I would I would get excited to tell my grandchildren proudly uh about when they're, you know, huddled around the the fire on Christmas.

主持人: 这是一个很棒的答案。非常感谢你今天抽出时间。

Original English

主持人: That's a great answer. Thank you so much for taking the time today.

Vlad Tenev: 谢谢。这很有趣。

Original English

Vlad Tenev: Thank you. It's been fun.

关键字: private-markets ai-adoption economic-headwinds market-democratization organizational-resilience